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Utah Jazz vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 31 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 01:00
Scheduled
Position#29
Record1-11
FormLLLLL
Points / game106.6
Allowed / game118.1
vs
Form · last 5 games
3.8/10
Below normal
4.5/10
Below normal
Position#10
Record8-4
FormWWWLL
Points / game111.1
Allowed / game106.9
USANBA· Delta Center
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Utah Jazz v Oklahoma City Thunder
06 Apr 2027
UTA v OKC
upcoming
30 Mar 2027
UTA v OKC
upcoming
07 Dec 2025
UTA101
OKC131
21 Nov 2025
UTA112
OKC144
11 Apr 2025
UTA111
OKC145
21 Feb 2025
UTA107
OKC130
06 Feb 2024
UTA124
OKC117
18 Jan 2024
UTA129
OKC134
06 Apr 2023
UTA98
OKC114
23 Feb 2023
UTA120
OKC119
06 Apr 2022
UTA137
OKC101
20 Oct 2021
UTA107
OKC86
13 Apr 2021
UTA106
OKC96
09 Dec 2019
UTA90
OKC104
23 Oct 2019
UTA100
OKC95
11 Mar 2019
UTA89
OKC98
22 Dec 2018
UTA106
OKC107
27 Apr 2018
UTA96
OKC91
23 Apr 2018
UTA113
OKC96
21 Apr 2018
UTA115
OKC102
23 Dec 2017
UTA89
OKC103
21 Oct 2017
UTA96
OKC87
23 Jan 2017
UTA95
OKC97
14 Dec 2016
UTA109
OKC89
11 Dec 2015
UTA90
OKC94
23 Nov 2015
UTA89
OKC111
28 Mar 2015
UTA94
OKC89
18 Nov 2014
UTA98
OKC81
07 Jan 2014
UTA112
OKC101
30 Oct 2013
UTA98
OKC101
09 Apr 2013
UTA80
OKC90
12 Feb 2013
UTA109
OKC94
20 Mar 2012
UTA97
OKC90
10 Feb 2012
UTA87
OKC101
05 Feb 2011
UTA105
OKC121
15 Nov 2010
UTA108
OKC115
06 Apr 2010
UTA140
OKC139
24 Nov 2009
UTA94
OKC104
30 Jan 2009
UTA110
OKC90
07 Nov 2008
UTA104
OKC97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Utah Jazz win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Oklahoma City Thunder win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Utah JazzUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJazz
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
L
123-132
123
132
-9
119avg 98
H25/10
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
L
105-110
105
110
-5
95avg 98
H27/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#3
L
111-117 OT
111
117
-6
105avg 98
H29/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#7
L
90-112
90
112
-22
80avg 98
H31/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#3
L
97-119
97
119
-22
79avg 98
A03/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
L
113-120 OT
113
120
-7
101avg 98
A05/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#12
L
100-112
100
112
-12
95avg 98
A07/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#6
L
100-115
100
115
-15
85avg 98
A09/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
L
109-115
109
115
-6
108avg 98
H11/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
108-123
108
123
-15
96avg 98
H12/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
47-29
24-45
29-29
23-29
21-30
31-28
24-31
29-21
32-22
23-29
30-34
20-20
18-27
24-32
22-29
26-24
16-27
33-32
20-35
28-25
24-24
13-18
43-28
24-34
28-26
29-31
19-32
24-23
25-28
26-29
27-33
22-25
25-29
29-35
18-28
37-23
34-29
25-37
28-19
21-38
223.1Avg total
105.6Scored
117.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)106.6118.1224.7-11.58%
Season at home (7)109.4118.3227.7-8.914%
Season away (5)102.6117.8220.4-15.20%
Last 10 (10)105.6117.5223.1-11.90%
Last 5 (5)106.0117.0223.0-11.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)111.0125.8236.8-14.88%
vs Similar (5)126.6120.4247.0+6.240%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunder
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#26
W
108-101
108
101
+7
97avg 99
H25/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#19
W
125-114
125
114
+11
119avg 99
H27/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#12
L
96-120
96
120
-24
76avg 99
A29/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
98-119
98
119
-21
72avg 99
A01/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#16
W
117-112
117
112
+5
95avg 99
A03/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#16
W
124-116
124
116
+8
116avg 99
H05/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
W
128-97
128
97
+31
117avg 99
A07/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
114-75
114
75
+39
114avg 99
H08/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#7
L
103-123
103
123
-20
93avg 99
A11/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#7
L
108-118
108
118
-10
94avg 99
A12/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-20
20-26
34-30
31-25
33-27
34-26
32-32
26-29
30-33
29-32
22-29
15-26
26-35
25-27
24-30
23-27
26-30
33-18
31-36
27-28
37-20
23-24
28-30
36-42
35-28
36-21
27-27
30-21
25-19
32-17
33-23
24-16
27-26
32-33
21-38
23-26
32-28
18-28
35-32
23-30
221.6Avg total
112.1Scored
109.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)111.1106.9218.0+4.267%
Season at home (5)113.498.0211.4+15.4100%
Season away (7)109.4113.3222.7-3.943%
Last 10 (10)112.1109.5221.6+2.660%
Last 5 (5)115.4105.8221.2+9.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)107.0111.5218.5-4.550%
vs Similar (14)109.6111.4221.0-1.750%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)118.2107.1225.3+11.186%
This opponent (Utah Jazz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -5.9-5.9Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -1.2-1.2
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -5.9-5.9Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -1.2-1.2
Utah JazzOklahoma City Thunder
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Utah JazzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
L
71-74
71
74
-3
H25/10
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
L
52-58
52
58
-6
H27/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#3
W
55-51
55
51
+4
H29/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#7
L
42-59
42
59
-17
H31/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#3
L
49-59
49
59
-10
A03/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A05/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#12
D
57-57
57
57
+0
A07/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#6
L
51-57
51
57
-6
A09/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
L
54-64
54
64
-10
H11/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
59-66
59
66
-7
H12/11
NBA
111.4Avg total
52.7Scored
58.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.761.3117.0-5.627%-
Last 30 at home (16)58.660.4118.9-1.844%-
Last 30 away (14)52.562.4114.9-9.97%-
Last 10 (10)52.758.7111.4-6.010%-
Last 5 (5)51.657.2108.8-5.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)54.862.2117.1-7.420%-
vs Similar (5)60.256.6116.8+3.660%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#26
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H25/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#19
W
67-53
67
53
+14
H27/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#12
L
59-65
59
65
-6
A29/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
51-62
51
62
-11
A01/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#16
W
59-48
59
48
+11
A03/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#16
W
60-44
60
44
+16
H05/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
W
71-49
71
49
+22
A07/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
57-36
57
36
+21
H08/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#7
D
59-59
59
59
+0
A11/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#7
L
50-56
50
56
-6
A12/11
NBA
109.4Avg total
57.6Scored
51.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.553.4110.9+4.153%-
Last 30 at home (14)57.151.8108.9+5.357%-
Last 30 away (16)57.954.8112.6+3.150%-
Last 10 (10)57.651.8109.4+5.850%-
Last 5 (5)59.448.8108.2+10.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)58.053.0111.0+5.050%-
vs Similar (14)55.653.3108.9+2.443%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)59.353.5112.8+5.864%-
This opponent (Utah Jazz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Utah Jazztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Utah Jazz: 107.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.026.2
52.4%
54.0%52.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.911.9
32.2%
35.1%35.7
🏀 Free throws25.419.8
78.0%
77.1%19.8
They take 86.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 105.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.527.5
48.7%
54.0%55.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.710.6
32.4%
35.1%31.8
🏀 Free throws22.519.1
84.9%
77.1%19.1
They take 89.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Utah Jazz
LLLLLLLLLL
Oklahoma City Thunder
LLWWWWLLWW
#29
League position
#10
-9.3
Net rating
-3.0
104.2
Offensive rating
101.5
113.4
Defensive rating
104.5
50.7%
Effective FG%
48.7%
52.1%
Opp. effective FG%
50.6%
16.4%
Turnover %
13.5%
26.4%
Off. rebound %
25.5%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.25
32.2%
3-point %
32.4%
65.9%
Assist %
59.1%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence104.2 · 101.5Defence113.4 · 104.5Shooting50.7% · 48.7%3-point %32.2% · 32.4%Ball care16.4% · 13.5%Off. rebounds26.4% · 25.5%Free throws0.29 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)0% · 60%
■ Utah Jazz   ■ Oklahoma City Thunder
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Utah Jazz wins
9
Oklahoma City Thunder wins
Utah Jazzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HOrlando Magic108-123
11/11/26HMiami Heat109-115
09/11/26AMinnesota Timberwolves100-115
07/11/26ADallas Mavericks100-112
05/11/26ANew Orleans Pelicans113-120 OT
03/11/26ASan Antonio Spurs97-119
31/10/26HPortland Trail Blazers90-112
29/10/26HSan Antonio Spurs111-117 OT
27/10/26HMemphis Grizzlies105-110
25/10/26HLos Angeles Lakers123-132
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26APortland Trail Blazers108-118
11/11/26APortland Trail Blazers103-123
08/11/26HWashington Wizards114-75
07/11/26AMemphis Grizzlies128-97
05/11/26HCleveland Cavaliers124-116
03/11/26ACleveland Cavaliers117-112
01/11/26AHouston Rockets98-119
29/10/26ADallas Mavericks96-120
27/10/26HPhoenix Suns125-114
25/10/26HLos Angeles Clippers108-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Utah Jazz
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL8%
HomeLLLLL14%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %8%14%0%
Points / game106.6109.4102.6
Allowed / game118.1118.3117.8
Point differential-11.5-8.9-15.2
Avg total224.7227.7220.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %17%14%20%
Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL67%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %67%100%43%
Points / game111.1113.4109.4
Allowed / game106.998.0113.3
Point differential+4.2+15.4-3.9
Avg total218.0211.4222.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%60%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Los Angeles Lakers1311285%122.2114.2+7.9
2 Boston Celtics1210283%114.2103.1+11.2
3 San Antonio Spurs1210283%119.2108.0+11.2
4 Houston Rockets129375%115.4106.5+8.9
5 Philadelphia 76ers129375%110.2109.2+1.0
6 Minnesota Timberwolves118373%118.1107.0+11.1
7 Portland Trail Blazers118373%119.5112.3+7.3
8 Detroit Pistons107370%112.7104.6+8.1
9 Golden State Warriors128467%119.3111.5+7.8
10 Oklahoma City Thunder128467%111.1106.9+4.2
11 Memphis Grizzlies117464%117.9111.9+6.0
12 Dallas Mavericks117464%114.9110.3+4.6
13 Denver Nuggets106460%114.5113.3+1.2
14 Atlanta Hawks127558%118.2116.2+2.1
15 New York Knicks116555%110.3103.5+6.8
16 Cleveland Cavaliers126650%116.4114.3+2.1
17 Toronto Raptors115645%114.5111.9+2.5
18 Miami Heat115645%115.7120.0-4.3
19 Phoenix Suns104640%112.8118.1-5.3
20 Orlando Magic114736%108.5114.0-5.5
21 Charlotte Hornets114736%98.8110.4-11.5
22 Indiana Pacers124833%111.6114.0-2.4
23 Washington Wizards124833%107.5113.4-5.9
24 New Orleans Pelicans124833%116.9124.2-7.3
25 Brooklyn Nets113827%110.2115.3-5.1
26 Los Angeles Clippers102820%112.2118.1-5.9
27 Chicago Bulls101910%113.3128.8-15.5
28 Sacramento Kings111109%108.3121.0-12.7
29 Utah Jazz121118%106.6118.1-11.5
30 Milwaukee Bucks121118%106.8121.3-14.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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