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UTEP vs Sam Houston St. Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 11 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 79-65
36-30 43-35
Position#163
Record17-14
FormLLLLL
Points / game72.7
Allowed / game70.6
UTEP 🏆
USA
vs
Position#283
Record13-18
FormWLLWW
Points / game75.7
Allowed / game75.9
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · UTEP v Sam Houston St.
11 Mar 2025
UTEP79
SAM 65
04 Jan 2025
UTEP81
SAM 72
24 Feb 2024
UTEP54
SAM 65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UTEP winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sam Houston St. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UTEPUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Middle Tenn. St.
#76
L
68-71
68
71
-3
A01/02
NCAA
New Mexico State
#175
W
66-63
66
63
+3
A09/02
NCAA
Florida International
#330
W
77-63
77
63
+14
H14/02
NCAA
Liberty
#19
L
69-76
69
76
-7
H16/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#142
L
73-83
73
83
-10
A21/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#92
L
65-73
65
73
-8
A22/02
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#182
L
73-80
73
80
-7
H28/02
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#76
L
75-76 OT
75
76
-1
H01/03
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#283
L
87-89
87
89
-2
A07/03
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#109
L
58-76
58
76
-18
A08/03
NCAA
1H
2H
33-36
35-35
28-24
38-39
37-37
40-26
35-32
34-44
33-47
40-36
29-39
36-34
23-40
50-40
33-31
33-35
44-42
43-47
22-34
36-42
146.1Avg total
71.1Scored
75.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)72.770.6143.3+2.155%
Season at home (17)74.268.0142.2+6.271%
Season away (14)70.973.8144.6-2.936%
Last 10 (10)71.175.0146.1-3.920%
Last 5 (5)71.678.8150.4-7.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)69.074.0143.0-5.050%
vs Similar ◀ (17)71.674.6146.3-3.035%
vs Weaker (6)73.560.5134.0+13.0100%
This opponent (Sam Houston St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sam Houston St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Tech
#109
L
61-66 OT
61
66
-5
A01/02
NCAA
Florida International
#330
L
82-85 OT
82
85
-3
A07/02
NCAA
Liberty
#19
L
61-64
61
64
-3
A08/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#92
W
66-61
66
61
+5
H14/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#142
W
78-76
78
76
+2
H15/02
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#182
W
78-62
78
62
+16
A21/02
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#76
L
70-74
70
74
-4
A22/02
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#109
L
66-90
66
90
-24
H01/03
NCAA
UTEP
#163
W
89-87
89
87
+2
H07/03
NCAA
New Mexico State
#175
W
76-69
76
69
+7
H08/03
NCAA
1H
2H
30-32
21-19
39-38
35-36
29-33
32-31
29-29
37-32
48-28
30-48
43-25
35-37
31-39
39-35
30-36
36-54
42-44
47-43
45-38
31-31
146.1Avg total
72.7Scored
73.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)75.775.9151.6-0.342%
Season at home (14)80.773.6154.4+7.171%
Season away (17)71.577.8149.4-6.318%
Last 10 (10)72.773.4146.1-0.750%
Last 5 (5)75.876.4152.2-0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)68.676.2144.8-7.620%
vs Similar ◀ (11)77.778.3156.0-0.555%
vs Weaker (3)102.368.3170.7+34.0100%
This opponent (UTEP) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -4.5-4.51st half: +2.4+2.42nd half2nd half: +0.7+0.72nd half: -2.3-2.3
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -4.5-4.51st half: +2.4+2.42nd half2nd half: +0.7+0.72nd half: -2.3-2.3
UTEPSam Houston St.
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UTEPLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Middle Tenn. St.
#76
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A01/02
NCAA
New Mexico State
#175
W
28-24
28
24
+4
A09/02
NCAA
Florida International
#330
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H14/02
NCAA
Liberty
#19
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H16/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#142
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A21/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#92
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A22/02
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#182
L
23-40
23
40
-17
H28/02
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#76
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H01/03
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#283
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A07/03
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#109
L
22-34
22
34
-12
A08/03
NCAA
67.9Avg total
31.7Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.632.066.7+2.660%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.129.565.6+6.675%-
Last 30 away (14)32.934.967.9-2.043%-
Last 10 (10)31.736.267.9-4.540%-
Last 5 (5)30.237.267.4-7.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)34.732.767.3+2.067%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)32.834.367.1-1.547%-
vs Weaker (6)38.027.265.2+10.883%-
This opponent (Sam Houston St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sam Houston St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Tech
#109
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A01/02
NCAA
Florida International
#330
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A07/02
NCAA
Liberty
#19
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A08/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#92
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H14/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#142
W
48-28
48
28
+20
H15/02
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#182
W
43-25
43
25
+18
A21/02
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#76
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A22/02
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#109
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H01/03
NCAA
UTEP
#163
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H07/03
NCAA
New Mexico State
#175
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H08/03
NCAA
70.8Avg total
36.6Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.935.070.9+0.947%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.033.472.4+5.657%-
Last 30 away (16)33.236.369.5-3.138%-
Last 10 (10)36.634.270.8+2.440%-
Last 5 (5)38.236.474.6+1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)33.236.569.7-3.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)35.334.369.5+1.045%-
vs Weaker (3)50.034.384.3+15.7100%-
This opponent (UTEP) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
UTEP wins
3
Sam Houston St. wins
DateGameScore
07/03/25Sam Houston St. v UTEP89-87
05/01/25UTEP v Sam Houston St.81-72
15/03/24Sam Houston St. v UTEP63-65
25/02/24UTEP v Sam Houston St.54-65
27/01/24Sam Houston St. v UTEP60-56
UTEPlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/25ALouisiana Tech58-76
07/03/25ASam Houston St.87-89
01/03/25HMiddle Tenn. St.75-76 OT
28/02/25HWestern Kentucky73-80
22/02/25AJacksonville State65-73
21/02/25AKennesaw State73-83
16/02/25HLiberty69-76
14/02/25HFlorida International77-63
09/02/25ANew Mexico State66-63
01/02/25AMiddle Tenn. St.68-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/25HNew Mexico State76-69
07/03/25HUTEP89-87
01/03/25HLouisiana Tech66-90
22/02/25AMiddle Tenn. St.70-74
21/02/25AWestern Kentucky78-62
15/02/25HKennesaw State78-76
14/02/25HJacksonville State66-61
08/02/25ALiberty61-64
07/02/25AFlorida International82-85 OT
01/02/25ALouisiana Tech61-66 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UTEP
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL55%
HomeWWLLL71%
AwayWLLLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311714
Win %55%71%36%
Points / game72.774.270.9
Allowed / game70.668.073.8
Point differential+2.1+6.2-2.9
Avg total143.3142.2144.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%35%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)75% (4)43% (7)
Overtime %3%6%0%
Sam Houston St.
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW42%
HomeWWLWW71%
AwayLLLWL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311417
Win %42%71%18%
Points / game75.780.771.5
Allowed / game75.973.677.8
Point differential-0.3+7.1-6.3
Avg total151.6154.4149.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%29%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (11)80% (5)0% (6)
Overtime %10%0%18%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liberty3125681%76.262.3+13.9
2 Middle Tenn. St.31211068%76.171.4+4.8
3 Jacksonville State31201165%74.568.7+5.7
4 Louisiana Tech31201165%73.868.1+5.7
5 Kennesaw State31181358%76.472.9+3.5
6 New Mexico State31171455%69.465.5+3.9
7 UTEP31171455%72.770.6+2.1
8 Western Kentucky31171455%75.375.1+0.2
9 Delaware35161946%77.477.9-0.5
10 Sam Houston St.31131842%75.775.9-0.3
11 Florida International3192229%69.872.7-2.9
12 Missouri State3292328%68.070.9-2.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UTEP364379
Sam Houston St.303565
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