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Northwestern St. vs TX A&M Commerce Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 75-67
38-24 37-43
Position#198
Record7-8
FormLWLWL
Points / game72.1
Allowed / game71.0
vs
Position#363
Record2-13
FormLWLLL
Points / game63.3
Allowed / game79.1
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Northwestern St. v TX A&M Commerce
11 Jan 2025
NORT75
TX A67
10 Mar 2024
NORT64
TX A69
03 Feb 2024
NORT70
TX A57
11 Feb 2023
NORT72
TX A64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Northwestern St. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
TX A&M Commerce winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Northwestern St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Monroe
#346
L
63-65
63
65
-2
H23/11
NCAA
North Alabama
#56
W
71-58
71
58
+13
H24/11
NCAA
LSU
#255
L
53-77
53
77
-24
A30/11
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#190
W
72-70
72
70
+2
A06/12
NCAA
Houston Christian
#304
W
64-57
64
57
+7
A07/12
NCAA
California
#268
L
66-84
66
84
-18
A14/12
NCAA
Southern-New O.
#505
W
89-79
89
79
+10
H20/12
NCAA
Texas
#168
L
53-77
53
77
-24
A29/12
NCAA
Nicholls State
#122
W
68-66
68
66
+2
H04/01
NCAA
McNeese State
#20
L
69-92
69
92
-23
H07/01
NCAA
1H
2H
24-28
39-37
28-29
43-29
26-25
27-52
42-29
30-41
33-26
31-31
33-36
33-48
43-28
46-51
22-41
31-36
36-33
32-33
32-43
37-49
139.3Avg total
66.8Scored
72.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)72.171.0143.1+1.147%
Season at home (7)82.466.3148.7+16.171%
Season away (8)63.175.1138.2-12.025%
Last 10 (10)66.872.5139.3-5.750%
Last 5 (5)69.079.6148.6-10.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)65.976.5142.5-10.618%
vs Similar (14)68.969.6138.5-0.643%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)83.568.0151.5+15.575%
This opponent (TX A&M Commerce) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TX A&M CommerceUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma
#136
L
56-84
56
84
-28
A22/11
NCAA
Stonehill
#225
L
65-67
65
67
-2
A26/11
NCAA
IPFW
#128
L
57-77
57
77
-20
H30/11
NCAA
Houston Christian
#304
L
79-83
79
83
-4
A06/12
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#190
L
53-65
53
65
-12
A07/12
NCAA
South Alabama
#83
L
72-81
72
81
-9
H15/12
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#208
W
68-67
68
67
+1
H18/12
NCAA
South Florida
#282
L
62-88
62
88
-26
A21/12
NCAA
McNeese State
#20
L
56-75
56
75
-19
H04/01
NCAA
Nicholls State
#122
L
61-83
61
83
-22
H07/01
NCAA
1H
2H
33-38
23-46
32-30
33-37
26-36
31-41
31-45
48-38
25-39
28-26
32-38
40-43
20-27
48-40
26-49
36-39
23-41
33-34
24-38
37-45
139.9Avg total
62.9Scored
77.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)63.379.1142.4-15.713%
Season at home (6)64.075.2139.2-11.233%
Season away (9)62.981.7144.6-18.80%
Last 10 (10)62.977.0139.9-14.110%
Last 5 (5)63.878.8142.6-15.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)61.678.3139.9-16.711%
vs Similar (10)72.775.8148.5-3.150%
vs Weaker (1)98.085.0183.0+13.0100%
This opponent (Northwestern St.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +0.1+0.11st half: -10.9-10.92nd half2nd half: -5.8-5.82nd half: -3.2-3.2
-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +0.1+0.11st half: -10.9-10.92nd half2nd half: -5.8-5.82nd half: -3.2-3.2
Northwestern St.TX A&M Commerce
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Northwestern St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Monroe
#346
L
24-28
24
28
-4
H23/11
NCAA
North Alabama
#56
L
28-29
28
29
-1
H24/11
NCAA
LSU
#255
W
26-25
26
25
+1
A30/11
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#190
W
42-29
42
29
+13
A06/12
NCAA
Houston Christian
#304
W
33-26
33
26
+7
A07/12
NCAA
California
#268
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A14/12
NCAA
Southern-New O.
#505
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H20/12
NCAA
Texas
#168
L
22-41
22
41
-19
A29/12
NCAA
Nicholls State
#122
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H04/01
NCAA
McNeese State
#20
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H07/01
NCAA
63.7Avg total
31.9Scored
31.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.531.364.8+2.353%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.930.765.6+4.157%-
Last 30 away (16)32.431.864.1+0.650%-
Last 10 (10)31.931.863.7+0.150%-
Last 5 (5)33.236.269.4-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)30.137.267.3-7.118%-
vs Similar (14)32.828.461.2+4.471%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)40.026.266.2+13.875%-
This opponent (TX A&M Commerce) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TX A&M CommerceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma
#136
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A22/11
NCAA
Stonehill
#225
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A26/11
NCAA
IPFW
#128
L
26-36
26
36
-10
H30/11
NCAA
Houston Christian
#304
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A06/12
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#190
L
25-39
25
39
-14
A07/12
NCAA
South Alabama
#83
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H15/12
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#208
L
20-27
20
27
-7
H18/12
NCAA
South Florida
#282
L
26-49
26
49
-23
A21/12
NCAA
McNeese State
#20
L
23-41
23
41
-18
H04/01
NCAA
Nicholls State
#122
L
24-38
24
38
-14
H07/01
NCAA
65.3Avg total
27.2Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.436.565.9-7.220%-
Last 30 at home (13)29.034.763.7-5.723%-
Last 30 away (17)29.637.967.6-8.318%-
Last 10 (10)27.238.165.3-10.910%-
Last 5 (5)25.038.663.6-13.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)27.638.065.6-10.411%-
vs Similar (10)30.633.464.0-2.830%-
vs Weaker (1)50.040.090.0+10.0100%-
This opponent (Northwestern St.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Northwestern St. wins
2
TX A&M Commerce wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/25HMcNeese State69-92
04/01/25HNicholls State68-66
29/12/24ATexas53-77
20/12/24HSouthern-New O.89-79
14/12/24ACalifornia66-84
07/12/24AHouston Christian64-57
06/12/24AIncarnate Word72-70
30/11/24ALSU53-77
24/11/24HNorth Alabama71-58
23/11/24HLouisiana Monroe63-65
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/25HNicholls State61-83
04/01/25HMcNeese State56-75
21/12/24ASouth Florida62-88
18/12/24HAbilene Christian68-67
15/12/24HSouth Alabama72-81
07/12/24AIncarnate Word53-65
06/12/24AHouston Christian79-83
30/11/24HIPFW57-77
26/11/24AStonehill65-67
22/11/24AOklahoma56-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Northwestern St.
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL47%
HomeLWWWL71%
AwayLWWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %47%71%25%
Points / game72.182.463.1
Allowed / game71.066.375.1
Point differential+1.1+16.1-12.0
Avg total143.1148.7138.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%57%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %7%0%12%
TX A&M Commerce
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL13%
HomeLLWLL33%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1569
Win %13%33%0%
Points / game63.364.062.9
Allowed / game79.175.281.7
Point differential-15.7-11.2-18.8
Avg total142.4139.2144.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 McNeese State1510567%77.564.7+12.8
2 UTRGV1510567%81.971.3+10.6
3 Texas A&M-CC1610662%82.968.6+14.3
4 Incarnate Word159660%77.467.1+10.3
5 Lamar159660%74.467.1+7.3
6 Nicholls State159660%74.168.7+5.5
7 SE Louisiana157847%71.169.5+1.6
8 Stephen F. Austin157847%64.763.4+1.3
9 Northwestern St.157847%72.171.0+1.1
10 Houston Christian1551033%66.370.9-4.7
11 TX A&M Commerce1521313%63.379.1-15.7
12 New Orleans1521313%66.786.1-19.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Northwestern St.383775
TX A&M Commerce244367
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