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Tarleton vs UT Arlington Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 05 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 78-76
42-37 36-39
Position#42
Record9-4
FormWWLLW
Points / game70.9
Allowed / game63.2
Tarleton 🏆
USA
vs
UT Arlington
USA
Position#136
Record6-7
FormWWLLL
Points / game72.2
Allowed / game73.2
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Tarleton v UT Arlington
05 Mar 2026
TARL60
UT A65
04 Jan 2025
TARL77
UT A74
15 Mar 2024
TARL84
UT A87
04 Jan 2024
TARL78
UT A76
29 Dec 2022
TARL70
UT A63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tarleton winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UT Arlington winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TarletonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bradley
#71
L
63-86
63
86
-23
A15/11
NCAA
Austin Peay
#171
W
66-59
66
59
+7
A20/11
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#280
W
59-40
59
40
+19
H22/11
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#175
W
68-66
68
66
+2
A30/11
NCAA
UTRGV
#359
W
77-75
77
75
+2
H02/12
NCAA
Hardin Simmons
#542
W
92-56
92
56
+36
H06/12
NCAA
Sterling College
#555
W
85-47
85
47
+38
H13/12
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#256
L
62-65
62
65
-3
H19/12
NCAA
Tennessee
#33
L
46-65
46
65
-19
A21/12
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#293
W
79-66
79
66
+13
A30/12
NCAA
1H
2H
33-46
30-40
37-35
29-24
29-24
30-16
34-34
34-32
37-40
40-35
48-33
44-23
45-26
40-21
40-31
22-34
25-39
21-26
34-31
45-35
132.2Avg total
69.7Scored
62.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)70.963.2134.2+7.769%
Season at home (6)78.055.8133.8+22.283%
Season away (7)64.969.6134.4-4.757%
Last 10 (10)69.762.5132.2+7.270%
Last 5 (5)72.859.8132.6+13.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)60.064.8124.8-4.825%
vs Similar ◀ (16)66.871.6138.4-4.844%
vs Weaker (7)72.948.7121.6+24.1100%
This opponent (UT Arlington) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UT ArlingtonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arizona
#31
L
56-101
56
101
-45
A19/11
NCAA
Alcorn State
#268
W
82-69
82
69
+13
H23/11
NCAA
Texas State
#214
L
66-73
66
73
-7
H25/11
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#239
W
86-71
86
71
+15
H30/11
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#10
L
69-76
69
76
-7
A03/12
NCAA
North Texas-Dallas
#499
W
74-37
74
37
+37
H06/12
NCAA
Air Force
#331
W
76-73
76
73
+3
H16/12
NCAA
Texas Tech
#64
L
66-77
66
77
-11
A21/12
NCAA
North Texas
#159
L
52-78
52
78
-26
A23/12
NCAA
Texas
#112
L
62-79
62
79
-17
A01/01
NCAA
1H
2H
37-43
19-58
36-33
46-36
27-32
39-41
41-34
45-37
41-37
28-39
39-18
35-19
42-37
34-36
25-39
41-38
19-44
33-34
32-39
30-40
142.3Avg total
68.9Scored
73.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)72.273.2145.4-0.946%
Season at home (7)79.165.4144.6+13.786%
Season away (6)64.282.2146.3-18.00%
Last 10 (10)68.973.4142.3-4.540%
Last 5 (5)66.068.8134.8-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)66.676.5143.1-9.920%
vs Similar ◀ (9)64.272.1136.3-7.933%
vs Weaker (5)78.664.2142.8+14.4100%
This opponent (Tarleton) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +2.3+2.31st half: -1.7-1.72nd half2nd half: +4.9+4.92nd half: -2.8-2.8
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +2.3+2.31st half: -1.7-1.72nd half2nd half: +4.9+4.92nd half: -2.8-2.8
TarletonUT Arlington
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TarletonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bradley
#71
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A15/11
NCAA
Austin Peay
#171
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A20/11
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#280
W
29-24
29
24
+5
H22/11
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#175
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A30/11
NCAA
UTRGV
#359
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H02/12
NCAA
Hardin Simmons
#542
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H06/12
NCAA
Sterling College
#555
W
45-26
45
26
+19
H13/12
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#256
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H19/12
NCAA
Tennessee
#33
L
25-39
25
39
-14
A21/12
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#293
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A30/12
NCAA
70.1Avg total
36.2Scored
33.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)34.831.766.5+3.159%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.829.067.8+9.879%-
Last 30 away (15)31.134.265.3-3.140%-
Last 10 (10)36.233.970.1+2.360%-
Last 5 (5)38.432.070.4+6.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)28.531.860.2-3.225%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)33.532.365.8+1.256%-
vs Weaker (6)38.230.568.7+7.767%-
This opponent (UT Arlington) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UT ArlingtonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arizona
#31
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A19/11
NCAA
Alcorn State
#268
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H23/11
NCAA
Texas State
#214
L
27-32
27
32
-5
H25/11
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#239
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H30/11
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#10
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A03/12
NCAA
North Texas-Dallas
#499
W
39-18
39
18
+21
H06/12
NCAA
Air Force
#331
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H16/12
NCAA
Texas Tech
#64
L
25-39
25
39
-14
A21/12
NCAA
North Texas
#159
L
19-44
19
44
-25
A23/12
NCAA
Texas
#112
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A01/01
NCAA
69.5Avg total
33.9Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.933.766.6-0.837%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.531.366.8+4.153%-
Last 30 away (15)30.336.066.3-5.720%-
Last 10 (10)33.935.669.5-1.750%-
Last 5 (5)31.435.466.8-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)32.334.967.3-2.627%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)29.233.863.0-4.622%-
vs Weaker (5)37.831.669.4+6.280%-
This opponent (Tarleton) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Tarleton wins
0
UT Arlington wins
DateGameScore
06/02/23UT Arlington v Tarleton64-69
30/12/22Tarleton v UT Arlington70-63
Tarletonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/23ALoyola Marymount79-66
21/12/23ATennessee46-65
19/12/23HJacksonville State62-65
13/12/23HSterling College85-47
06/12/23HHardin Simmons92-56
02/12/23HUTRGV77-75
30/11/23AStephen F. Austin68-66
22/11/23HCSU Bakersfield59-40
20/11/23AAustin Peay66-59
15/11/23ABradley63-86
UT Arlingtonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/01/24ATexas62-79
23/12/23ANorth Texas52-78
21/12/23ATexas Tech66-77
16/12/23HAir Force76-73
06/12/23HNorth Texas-Dallas74-37
03/12/23AGrand Canyon69-76
30/11/23HAbilene Christian86-71
25/11/23HTexas State66-73
23/11/23HAlcorn State82-69
19/11/23AArizona56-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tarleton
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW69%
HomeWWWWL83%
AwayLWWLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %69%83%57%
Points / game70.978.064.9
Allowed / game63.255.869.6
Point differential+7.7+22.2-4.7
Avg total134.2133.8134.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%67%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
UT Arlington
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL46%
HomeWLWWW86%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %46%86%0%
Points / game72.279.164.2
Allowed / game73.265.482.2
Point differential-0.9+13.7-18.0
Avg total145.4144.6146.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%57%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Western Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tarleton139469%70.963.2+7.7
2 California Baptist138562%69.965.5+4.4
3 UT Arlington136746%72.273.2-0.9
4 Utah Valley State136746%67.769.5-1.8
5 Utah Tech136746%71.476.4-5.0
6 Southern Utah135838%78.077.3+0.7
7 Abilene Christian135838%76.476.0+0.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Tarleton423678
UT Arlington373976
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