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Vaerlose vs Vejen Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 09 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 16:00
Scheduled
Position#8
Record2-6
FormLLLLW
Points / game82.4
Allowed / game92.0
vs
Position#10
Record2-6
FormWLLLL
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game95.5
DenmarkBasketligaen· Sondersohallen
Other2026-27
Meetings · Vaerlose v Vejen
09 Jan 2027
VAER v VEJE
upcoming
07 Mar 2026
VAER79
VEJE92
04 Oct 2025
VAER80
VEJE76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vaerlose win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Vejen win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VaerloseDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVaerlose
Date
Competition
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
89-83
89
83
+6
87avg 75
A23/04
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
L
70-91
70
91
-21
61avg 75
H28/04
Basketligaen
Gladsaxe
#9
W
88-78
88
78
+10
78avg 75
A19/09
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#6
L
74-88
74
88
-14
58avg 75
A22/09
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
85-89 OT
85
89
-4
62avg 75
H27/09
Basketligaen
Horsens
#4
L
79-99
79
99
-20
74avg 75
A02/10
Basketligaen
Vejen
#10
L
80-92
80
92
-12
70avg 75
A08/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
82-123
82
123
-41
71avg 75
H18/10
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
L
64-68
64
68
-4
55avg 75
H24/10
Basketligaen
BMS Herlev
#12
W
107-99 OT
107
99
+8
101avg 75
A30/10
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-12
23-23
19-26
23-22
15-22
17-28
25-15
13-26
24-23
18-11
17-28
29-16
20-16
19-23
14-24
21-25
16-13
20-23
14-25
23-12
25-20
16-26
21-21
17-32
20-25
25-19
18-28
17-20
23-31
18-25
19-33
22-34
10-11
14-29
19-17
21-11
23-25
25-24
17-17
24-23
172.8Avg total
81.8Scored
91.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)82.492.0174.4-9.625%
Season at home (3)77.093.3170.3-16.30%
Season away (5)85.691.2176.8-5.640%
Last 10 (10)81.891.0172.8-9.230%
Last 5 (5)82.496.2178.6-13.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)74.897.8172.7-23.08%
vs Similar (15)85.985.1171.0+0.767%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)87.096.0183.0-9.033%
This opponent (Vejen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VejenDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVejen
Date
Competition
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
L
83-103
83
103
-20
82avg 75
H17/04
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
L
80-91
80
91
-11
68avg 75
A21/04
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
L
60-92
60
92
-32
39avg 75
H24/09
Basketligaen
BMS Herlev
#12
W
106-95
106
95
+11
76avg 75
A26/09
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
L
74-102
74
102
-28
57avg 75
A02/10
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#8
W
92-80
92
80
+12
92avg 75
H08/10
Basketligaen
Gladsaxe
#9
L
72-89
72
89
-17
68avg 75
H16/10
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#1
L
82-107
82
107
-25
76avg 75
H19/10
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#6
L
96-97
96
97
-1
82avg 75
A24/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#4
L
66-102
66
102
-36
45avg 75
H28/10
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-24
25-19
20-29
13-31
28-29
16-23
15-17
21-22
13-23
10-22
13-28
24-19
31-25
36-18
16-27
23-25
17-28
18-27
15-25
24-22
25-20
19-25
28-18
20-17
24-18
19-25
12-23
17-23
20-22
23-26
15-31
24-28
35-30
17-24
15-25
29-18
21-30
17-26
13-19
15-27
176.9Avg total
81.1Scored
95.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)81.095.5176.5-14.525%
Season at home (5)74.494.0168.4-19.620%
Season away (3)92.098.0190.0-6.033%
Last 10 (10)81.195.8176.9-14.720%
Last 5 (5)81.695.0176.6-13.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)79.896.6176.4-16.820%
vs Similar (14)83.685.0168.6-1.450%
vs Weaker (1)106.095.0201.0+11.0100%
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: -5.1-5.1Q3: -8.0-8.0Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -2.2-2.2
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: -5.1-5.1Q3: -8.0-8.0Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -2.2-2.2
VaerloseVejen
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VaerloseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
47-35
47
35
+12
A23/04
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
L
32-50
32
50
-18
H28/04
Basketligaen
Gladsaxe
#9
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A19/09
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#6
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A22/09
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H27/09
Basketligaen
Horsens
#4
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A02/10
Basketligaen
Vejen
#10
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A08/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
41-56
41
56
-15
H18/10
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
L
24-40
24
40
-16
H24/10
Basketligaen
BMS Herlev
#12
L
48-49
48
49
-1
A30/10
Basketligaen
82.4Avg total
39.5Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.046.085.0-7.027%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.645.983.5-8.327%-
Last 30 away (15)40.546.186.6-5.727%-
Last 10 (10)39.542.982.4-3.430%-
Last 5 (5)39.847.086.8-7.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)36.949.085.9-12.10%-
vs Similar (15)39.943.082.9-3.147%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)43.349.092.3-5.733%-
This opponent (Vejen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VejenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H17/04
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A21/04
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
L
23-45
23
45
-22
H24/09
Basketligaen
BMS Herlev
#12
W
67-43
67
43
+24
A26/09
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
L
35-55
35
55
-20
A02/10
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#8
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H08/10
Basketligaen
Gladsaxe
#9
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H16/10
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#1
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H19/10
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#6
L
52-54
52
54
-2
A24/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#4
L
38-56
38
56
-18
H28/10
Basketligaen
92.3Avg total
43.9Scored
48.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.245.487.6-3.240%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.245.285.4-5.029%-
Last 30 away (13)44.845.790.5-0.954%-
Last 10 (10)43.948.492.3-4.520%-
Last 5 (5)44.049.293.2-5.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)39.951.090.9-11.113%-
vs Similar (14)42.939.682.4+3.364%-
vs Weaker (1)67.043.0110.0+24.0100%-
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vaerlosetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vaerlose: 81.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.7 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.621.3
53.8%
55.2%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.78.5
29.6%
31.2%25.5
🏀 Free throws21.713.7
63.1%
67.7%13.7
They take 68.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vejentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vejen: 81.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.7 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.121.5
49.9%
55.2%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.17.1
33.6%
31.2%21.3
🏀 Free throws23.616.8
71.2%
67.7%16.8
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vaerlose
WLLLLLLWLW
Vejen
LLLLWLWLLL
#8
League position
#10
-9.7
Net rating
-15.4
86.1
Offensive rating
86.1
95.7
Defensive rating
101.5
49.9%
Effective FG%
50.1%
56.3%
Opp. effective FG%
56.1%
17.7%
Turnover %
17.5%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.37
29.6%
3-point %
33.6%
61.7%
Assist %
60.1%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence86.1 · 86.1Defence95.7 · 101.5Shooting49.9% · 50.1%3-point %29.6% · 33.6%Ball care17.7% · 17.5%Free throws0.32 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)30% · 20%
■ Vaerlose   ■ Vejen
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Vaerlose wins
3
Vejen wins
DateGameScore
08/10/26Vejen v Vaerlose92-80
08/04/26Vejen v Vaerlose86-83
07/03/26Vaerlose v Vejen79-92
15/11/25Vejen v Vaerlose58-59
04/10/25Vaerlose v Vejen80-76
22/10/17Vejen v Vaerlose38-95
Vaerloselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26ABMS Herlev107-99 OT
24/10/26HHolbaek-Stenhus64-68
18/10/26HBakken Bears82-123
08/10/26AVejen80-92
02/10/26AHorsens79-99
27/09/26HRanders85-89 OT
22/09/26ACopenhagen74-88
19/09/26AGladsaxe88-78
28/04/26HBears Academy70-91
23/04/26AHolbaek-Stenhus89-83
Vejenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/26HHorsens66-102
24/10/26ACopenhagen96-97
19/10/26HTeam FOG Naestved82-107
16/10/26HGladsaxe72-89
08/10/26HVaerlose92-80
02/10/26ASvendborg74-102
26/09/26ABMS Herlev106-95
24/09/26HBears Academy60-92
21/04/26ABears Academy80-91
17/04/26HHolbaek-Stenhus83-103

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vaerlose
Basketligaen 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW25%
HomeLLL0%
AwayWLLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %25%0%40%
Points / game82.477.085.6
Allowed / game92.093.391.2
Point differential-9.6-16.3-5.6
Avg total174.4170.3176.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %25%33%20%
Vejen
Basketligaen 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL25%
HomeLWLLL20%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %25%20%33%
Points / game81.074.492.0
Allowed / game95.594.098.0
Point differential-14.5-19.6-6.0
Avg total176.5168.4190.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%20%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Team FOG Naestved880100%103.870.2+33.5
2 Bakken Bears770100%105.676.1+29.4
3 Svendborg86275%91.182.5+8.6
4 Horsens86275%87.679.4+8.2
5 Randers85362%95.285.8+9.5
6 Copenhagen74357%81.981.6+0.3
7 Holbaek-Stenhus83538%76.189.1-13.0
8 Vaerlose82625%82.492.0-9.6
9 Gladsaxe82625%77.990.0-12.1
10 Vejen82625%81.095.5-14.5
11 Bears Academy81712%77.492.9-15.5
12 BMS Herlev81712%77.098.1-21.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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