PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Nevada vs Utah State Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 22 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 80-77
0-0 38-40 0-0 42-37
Position#86
Record17-9
FormWLWLL
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game71.8
Nevada 🏆
USA
vs
Utah State
USA
Position#20
Record23-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game84.3
Allowed / game68.6
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Nevada v Utah State
21 Feb 2026
NEVA80
UTAH77
31 Dec 2024
NEVA64
UTAH69
13 Jan 2023
NEVA85
UTAH70
29 Jan 2022
NEVA49
UTAH78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nevada winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Utah State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NevadaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah State
#20
L
62-71
62
71
-9
A15/01
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
81-66
81
66
+15
A17/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
87-54
87
54
+33
H21/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
73-80
73
80
-7
A25/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
W
66-60 OT
66
60
+6
H28/01
NCAA
UNLV
#192
W
89-76
89
76
+13
H31/01
NCAA
Boise State
#101
L
87-91 OT
87
91
-4
A04/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
W
69-59
69
59
+10
H08/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
57-71
57
71
-14
A15/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
L
71-87
71
87
-16
A18/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
23-29
0-0
39-42
0-0
40-29
0-0
41-37
0-0
39-26
0-0
48-28
0-0
35-36
0-0
38-44
0-0
26-24
0-0
27-29
0-0
33-28
0-0
56-48
0-0
28-39
0-0
51-40
0-0
28-28
0-0
41-31
0-0
25-36
0-0
32-35
0-0
32-47
0-0
39-40
145.7Avg total
74.2Scored
71.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)76.071.8147.7+4.265%
Season at home (16)77.669.4147.1+8.281%
Season away (10)73.375.5148.8-2.240%
Last 10 (10)74.271.5145.7+2.750%
Last 5 (5)74.676.8151.4-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)71.280.0151.2-8.80%
vs Similar (19)75.072.1147.1+2.963%
vs Weaker (7)76.966.6143.4+10.386%
This opponent (Utah State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utah StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Grand Canyon
#95
L
74-84
74
84
-10
A17/01
NCAA
UNLV
#192
L
76-86
76
86
-10
H21/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
W
65-61
65
61
+4
A24/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
W
94-62
94
62
+32
H29/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
W
71-66
71
66
+5
H31/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
W
86-66
86
66
+20
A05/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
W
85-83
85
83
+2
A08/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
W
91-78
91
78
+13
H11/02
NCAA
Memphis
#277
W
99-75
99
75
+24
H15/02
NCAA
Boise State
#101
W
75-56
75
56
+19
H19/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
36-42
0-0
38-42
0-0
38-38
0-0
38-48
0-0
25-35
0-0
40-26
0-0
50-28
0-0
44-34
0-0
34-34
0-0
37-32
0-0
36-33
0-0
50-33
0-0
39-35
0-0
46-48
0-0
47-35
0-0
44-43
0-0
48-34
0-0
51-41
0-0
30-23
0-0
45-33
153.3Avg total
81.6Scored
71.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)84.368.6152.9+15.788%
Season at home (15)85.969.0154.9+16.993%
Season away (11)82.268.1150.3+14.182%
Last 10 (10)81.671.7153.3+9.980%
Last 5 (5)87.271.6158.8+15.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)69.274.4143.6-5.240%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)84.966.9151.8+18.092%
This opponent (Nevada) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +4.6+4.6Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: +5.3+5.3
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +4.6+4.6Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: +5.3+5.3
NevadaUtah State
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NevadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah State
#20
L
23-29
23
29
-6
A15/01
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A17/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H21/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A25/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
W
26-24
26
24
+2
H28/01
NCAA
UNLV
#192
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H31/01
NCAA
Boise State
#101
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A04/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
D
28-28
28
28
+0
H08/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
25-36
25
36
-11
A15/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A18/02
NCAA
63.1Avg total
30.9Scored
32.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.933.166.0-0.243%-
Last 30 at home (18)35.131.366.4+3.861%-
Last 30 away (12)29.635.865.4-6.317%-
Last 10 (10)30.932.263.1-1.340%-
Last 5 (5)29.235.664.8-6.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)32.538.571.0-6.00%-
vs Similar (19)32.732.665.4+0.153%-
vs Weaker (7)33.631.465.0+2.143%-
This opponent (Utah State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utah StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Grand Canyon
#95
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A17/01
NCAA
UNLV
#192
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H21/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
L
25-35
25
35
-10
A24/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
W
50-28
50
28
+22
H29/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H31/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A05/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A08/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H11/02
NCAA
Memphis
#277
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H15/02
NCAA
Boise State
#101
W
30-23
30
23
+7
H19/02
NCAA
72.0Avg total
38.3Scored
33.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.232.972.1+6.367%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.431.472.8+10.176%-
Last 30 away (13)36.234.971.2+1.354%-
Last 10 (10)38.333.772.0+4.660%-
Last 5 (5)40.032.072.0+8.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)31.639.671.2-8.040%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)40.731.672.2+9.172%-
This opponent (Nevada) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Nevada wins
7
Utah State wins
DateGameScore
15/01/26Utah State v Nevada71-62
23/01/25Utah State v Nevada90-69
01/01/25Nevada v Utah State64-69
07/02/24Utah State v Nevada63-77
19/02/23Utah State v Nevada75-66
14/01/23Nevada v Utah State85-70
12/02/22Utah State v Nevada72-85
30/01/22Nevada v Utah State49-78
01/03/21Utah State v Nevada87-66
27/02/21Utah State v Nevada75-72
Nevadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/26ASan Jose State71-87
15/02/26ASan Diego State57-71
08/02/26HFresno State69-59
04/02/26ABoise State87-91 OT
31/01/26HUNLV89-76
28/01/26HGrand Canyon66-60 OT
25/01/26ANew Mexico73-80
21/01/26HSan Jose State87-54
17/01/26AAir Force81-66
15/01/26AUtah State62-71
Utah Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/02/26HBoise State75-56
15/02/26HMemphis99-75
11/02/26HFresno State91-78
08/02/26AWyoming85-83
05/02/26ANew Mexico86-66
31/01/26HSan Diego State71-66
29/01/26HWyoming94-62
24/01/26AColorado State65-61
21/01/26HUNLV76-86
17/01/26AGrand Canyon74-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nevada
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL65%
HomeWWWWW81%
AwayWLLLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261610
Win %65%81%40%
Points / game76.077.673.3
Allowed / game71.869.475.5
Point differential+4.2+8.2-2.2
Avg total147.7147.1148.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%44%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)60% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %12%12%10%
Utah State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW88%
HomeWWWWW93%
AwayWLWWW82%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261511
Win %88%93%82%
Points / game84.385.982.2
Allowed / game68.669.068.1
Point differential+15.7+16.9+14.1
Avg total152.9154.9150.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%60%55%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (6)100% (4)100% (2)
Overtime %4%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State2623388%84.368.6+15.7
2 New Mexico2721678%81.469.5+11.9
3 San Diego State2618869%78.970.0+8.9
4 Nevada2617965%76.071.8+4.2
5 Grand Canyon27171063%74.868.6+6.2
6 Colorado State27171063%76.871.0+5.7
7 Boise State27161159%78.674.4+4.3
8 Wyoming27151256%77.773.2+4.5
9 UNLV27141352%79.978.7+1.1
10 Fresno State27121544%74.272.9+1.3
11 San Jose State2772026%70.777.4-6.6
12 Air Force2732411%61.680.1-18.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nevada03804280
Utah State04003777
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.