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UT Arlington vs Tarleton Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 22 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 71-64
20-24 51-40
Position#150
Record12-6
FormWWWWL
Points / game72.0
Allowed / game65.4
vs
Position#255
Record11-8
FormLWLLL
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game74.5
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · UT Arlington v Tarleton
21 Jan 2026
UT A71
TARL64
29 Dec 2025
UT A63
TARL69
22 Feb 2025
UT A67
TARL57
15 Feb 2024
UT A78
TARL80
06 Feb 2023
UT A64
TARL69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UT Arlington winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tarleton winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UT ArlingtonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas State
#98
L
63-83
63
83
-20
A03/12
NCAA
UTRGV
#137
W
58-50
58
50
+8
A12/12
NCAA
Stanford
#103
L
60-76
60
76
-16
A18/12
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#338
W
69-57
69
57
+12
A23/12
NCAA
Tarleton
#255
L
63-69
63
69
-6
H30/12
NCAA
California Baptist
#41
W
63-51
63
51
+12
H01/01
NCAA
Southern Utah
#329
W
86-77
86
77
+9
A04/01
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#264
W
82-72
82
72
+10
H10/01
NCAA
Utah Tech
#158
W
56-52
56
52
+4
A16/01
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#33
L
74-86
74
86
-12
A17/01
NCAA
1H
2H
21-39
42-44
24-27
34-23
25-40
35-36
35-27
34-30
30-35
33-34
28-26
35-25
37-41
49-36
37-29
45-43
27-18
29-34
28-46
46-40
134.7Avg total
67.4Scored
67.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)72.065.4137.4+6.667%
Season at home (7)78.457.6136.0+20.986%
Season away (11)67.970.5138.4-2.555%
Last 10 (10)67.467.3134.7+0.160%
Last 5 (5)72.267.6139.8+4.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)69.480.9150.2-11.512%
vs Similar ◀ (14)66.466.9133.3-0.657%
vs Weaker (7)82.667.3149.9+15.3100%
This opponent (Tarleton) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TarletonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Howard Payne
#667
W
119-54
119
54
+65
H04/12
NCAA
Cameron
#466
W
93-63
93
63
+30
H07/12
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#372
W
88-64
88
64
+24
A17/12
NCAA
Florida A&M
#245
W
78-54
78
54
+24
H20/12
NCAA
UT Arlington
#150
W
69-63
69
63
+6
A30/12
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#33
L
85-91
85
91
-6
H02/01
NCAA
California Baptist
#41
W
81-76 OT
81
76
+5
H03/01
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#264
L
80-84
80
84
-4
H09/01
NCAA
Southern Utah
#329
L
105-106 OT
105
106
-1
A16/01
NCAA
Utah Tech
#158
L
71-75
71
75
-4
A18/01
NCAA
1H
2H
59-29
60-25
53-23
40-40
43-40
45-24
49-35
29-19
35-30
34-33
40-43
45-48
29-28
35-36
38-46
42-38
44-52
48-40
31-34
40-41
159.9Avg total
86.9Scored
73.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)81.074.5155.5+6.558%
Season at home (10)84.167.2151.3+16.980%
Season away (9)77.682.7160.2-5.133%
Last 10 (10)86.973.0159.9+13.960%
Last 5 (5)84.486.4170.8-2.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)63.574.6138.2-11.115%
vs Similar ◀ (10)74.871.9146.7+2.970%
vs Weaker (4)97.569.5167.0+28.075%
This opponent (UT Arlington) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: -3.6-3.61st half: +6.1+6.12nd half2nd half: +3.7+3.72nd half: +7.4+7.4
-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: -3.6-3.61st half: +6.1+6.12nd half2nd half: +3.7+3.72nd half: +7.4+7.4
UT ArlingtonTarleton
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UT ArlingtonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas State
#98
L
21-39
21
39
-18
A03/12
NCAA
UTRGV
#137
L
24-27
24
27
-3
A12/12
NCAA
Stanford
#103
L
25-40
25
40
-15
A18/12
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#338
W
35-27
35
27
+8
A23/12
NCAA
Tarleton
#255
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H30/12
NCAA
California Baptist
#41
W
28-26
28
26
+2
H01/01
NCAA
Southern Utah
#329
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A04/01
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#264
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H10/01
NCAA
Utah Tech
#158
W
27-18
27
18
+9
A16/01
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#33
L
28-46
28
46
-18
A17/01
NCAA
62.0Avg total
29.2Scored
32.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.732.162.8-1.443%-
Last 30 at home (13)32.829.262.1+3.654%-
Last 30 away (17)29.134.363.4-5.235%-
Last 10 (10)29.232.862.0-3.640%-
Last 5 (5)31.432.063.4-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)27.437.264.6-9.912%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)28.830.659.4-1.850%-
vs Weaker (7)36.131.968.0+4.357%-
This opponent (Tarleton) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TarletonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Howard Payne
#667
W
59-29
59
29
+30
H04/12
NCAA
Cameron
#466
W
53-23
53
23
+30
H07/12
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#372
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A17/12
NCAA
Florida A&M
#245
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H20/12
NCAA
UT Arlington
#150
W
35-30
35
30
+5
A30/12
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#33
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H02/01
NCAA
California Baptist
#41
W
29-28
29
28
+1
H03/01
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#264
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H09/01
NCAA
Southern Utah
#329
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A16/01
NCAA
Utah Tech
#158
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A18/01
NCAA
78.1Avg total
42.1Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.234.971.2+1.347%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.431.169.4+7.369%-
Last 30 away (14)33.839.473.1-5.621%-
Last 10 (10)42.136.078.1+6.160%-
Last 5 (5)36.440.677.0-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)32.837.169.9-4.223%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)34.332.666.9+1.760%-
vs Weaker (4)48.839.087.8+9.875%-
This opponent (UT Arlington) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
UT Arlington wins
6
Tarleton wins
UT Arlingtonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/26AUtah Valley State74-86
16/01/26AUtah Tech56-52
10/01/26HAbilene Christian82-72
04/01/26ASouthern Utah86-77
01/01/26HCalifornia Baptist63-51
30/12/25HTarleton63-69
23/12/25AOral Roberts69-57
18/12/25AStanford60-76
12/12/25AUTRGV58-50
03/12/25AArkansas State63-83
Tarletonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/26AUtah Tech71-75
16/01/26ASouthern Utah105-106 OT
09/01/26HAbilene Christian80-84
03/01/26HCalifornia Baptist81-76 OT
02/01/26HUtah Valley State85-91
30/12/25AUT Arlington69-63
20/12/25HFlorida A&M78-54
17/12/25AMiss. Valley St.88-64
07/12/25HCameron93-63
04/12/25HHoward Payne119-54

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UT Arlington
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL67%
HomeWWLWW86%
AwayLWWWL55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18711
Win %67%86%55%
Points / game72.078.467.9
Allowed / game65.457.670.5
Point differential+6.6+20.9-2.5
Avg total137.4136.0138.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%71%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Tarleton
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL58%
HomeWWLWL80%
AwayLWWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %58%80%33%
Points / game81.084.177.6
Allowed / game74.567.282.7
Point differential+6.5+16.9-5.1
Avg total155.5151.3160.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%60%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %11%10%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Western Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah Valley State1915479%83.667.9+15.7
2 California Baptist1913668%73.169.5+3.6
3 UT Arlington1812667%72.065.4+6.6
4 Tarleton1911858%81.074.5+6.5
5 Abilene Christian1910953%71.471.7-0.3
6 Utah Tech20101050%76.673.4+3.2
7 Southern Utah1961332%76.880.2-3.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UT Arlington205171
Tarleton244064
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