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Vaerlose vs Vejen Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 12:00
Final 79-92
20-22 20-25 20-25 19-20
Position#6
Record11-11
FormLLWLW
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game89.6
Vaerlose
Denmark
vs
Vejen 🏆
Denmark
Position#9
Record3-19
FormLLLLW
Points / game75.6
Allowed / game92.3
DenmarkBasketligaen· Sondersohallen
Other2025-26
Meetings · Vaerlose v Vejen
09 Jan 2027
VAER v VEJE
upcoming
07 Mar 2026
VAER79
VEJE92
04 Oct 2025
VAER80
VEJE76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vaerlose winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vejen winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VaerloseDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVaerlose
Date
Competition
Copenhagen
#7
L
73-91
73
91
-18
66avg 71
A12/12
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#2
L
67-99
67
99
-32
54avg 71
H16/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
70-87
70
87
-17
61avg 71
H29/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
70-114
70
114
-44
58avg 71
A03/01
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#7
W
76-75
76
75
+1
66avg 71
H09/01
Basketligaen
Randers
#4
L
73-103
73
103
-30
no box
H18/01
Basketligaen
Randers
#4
L
80-106
80
106
-26
74avg 71
A29/01
Basketligaen
Amager
#13
W
100-93
100
93
+7
99avg 71
H04/02
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
L
69-100
69
100
-31
54avg 71
A14/02
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#12
W
87-79
87
79
+8
87avg 71
A19/02
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-27
15-24
16-21
22-19
18-22
16-27
19-19
14-31
14-29
18-14
14-24
24-20
22-31
13-27
15-30
20-26
16-22
19-20
21-17
20-16
18-31
19-29
19-28
17-15
23-18
22-34
19-25
16-29
27-19
18-21
25-24
30-29
16-28
17-28
19-23
17-21
23-15
18-19
18-26
28-19
171.2Avg total
76.5Scored
94.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)77.589.6167.1-12.050%
Season at home (11)79.088.8167.8-9.855%
Season away (11)76.190.4166.5-14.345%
Last 10 (10)76.594.7171.2-18.230%
Last 5 (5)81.896.2178.0-14.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)70.697.8168.4-27.27%
vs Similar ◀ (15)86.781.5168.3+5.280%
vs Weaker (1)93.076.0169.0+17.0100%
This opponent (Vejen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VejenDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVejen
Date
Competition
Svendborg
#3
L
69-103
69
103
-34
61avg 64
H12/12
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
L
86-88
86
88
-2
73avg 64
A17/12
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#2
L
81-103
81
103
-22
57avg 64
A04/01
Basketligaen
Horsens
#5
L
81-95
81
95
-14
78avg 64
A09/01
Basketligaen
Amager
#13
W
84-71
84
71
+13
no box
H16/01
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
L
76-89
76
89
-13
66avg 64
H23/01
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#12
L
72-84
72
84
-12
62avg 64
A30/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
69-108
69
108
-39
54avg 64
A07/02
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#12
L
85-86
85
86
-1
79avg 64
H13/02
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
99-94
99
94
+5
83avg 64
H19/02
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-25
16-31
24-15
12-32
20-20
30-24
19-20
17-24
13-29
13-28
28-26
27-20
16-22
22-30
24-17
19-26
22-18
14-17
26-20
22-16
16-18
23-28
21-15
16-28
18-18
22-19
15-25
17-22
10-26
26-29
12-32
21-21
27-11
27-27
19-25
12-23
29-24
22-24
18-24
30-22
172.3Avg total
80.2Scored
92.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)75.692.3168.0-16.714%
Season at home (11)74.791.5166.2-16.718%
Season away (11)76.593.2169.7-16.69%
Last 10 (10)80.292.1172.3-11.920%
Last 5 (5)80.292.2172.4-12.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)74.198.5172.7-24.47%
vs Similar ◀ (8)77.879.8157.5-2.025%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -4.5-4.5Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: -6.8-6.8Q2: -4.2-4.2Q3Q3: -5.2-5.2Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: -4.1-4.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -4.5-4.5Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: -6.8-6.8Q2: -4.2-4.2Q3Q3: -5.2-5.2Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: -4.1-4.1
VaerloseVejen
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VaerloseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Copenhagen
#7
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A12/12
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#2
L
34-49
34
49
-15
H16/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H29/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
35-58
35
58
-23
A03/01
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#7
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H09/01
Basketligaen
Randers
#4
L
37-60
37
60
-23
H18/01
Basketligaen
Randers
#4
L
45-52
45
52
-7
A29/01
Basketligaen
Amager
#13
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H04/02
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
L
33-56
33
56
-23
A14/02
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#12
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A19/02
Basketligaen
85.7Avg total
37.2Scored
48.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.445.985.3-6.643%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.446.287.6-4.853%-
Last 30 away (15)37.345.783.0-8.333%-
Last 10 (10)37.248.585.7-11.320%-
Last 5 (5)40.248.488.6-8.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)33.651.184.8-17.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)44.441.385.7+3.180%-
vs Weaker (1)44.042.086.0+2.0100%-
This opponent (Vejen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VejenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Svendborg
#3
L
33-56
33
56
-23
H12/12
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
50-44
50
44
+6
A17/12
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#2
L
26-57
26
57
-31
A04/01
Basketligaen
Horsens
#5
L
38-52
38
52
-14
A09/01
Basketligaen
Amager
#13
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H16/01
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H23/01
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#12
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A30/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
36-55
36
55
-19
A07/02
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#12
W
54-38
54
38
+16
H13/02
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
51-48
51
48
+3
H19/02
Basketligaen
87.1Avg total
40.3Scored
46.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (24)37.945.283.1-7.429%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.844.081.8-6.231%-
Last 30 away (11)38.046.784.7-8.727%-
Last 10 (10)40.346.887.1-6.550%-
Last 5 (5)44.044.888.8-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)35.549.184.6-13.713%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)42.839.181.9+3.662%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vaerlosetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vaerlose: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.919.3
52.3%
54.6%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.27.3
32.9%
32.9%21.9
🏀 Free throws26.917.8
66.2%
70.1%17.8
They take 59.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vejentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vejen: 75.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.919.1
45.6%
54.6%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.38.6
34.0%
32.9%25.8
🏀 Free throws18.811.8
62.8%
70.1%11.8
They take 67.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vaerlose
WLWLLWLLLL
Vejen
WLLLLWLLLL
#6
League position
#9
-16.1
Net rating
-21.1
88.5
Offensive rating
86.1
104.6
Defensive rating
107.2
51.2%
Effective FG%
47.6%
56.0%
Opp. effective FG%
58.3%
23.4%
Turnover %
18.1%
21.9%
Off. rebound %
21.5%
0.46
Free-throw rate
0.28
32.9%
3-point %
34.0%
64.3%
Assist %
59.9%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence88.5 · 86.1Defence104.6 · 107.2Shooting51.2% · 47.6%3-point %32.9% · 34.0%Ball care23.4% · 18.1%Off. rebounds21.9% · 21.5%Free throws0.46 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)30% · 20%
■ Vaerlose   ■ Vejen
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Vaerlose wins
0
Vejen wins
DateGameScore
15/11/25Vejen v Vaerlose58-59
04/10/25Vaerlose v Vejen80-76
22/10/17Vejen v Vaerlose38-95
Vaerloselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/02/26AHerlev Wolfpack87-79
14/02/26ASvendborg69-100
04/02/26HAmager100-93
29/01/26ARanders80-106
18/01/26HRanders73-103
09/01/26HCopenhagen76-75
03/01/26ABakken Bears70-114
29/12/25HBakken Bears70-87
16/12/25HTeam FOG Naestved67-99
12/12/25ACopenhagen73-91
Vejenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/02/26HBears Academy99-94
13/02/26HHerlev Wolfpack85-86
07/02/26ABakken Bears69-108
30/01/26AHerlev Wolfpack72-84
23/01/26HHolbaek-Stenhus76-89
16/01/26HAmager84-71
09/01/26AHorsens81-95
04/01/26ATeam FOG Naestved81-103
17/12/25ABears Academy86-88
12/12/25HSvendborg69-103

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vaerlose
Basketligaen 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW50%
HomeLLWLW55%
AwayLLLLW45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %50%55%45%
Points / game77.579.076.1
Allowed / game89.688.890.4
Point differential-12.0-9.8-14.3
Avg total167.1167.8166.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%9%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Vejen
Basketligaen 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW14%
HomeLWLLW18%
AwayLLLLL9%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %14%18%9%
Points / game75.674.776.5
Allowed / game92.391.593.2
Point differential-16.7-16.7-16.6
Avg total168.0166.2169.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%9%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)25% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bakken Bears2220291%103.776.5+27.2
2 Team FOG Naestved2320387%107.686.3+21.3
3 Svendborg2218482%96.575.1+21.5
4 Randers2216673%94.284.3+9.9
5 Horsens2316770%87.178.0+9.0
6 Copenhagen22121055%88.085.5+2.5
7 Vaerlose22111150%77.589.6-12.0
8 Herlev Wolfpack52340%80.892.2-11.4
9 Bears Academy2261627%81.597.0-15.5
10 BMS Herlev1741324%78.294.1-15.9
11 Holbaek-Stenhus2231914%79.295.5-16.4
12 Vejen2231914%75.692.3-16.7
13 Amager222209%80.697.9-17.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vaerlose2020201979
Vejen2225252092
← all games of the day
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