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Liberty vs UTEP Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 80-69
41-38 39-31
Position#26
Record14-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game67.9
Liberty 🏆
USA
vs
Position#307
Record6-11
FormLLWLW
Points / game69.8
Allowed / game72.4
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Liberty v UTEP
17 Jan 2026
LIBE80
UTEP69
12 Mar 2025
LIBE81
UTEP60
16 Jan 2025
LIBE70
UTEP72
14 Mar 2024
LIBE57
UTEP66
02 Mar 2024
LIBE51
UTEP67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Liberty winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UTEP winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LibertyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Coppin State
#354
W
92-50
92
50
+42
H06/12
NCAA
NC State
#128
L
45-85
45
85
-40
A11/12
NCAA
Midway
#519
W
95-57
95
57
+38
H16/12
NCAA
Dayton
#65
W
64-61
64
61
+3
A20/12
NCAA
Florida International
#232
W
97-94 OT
97
94
+3
A28/12
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
W
81-73
81
73
+8
H03/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
W
78-69
78
69
+9
H04/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
W
72-56
72
56
+16
A09/01
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
W
82-74
82
74
+8
A10/01
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
W
73-71
73
71
+2
H15/01
NCAA
1H
2H
55-14
37-36
19-45
26-40
50-27
45-30
29-33
35-28
41-33
41-49
46-33
35-40
27-27
51-42
34-27
38-29
34-33
48-41
46-29
27-42
146.9Avg total
77.9Scored
69.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)80.367.9148.2+12.482%
Season at home (10)86.263.8150.0+22.490%
Season away (7)71.973.9145.7-2.071%
Last 10 (10)77.969.0146.9+8.990%
Last 5 (5)77.268.6145.8+8.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)72.670.3142.9+2.278%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)79.065.4144.4+13.686%
This opponent (UTEP) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UTEPUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Seattle
#108
L
68-75
68
75
-7
A08/12
NCAA
Hawaii
#44
L
61-66
61
66
-5
A14/12
NCAA
Norfolk State
#233
L
71-72
71
72
-1
H22/12
NCAA
North Dakota St
#30
W
76-66
76
66
+10
H23/12
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
L
63-75
63
75
-12
A30/12
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
L
55-79
55
79
-24
A03/01
NCAA
Florida International
#232
L
64-76
64
76
-12
A04/01
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
W
83-80 OT
83
80
+3
H09/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
L
56-68
56
68
-12
H10/01
NCAA
Delaware
#326
W
70-69
70
69
+1
A16/01
NCAA
1H
2H
31-37
37-38
29-25
32-41
32-42
39-30
32-36
44-30
28-38
35-37
23-49
32-30
30-29
34-47
37-44
36-29
35-31
21-37
30-36
40-33
139.3Avg total
66.7Scored
72.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)69.872.4142.2-2.535%
Season at home (9)77.371.1148.4+6.256%
Season away (8)61.473.8135.1-12.412%
Last 10 (10)66.772.6139.3-5.930%
Last 5 (5)65.674.4140.0-8.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)63.873.9137.7-10.113%
vs Similar (11)71.674.8146.5-3.227%
vs Weaker (1)77.063.0140.0+14.0100%
This opponent (Liberty) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +8.0+8.01st half: -6.0-6.02nd half2nd half: +0.6+0.62nd half: -0.2-0.2
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +8.0+8.01st half: -6.0-6.02nd half2nd half: +0.6+0.62nd half: -0.2-0.2
LibertyUTEP
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
LibertyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Coppin State
#354
W
55-14
55
14
+41
H06/12
NCAA
NC State
#128
L
19-45
19
45
-26
A11/12
NCAA
Midway
#519
W
50-27
50
27
+23
H16/12
NCAA
Dayton
#65
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A20/12
NCAA
Florida International
#232
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A28/12
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H03/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
D
27-27
27
27
+0
H04/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
W
34-27
34
27
+7
A09/01
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A10/01
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H15/01
NCAA
68.2Avg total
38.1Scored
30.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.330.567.8+6.973%-
Last 30 at home (18)40.227.868.0+12.389%-
Last 30 away (12)33.134.467.5-1.350%-
Last 10 (10)38.130.168.2+8.070%-
Last 5 (5)37.429.867.2+7.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)34.433.768.1+0.856%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)38.629.167.7+9.581%-
This opponent (UTEP) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UTEPLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Seattle
#108
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A08/12
NCAA
Hawaii
#44
W
29-25
29
25
+4
A14/12
NCAA
Norfolk State
#233
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H22/12
NCAA
North Dakota St
#30
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H23/12
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A30/12
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
L
23-49
23
49
-26
A03/01
NCAA
Florida International
#232
W
30-29
30
29
+1
A04/01
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H09/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H10/01
NCAA
Delaware
#326
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A16/01
NCAA
67.4Avg total
30.7Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.035.667.6-3.737%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.835.169.9-0.450%-
Last 30 away (16)29.536.165.6-6.625%-
Last 10 (10)30.736.767.4-6.030%-
Last 5 (5)31.037.868.8-6.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)30.235.966.1-5.733%-
vs Similar (11)31.235.766.9-4.536%-
vs Weaker (1)37.037.074.0+0.00%-
This opponent (Liberty) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Liberty wins
3
UTEP wins
DateGameScore
12/03/25Liberty v UTEP81-60
16/02/25UTEP v Liberty69-76
17/01/25Liberty v UTEP70-72
14/03/24Liberty v UTEP57-66
03/03/24Liberty v UTEP51-67
04/02/24UTEP v Liberty65-67
Libertylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/26HNew Mexico State73-71
10/01/26ASam Houston St.82-74
09/01/26ALouisiana Tech72-56
04/01/26HJacksonville State78-69
03/01/26HKennesaw State81-73
28/12/25AFlorida International97-94 OT
20/12/25ADayton64-61
16/12/25HMidway95-57
11/12/25ANC State45-85
06/12/25HCoppin State92-50
UTEPlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/01/26ADelaware70-69
10/01/26HWestern Kentucky56-68
09/01/26HMiddle Tenn. St.83-80 OT
04/01/26AFlorida International64-76
03/01/26AMissouri State55-79
30/12/25ALouisiana Tech63-75
23/12/25HNorth Dakota St76-66
22/12/25HNorfolk State71-72
14/12/25AHawaii61-66
08/12/25ASeattle68-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Liberty
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW82%
HomeWWWWW90%
AwayLWWWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17107
Win %82%90%71%
Points / game80.386.271.9
Allowed / game67.963.873.9
Point differential+12.4+22.4-2.0
Avg total148.2150.0145.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%60%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %6%0%14%
UTEP
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW35%
HomeLLWWL56%
AwayLLLLW12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %35%56%12%
Points / game69.877.361.4
Allowed / game72.471.173.8
Point differential-2.5+6.2-12.4
Avg total142.2148.4135.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %12%22%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liberty1714382%80.367.9+12.4
2 Kennesaw State1711665%88.977.0+11.9
3 New Mexico State1711665%77.368.3+9.0
4 Western Kentucky1711665%81.475.5+5.9
5 Sam Houston St.1811761%84.174.1+10.0
6 Louisiana Tech1710759%68.160.3+7.8
7 Middle Tenn. St.1710759%74.868.8+6.0
8 Missouri State1710759%75.271.8+3.4
9 Florida International189950%83.778.3+5.4
10 Jacksonville State178947%73.566.7+6.8
11 UTEP1761135%69.872.4-2.5
12 Delaware1851328%66.272.2-6.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Liberty413980
UTEP383169
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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