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Valdivia vs Liceo Pablo Neruda Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 21 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 102-88
18-21 28-22 28-25 28-20
Position#6
Record10-10
FormLLWWW
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game81.5
vs
Position#13
Record4-17
FormLLLLL
Points / game69.0
Allowed / game82.2
ChileLNB· Coliseo Municipal de Valdivia
Other2023-24
Meetings · Valdivia v Liceo Pablo Neruda
20 Apr 2024
VALD102
LICE88
01 Oct 2022
VALD79
LICE59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valdivia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Liceo Pablo Neruda winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValdiviaChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValdivia
Date
Competition
Las Animas
#5
L
80-93
80
93
-13
67avg 72
H09/03
LNB
Espanol Osorno
#4
W
88-75
88
75
+13
74avg 72
H10/03
LNB
Las Animas
#5
L
77-91
77
91
-14
67avg 72
A16/03
LNB
Espanol Osorno
#4
L
70-87
70
87
-17
59avg 72
A17/03
LNB
Espanol de Talca
#14
W
98-65
98
65
+33
92avg 72
H23/03
LNB
U. De Concepcion
#2
L
82-105
82
105
-23
75avg 72
H24/03
LNB
Ancud
#3
L
74-80
74
80
-6
61avg 72
A30/03
LNB
Naviera Ulloa
#8
W
71-68
71
68
+3
68avg 72
A31/03
LNB
Sportiva Italiana
#9
W
83-70
83
70
+13
78avg 72
H13/04
LNB
Puente Alto
#7
W
77-63
77
63
+14
75avg 72
H13/04
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-19
19-24
24-27
20-23
23-22
20-17
21-20
24-16
18-18
24-20
21-20
14-33
15-19
16-20
26-23
13-25
30-15
13-14
28-19
27-17
26-33
15-17
17-29
24-26
19-20
33-14
10-22
12-24
18-18
25-12
15-20
13-18
19-19
27-18
20-20
17-13
21-15
24-20
13-12
19-16
159.7Avg total
80.0Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)83.681.5165.1+2.050%
Season at home (10)84.180.7164.8+3.450%
Season away (10)83.182.4165.5+0.750%
Last 10 (10)80.079.7159.7+0.350%
Last 5 (5)77.477.2154.6+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)74.282.2156.4-8.020%
vs Similar (11)79.580.6160.1-1.245%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)85.472.2157.7+13.289%
This opponent (Liceo Pablo Neruda) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Liceo Pablo NerudaChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeruda
Date
Competition
Espanol Osorno
#4
L
51-88
51
88
-37
44avg 59
A16/03
LNB
Las Animas
#5
L
66-74
66
74
-8
67avg 59
A17/03
LNB
U. De Concepcion
#2
L
57-95
57
95
-38
51avg 59
H23/03
LNB
Espanol de Talca
#14
W
82-74
82
74
+8
70avg 59
H24/03
LNB
Naviera Ulloa
#8
L
52-84
52
84
-32
50avg 59
A30/03
LNB
Ancud
#3
L
68-96
68
96
-28
59avg 59
A31/03
LNB
Puente Alto
#7
L
78-92
78
92
-14
70avg 59
A06/04
LNB
Sportiva Italiana
#9
L
68-113
68
113
-45
55avg 59
A07/04
LNB
Puente Alto
#7
L
79-91
79
91
-12
74avg 59
H13/04
LNB
Sportiva Italiana
#9
L
79-85
79
85
-6
72avg 59
H14/04
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-20
15-28
16-17
11-23
15-6
21-23
17-21
13-24
18-19
22-18
5-30
12-28
20-28
24-15
16-17
22-14
11-15
12-18
17-29
12-22
19-12
20-21
16-42
13-21
21-24
16-24
17-23
24-21
21-21
15-30
24-37
8-25
21-14
25-20
17-24
16-33
19-12
14-26
15-22
31-25
157.2Avg total
68.0Scored
89.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)69.082.2151.1-13.219%
Season at home (11)70.978.5149.4-7.527%
Season away (10)66.886.3153.1-19.510%
Last 10 (10)68.089.2157.2-21.210%
Last 5 (5)74.495.4169.8-21.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)68.688.0156.5-19.412%
vs Similar (3)75.074.3149.3+0.767%
vs Weaker (2)81.568.5150.0+13.0100%
This opponent (Valdivia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-13-6+0+6+13Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q2: -3.9-3.9Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: -10.2-10.2Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: -7.4-7.4
-13-6+0+6+13Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q2: -3.9-3.9Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: -10.2-10.2Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: -7.4-7.4
ValdiviaLiceo Pablo Neruda
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValdiviaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Las Animas
#5
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H09/03
LNB
Espanol Osorno
#4
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H10/03
LNB
Las Animas
#5
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A16/03
LNB
Espanol Osorno
#4
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A17/03
LNB
Espanol de Talca
#14
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H23/03
LNB
U. De Concepcion
#2
L
41-50
41
50
-9
H24/03
LNB
Ancud
#3
W
52-34
52
34
+18
A30/03
LNB
Naviera Ulloa
#8
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A31/03
LNB
Sportiva Italiana
#9
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H13/04
LNB
Puente Alto
#7
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H13/04
LNB
79.6Avg total
42.2Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.237.978.1+2.367%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.239.679.8+0.562%-
Last 30 away (17)40.336.676.9+3.771%-
Last 10 (10)42.237.479.6+4.870%-
Last 5 (5)45.437.282.6+8.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)37.440.077.4-2.640%-
vs Similar (11)42.038.180.1+3.973%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)41.235.376.6+5.989%-
This opponent (Liceo Pablo Neruda) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Liceo Pablo NerudaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Espanol Osorno
#4
L
24-48
24
48
-24
A16/03
LNB
Las Animas
#5
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A17/03
LNB
U. De Concepcion
#2
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H23/03
LNB
Espanol de Talca
#14
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H24/03
LNB
Naviera Ulloa
#8
L
23-33
23
33
-10
A30/03
LNB
Ancud
#3
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A31/03
LNB
Puente Alto
#7
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A06/04
LNB
Sportiva Italiana
#9
L
36-51
36
51
-15
A07/04
LNB
Puente Alto
#7
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H13/04
LNB
Sportiva Italiana
#9
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H14/04
LNB
75.2Avg total
35.8Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.340.877.1-4.550%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.938.176.0-0.269%-
Last 30 away (14)34.643.978.4-9.329%-
Last 10 (10)35.839.475.2-3.650%-
Last 5 (5)38.240.879.0-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)35.041.676.6-6.644%-
vs Similar (3)40.741.081.7-0.367%-
vs Weaker (2)47.030.577.5+16.5100%-
This opponent (Valdivia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valdiviatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valdivia: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.9 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.320.9
50.6%
50.4%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.17.7
29.5%
32.7%23.1
🏀 Free throws22.816.4
71.9%
70.3%16.4
They take 67.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Liceo Pablo Nerudatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Liceo Pablo Neruda: 67.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.9 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.618.7
48.4%
50.4%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.77.0
30.8%
32.7%21.0
🏀 Free throws14.59.5
65.5%
70.3%9.5
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valdivia
WWWLLWLLWL
Liceo Pablo Neruda
LLLLLLWLLL
#6
League position
#13
-0.4
Net rating
-24.4
100.9
Offensive rating
90.2
101.3
Defensive rating
114.6
48.1%
Effective FG%
47.6%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
57.0%
16.9%
Turnover %
24.1%
25.8%
Off. rebound %
27.5%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.24
29.5%
3-point %
30.8%
57.7%
Assist %
56.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence100.9 · 90.2Defence101.3 · 114.6Shooting48.1% · 47.6%3-point %29.5% · 30.8%Ball care16.9% · 24.1%Off. rebounds25.8% · 27.5%Free throws0.34 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)50% · 10%
■ Valdivia   ■ Liceo Pablo Neruda
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Valdivia wins
0
Liceo Pablo Neruda wins
Valdivialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/04/24HPuente Alto77-63
13/04/24HSportiva Italiana83-70
31/03/24ANaviera Ulloa71-68
30/03/24AAncud74-80
24/03/24HU. De Concepcion82-105
23/03/24HEspanol de Talca98-65
17/03/24AEspanol Osorno70-87
16/03/24ALas Animas77-91
10/03/24HEspanol Osorno88-75
09/03/24HLas Animas80-93
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/04/24HSportiva Italiana79-85
13/04/24HPuente Alto79-91
07/04/24ASportiva Italiana68-113
06/04/24APuente Alto78-92
31/03/24AAncud68-96
30/03/24ANaviera Ulloa52-84
24/03/24HEspanol de Talca82-74
23/03/24HU. De Concepcion57-95
17/03/24ALas Animas66-74
16/03/24AEspanol Osorno51-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valdivia
LNB 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW50%
HomeWWLWW50%
AwayLLLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game83.684.183.1
Allowed / game81.580.782.4
Point differential+2.0+3.4+0.7
Avg total165.2164.8165.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%50%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %10%10%10%
Liceo Pablo Neruda
LNB 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL19%
HomeLLWLL27%
AwayLLLLL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %19%27%10%
Points / game69.070.966.8
Allowed / game82.278.586.3
Point differential-13.2-7.5-19.5
Avg total151.1149.4153.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %5%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ancud2118386%84.077.1+7.0
2 Leones Quilpue2218482%85.067.9+17.0
3 U. De Concepcion2218482%87.078.9+8.1
4 Espanol Osorno2116576%82.168.2+13.9
5 Las Animas2213959%82.180.9+1.2
6 Valdivia20101050%83.681.5+2.0
7 Puente Alto21101148%79.277.5+1.8
8 Naviera Ulloa2191243%69.770.5-0.8
9 CD Puerto Varas2191243%80.482.8-2.4
10 Sportiva Italiana2081240%77.382.5-5.2
11 Catolica2261627%73.879.6-5.8
12 Puerto Montt2151624%69.082.7-13.7
13 Espanol de Talca2351822%75.385.4-10.1
14 Liceo Pablo Neruda2141719%69.082.2-13.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valdivia18282828102
Liceo Pablo Neruda2122252088
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