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Utah Jazz vs Houston Rockets Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 11 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 02:00
Scheduled
Position#28
Record1-10
FormLLLLL
Points / game106.5
Allowed / game117.6
vs
Form · last 5 games
3.6/10
Below normal
3.4/10
Below normal
Position#7
Record8-3
FormWWLLW
Points / game115.5
Allowed / game106.4
USANBA· Delta Center
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Utah Jazz v Houston Rockets
10 Mar 2027
UTA v HOU
upcoming
09 Feb 2027
UTA v HOU
upcoming
01 Dec 2025
UTA133
HOU125
30 Nov 2025
UTA101
HOU129
27 Mar 2025
UTA110
HOU121
22 Feb 2025
UTA124
HOU115
11 Apr 2024
UTA124
HOU121
29 Mar 2024
UTA100
HOU101
26 Oct 2022
UTA109
HOU101
14 Feb 2022
UTA135
HOU101
19 Jan 2022
UTA111
HOU116
08 May 2021
UTA124
HOU116
12 Mar 2021
UTA114
HOU99
22 Feb 2020
UTA110
HOU120
27 Jan 2020
UTA117
HOU126
22 Apr 2019
UTA107
HOU91
20 Apr 2019
UTA101
HOU104
02 Feb 2019
UTA98
HOU125
06 Dec 2018
UTA118
HOU91
06 May 2018
UTA87
HOU100
04 May 2018
UTA92
HOU113
26 Feb 2018
UTA85
HOU96
07 Dec 2017
UTA101
HOU112
29 Nov 2016
UTA120
HOU101
23 Feb 2016
UTA117
HOU114
04 Jan 2016
UTA91
HOU93
12 Mar 2015
UTA109
HOU91
29 Oct 2014
UTA93
HOU104
02 Dec 2013
UTA109
HOU103
02 Nov 2013
UTA93
HOU104
28 Jan 2013
UTA80
HOU125
19 Nov 2012
UTA102
HOU91
29 Feb 2012
UTA104
HOU83
02 Feb 2011
UTA96
HOU97
27 Feb 2010
UTA133
HOU110
02 Nov 2009
UTA96
HOU113
24 Mar 2009
UTA99
HOU86
04 Mar 2009
UTA101
HOU94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Utah Jazz win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Houston Rockets win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Utah JazzUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJazz
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
120-119
120
119
+1
117avg 98
H24/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
L
123-132
123
132
-9
119avg 98
H25/10
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#10
L
105-110
105
110
-5
95avg 98
H27/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#3
L
111-117 OT
111
117
-6
105avg 98
H29/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#11
L
90-112
90
112
-22
80avg 98
H31/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#3
L
97-119
97
119
-22
79avg 98
A03/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
L
113-120 OT
113
120
-7
101avg 98
A05/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#12
L
100-112
100
112
-12
95avg 98
A07/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#5
L
100-115
100
115
-15
85avg 98
A09/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
L
109-115
109
115
-6
108avg 98
H11/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-28
31-24
24-38
34-29
47-29
24-45
29-29
23-29
21-30
31-28
24-31
29-21
32-22
23-29
30-34
20-20
18-27
24-32
22-29
26-24
16-27
33-32
20-35
28-25
24-24
13-18
43-28
24-34
28-26
29-31
19-32
24-23
25-28
26-29
27-33
22-25
25-29
29-35
18-28
37-23
223.9Avg total
106.8Scored
117.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)106.5117.6224.1-11.29%
Season at home (6)109.7117.5227.2-7.817%
Season away (5)102.6117.8220.4-15.20%
Last 10 (10)106.8117.1223.9-10.310%
Last 5 (5)103.8116.2220.0-12.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)111.1125.9237.0-14.88%
vs Similar (6)122.0119.2241.2+2.833%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Houston RocketsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRockets
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#3
W
114-110
114
110
+4
113avg 107
A24/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#14
W
121-114
121
114
+7
116avg 107
A25/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#14
W
120-110
120
110
+10
126avg 107
H27/10
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
W
132-100
132
100
+32
127avg 107
A29/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#12
L
111-116
111
116
-5
98avg 107
A31/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#8
W
119-98
119
98
+21
110avg 107
H01/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#2
W
109-93
109
93
+16
109avg 107
H03/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#5
L
107-117
107
117
-10
97avg 107
H05/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#19
L
99-102
99
102
-3
81avg 107
A08/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#15
W
110-100
110
100
+10
107avg 107
H10/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-27
29-32
24-22
29-29
30-26
29-22
33-33
29-33
32-35
31-31
28-19
29-25
23-21
34-14
38-34
37-31
20-27
31-17
33-32
27-40
35-26
27-25
30-24
27-23
29-29
28-21
25-23
27-20
30-33
27-24
27-25
23-35
23-35
24-12
28-29
24-26
32-24
22-16
23-28
33-32
220.2Avg total
114.2Scored
106.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)115.5106.4221.8+9.173%
Season at home (6)115.5104.7220.2+10.883%
Season away (5)115.4108.4223.8+7.060%
Last 10 (10)114.2106.0220.2+8.270%
Last 5 (5)108.8102.0210.8+6.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)108.9106.1215.1+2.853%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)121.3108.9230.1+12.480%
This opponent (Utah Jazz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q2: +6.8+6.8Q3Q3: -6.1-6.1Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -0.9-0.9
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q2: +6.8+6.8Q3Q3: -6.1-6.1Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -0.9-0.9
Utah JazzHouston Rockets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Utah JazzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
62-52
62
52
+10
H24/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
L
71-74
71
74
-3
H25/10
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#10
L
52-58
52
58
-6
H27/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#3
W
55-51
55
51
+4
H29/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#11
L
42-59
42
59
-17
H31/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#3
L
49-59
49
59
-10
A03/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A05/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#12
D
57-57
57
57
+0
A07/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#5
L
51-57
51
57
-6
A09/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
L
54-64
54
64
-10
H11/11
NBA
110.3Avg total
53.0Scored
57.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.260.8116.0-5.627%-
Last 30 at home (15)58.560.0118.5-1.547%-
Last 30 away (15)51.961.6113.5-9.77%-
Last 10 (10)53.057.3110.3-4.320%-
Last 5 (5)49.655.8105.4-6.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)54.762.1116.8-7.421%-
vs Similar (6)57.555.7113.2+1.850%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Houston RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#3
W
61-59
61
59
+2
A24/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#14
W
59-48
59
48
+11
A25/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#14
L
63-66
63
66
-3
H27/10
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
W
57-35
57
35
+22
A29/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#12
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A31/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#8
W
62-51
62
51
+11
H01/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#2
W
57-50
57
50
+7
H03/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#5
D
57-57
57
57
+0
H05/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#19
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A08/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#15
W
54-40
54
40
+14
H10/11
NBA
106.5Avg total
56.8Scored
49.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.151.2108.3+5.967%-
Last 30 at home (16)60.252.4112.6+7.975%-
Last 30 away (14)53.549.9103.4+3.657%-
Last 10 (10)56.849.7106.5+7.170%-
Last 5 (5)55.449.0104.4+6.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)54.954.0108.9+0.953%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)59.348.5107.8+10.980%-
This opponent (Utah Jazz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Utah Jazztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Utah Jazz: 107.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.626.7
52.8%
54.0%53.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.811.6
32.4%
35.0%34.8
🏀 Free throws25.319.2
75.9%
76.8%19.2
They take 86.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Houston Rocketstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Houston Rockets: 108.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.327.3
52.2%
54.0%54.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.811.1
33.8%
35.0%33.3
🏀 Free throws25.920.8
80.3%
76.8%20.8
They take 85.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Utah Jazz
LLLLLLLLLW
Houston Rockets
WLLWWLWWWW
#28
League position
#7
-9.7
Net rating
+1.7
103.3
Offensive rating
110.6
113.0
Defensive rating
108.9
51.0%
Effective FG%
51.6%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
53.1%
17.0%
Turnover %
14.2%
25.5%
Off. rebound %
30.1%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.30
32.4%
3-point %
33.8%
66.6%
Assist %
64.1%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence103.3 · 110.6Defence113.0 · 108.9Shooting51.0% · 51.6%3-point %32.4% · 33.8%Ball care17.0% · 14.2%Off. rebounds25.5% · 30.1%Free throws0.29 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)10% · 70%
■ Utah Jazz   ■ Houston Rockets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Utah Jazz wins
7
Houston Rockets wins
Utah Jazzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HMiami Heat109-115
09/11/26AMinnesota Timberwolves100-115
07/11/26ADallas Mavericks100-112
05/11/26ANew Orleans Pelicans113-120 OT
03/11/26ASan Antonio Spurs97-119
31/10/26HPortland Trail Blazers90-112
29/10/26HSan Antonio Spurs111-117 OT
27/10/26HMemphis Grizzlies105-110
25/10/26HLos Angeles Lakers123-132
24/10/26HNew Orleans Pelicans120-119
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/26HDenver Nuggets110-100
08/11/26APhoenix Suns99-102
05/11/26HMinnesota Timberwolves107-117
03/11/26HBoston Celtics109-93
01/11/26HOklahoma City Thunder119-98
31/10/26ADallas Mavericks111-116
29/10/26AMilwaukee Bucks132-100
27/10/26HAtlanta Hawks120-110
25/10/26AAtlanta Hawks121-114
24/10/26ASan Antonio Spurs114-110

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Utah Jazz
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL9%
HomeLLLLL17%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %9%17%0%
Points / game106.5109.7102.6
Allowed / game117.6117.5117.8
Point differential-11.2-7.8-15.2
Avg total224.1227.2220.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %18%17%20%
Houston Rockets
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW73%
HomeWWWLW83%
AwayWWWLL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %73%83%60%
Points / game115.5115.5115.4
Allowed / game106.4104.7108.4
Point differential+9.1+10.8+7.0
Avg total221.8220.2223.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%83%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)-33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Los Angeles Lakers1210283%122.1114.4+7.7
2 Boston Celtics119282%115.7104.0+11.7
3 San Antonio Spurs119282%118.7107.0+11.7
4 Philadelphia 76ers129375%110.2109.2+1.0
5 Minnesota Timberwolves118373%118.1107.0+11.1
6 Golden State Warriors118373%120.4111.2+9.2
7 Houston Rockets118373%115.5106.4+9.1
8 Oklahoma City Thunder118373%111.4105.9+5.5
9 Detroit Pistons107370%112.7104.6+8.1
10 Memphis Grizzlies107370%117.9110.8+7.1
11 Portland Trail Blazers107370%119.7112.7+7.0
12 Dallas Mavericks117464%114.9110.3+4.6
13 New York Knicks106460%110.6102.3+8.3
14 Atlanta Hawks127558%118.2116.2+2.1
15 Denver Nuggets95456%113.6112.8+0.8
16 Toronto Raptors105550%116.6113.3+3.3
17 Cleveland Cavaliers115645%116.5115.0+1.5
18 Miami Heat115645%115.7120.0-4.3
19 Phoenix Suns104640%112.8118.1-5.3
20 New Orleans Pelicans114736%117.5122.4-4.9
21 Washington Wizards114736%108.1113.4-5.3
22 Charlotte Hornets114736%98.8110.4-11.5
23 Orlando Magic103730%107.0114.6-7.6
24 Indiana Pacers113827%111.4115.2-3.8
25 Los Angeles Clippers102820%112.2118.1-5.9
26 Brooklyn Nets102820%106.7115.7-9.0
27 Chicago Bulls91811%112.7129.3-16.7
28 Utah Jazz111109%106.5117.6-11.2
29 Sacramento Kings111109%108.3121.0-12.7
30 Milwaukee Bucks111109%106.3121.2-14.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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