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Valcea vs CSM Targu Mures Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 83-91
22-14 15-23 17-20 29-34
Position#2
Record2-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game95.0
Allowed / game78.5
Valcea
Romania
vs
CSM Targu Mures 🏆
Romania
Position#3
Record1-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game81.5
RomaniaDivizia ARound 3· Traian Sports Hall
Other2026-27
Meetings · Valcea v CSM Targu Mures
17 Oct 2026
VALC83
CSM 91
13 Dec 2025
VALC105
CSM 110
11 Nov 2024
VALC99
CSM 92
23 Dec 2023
VALC73
CSM 85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valcea winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CSM Targu Mures winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValceaRomaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValcea
Date
Competition
CSM Targu Jiu
#15
W
96-80
96
80
+16
94avg 81
H24/04
Divizia A
CSM Targu Jiu
#15
W
89-87
89
87
+2
91avg 81
H26/04
Divizia A
CSM Targu Jiu
#15
W
73-67
73
67
+6
65avg 81
A30/04
Divizia A
Petrolul Ploiesti
#14
W
97-75
97
75
+22
93avg 81
H10/05
Divizia A
Petrolul Ploiesti
#14
W
104-95
104
95
+9
106avg 81
A13/05
Divizia A
SCM Timisoara
#8
L
84-90
84
90
-6
71avg 81
A20/05
Divizia A
SCM Timisoara
#8
W
92-85
92
85
+7
81avg 81
H23/05
Divizia A
SCM Timisoara
#8
W
94-90
94
90
+4
91avg 81
A27/05
Divizia A
BC Steaua Bucuresti
#7
W
97-90 OT
97
90
+7
87avg 81
H06/10
Divizia A
Petrolul Ploiesti
#13
W
93-67
93
67
+26
95avg 81
A10/10
Divizia A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-20
18-20
18-26
29-14
19-21
23-27
29-23
18-16
21-12
21-19
14-21
17-15
29-20
27-10
20-24
21-21
31-17
25-29
22-22
26-27
21-22
32-20
9-23
22-25
22-26
26-19
20-17
24-23
32-24
20-27
18-21
24-18
22-28
24-13
19-24
21-21
13-21
27-20
28-8
25-18
174.5Avg total
91.9Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)95.078.5173.5+16.5100%
Season at home (1)97.090.0187.0+7.0100%
Season away (1)93.067.0160.0+26.0100%
Last 10 (10)91.982.6174.5+9.390%
Last 5 (5)92.084.4176.4+7.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)82.0102.0184.0-20.00%
vs Similar ◀ (17)86.990.5177.4-3.647%
vs Weaker (11)92.978.4171.3+14.5100%
This opponent (CSM Targu Mures) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSM Targu MuresRomaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMures
Date
Competition
Petrolul Ploiesti
#14
L
89-91
89
91
-2
81avg 88
H24/04
Divizia A
Petrolul Ploiesti
#14
L
74-91
74
91
-17
65avg 88
H26/04
Divizia A
Petrolul Ploiesti
#14
L
79-89
79
89
-10
65avg 88
A30/04
Divizia A
CSM Targu Jiu
#15
W
92-91
92
91
+1
81avg 88
H10/05
Divizia A
CSM Targu Jiu
#15
W
108-87
108
87
+21
111avg 88
H12/05
Divizia A
CSM Targu Jiu
#15
W
98-95
98
95
+3
94avg 88
A16/05
Divizia A
Corona Brasov
#13
W
118-78
118
78
+40
126avg 88
H21/05
Divizia A
Corona Brasov
#13
W
96-81
96
81
+15
91avg 88
A23/05
Divizia A
SCM Timisoara
#10
W
78-72
78
72
+6
69avg 88
A04/10
Divizia A
Voluntari
#1
L
85-91
85
91
-6
81avg 88
H10/10
Divizia A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-17
36-18
16-19
16-37
23-28
18-22
17-26
16-15
19-31
17-19
23-17
20-22
25-17
28-28
17-25
22-21
23-17
35-27
22-16
28-27
28-18
24-36
20-25
26-16
34-20
27-5
30-24
27-29
26-22
28-21
22-18
20-20
17-21
11-20
31-14
19-17
24-23
19-26
22-18
20-24
178.3Avg total
91.7Scored
86.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)81.581.5163.0+0.050%
Season at home (1)85.091.0176.0-6.00%
Season away (1)78.072.0150.0+6.0100%
Last 10 (10)91.786.6178.3+5.160%
Last 5 (5)95.083.4178.4+11.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)85.093.0178.0-8.00%
vs Similar ◀ (17)97.897.1194.9+0.747%
vs Weaker (12)93.487.2180.7+6.267%
This opponent (Valcea) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: -1.4-1.4
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: -1.4-1.4
ValceaCSM Targu Mures
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValceaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CSM Targu Jiu
#15
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H24/04
Divizia A
CSM Targu Jiu
#15
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H26/04
Divizia A
CSM Targu Jiu
#15
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A30/04
Divizia A
Petrolul Ploiesti
#14
W
56-30
56
30
+26
H10/05
Divizia A
Petrolul Ploiesti
#14
W
56-46
56
46
+10
A13/05
Divizia A
SCM Timisoara
#8
W
53-42
53
42
+11
A20/05
Divizia A
SCM Timisoara
#8
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H23/05
Divizia A
SCM Timisoara
#8
W
52-51
52
51
+1
A27/05
Divizia A
BC Steaua Bucuresti
#7
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H06/10
Divizia A
Petrolul Ploiesti
#13
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A10/10
Divizia A
89.9Avg total
48.4Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.345.090.3+0.337%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.445.590.9-0.133%-
Last 30 away (15)45.244.589.7+0.740%-
Last 10 (10)48.441.589.9+6.980%-
Last 5 (5)47.844.091.8+3.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)42.047.089.0-5.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)44.147.191.2-3.024%-
vs Weaker (11)47.941.389.2+6.664%-
This opponent (CSM Targu Mures) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSM Targu MuresLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Petrolul Ploiesti
#14
W
57-35
57
35
+22
H24/04
Divizia A
Petrolul Ploiesti
#14
L
41-50
41
50
-9
H26/04
Divizia A
Petrolul Ploiesti
#14
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A30/04
Divizia A
CSM Targu Jiu
#15
W
53-45
53
45
+8
H10/05
Divizia A
CSM Targu Jiu
#15
W
58-44
58
44
+14
H12/05
Divizia A
CSM Targu Jiu
#15
L
52-54
52
54
-2
A16/05
Divizia A
Corona Brasov
#13
W
61-25
61
25
+36
H21/05
Divizia A
Corona Brasov
#13
W
54-43
54
43
+11
A23/05
Divizia A
SCM Timisoara
#10
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A04/10
Divizia A
Voluntari
#1
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H10/10
Divizia A
91.9Avg total
48.3Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.745.493.1+2.247%-
Last 30 at home (18)51.344.996.3+6.467%-
Last 30 away (12)42.246.288.3-4.017%-
Last 10 (10)48.343.691.9+4.750%-
Last 5 (5)47.642.490.0+5.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)38.044.082.0-6.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)46.445.691.9+0.847%-
vs Weaker (12)50.345.395.7+5.050%-
This opponent (Valcea) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valceatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valcea: 91.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.2 points a game
54%
27%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.126.2
62.2%
56.5%52.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.58.5
34.7%
32.7%25.5
🏀 Free throws19.214.0
72.9%
74.9%14.0
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CSM Targu Murestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CSM Targu Mures: 91.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.2 points a game
54%
27%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.924.3
58.0%
56.5%48.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.09.4
34.8%
32.7%28.2
🏀 Free throws18.114.6
80.7%
74.9%14.6
They take 68.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valcea
WWWWLWWWWW
CSM Targu Mures
LWWWWWWLLL
#2
League position
#3
+10.9
Net rating
+6.8
107.7
Offensive rating
105.2
96.8
Defensive rating
98.4
58.5%
Effective FG%
55.7%
52.8%
Opp. effective FG%
52.8%
11.6%
Turnover %
10.8%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.26
34.7%
3-point %
34.8%
55.9%
Assist %
57.6%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence107.7 · 105.2Defence96.8 · 98.4Shooting58.5% · 55.7%3-point %34.7% · 34.8%Ball care11.6% · 10.8%Free throws0.29 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)90% · 60%
■ Valcea   ■ CSM Targu Mures
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Valcea wins
3
CSM Targu Mures wins
DateGameScore
02/04/26CSM Targu Mures v Valcea102-84
13/12/25Valcea v CSM Targu Mures105-110 OT
15/03/25CSM Targu Mures v Valcea77-99
11/11/24Valcea v CSM Targu Mures99-92
23/12/23Valcea v CSM Targu Mures73-85
21/10/23CSM Targu Mures v Valcea72-94
Valcealast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/10/26APetrolul Ploiesti93-67
06/10/26HBC Steaua Bucuresti97-90 OT
27/05/26ASCM Timisoara94-90
23/05/26HSCM Timisoara92-85
20/05/26ASCM Timisoara84-90
13/05/26APetrolul Ploiesti104-95
10/05/26HPetrolul Ploiesti97-75
30/04/26ACSM Targu Jiu73-67
26/04/26HCSM Targu Jiu89-87
24/04/26HCSM Targu Jiu96-80
CSM Targu Mureslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/10/26HVoluntari85-91
04/10/26ASCM Timisoara78-72
23/05/26ACorona Brasov96-81
21/05/26HCorona Brasov118-78
16/05/26ACSM Targu Jiu98-95
12/05/26HCSM Targu Jiu108-87
10/05/26HCSM Targu Jiu92-91
30/04/26APetrolul Ploiesti79-89
26/04/26HPetrolul Ploiesti74-91
24/04/26HPetrolul Ploiesti89-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valcea
Divizia A 2026-27
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game95.097.093.0
Allowed / game78.590.067.0
Point differential+16.5+7.0+26.0
Avg total173.5187.0160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %50%100%0%
CSM Targu Mures
Divizia A 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game81.585.078.0
Allowed / game81.591.072.0
Point differential+0.0-6.0+6.0
Avg total163.0176.0150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Valcea220100%95.078.5+16.5
2 Voluntari220100%97.084.5+12.5
3 Dinamo Bucharest32167%88.778.3+10.3
4 CSM Oradea32167%90.784.3+6.3
5 SCM Craiova32167%101.797.3+4.3
6 Arges Pitesti32167%92.389.3+3.0
7 CSU Sibiu21150%93.091.0+2.0
8 BC Steaua Bucuresti21150%94.092.5+1.5
9 CSM Targu Mures21150%81.581.5+0.0
10 Corona Brasov21150%89.594.5-5.0
11 SCM Timisoara2020%74.079.5-5.5
12 Rapid Bucuresti2020%75.092.5-17.5
13 Municipal Galati2020%86.5104.5-18.0
14 Petrolul Ploiesti2020%75.598.0-22.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valcea2215172983
CSM Targu Mures1423203491
← all games of the day
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