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Valdivia vs U. De Concepcion Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 24 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 82-105
26-33 15-17 17-29 24-26
Position#6
Record7-8
FormLWLLW
Points / game85.7
Allowed / game83.0
vs
Position#2
Record10-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game85.9
Allowed / game78.5
ChileLNB· Coliseo Municipal de Valdivia
Other2023-24
Meetings · Valdivia v U. De Concepcion
09 Oct 2026
VALD101
U. D85
25 Sep 2025
VALD85
U. D70
21 Mar 2025
VALD88
U. D79
24 Jan 2025
VALD72
U. D84
09 Nov 2024
VALD78
U. D81
02 Jun 2024
VALD83
U. D93
24 Mar 2024
VALD82
U. D105
21 Jan 2023
VALD64
U. D74
15 Jan 2022
VALD74
U. D76
11 Sep 2021
VALD68
U. D71
10 Sep 2021
VALD61
U. D52
21 Dec 2019
VALD61
U. D75
13 Jan 2019
VALD82
U. D62
15 Dec 2017
VALD89
U. D73
14 Dec 2016
VALD103
U. D93
28 Feb 2016
VALD83
U. D79
14 Feb 2016
VALD91
U. D81
13 Feb 2016
VALD88
U. D86
29 Nov 2015
VALD88
U. D75
06 Dec 2014
VALD62
U. D96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valdivia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
U. De Concepcion winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValdiviaChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValdivia
Date
Competition
Puente Alto
#7
W
100-81
100
81
+19
99avg 72
A04/02
LNB
Ancud
#3
L
82-89
82
89
-7
83avg 72
H09/02
LNB
Naviera Ulloa
#8
L
79-88
79
88
-9
68avg 72
H10/02
LNB
Espanol de Talca
#14
L
92-94
92
94
-2
87avg 72
A02/03
LNB
U. De Concepcion
#2
L
89-99 OT
89
99
-10
no box
A03/03
LNB
Las Animas
#5
L
80-93
80
93
-13
67avg 72
H09/03
LNB
Espanol Osorno
#4
W
88-75
88
75
+13
74avg 72
H10/03
LNB
Las Animas
#5
L
77-91
77
91
-14
67avg 72
A16/03
LNB
Espanol Osorno
#4
L
70-87
70
87
-17
59avg 72
A17/03
LNB
Espanol de Talca
#14
W
98-65
98
65
+33
92avg 72
H23/03
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-22
21-16
27-14
27-29
24-18
24-25
20-21
14-25
19-23
12-22
23-26
25-17
25-26
22-14
25-28
20-26
22-28
21-21
20-11
18-21
17-19
19-24
24-27
20-23
23-22
20-17
21-20
24-16
18-18
24-20
21-20
14-33
15-19
16-20
26-23
13-25
30-15
13-14
28-19
27-17
171.7Avg total
85.5Scored
86.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)85.783.0168.7+2.747%
Season at home (7)85.681.3166.9+4.343%
Season away (8)85.884.5170.2+1.250%
Last 10 (10)85.586.2171.7-0.730%
Last 5 (5)82.682.2164.8+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)73.779.5153.2-5.727%
vs Similar (9)81.683.7165.2-2.144%
vs Weaker (10)86.169.6155.7+16.590%
This opponent (U. De Concepcion) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
U. De ConcepcionChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormConcepcion
Date
Competition
Puerto Montt
#11
W
84-70
84
70
+14
76avg 82
H03/02
LNB
Franca
#2
L
72-88
72
88
-16
59avg 82
A08/02
Champions League Americas
Obras Sanitarias
#5
L
65-79
65
79
-14
54avg 82
A09/02
Champions League Americas
Liceo Pablo Neruda
#13
W
87-67
87
67
+20
82avg 82
H02/03
LNB
Valdivia
#6
W
99-89 OT
99
89
+10
no box
H03/03
LNB
Puente Alto
#7
L
90-94
90
94
-4
85avg 82
A08/03
LNB
Sportiva Italiana
#9
W
78-72
78
72
+6
72avg 82
A09/03
LNB
Puente Alto
#7
W
73-70
73
70
+3
68avg 82
H16/03
LNB
Sportiva Italiana
#9
W
78-73
78
73
+5
71avg 82
H17/03
LNB
Liceo Pablo Neruda
#13
W
95-57
95
57
+38
84avg 82
A23/03
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-13
13-17
25-22
17-18
22-22
22-26
14-23
14-17
15-26
19-11
11-11
20-31
25-13
28-19
22-14
12-21
28-22
21-21
11-20
21-18
26-19
18-26
25-24
21-25
22-26
17-14
24-14
15-18
21-26
21-18
13-14
18-12
23-15
20-18
19-20
16-20
19-18
18-22
30-5
28-12
158.0Avg total
82.1Scored
75.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)85.978.5164.5+7.477%
Season at home (8)86.180.2166.4+5.988%
Season away (5)85.675.8161.4+9.860%
Last 10 (10)82.175.9158.0+6.270%
Last 5 (5)82.873.2156.0+9.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)70.890.5161.3-19.70%
vs Similar (4)83.589.8173.2-6.225%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)89.764.2153.9+25.4100%
This opponent (Valdivia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: -1.0-1.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: -1.0-1.0
ValdiviaU. De Concepcion
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValdiviaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Puente Alto
#7
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A04/02
LNB
Ancud
#3
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H09/02
LNB
Naviera Ulloa
#8
L
31-45
31
45
-14
H10/02
LNB
Espanol de Talca
#14
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A02/03
LNB
U. De Concepcion
#2
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A03/03
LNB
Las Animas
#5
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H09/03
LNB
Espanol Osorno
#4
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H10/03
LNB
Las Animas
#5
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A16/03
LNB
Espanol Osorno
#4
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A17/03
LNB
Espanol de Talca
#14
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H23/03
LNB
81.3Avg total
41.0Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.136.976.0+2.263%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.936.775.5+2.260%-
Last 30 away (15)39.337.276.5+2.167%-
Last 10 (10)41.040.381.3+0.760%-
Last 5 (5)39.037.676.6+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)36.237.373.5-1.145%-
vs Similar (9)40.339.179.4+1.267%-
vs Weaker (10)41.234.675.8+6.680%-
This opponent (U. De Concepcion) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
U. De ConcepcionLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Puerto Montt
#11
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H03/02
LNB
Franca
#2
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A08/02
Champions League Americas
Obras Sanitarias
#5
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A09/02
Champions League Americas
Liceo Pablo Neruda
#13
W
53-32
53
32
+21
H02/03
LNB
Valdivia
#6
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H03/03
LNB
Puente Alto
#7
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A08/03
LNB
Sportiva Italiana
#9
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A09/03
LNB
Puente Alto
#7
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H16/03
LNB
Sportiva Italiana
#9
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H17/03
LNB
Liceo Pablo Neruda
#13
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A23/03
LNB
81.9Avg total
42.7Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)43.138.681.7+4.548%-
Last 30 at home (18)44.738.683.2+6.156%-
Last 30 away (11)40.538.679.1+1.836%-
Last 10 (10)42.739.281.9+3.540%-
Last 5 (5)41.040.481.4+0.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)35.049.784.7-14.70%-
vs Similar (4)39.547.587.0-8.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)46.433.279.6+13.274%-
This opponent (Valdivia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valdiviatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valdivia: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.9 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.422.4
52.8%
50.4%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.07.8
30.0%
32.7%23.4
🏀 Free throws22.715.6
68.7%
70.3%15.6
They take 68.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
U. De Concepciontheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

U. De Concepcion: 79.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.9 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.420.2
50.0%
50.4%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.88.6
33.3%
32.7%25.8
🏀 Free throws18.013.2
73.3%
70.3%13.2
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valdivia
WLLWLLLLLW
U. De Concepcion
WWWWLWWLLW
#6
League position
#2
+4.0
Net rating
+8.4
104.5
Offensive rating
104.0
100.5
Defensive rating
95.6
49.9%
Effective FG%
50.0%
48.9%
Opp. effective FG%
48.9%
15.6%
Turnover %
17.2%
26.3%
Off. rebound %
28.8%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.27
30.0%
3-point %
33.3%
59.9%
Assist %
58.0%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence104.5 · 104.0Defence100.5 · 95.6Shooting49.9% · 50.0%3-point %30.0% · 33.3%Ball care15.6% · 17.2%Off. rebounds26.3% · 28.8%Free throws0.33 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Valdivia   ■ U. De Concepcion
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Valdivia wins
9
U. De Concepcion wins
Valdivialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/24HEspanol de Talca98-65
17/03/24AEspanol Osorno70-87
16/03/24ALas Animas77-91
10/03/24HEspanol Osorno88-75
09/03/24HLas Animas80-93
03/03/24AU. De Concepcion89-99 OT
02/03/24AEspanol de Talca92-94
10/02/24HNaviera Ulloa79-88
09/02/24HAncud82-89
04/02/24APuente Alto100-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/24ALiceo Pablo Neruda95-57
17/03/24HSportiva Italiana78-73
16/03/24HPuente Alto73-70
09/03/24ASportiva Italiana78-72
08/03/24APuente Alto90-94
03/03/24HValdivia99-89 OT
02/03/24HLiceo Pablo Neruda87-67
09/02/24AObras Sanitarias65-79
08/02/24AFranca72-88
03/02/24HPuerto Montt84-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valdivia
LNB 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW47%
HomeLLLWW43%
AwayWLLLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %47%43%50%
Points / game85.785.685.8
Allowed / game83.081.384.5
Point differential+2.7+4.3+1.2
Avg total168.7166.9170.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%43%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %13%14%12%
U. De Concepcion
LNB 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW77%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayWLLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1385
Win %77%88%60%
Points / game85.986.185.6
Allowed / game78.580.275.8
Point differential+7.4+5.9+9.8
Avg total164.5166.4161.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%50%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %23%25%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ancud1614288%83.276.6+6.6
2 Leones Quilpue1513287%82.966.5+16.4
3 U. De Concepcion1310377%85.978.5+7.4
4 Espanol Osorno1712571%78.868.5+10.2
5 Las Animas1710759%79.678.1+1.5
6 CD Puerto Varas168850%82.282.2+0.1
7 Valdivia157847%85.783.0+2.7
8 Puente Alto156940%76.778.4-1.7
9 Sportiva Italiana145936%76.681.4-4.9
10 Naviera Ulloa1551033%73.977.3-3.5
11 Catolica1651131%74.279.4-5.2
12 Puerto Montt1651131%68.980.4-11.5
13 Liceo Pablo Neruda1541127%68.377.7-9.4
14 Espanol de Talca1431121%78.688.1-9.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valdivia2615172482
U. De Concepcion33172926105
← all games of the day
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