Valencia vs Gran Canaria Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Jan 2017

Tip-off: 17:30

Final 86-81

27-14 15-23 21-20 23-24

Position#2

Record12-5

FormWWWLW

Points / game82.8

Allowed / game75.1

Valencia 🏆

Gran Canaria

Position#7

Record10-7

FormWLWLW

Points / game83.5

Allowed / game77.2

ACBRound 19

Domestic2016-17

Meetings · Valencia v Gran Canaria

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Gran Canaria winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Valencia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tenerife

74-58

+16

H18/12

ACB

Barcelona

82-94

-12

A27/12

ACB

Manresa

#17

100-55

100

+45

H29/12

ACB

Cedevita

89-86

A04/01

Eurocup

Murcia

78-75

A08/01

ACB

Alba Berlin

#15

85-80

H11/01

Eurocup

Estudiantes

#11

93-85

H15/01

ACB

Unicaja

78-70

A18/01

Eurocup

Real Madrid

71-85

-14

A22/01

ACB

Unicaja

86-62

+24

H25/01

Eurocup

21-11

17-8

22-24

14-15

20-25

10-19

28-27

24-23

24-20

23-15

32-7

21-13

22-23

23-16

19-26

25-21

14-18

24-17

18-20

22-20

24-20

22-23

22-15

17-22

27-22

14-22

33-20

19-21

19-23

22-25

27-9

10-13

21-16

24-22

8-26

18-21

18-18

24-16

27-15

17-13

158.6Avg total

83.6Scored

75.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	82.8	75.1	157.9	+7.8	71%
Season at home (8)	84.8	70.2	155.0	+14.5	88%
Season away (9)	81.1	79.3	160.4	+1.8	56%
Last 10 (10)	83.6	75.0	158.6	+8.6	80%
Last 5 (5)	82.6	76.4	159.0	+6.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	80.0	82.0	162.0	-2.0	0%
vs Similar ◀ (9)	80.8	80.1	160.9	+0.7	67%
vs Weaker (20)	83.8	71.2	154.9	+12.6	85%

This opponent (Gran Canaria) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Gran Canaria Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

MZT Skopje

#20

87-75

+12

H14/12

Eurocup

Manresa

#17

102-70

102

+32

A18/12

ACB

Baskonia

74-61

+13

H27/12

ACB

Joventut Badalona

#13

98-80

+18

H30/12

ACB

Lokomotiv Kuban

71-86

-15

H04/01

Eurocup

Bilbao

#10

82-68

+14

A07/01

ACB

Fuenlabrada

#11

75-85

-10

A10/01

Eurocup

Murcia

#13

94-85

H17/01

Eurocup

MoraBanc Andorra

64-90

-26

H21/01

ACB

Murcia

#13

83-67

+16

A25/01

Eurocup

29-17

17-23

26-18

15-17

23-13

27-17

26-18

26-22

22-6

18-18

10-18

24-19

25-22

22-19

31-24

20-15

19-25

17-22

18-20

17-19

27-22

19-22

15-8

21-16

29-31

23-18

12-23

11-13

29-19

27-18

23-31

15-17

20-17

16-22

9-23

19-28

26-12

18-9

17-24

22-22

159.7Avg total

83.0Scored

76.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	83.5	77.2	160.7	+6.4	59%
Season at home (9)	82.1	76.3	158.4	+5.8	56%
Season away (8)	85.1	78.1	163.2	+7.0	62%
Last 10 (10)	83.0	76.7	159.7	+6.3	70%
Last 5 (5)	79.6	79.0	158.6	+0.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (6)	75.7	80.2	155.8	-4.5	17%
vs Weaker (24)	88.6	76.8	165.4	+11.8	79%

This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

ValenciaGran Canaria

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	17.9	38.7	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	17.7	38.0	+2.5	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.4	18.0	39.4	+3.4	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	19.6	40.6	+1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	19.8	41.6	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	18.0	25.0	43.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	19.8	17.9	37.7	+1.9	67%	-
vs Weaker (20)	21.4	17.5	39.0	+3.9	60%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.1	18.9	42.0	+4.1	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.1	17.3	40.4	+5.8	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	23.0	20.8	43.8	+2.2	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.9	18.4	43.3	+6.5	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.2	20.2	46.4	+6.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (6)	19.3	17.8	37.2	+1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (24)	24.0	19.2	43.2	+4.8	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	18.7	38.2	+0.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.7	17.2	37.9	+3.5	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.2	20.3	38.5	-2.1	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	18.3	38.6	+2.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	21.6	42.8	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	20.0	19.0	39.0	+1.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	17.9	17.9	35.8	+0.0	44%	-
vs Weaker (20)	20.1	19.1	39.2	+1.0	45%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	19.1	41.0	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.7	19.5	41.2	+2.2	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.2	18.6	40.9	+3.6	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	18.8	39.2	+1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	17.8	38.4	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (6)	18.2	18.2	36.3	+0.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (24)	22.9	19.3	42.2	+3.5	67%	-

ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tenerife

38-19

+19

H18/12

ACB

Barcelona

30-44

-14

A27/12

ACB

Manresa

#17

47-35

+12

H29/12

ACB

Cedevita

45-39

A04/01

Eurocup

Murcia

38-35

A08/01

ACB

Alba Berlin

#15

46-43

H11/01

Eurocup

Estudiantes

#11

41-44

-3

H15/01

ACB

Unicaja

41-48

-7

A18/01

Eurocup

Real Madrid

45-38

A22/01

ACB

Unicaja

42-34

H25/01

Eurocup

79.2Avg total

41.3Scored

37.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.3	36.6	76.9	+3.7	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.9	34.9	75.9	+6.0	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.6	38.3	77.9	+1.3	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.3	37.9	79.2	+3.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.0	41.4	84.4	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	38.0	44.0	82.0	-6.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	37.7	35.8	73.4	+1.9	56%	-
vs Weaker (20)	41.5	36.6	78.2	+4.9	70%	-

This opponent (Gran Canaria) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Gran CanariaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

MZT Skopje

#20

46-40

H14/12

Eurocup

Manresa

#17

50-30

+20

A18/12

ACB

Baskonia

40-24

+16

H27/12

ACB

Joventut Badalona

#13

47-41

H30/12

ACB

Lokomotiv Kuban

36-47

-11

H04/01

Eurocup

Bilbao

#10

46-44

A07/01

ACB

Fuenlabrada

#11

52-49

A10/01

Eurocup

Murcia

#13

56-37

+19

H17/01

Eurocup

MoraBanc Andorra

36-39

-3

H21/01

ACB

Murcia

#13

44-21

+23

A25/01

Eurocup

82.5Avg total

45.3Scored

37.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.0	38.0	83.0	+7.0	73%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	44.8	36.8	81.6	+8.0	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	45.2	39.4	84.6	+5.8	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.3	37.2	82.5	+8.1	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.8	38.0	84.8	+8.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (6)	37.5	36.0	73.5	+1.5	33%	-
vs Weaker (24)	46.9	38.5	85.4	+8.3	83%	-

This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	18.4	39.5	+2.8	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.5	17.4	39.9	+5.1	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.9	19.3	39.2	+0.5	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.6	18.9	42.5	+4.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	17.0	40.4	+6.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	15.0	9.0	24.0	+6.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	20.3	23.8	44.1	-3.4	56%	-
vs Weaker (20)	21.9	16.4	38.2	+5.5	75%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	20.3	40.6	+0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.4	20.9	41.3	-0.6	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.4	19.5	39.9	+0.9	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	20.7	39.4	-2.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.2	21.8	37.0	-6.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (6)	17.8	21.5	39.3	-3.7	17%	-
vs Weaker (24)	21.0	20.0	41.0	+1.0	58%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	19.2	40.6	+2.1	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.0	19.4	40.4	+1.6	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.7	19.1	40.7	+2.6	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	18.2	36.9	+0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	18.0	34.2	-1.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	27.0	29.0	56.0	-2.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	22.8	20.6	43.3	+2.2	67%	-
vs Weaker (20)	20.4	18.1	38.5	+2.2	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	19.2	39.8	+1.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.5	18.6	38.1	+0.9	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.9	19.8	41.7	+2.1	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	18.8	37.8	+0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	19.2	36.8	-1.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (6)	20.3	22.7	43.0	-2.3	33%	-
vs Weaker (24)	20.7	18.3	39.0	+2.4	54%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.5	37.6	80.1	+4.9	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.5	36.8	80.3	+6.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.5	38.4	79.9	+3.1	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.3	37.1	79.4	+5.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.6	35.0	74.6	+4.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	42.0	38.0	80.0	+4.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	43.1	44.3	87.4	-1.2	44%	-
vs Weaker (20)	42.2	34.5	76.8	+7.7	65%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.0	39.4	80.4	+1.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.9	39.6	79.4	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	42.3	39.3	81.6	+3.0	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.7	39.5	77.2	-1.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.8	41.0	73.8	-8.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (6)	38.2	44.2	82.3	-6.0	17%	-
vs Weaker (24)	41.7	38.2	80.0	+3.5	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Valencia wins

Gran Canaria wins

Date	Game	Score
09/10/16	Gran Canaria v Valencia	75-84
10/04/16	Gran Canaria v Valencia	68-84
18/02/16	Valencia v Gran Canaria	78-83
29/11/15	Valencia v Gran Canaria	86-61
03/05/15	Gran Canaria v Valencia	90-76
21/12/14	Valencia v Gran Canaria	101-92
06/04/14	Gran Canaria v Valencia	81-86
01/12/13	Valencia v Gran Canaria	74-70
23/03/13	Valencia v Gran Canaria	68-56
09/02/13	Valencia v Gran Canaria	83-72

Valencialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
25/01/17	H	Unicaja	86-62
22/01/17	A	Real Madrid	71-85
18/01/17	A	Unicaja	78-70
15/01/17	H	Estudiantes	93-85
11/01/17	H	Alba Berlin	85-80
08/01/17	A	Murcia	78-75
04/01/17	A	Cedevita	89-86
29/12/16	H	Manresa	100-55
27/12/16	A	Barcelona	82-94
18/12/16	H	Tenerife	74-58

Gran Canarialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
25/01/17	A	Murcia	83-67
21/01/17	H	MoraBanc Andorra	64-90
17/01/17	H	Murcia	94-85
10/01/17	A	Fuenlabrada	75-85
07/01/17	A	Bilbao	82-68
04/01/17	H	Lokomotiv Kuban	71-86
30/12/16	H	Joventut Badalona	98-80
27/12/16	H	Baskonia	74-61
18/12/16	A	Manresa	102-70
14/12/16	H	MZT Skopje	87-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia

ACB 2016-17

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWL	71%
Home	WWWWW	88%
Away	LWLWL	56%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	8	9
Win %	71%	88%	56%
Points / game	82.8	84.8	81.1
Allowed / game	75.1	70.2	79.3
Point differential	+7.8	+14.5	+1.8
Avg total	157.9	155.0	160.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	41%	62%	22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	-	33% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Gran Canaria

ACB 2016-17

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWL	59%
Home	LWWWL	56%
Away	WWLWW	62%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	9	8
Win %	59%	56%	62%
Points / game	83.5	82.1	85.1
Allowed / game	77.2	76.3	78.1
Point differential	+6.4	+5.8	+7.0
Avg total	160.7	158.4	163.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	41%	44%	38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	100% (1)	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Real Madrid	17	14	3	82%	88.4	76.8	+11.6
2	Tenerife	17	13	4	76%	78.8	72.3	+6.5
3	Barcelona	16	12	4	75%	83.4	77.9	+5.5
4	Baskonia	17	12	5	71%	84.8	76.5	+8.3
5	Valencia	17	12	5	71%	82.8	75.1	+7.8
6	Unicaja	17	11	6	65%	84.3	79.4	+4.9
7	Gran Canaria	17	10	7	59%	83.5	77.2	+6.4
8	MoraBanc Andorra	17	10	7	59%	85.0	83.7	+1.3
9	Fuenlabrada	17	8	9	47%	77.5	81.9	-4.5
10	Bilbao	17	7	10	41%	77.8	81.7	-3.9
11	Real Betis	17	7	10	41%	76.0	84.0	-8.0
12	Estudiantes	17	6	11	35%	81.6	83.7	-2.1
13	Tecnyconta Zaragoza	17	6	11	35%	78.8	81.3	-2.5
14	Murcia	17	5	12	29%	80.1	83.4	-3.3
15	Joventut Badalona	17	4	13	24%	77.4	83.8	-6.5
16	Obradoiro CAB	17	4	13	24%	74.7	83.4	-8.7
17	Manresa	17	3	14	18%	72.6	85.1	-12.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Valencia	27	15	21	23	86
Gran Canaria	14	23	20	24	81

← all games of the day

Valencia vs Gran Canaria Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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