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Utah State vs Grand Canyon Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 74-69
41-27 33-42
Position#20
Record23-5
FormWWWLL
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game69.8
vs
Position#95
Record18-10
FormLWWLW
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game68.5
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Utah State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Grand Canyon winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Utah StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Colorado State
#90
W
65-61
65
61
+4
A24/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
W
94-62
94
62
+32
H29/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
W
71-66
71
66
+5
H31/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
W
86-66
86
66
+20
A05/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
W
85-83
85
83
+2
A08/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
W
91-78
91
78
+13
H11/02
NCAA
Memphis
#277
W
99-75
99
75
+24
H15/02
NCAA
Boise State
#101
W
75-56
75
56
+19
H19/02
NCAA
Nevada
#86
L
77-80
77
80
-3
A22/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
72-89
72
89
-17
A26/02
NCAA
1H
2H
25-35
40-26
50-28
44-34
34-34
37-32
36-33
50-33
39-35
46-48
47-35
44-43
48-34
51-41
30-23
45-33
40-38
37-42
33-46
39-43
153.1Avg total
81.5Scored
71.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)83.669.8153.4+13.982%
Season at home (15)85.969.0154.9+16.993%
Season away (13)81.070.6151.6+10.469%
Last 10 (10)81.571.6153.1+9.980%
Last 5 (5)82.875.6158.4+7.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)69.274.4143.6-5.240%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)84.669.4154.0+15.184%
This opponent (Grand Canyon) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Grand CanyonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fresno State
#275
W
68-57
68
57
+11
A25/01
NCAA
Nevada
#86
L
60-66 OT
60
66
-6
A28/01
NCAA
Boise State
#101
W
86-69
86
69
+17
H31/01
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
81-57
81
57
+24
H04/02
NCAA
UNLV
#192
L
78-80
78
80
-2
A07/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
64-70
64
70
-6
H12/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
94-79
94
79
+15
A14/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
W
73-63
73
63
+10
A18/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
L
65-70
65
70
-5
H22/02
NCAA
UNLV
#192
W
80-67
80
67
+13
H26/02
NCAA
1H
2H
26-19
42-38
24-26
29-27
43-41
43-28
48-18
33-39
34-44
44-36
27-40
37-30
39-36
55-43
29-33
44-30
28-28
37-42
42-24
38-43
142.7Avg total
74.9Scored
67.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)75.068.5143.5+6.564%
Season at home (19)75.967.4143.3+8.568%
Season away (9)73.170.9144.0+2.256%
Last 10 (10)74.967.8142.7+7.160%
Last 5 (5)75.269.8145.0+5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)65.777.7143.3-12.033%
vs Similar (13)70.471.0141.4-0.646%
vs Weaker (14)80.466.1146.6+14.386%
This opponent (Utah State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +4.1+4.11st half: +3.1+3.12nd half2nd half: +5.8+5.82nd half: +4.6+4.6
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +4.1+4.11st half: +3.1+3.12nd half2nd half: +5.8+5.82nd half: +4.6+4.6
Utah StateGrand Canyon
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Utah StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Colorado State
#90
L
25-35
25
35
-10
A24/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
W
50-28
50
28
+22
H29/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H31/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A05/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A08/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H11/02
NCAA
Memphis
#277
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H15/02
NCAA
Boise State
#101
W
30-23
30
23
+7
H19/02
NCAA
Nevada
#86
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A22/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A26/02
NCAA
72.3Avg total
38.2Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.734.072.7+4.863%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.232.173.3+9.173%-
Last 30 away (15)36.335.972.1+0.453%-
Last 10 (10)38.234.172.3+4.170%-
Last 5 (5)39.635.274.8+4.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)31.639.671.2-8.040%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)40.232.873.0+7.368%-
This opponent (Grand Canyon) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Grand CanyonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fresno State
#275
W
26-19
26
19
+7
A25/01
NCAA
Nevada
#86
L
24-26
24
26
-2
A28/01
NCAA
Boise State
#101
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H31/01
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
48-18
48
18
+30
H04/02
NCAA
UNLV
#192
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A07/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
27-40
27
40
-13
H12/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A14/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A18/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
D
28-28
28
28
+0
H22/02
NCAA
UNLV
#192
W
42-24
42
24
+18
H26/02
NCAA
64.9Avg total
34.0Scored
30.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.231.968.1+4.457%-
Last 30 at home (19)38.131.369.3+6.863%-
Last 30 away (11)33.132.966.0+0.245%-
Last 10 (10)34.030.964.9+3.150%-
Last 5 (5)33.032.265.2+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)33.038.771.7-5.733%-
vs Similar (13)33.133.266.3-0.231%-
vs Weaker (14)39.929.169.0+10.786%-
This opponent (Utah State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Utah State wins
1
Grand Canyon wins
DateGameScore
17/01/26Grand Canyon v Utah State84-74
Utah Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/26ASan Diego State72-89
22/02/26ANevada77-80
19/02/26HBoise State75-56
15/02/26HMemphis99-75
11/02/26HFresno State91-78
08/02/26AWyoming85-83
05/02/26ANew Mexico86-66
31/01/26HSan Diego State71-66
29/01/26HWyoming94-62
24/01/26AColorado State65-61
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/26HUNLV80-67
22/02/26HWyoming65-70
18/02/26ASan Diego State73-63
14/02/26ASan Jose State94-79
12/02/26HNew Mexico64-70
07/02/26AUNLV78-80
04/02/26HAir Force81-57
31/01/26HBoise State86-69
28/01/26ANevada60-66 OT
25/01/26AFresno State68-57

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Utah State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL82%
HomeWWWWW93%
AwayWWWLL69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281513
Win %82%93%69%
Points / game83.685.981.0
Allowed / game69.869.070.6
Point differential+13.9+16.9+10.4
Avg total153.4154.9151.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%60%46%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (7)100% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %4%7%0%
Grand Canyon
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW64%
HomeWWLLW68%
AwayWLLWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games28199
Win %64%68%56%
Points / game75.075.973.1
Allowed / game68.567.470.9
Point differential+6.5+8.5+2.2
Avg total143.5143.3144.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+61%63%56%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %4%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State2823582%83.669.8+13.9
2 New Mexico2922776%80.769.7+11.0
3 San Diego State2819968%79.270.5+8.7
4 Nevada2819968%75.871.5+4.2
5 Colorado State29191066%77.071.1+5.9
6 Grand Canyon28181064%75.068.5+6.5
7 Boise State29181162%78.173.2+4.9
8 Wyoming29161355%76.872.8+4.0
9 UNLV28141450%79.478.8+0.6
10 Fresno State29121741%73.372.8+0.6
11 San Jose State2982128%71.377.7-6.4
12 Air Force2932610%62.279.9-17.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Utah State413374
Grand Canyon274269
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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