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San Diego State vs Utah State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 26 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 04:00
Final 89-72
0-0 46-33 0-0 43-39
Position#70
Record18-8
FormWWWLL
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game70.0
San Diego State 🏆
USA
vs
Utah State
USA
Position#20
Record23-4
FormWWWWL
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game69.0
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · San Diego State v Utah State
25 Feb 2026
SAN 89
UTAH72
28 Dec 2024
SAN 66
UTAH67
03 Feb 2024
SAN 81
UTAH67
11 Mar 2023
SAN 62
UTAH57
25 Jan 2023
SAN 85
UTAH75
15 Feb 2022
SAN 75
UTAH56
13 Mar 2021
SAN 68
UTAH57
07 Mar 2020
SAN 56
UTAH59
01 Feb 2020
SAN 80
UTAH68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Diego State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Utah State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San Diego StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Mexico
#50
W
83-79
83
79
+4
H18/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
L
69-70
69
70
-1
A22/01
NCAA
UNLV
#192
W
82-71
82
71
+11
A24/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
W
73-50
73
50
+23
H29/01
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
66-71
66
71
-5
A31/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
W
72-63
72
63
+9
H04/02
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
88-54
88
54
+34
A08/02
NCAA
Nevada
#86
W
71-57
71
57
+14
H15/02
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
L
63-73
63
73
-10
H18/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
L
74-83
74
83
-9
A21/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
48-35
0-0
35-44
0-0
37-35
0-0
32-35
0-0
39-34
0-0
43-37
0-0
33-27
0-0
40-23
0-0
34-34
0-0
32-37
0-0
35-24
0-0
37-39
0-0
45-26
0-0
43-28
0-0
36-25
0-0
35-32
0-0
33-29
0-0
30-44
0-0
25-38
0-0
49-45
141.2Avg total
74.1Scored
67.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)78.970.0148.9+8.969%
Season at home (15)83.369.1152.3+14.280%
Season away (11)73.071.3144.3+1.755%
Last 10 (10)74.167.1141.2+7.060%
Last 5 (5)73.666.0139.6+7.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)60.574.8135.2-14.225%
vs Similar (15)76.774.9151.6+1.753%
vs Weaker (11)84.362.6146.9+21.691%
This opponent (Utah State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utah StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UNLV
#192
L
76-86
76
86
-10
H21/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
W
65-61
65
61
+4
A24/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
W
94-62
94
62
+32
H29/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
W
71-66
71
66
+5
H31/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
W
86-66
86
66
+20
A05/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
W
85-83
85
83
+2
A08/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
W
91-78
91
78
+13
H11/02
NCAA
Memphis
#277
W
99-75
99
75
+24
H15/02
NCAA
Boise State
#101
W
75-56
75
56
+19
H19/02
NCAA
Nevada
#86
L
77-80
77
80
-3
A22/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
38-38
0-0
38-48
0-0
25-35
0-0
40-26
0-0
50-28
0-0
44-34
0-0
34-34
0-0
37-32
0-0
36-33
0-0
50-33
0-0
39-35
0-0
46-48
0-0
47-35
0-0
44-43
0-0
48-34
0-0
51-41
0-0
30-23
0-0
45-33
0-0
40-38
0-0
37-42
153.2Avg total
81.9Scored
71.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)84.069.0153.1+15.085%
Season at home (15)85.969.0154.9+16.993%
Season away (12)81.869.1150.8+12.775%
Last 10 (10)81.971.3153.2+10.680%
Last 5 (5)85.474.4159.8+11.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)69.274.4143.6-5.240%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)84.568.2152.7+16.388%
This opponent (San Diego State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +5.8+5.8Q2: +5.4+5.4Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +5.2+5.2
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +5.8+5.8Q2: +5.4+5.4Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +5.2+5.2
San Diego StateUtah State
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
San Diego StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Mexico
#50
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H18/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A22/01
NCAA
UNLV
#192
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A24/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H29/01
NCAA
Utah State
#20
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A31/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
W
35-24
35
24
+11
H04/02
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
45-26
45
26
+19
A08/02
NCAA
Nevada
#86
W
36-25
36
25
+11
H15/02
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H18/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
L
25-38
25
38
-13
A21/02
NCAA
67.2Avg total
36.5Scored
30.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.931.869.7+6.073%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.730.268.9+8.683%-
Last 30 away (12)36.634.370.9+2.258%-
Last 10 (10)36.530.767.2+5.880%-
Last 5 (5)34.828.463.2+6.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)31.834.866.5-3.025%-
vs Similar (15)36.131.867.9+4.367%-
vs Weaker (11)42.530.873.3+11.6100%-
This opponent (Utah State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utah StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UNLV
#192
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H21/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
L
25-35
25
35
-10
A24/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
W
50-28
50
28
+22
H29/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H31/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A05/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A08/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H11/02
NCAA
Memphis
#277
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H15/02
NCAA
Boise State
#101
W
30-23
30
23
+7
H19/02
NCAA
Nevada
#86
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A22/02
NCAA
72.0Avg total
38.7Scored
33.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.833.472.2+5.467%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.931.972.8+9.075%-
Last 30 away (14)36.535.171.6+1.457%-
Last 10 (10)38.733.372.0+5.470%-
Last 5 (5)40.833.073.8+7.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)31.639.671.2-8.040%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)40.332.272.4+8.172%-
This opponent (San Diego State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
San Diego State wins
4
Utah State wins
DateGameScore
31/01/26Utah State v San Diego State71-66
23/02/25Utah State v San Diego State79-71
28/12/24San Diego State v Utah State66-67
16/03/24Utah State v San Diego State70-86
21/02/24Utah State v San Diego State68-63
03/02/24San Diego State v Utah State81-67
11/03/23San Diego State v Utah State62-57
09/02/23Utah State v San Diego State61-63
26/01/23San Diego State v Utah State85-75
16/02/22San Diego State v Utah State75-56
San Diego Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/02/26AColorado State74-83
18/02/26HGrand Canyon63-73
15/02/26HNevada71-57
08/02/26AAir Force88-54
04/02/26HWyoming72-63
31/01/26AUtah State66-71
29/01/26HColorado State73-50
24/01/26AUNLV82-71
22/01/26AGrand Canyon69-70
18/01/26HNew Mexico83-79
Utah Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/26ANevada77-80
19/02/26HBoise State75-56
15/02/26HMemphis99-75
11/02/26HFresno State91-78
08/02/26AWyoming85-83
05/02/26ANew Mexico86-66
31/01/26HSan Diego State71-66
29/01/26HWyoming94-62
24/01/26AColorado State65-61
21/01/26HUNLV76-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Diego State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL69%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayLWLWL55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261511
Win %69%80%55%
Points / game78.983.373.0
Allowed / game70.069.171.3
Point differential+8.9+14.2+1.7
Avg total148.9152.3144.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%60%45%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)67% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %8%13%0%
Utah State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL85%
HomeWWWWW93%
AwayLWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271512
Win %85%93%75%
Points / game84.085.981.8
Allowed / game69.069.069.1
Point differential+15.0+16.9+12.7
Avg total153.1154.9150.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%60%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (7)100% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %4%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State2723485%84.069.0+15.0
2 New Mexico2821775%80.669.4+11.2
3 San Diego State2618869%78.970.0+8.9
4 Nevada2819968%75.871.5+4.2
5 Grand Canyon28181064%75.068.5+6.5
6 Colorado State28181064%76.771.0+5.7
7 Boise State28171161%78.473.9+4.5
8 Wyoming28151354%77.173.2+4.0
9 UNLV28141450%79.478.8+0.6
10 Fresno State28121643%74.072.9+1.1
11 San Jose State2882029%71.377.5-6.2
12 Air Force2832511%62.280.4-18.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
San Diego State04604389
Utah State03303972
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