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Utah State vs Boise State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 19 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 03:30
Final 75-56
30-23 45-33
Position#20
Record22-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game84.7
Allowed / game69.1
Utah State 🏆
USA
vs
Boise State
USA
Position#101
Record15-10
FormWLWWL
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game74.6
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Utah State v Boise State
06 Jan 2027
UTAH v BOIS
upcoming
18 Feb 2026
UTAH75
BOIS56
16 Jan 2026
UTAH v BOIS
upcoming
11 Jan 2025
UTAH81
BOIS79
10 Feb 2024
UTAH80
BOIS61
04 Mar 2023
UTAH86
BOIS73
20 Jan 2022
UTAH59
BOIS62
08 Feb 2020
UTAH70
BOIS61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Utah State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Boise State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Utah StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevada
#86
W
71-62
71
62
+9
H15/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
L
74-84
74
84
-10
A17/01
NCAA
UNLV
#192
L
76-86
76
86
-10
H21/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
W
65-61
65
61
+4
A24/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
W
94-62
94
62
+32
H29/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
W
71-66
71
66
+5
H31/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
W
86-66
86
66
+20
A05/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
W
85-83
85
83
+2
A08/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
W
91-78
91
78
+13
H11/02
NCAA
Memphis
#277
W
99-75
99
75
+24
H15/02
NCAA
1H
2H
29-23
42-39
36-42
38-42
38-38
38-48
25-35
40-26
50-28
44-34
34-34
37-32
36-33
50-33
39-35
46-48
47-35
44-43
48-34
51-41
153.5Avg total
81.2Scored
72.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)84.769.1153.8+15.688%
Season at home (14)86.669.9156.6+16.793%
Season away (11)82.268.1150.3+14.182%
Last 10 (10)81.272.3153.5+8.980%
Last 5 (5)86.473.6160.0+12.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)68.777.5146.2-8.833%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)85.367.3152.6+18.092%
This opponent (Boise State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boise StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah State
#20
L
68-93
68
93
-25
H11/01
NCAA
UNLV
#192
L
85-89 OT
85
89
-4
A14/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
W
79-73
79
73
+6
H17/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
W
81-65
81
65
+16
A21/01
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
96-54
96
54
+42
H24/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
89-58
89
58
+31
A28/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
L
69-86
69
86
-17
A31/01
NCAA
Nevada
#86
W
91-87 OT
91
87
+4
H04/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
W
91-90
91
90
+1
A08/02
NCAA
UNLV
#192
L
83-86 OT
83
86
-3
H14/02
NCAA
1H
2H
23-46
45-47
39-40
37-36
39-30
40-43
38-18
43-47
48-29
48-25
36-33
53-25
41-43
28-43
39-28
40-51
43-42
48-48
40-29
37-48
161.3Avg total
83.2Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)79.374.6153.9+4.860%
Season at home (16)76.071.3147.3+4.762%
Season away (9)85.280.3165.6+4.956%
Last 10 (10)83.278.1161.3+5.160%
Last 5 (5)84.681.4166.0+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)78.076.0154.0+2.080%
vs Similar (19)74.974.7149.7+0.253%
vs Weaker (6)85.365.7151.0+19.767%
This opponent (Utah State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.5+4.51st half: +4.8+4.82nd half2nd half: +4.4+4.42nd half: +0.6+0.6
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.5+4.51st half: +4.8+4.82nd half2nd half: +4.4+4.42nd half: +0.6+0.6
Utah StateBoise State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Utah StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevada
#86
W
29-23
29
23
+6
H15/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A17/01
NCAA
UNLV
#192
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H21/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
L
25-35
25
35
-10
A24/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
W
50-28
50
28
+22
H29/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H31/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A05/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A08/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H11/02
NCAA
Memphis
#277
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H15/02
NCAA
71.9Avg total
38.2Scored
33.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.933.772.6+5.263%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.131.974.0+10.275%-
Last 30 away (14)35.235.971.1-0.650%-
Last 10 (10)38.233.771.9+4.560%-
Last 5 (5)40.834.275.0+6.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)30.041.071.0-11.033%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)41.131.973.0+9.271%-
This opponent (Boise State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boise StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah State
#20
L
23-46
23
46
-23
H11/01
NCAA
UNLV
#192
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A14/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H17/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
W
38-18
38
18
+20
A21/01
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
48-29
48
29
+19
H24/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A28/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A31/01
NCAA
Nevada
#86
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H04/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A08/02
NCAA
UNLV
#192
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H14/02
NCAA
72.4Avg total
38.6Scored
33.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.233.368.5+1.857%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.932.268.2+3.765%-
Last 30 away (13)34.234.868.9-0.646%-
Last 10 (10)38.633.872.4+4.870%-
Last 5 (5)39.835.074.8+4.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)34.034.868.8-0.880%-
vs Similar (19)34.333.367.5+1.047%-
vs Weaker (6)39.032.371.3+6.767%-
This opponent (Utah State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Utah State wins
4
Boise State wins
DateGameScore
11/01/26Boise State v Utah State68-93
27/02/25Boise State v Utah State82-65
12/01/25Utah State v Boise State81-79
11/02/24Utah State v Boise State80-61
27/01/24Boise State v Utah State84-90 OT
11/03/23Boise State v Utah State62-72
05/03/23Utah State v Boise State86-73
07/01/23Boise State v Utah State82-59
19/02/22Boise State v Utah State68-57
21/01/22Utah State v Boise State59-62
Utah Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/26HMemphis99-75
11/02/26HFresno State91-78
08/02/26AWyoming85-83
05/02/26ANew Mexico86-66
31/01/26HSan Diego State71-66
29/01/26HWyoming94-62
24/01/26AColorado State65-61
21/01/26HUNLV76-86
17/01/26AGrand Canyon74-84
15/01/26HNevada71-62
Boise Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/26HUNLV83-86 OT
08/02/26ANew Mexico91-90
04/02/26HNevada91-87 OT
31/01/26AGrand Canyon69-86
28/01/26ASan Jose State89-58
24/01/26HAir Force96-54
21/01/26AWyoming81-65
17/01/26HColorado State79-73
14/01/26AUNLV85-89 OT
11/01/26HUtah State68-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Utah State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW88%
HomeLWWWW93%
AwayWLWWW82%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251411
Win %88%93%82%
Points / game84.786.682.2
Allowed / game69.169.968.1
Point differential+15.6+16.7+14.1
Avg total153.8156.6150.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%57%55%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (6)100% (4)100% (2)
Overtime %4%7%0%
Boise State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL60%
HomeLWWWL62%
AwayLWWLW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games25169
Win %60%62%56%
Points / game79.376.085.2
Allowed / game74.671.380.3
Point differential+4.8+4.7+4.9
Avg total153.9147.3165.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)57% (7)33% (3)
Overtime %16%12%22%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State2522388%84.769.1+15.6
2 New Mexico2620677%81.569.2+12.3
3 San Diego State2518772%79.169.5+9.6
4 Grand Canyon2617965%75.268.5+6.7
5 Nevada2617965%76.071.8+4.2
6 Colorado State25151060%76.070.3+5.6
7 Boise State25151060%79.374.6+4.8
8 Wyoming26141254%78.073.5+4.5
9 UNLV25131252%79.278.8+0.4
10 Fresno State26121446%74.072.6+1.5
11 San Jose State2671927%70.877.1-6.3
12 Air Force2632312%61.479.7-18.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Utah State304575
Boise State233356
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