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Vaerlose vs Vejen Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 09 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 16:00
Scheduled
Position#11
Record2-9
FormLWLLL
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game91.2
Vaerlose
Denmark
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.9/10
Around normal
4.9/10
Around normal
Vejen
Denmark
Position#9
Record3-7
FormLLLWL
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game96.8
DenmarkBasketligaen· Sondersohallen
Other2026-27
Meetings · Vaerlose v Vejen
09 Jan 2027
VAER v VEJE
upcoming
07 Mar 2026
VAER79
VEJE92
04 Oct 2025
VAER80
VEJE76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vaerlose win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Vejen win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VaerloseDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVaerlose
Date
Competition
Copenhagen
#6
L
74-88
74
88
-14
58avg 75
A22/09
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
85-89 OT
85
89
-4
62avg 75
H27/09
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
79-99
79
99
-20
74avg 75
A02/10
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
L
80-92
80
92
-12
70avg 75
A08/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
82-123
82
123
-41
71avg 75
H18/10
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
L
64-68
64
68
-4
55avg 75
H24/10
Basketligaen
BMS Herlev
#12
W
107-99 OT
107
99
+8
101avg 75
A30/10
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#1
L
62-95
62
95
-33
no box
H04/11
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#4
L
59-86
59
86
-27
no box
A08/11
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#10
L
76-86
76
86
-10
no box
H14/11
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-16
19-23
14-24
21-25
16-13
20-23
14-25
23-12
25-20
16-26
21-21
17-32
20-25
25-19
18-28
17-20
23-31
18-25
19-33
22-34
10-11
14-29
19-17
21-11
23-25
25-24
17-17
24-23
22-16
8-21
14-27
18-31
16-26
15-24
17-18
11-18
16-25
28-27
16-15
16-19
169.3Avg total
76.8Scored
92.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)77.891.2169.0-13.418%
Season at home (5)73.892.2166.0-18.40%
Season away (6)81.290.3171.5-9.233%
Last 10 (10)76.892.5169.3-15.710%
Last 5 (5)73.686.8160.4-13.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)72.594.8167.4-22.38%
vs Similar (14)86.186.3172.4-0.264%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)87.096.0183.0-9.033%
This opponent (Vejen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VejenDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVejen
Date
Competition
Bears Academy
#10
L
60-92
60
92
-32
39avg 75
H24/09
Basketligaen
BMS Herlev
#12
W
106-95
106
95
+11
76avg 75
A26/09
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#4
L
74-102
74
102
-28
57avg 75
A02/10
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#11
W
92-80
92
80
+12
92avg 75
H08/10
Basketligaen
Gladsaxe
#8
L
72-89
72
89
-17
68avg 75
H16/10
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#1
L
82-107
82
107
-25
76avg 75
H19/10
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#6
L
96-97
96
97
-1
82avg 75
A24/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
66-102
66
102
-36
45avg 75
H28/10
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
W
80-78
80
78
+2
no box
H06/11
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
61-126
61
126
-65
no box
H13/11
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-23
10-22
13-28
24-19
31-25
36-18
16-27
23-25
17-28
18-27
15-25
24-22
25-20
19-25
28-18
20-17
24-18
19-25
12-23
17-23
20-22
23-26
15-31
24-28
35-30
17-24
15-25
29-18
21-30
17-26
13-19
15-27
18-18
17-19
27-24
18-17
24-30
17-24
13-39
7-33
175.7Avg total
78.9Scored
96.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)78.996.8175.7-17.930%
Season at home (7)73.396.3169.6-23.029%
Season away (3)92.098.0190.0-6.033%
Last 10 (10)78.996.8175.7-17.930%
Last 5 (5)77.0102.0179.0-25.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)78.996.8175.7-17.924%
vs Similar (12)86.584.1170.6+2.458%
vs Weaker (1)106.095.0201.0+11.0100%
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: -5.3-5.3Q2: -4.3-4.3Q3Q3: -5.6-5.6Q3: -9.2-9.2Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: -2.8-2.8
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: -5.3-5.3Q2: -4.3-4.3Q3Q3: -5.6-5.6Q3: -9.2-9.2Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: -2.8-2.8
VaerloseVejen
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VaerloseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Copenhagen
#6
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A22/09
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H27/09
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A02/10
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A08/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
41-56
41
56
-15
H18/10
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
L
24-40
24
40
-16
H24/10
Basketligaen
BMS Herlev
#12
L
48-49
48
49
-1
A30/10
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#1
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H04/11
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#4
L
31-50
31
50
-19
A08/11
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#10
L
44-52
44
52
-8
H14/11
Basketligaen
82.8Avg total
37.9Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.646.084.6-7.423%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.045.982.9-8.920%-
Last 30 away (15)40.246.186.3-5.927%-
Last 10 (10)37.944.982.8-7.010%-
Last 5 (5)35.445.681.0-10.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)35.347.382.6-12.00%-
vs Similar (14)40.644.184.8-3.543%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)43.349.092.3-5.733%-
This opponent (Vejen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VejenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bears Academy
#10
L
23-45
23
45
-22
H24/09
Basketligaen
BMS Herlev
#12
W
67-43
67
43
+24
A26/09
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#4
L
35-55
35
55
-20
A02/10
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#11
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H08/10
Basketligaen
Gladsaxe
#8
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H16/10
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#1
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H19/10
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#6
L
52-54
52
54
-2
A24/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
38-56
38
56
-18
H28/10
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H06/11
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
41-54
41
54
-13
H13/11
Basketligaen
90.1Avg total
42.1Scored
48.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.645.287.8-2.640%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.944.985.8-3.929%-
Last 30 away (13)44.845.790.5-0.954%-
Last 10 (10)42.148.090.1-5.910%-
Last 5 (5)41.849.891.6-8.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)39.849.989.7-10.112%-
vs Similar (12)44.538.883.3+5.775%-
vs Weaker (1)67.043.0110.0+24.0100%-
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vaerlosetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vaerlose: 81.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.0 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.621.3
53.8%
55.2%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.78.5
29.6%
31.2%25.5
🏀 Free throws21.713.7
63.1%
68.0%13.7
They take 68.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vejentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vejen: 81.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.0 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.121.5
49.9%
55.2%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.17.1
33.6%
31.2%21.3
🏀 Free throws23.616.8
71.2%
68.0%16.8
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vaerlose
LLLWLLLLLL
Vejen
LWLLLLWLWL
#11
League position
#9
-9.7
Net rating
-15.4
86.1
Offensive rating
86.1
95.7
Defensive rating
101.5
49.9%
Effective FG%
50.1%
56.3%
Opp. effective FG%
56.1%
17.7%
Turnover %
17.5%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.37
29.6%
3-point %
33.6%
61.7%
Assist %
60.1%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence86.1 · 86.1Defence95.7 · 101.5Shooting49.9% · 50.1%3-point %29.6% · 33.6%Ball care17.7% · 17.5%Free throws0.32 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)10% · 30%
■ Vaerlose   ■ Vejen
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Vaerlose wins
3
Vejen wins
DateGameScore
08/10/26Vejen v Vaerlose92-80
08/04/26Vejen v Vaerlose86-83
07/03/26Vaerlose v Vejen79-92
15/11/25Vejen v Vaerlose58-59
04/10/25Vaerlose v Vejen80-76
22/10/17Vejen v Vaerlose38-95
Vaerloselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HBears Academy76-86
08/11/26ASvendborg59-86
04/11/26HTeam FOG Naestved62-95
30/10/26ABMS Herlev107-99 OT
24/10/26HHolbaek-Stenhus64-68
18/10/26HBakken Bears82-123
08/10/26AVejen80-92
02/10/26AHorsens79-99
27/09/26HRanders85-89 OT
22/09/26ACopenhagen74-88
Vejenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HBakken Bears61-126
06/11/26HHolbaek-Stenhus80-78
28/10/26HHorsens66-102
24/10/26ACopenhagen96-97
19/10/26HTeam FOG Naestved82-107
16/10/26HGladsaxe72-89
08/10/26HVaerlose92-80
02/10/26ASvendborg74-102
26/09/26ABMS Herlev106-95
24/09/26HBears Academy60-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vaerlose
Basketligaen 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL18%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %18%0%33%
Points / game77.873.881.2
Allowed / game91.292.290.3
Point differential-13.4-18.4-9.2
Avg total169.0166.0171.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%0%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %18%20%17%
Vejen
Basketligaen 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL30%
HomeLLLWL29%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1073
Win %30%29%33%
Points / game78.973.392.0
Allowed / game96.896.398.0
Point differential-17.9-23.0-6.0
Avg total175.7169.6190.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%14%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Team FOG Naestved1110191%99.072.6+26.4
2 Bakken Bears98189%104.774.9+29.8
3 Horsens108280%89.277.6+11.6
4 Svendborg108280%90.679.7+10.9
5 Randers107370%95.686.0+9.6
6 Copenhagen105550%83.082.3+0.7
7 Holbaek-Stenhus115645%78.286.2-8.0
8 Gladsaxe103730%79.488.9-9.5
9 Vejen103730%78.996.8-17.9
10 Bears Academy112918%79.591.1-11.6
11 Vaerlose112918%77.891.2-13.4
12 BMS Herlev111109%74.497.0-22.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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