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Vaerlose vs Vejen Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 80-76
21-23 24-17 21-23 14-13
Position#6
Record1-0
FormWLWLW
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game81.0
Vaerlose 🏆
Denmark
vs
Vejen
Denmark
Position#9
Record0-2
FormLWLLL
Points / game65.0
Allowed / game106.5
DenmarkBasketligaen· Sondersohallen
Other2025-26
Meetings · Vaerlose v Vejen
09 Jan 2027
VAER v VEJE
upcoming
07 Mar 2026
VAER79
VEJE92
04 Oct 2025
VAER80
VEJE76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vaerlose winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vejen winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VaerloseDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVaerlose
Date
Competition
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
L
82-104
82
104
-22
69avg 71
A13/02
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
L
77-98
77
98
-21
57avg 71
A03/03
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
100-80
100
80
+20
96avg 71
H08/03
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
L
72-73
72
73
-1
64avg 71
A12/03
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
L
79-93
79
93
-14
70avg 71
H22/03
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
W
100-98 OT
100
98
+2
92avg 71
H31/03
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
L
70-72
70
72
-2
58avg 71
A05/04
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
104-93
104
93
+11
102avg 71
H12/04
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
L
74-90
74
90
-16
62avg 71
A24/04
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
88-81
88
81
+7
82avg 71
A23/09
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-20
26-27
23-27
13-30
20-21
23-32
9-24
25-21
28-19
20-27
16-22
36-12
22-20
21-13
15-25
14-15
21-30
13-16
28-25
17-22
28-25
28-21
10-21
23-22
15-23
14-19
28-13
13-17
29-24
30-27
15-18
30-24
16-20
22-27
17-29
19-14
29-19
23-21
17-18
19-23
172.8Avg total
84.6Scored
88.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)88.081.0169.0+7.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)88.081.0169.0+7.0100%
Last 10 (10)84.688.2172.8-3.640%
Last 5 (5)87.286.8174.0+0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)73.490.8164.2-17.412%
vs Similar ◀ (13)86.885.2171.9+1.654%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Vejen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VejenDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVejen
Date
Competition
Vaerlose
#6
L
38-95
38
95
-57
no box
H22/10
Denmark Cup
Copenhagen
#9
W
75-73
75
73
+2
no box
H17/11
Denmark Cup
Bakken Bears
#2
L
70-85
70
85
-15
no box
H30/11
Denmark Cup
Horsens
#5
L
57-95
57
95
-38
39avg 46
H24/09
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#2
L
73-118
73
118
-45
53avg 46
H28/09
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
–
–
–
–
25-21
10-15
20-16
20-21
16-22
21-20
20-25
13-18
14-24
15-22
16-27
12-22
18-27
15-31
19-30
21-30
155.8Avg total
62.6Scored
93.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)65.0106.5171.5-41.50%
Season at home (2)65.0106.5171.5-41.50%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (5)62.693.2155.8-30.620%
Last 5 (5)62.693.2155.8-30.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)66.799.3166.0-32.70%
vs Similar ◀no games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -5.2-5.2Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -6.8-6.8Q3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q3: -5.8-5.8Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -6.2-6.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -5.2-5.2Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -6.8-6.8Q3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q3: -5.8-5.8Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -6.2-6.2
VaerloseVejen
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VaerloseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A13/02
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
L
43-53
43
53
-10
A03/03
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H08/03
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A12/03
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
L
34-46
34
46
-12
H22/03
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
W
56-46
56
46
+10
H31/03
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A05/04
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
59-51
59
51
+8
H12/04
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A24/04
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
52-40
52
40
+12
A23/09
Basketligaen
89.9Avg total
44.8Scored
45.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.744.585.2-3.733%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.544.286.7-1.740%-
Last 30 away (15)39.044.783.7-5.727%-
Last 10 (10)44.845.189.9-0.350%-
Last 5 (5)46.845.292.0+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)35.946.282.1-10.36%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)45.742.988.6+2.862%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Vejen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VejenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Copenhagen
#9
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H17/11
Denmark Cup
Bakken Bears
#2
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H30/11
Denmark Cup
Horsens
#5
L
29-46
29
46
-17
H24/09
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#2
L
33-58
33
58
-25
H28/09
Basketligaen
79.0Avg total
33.5Scored
45.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (4)33.545.579.0-12.00%-
Last 30 at home (4)33.545.579.0-12.00%-
Last 30 awayno games
Last 10 (4)33.545.579.0-12.00%-
Last 5 (4)33.545.579.0-12.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)33.048.781.7-15.70%-
vs Similar ◀no games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vaerlosetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vaerlose: 83.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.122.1
51.3%
54.6%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.78.8
33.0%
32.9%26.4
🏀 Free throws20.213.0
64.4%
70.1%13.0
They take 69.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vejentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vejen: 67.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.016.5
48.5%
54.6%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.08.0
26.7%
32.9%24.0
🏀 Free throws15.510.0
64.5%
70.1%10.0
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/2 games with a box score before 04 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vaerlose
WLWLWLLWLL
Vejen
LLLWL
#6
League position
#9
-4.6
Net rating
-46.8
100.4
Offensive rating
77.4
105.0
Defensive rating
124.2
50.6%
Effective FG%
44.5%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
60.4%
20.6%
Turnover %
26.5%
29.9%
Off. rebound %
16.3%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.24
33.0%
3-point %
26.7%
58.9%
Assist %
38.8%
40%
Form (last 10/5)
20%

Profile

Offence100.4 · 77.4Defence105.0 · 124.2Shooting50.6% · 44.5%3-point %33.0% · 26.7%Ball care20.6% · 26.5%Off. rebounds29.9% · 16.3%Free throws0.29 · 0.24Form (last 10/5)40% · 20%
■ Vaerlose   ■ Vejen
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Vaerlose wins
0
Vejen wins
DateGameScore
22/10/17Vejen v Vaerlose38-95
Vaerloselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/09/25AHolbaek-Stenhus88-81
24/04/25AAmager74-90
12/04/25HBears Academy104-93
05/04/25AHerlev Wolfpack70-72
31/03/25HHolbaek-Stenhus100-98 OT
22/03/25HAmager79-93
12/03/25ABears Academy72-73
08/03/25HHerlev Wolfpack100-80
03/03/25AHolbaek-Stenhus77-98
13/02/25AHolbaek-Stenhus82-104
Vejenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/09/25HTeam FOG Naestved73-118
24/09/25HHorsens57-95
30/11/24HBakken Bears70-85
17/11/24HCopenhagen75-73
22/10/17HVaerlose38-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vaerlose
Basketligaen 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game88.0-88.0
Allowed / game81.0-81.0
Point differential+7.0-+7.0
Avg total169.0-169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Vejen
Basketligaen 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 4 Losses (last 5)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeLL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game65.065.0-
Allowed / game106.5106.5-
Point differential-41.5-41.5-
Avg total171.5171.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bakken Bears330100%111.072.0+39.0
2 Team FOG Naestved330100%115.078.0+37.0
3 Randers330100%104.079.3+24.7
4 Horsens330100%91.369.0+22.3
5 Vaerlose110100%88.081.0+7.0
6 Svendborg21150%93.592.5+1.0
7 Copenhagen31233%82.392.7-10.3
8 BMS Herlev2020%77.097.0-20.0
9 Holbaek-Stenhus3030%74.795.0-20.3
10 Amager3030%81.0113.0-32.0
11 Bears Academy2020%82.5116.0-33.5
12 Vejen2020%65.0106.5-41.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vaerlose2124211480
Vejen2317231376
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