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Valcea vs CSM Targu Mures Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 11 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 99-92
29-24 29-26 20-17 21-25
Position#4
Record4-3
FormWLWWL
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game71.9
Valcea 🏆
Romania
vs
Position#9
Record5-2
FormLWWWW
Points / game87.6
Allowed / game79.1
RomaniaDivizia ARound 8· Traian Sports Hall
Other2024-25
Meetings · Valcea v CSM Targu Mures
17 Oct 2026
VALC83
CSM 91
13 Dec 2025
VALC105
CSM 110
11 Nov 2024
VALC99
CSM 92
23 Dec 2023
VALC73
CSM 85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valcea winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CSM Targu Mures winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValceaRomaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValcea
Date
Competition
SCM Timisoara
#13
L
79-87
79
87
-8
68avg 79
A07/05
Divizia A
TS Bucuresti
#19
W
112-49
112
49
+63
119avg 79
H09/09
Romanian Cup
SCM Craiova
#4
L
74-79
74
79
-5
73avg 79
H14/09
Romanian Cup
Voluntari
#5
L
90-92
90
92
-2
86avg 79
A20/09
Divizia A
Arges Pitesti
#6
W
68-63
68
63
+5
41avg 79
H28/09
Divizia A
CSM Constanta
#16
W
92-55
92
55
+37
90avg 79
A05/10
Divizia A
Rapid Bucuresti
#8
L
68-72
68
72
-4
61avg 79
H12/10
Divizia A
Dinamo Bucharest
#11
W
69-59
69
59
+10
62avg 79
A20/10
Divizia A
CSU Sibiu
#10
W
90-64
90
64
+26
95avg 79
H26/10
Divizia A
Corona Brasov
#3
L
87-98
87
98
-11
79avg 79
A04/11
Divizia A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-15
21-23
16-23
29-26
28-15
37-13
28-9
19-12
19-26
14-19
15-13
26-21
29-19
20-29
19-20
22-24
27-20
11-21
15-11
15-11
21-13
30-19
23-8
18-15
23-23
18-13
13-18
14-18
29-10
16-11
14-17
10-21
24-22
17-21
28-5
21-16
19-29
22-21
25-20
21-28
154.7Avg total
82.9Scored
71.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)80.671.9152.4+8.757%
Season at home (3)75.366.3141.7+9.067%
Season away (4)84.576.0160.5+8.550%
Last 10 (10)82.971.8154.7+11.150%
Last 5 (5)81.269.6150.8+11.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)77.091.0168.0-14.00%
vs Similar ◀ (10)85.381.7167.0+3.660%
vs Weaker (18)88.979.9168.8+8.956%
This opponent (CSM Targu Mures) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSM Targu MuresRomaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMures
Date
Competition
Corona Brasov
#8
L
79-89
79
89
-10
68avg 79
A28/03
Divizia A
Voluntari
#3
L
84-102
84
102
-18
73avg 79
A05/04
Divizia A
Municipal Galati
#8
W
101-82
101
82
+19
100avg 79
A14/09
Romanian Cup
Dinamo Bucharest
#11
L
84-87
84
87
-3
71avg 79
A21/09
Divizia A
CSU Sibiu
#10
W
89-75
89
75
+14
85avg 79
H27/09
Divizia A
Corona Brasov
#3
L
75-80
75
80
-5
68avg 79
A04/10
Divizia A
Petrolul Ploiesti
#15
W
102-76
102
76
+26
94avg 79
A12/10
Divizia A
SCM Craiova
#12
W
89-76
89
76
+13
84avg 79
H21/10
Divizia A
Municipal Galati
#14
W
93-83
93
83
+10
82avg 79
A26/10
Divizia A
SCM Timisoara
#7
W
81-77
81
77
+4
82avg 79
H04/11
Divizia A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-23
15-19
19-26
21-21
23-31
25-17
15-25
21-29
31-26
19-20
28-20
23-16
21-27
22-23
26-15
15-22
21-22
22-21
23-10
23-22
18-18
17-23
18-19
22-20
19-28
33-20
31-16
19-12
25-23
17-21
25-13
22-19
27-21
24-17
12-20
30-25
20-26
20-16
18-20
23-15
170.4Avg total
87.7Scored
82.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)87.679.1166.7+8.471%
Season at home (3)86.376.0162.3+10.3100%
Season away (4)88.581.5170.0+7.050%
Last 10 (10)87.782.7170.4+5.060%
Last 5 (5)88.078.4166.4+9.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)82.284.1166.3-1.846%
vs Similar ◀ (13)83.082.8165.8+0.246%
vs Weaker (4)92.873.0165.8+19.8100%
This opponent (Valcea) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +5.2+5.2Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +1.8+1.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +5.2+5.2Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +1.8+1.8
ValceaCSM Targu Mures
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValceaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SCM Timisoara
#13
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A07/05
Divizia A
TS Bucuresti
#19
W
65-28
65
28
+37
H09/09
Romanian Cup
SCM Craiova
#4
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H14/09
Romanian Cup
Voluntari
#5
W
49-48
49
48
+1
A20/09
Divizia A
Arges Pitesti
#6
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H28/09
Divizia A
CSM Constanta
#16
W
51-32
51
32
+19
A05/10
Divizia A
Rapid Bucuresti
#8
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H12/10
Divizia A
Dinamo Bucharest
#11
W
45-21
45
21
+24
A20/10
Divizia A
CSU Sibiu
#10
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H26/10
Divizia A
Corona Brasov
#3
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A04/11
Divizia A
82.0Avg total
43.8Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.842.887.6+2.043%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.043.388.3+1.747%-
Last 30 away (15)44.642.386.9+2.340%-
Last 10 (10)43.838.282.0+5.650%-
Last 5 (5)43.836.480.2+7.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)41.054.095.0-13.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)42.842.285.0+0.640%-
vs Weaker (18)45.043.388.3+1.744%-
This opponent (CSM Targu Mures) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSM Targu MuresLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Corona Brasov
#8
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A28/03
Divizia A
Voluntari
#3
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A05/04
Divizia A
Municipal Galati
#8
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A14/09
Romanian Cup
Dinamo Bucharest
#11
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A21/09
Divizia A
CSU Sibiu
#10
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H27/09
Divizia A
Corona Brasov
#3
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A04/10
Divizia A
Petrolul Ploiesti
#15
W
52-48
52
48
+4
A12/10
Divizia A
SCM Craiova
#12
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H21/10
Divizia A
Municipal Galati
#14
W
51-38
51
38
+13
A26/10
Divizia A
SCM Timisoara
#7
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H04/11
Divizia A
88.5Avg total
44.3Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.742.984.6-1.233%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.542.883.3-2.329%-
Last 30 away (16)42.842.985.7-0.238%-
Last 10 (10)44.344.288.5+0.130%-
Last 5 (5)44.042.686.6+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)42.244.286.4-2.138%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)39.843.082.8-3.215%-
vs Weaker (4)46.538.084.5+8.575%-
This opponent (Valcea) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valceatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valcea: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.020.0
52.6%
54.8%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.88.8
34.1%
35.1%26.4
🏀 Free throws18.613.9
74.7%
73.0%13.9
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CSM Targu Murestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CSM Targu Mures: 86.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.322.6
56.1%
54.8%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.67.7
32.6%
35.1%23.1
🏀 Free throws22.818.0
78.9%
73.0%18.0
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valcea
LWWLWWLLWL
CSM Targu Mures
WWWWLWLWLL
#4
League position
#9
+13.9
Net rating
+4.9
110.1
Offensive rating
114.0
96.3
Defensive rating
109.2
52.0%
Effective FG%
53.4%
46.9%
Opp. effective FG%
53.5%
15.9%
Turnover %
14.7%
28.9%
Off. rebound %
27.3%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.36
34.1%
3-point %
32.6%
64.2%
Assist %
60.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence110.1 · 114.0Defence96.3 · 109.2Shooting52.0% · 53.4%3-point %34.1% · 32.6%Ball care15.9% · 14.7%Off. rebounds28.9% · 27.3%Free throws0.29 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Valcea   ■ CSM Targu Mures
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Valcea wins
1
CSM Targu Mures wins
DateGameScore
23/12/23Valcea v CSM Targu Mures73-85
21/10/23CSM Targu Mures v Valcea72-94
Valcealast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/11/24ACorona Brasov87-98
26/10/24HCSU Sibiu90-64
20/10/24ADinamo Bucharest69-59
12/10/24HRapid Bucuresti68-72
05/10/24ACSM Constanta92-55
28/09/24HArges Pitesti68-63
20/09/24AVoluntari90-92
14/09/24HSCM Craiova74-79
09/09/24HTS Bucuresti112-49
07/05/24ASCM Timisoara79-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/11/24HSCM Timisoara81-77
26/10/24AMunicipal Galati93-83
21/10/24HSCM Craiova89-76
12/10/24APetrolul Ploiesti102-76
04/10/24ACorona Brasov75-80
27/09/24HCSU Sibiu89-75
21/09/24ADinamo Bucharest84-87
14/09/24AMunicipal Galati101-82
05/04/24AVoluntari84-102
28/03/24ACorona Brasov79-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valcea
Divizia A 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL57%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %57%67%50%
Points / game80.675.384.5
Allowed / game71.966.376.0
Point differential+8.7+9.0+8.5
Avg total152.4141.7160.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
CSM Targu Mures
Divizia A 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW71%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %71%100%50%
Points / game87.686.388.5
Allowed / game79.176.081.5
Point differential+8.4+10.3+7.0
Avg total166.7162.3170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%67%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSM Oradea880100%85.967.8+18.1
2 Corona Brasov86275%80.575.2+5.2
3 Voluntari86275%84.681.5+3.1
4 Cluj-Napoca75271%91.077.0+14.0
5 CSM Targu Mures75271%87.679.1+8.4
6 Rapid Bucuresti85362%81.276.9+4.4
7 Valcea74357%80.671.9+8.7
8 SCM Timisoara84450%76.077.6-1.6
9 BC Steaua Bucuresti84450%76.880.9-4.1
10 CSU Sibiu84450%76.080.9-4.9
11 SCM Craiova83538%75.974.6+1.2
12 Arges Pitesti83538%73.272.1+1.1
13 Dinamo Bucharest83538%77.481.9-4.5
14 Petrolul Ploiesti71614%66.688.0-21.4
15 CSM Constanta81712%81.495.0-13.6
16 Municipal Galati8080%83.196.1-13.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valcea2929202199
CSM Targu Mures2426172592
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