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Valencia vs Gran Canaria Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 May 2025
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 86-79
17-27 20-21 28-12 21-19
Position#2
Record21-9
FormLWWLL
Points / game96.7
Allowed / game86.2
vs
Position#8
Record16-13
FormLLLWW
Points / game84.4
Allowed / game84.0
SpainACBRound 31· Font de Sant Lluis
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Valencia v Gran Canaria
29 May 2026
VAL105
GKA81
02 Jun 2025
VAL98
GKA74
10 May 2025
VAL86
GKA79
07 Jan 2024
VAL79
GKA86
12 Feb 2023
VAL82
GKA76
28 Jan 2022
VAL91
GKA62
03 Nov 2021
VAL89
GKA90
02 Jan 2021
VAL101
GKA85
13 Jan 2019
VAL83
GKA67
01 Jun 2018
VAL89
GKA92
28 May 2018
VAL71
GKA56
29 Oct 2017
VAL89
GKA83
17 Feb 2017
VAL88
GKA72
28 Jan 2017
VAL86
GKA81
18 Feb 2016
VAL78
GKA83
29 Nov 2015
VAL86
GKA61
21 Dec 2014
VAL101
GKA92
01 Dec 2013
VAL74
GKA70
23 Mar 2013
VAL68
GKA56
09 Feb 2013
VAL83
GKA72
29 Apr 2012
VAL77
GKA62
13 Jan 2011
VAL81
GKA77
03 Jan 2010
VAL89
GKA72
27 Dec 2008
VAL79
GKA77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Gran Canaria winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Leyma Coruna
#18
W
127-81
127
81
+46
140avg 91
H22/03
ACB
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
W
91-82
91
82
+9
84avg 91
H25/03
Eurocup
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
L
91-96
91
96
-5
87avg 91
A28/03
Eurocup
Granada
#17
W
97-69
97
69
+28
101avg 91
A30/03
ACB
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
L
92-94
92
94
-2
84avg 91
H02/04
Eurocup
Murcia
#10
L
71-86
71
86
-15
62avg 91
H05/04
ACB
Unicaja
#4
W
84-75
84
75
+9
82avg 91
H13/04
ACB
Forca Lleida
#16
W
76-67
76
67
+9
76avg 91
A20/04
ACB
Baskonia
#7
L
125-128 OT
125
128
-3
112avg 91
H27/04
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
89-96
89
96
-7
78avg 91
A04/05
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-17
27-27
42-19
32-18
20-24
22-24
23-11
26-23
21-23
28-31
22-22
20-20
21-21
23-5
23-26
30-17
22-15
23-29
22-19
25-31
9-21
24-20
23-21
15-24
22-17
22-21
28-22
12-15
20-19
17-11
21-17
18-20
19-29
25-22
24-25
26-18
20-27
24-19
19-28
26-22
181.7Avg total
94.3Scored
87.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)96.786.2182.9+10.570%
Season at home (15)98.986.3185.3+12.680%
Season away (15)94.586.1180.6+8.560%
Last 10 (10)94.387.4181.7+6.950%
Last 5 (5)89.090.4179.4-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)87.090.0177.0-3.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)96.785.6182.3+11.167%
This opponent (Gran Canaria) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Gran CanariaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCanaria
Date
Competition
Bahcesehir Kol.
#2
L
66-74
66
74
-8
59avg 74
A25/03
Eurocup
Bahcesehir Kol.
#2
W
69-68
69
68
+1
62avg 74
H28/03
Eurocup
Unicaja
#4
W
91-89
91
89
+2
83avg 74
H30/03
ACB
Bahcesehir Kol.
#2
W
76-72
76
72
+4
70avg 74
A02/04
Eurocup
Bilbao
#15
L
78-96
78
96
-18
48avg 74
A05/04
ACB
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
L
65-74
65
74
-9
57avg 74
A08/04
Eurocup
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
L
94-103
94
103
-9
89avg 74
H11/04
Eurocup
Barcelona
#5
L
90-104
90
104
-14
82avg 74
A20/04
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
97-87
97
87
+10
97avg 74
A26/04
ACB
Granada
#17
W
98-83
98
83
+15
93avg 74
H03/05
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-27
16-22
15-13
14-12
24-21
17-15
11-14
17-18
23-23
23-20
17-13
28-33
19-18
22-24
19-15
16-15
30-26
12-23
16-20
20-27
20-22
16-17
14-21
15-14
21-29
23-24
30-33
20-17
26-18
20-34
21-29
23-23
24-21
19-19
23-28
31-19
19-21
33-24
29-18
17-20
167.4Avg total
82.4Scored
85.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)84.484.0168.4+0.455%
Season at home (14)84.283.0167.2+1.264%
Season away (15)84.584.9169.5-0.447%
Last 10 (10)82.485.0167.4-2.650%
Last 5 (5)88.890.2179.0-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)73.381.5154.8-8.327%
vs Similar (11)85.086.0171.0-1.055%
vs Weaker (7)88.483.6172.0+4.971%
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +0.3+0.3
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +0.3+0.3
ValenciaGran Canaria
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leyma Coruna
#18
W
53-44
53
44
+9
H22/03
ACB
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H25/03
Eurocup
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
L
49-54
49
54
-5
A28/03
Eurocup
Granada
#17
W
44-26
44
26
+18
A30/03
ACB
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H02/04
Eurocup
Murcia
#10
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H05/04
ACB
Unicaja
#4
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H13/04
ACB
Forca Lleida
#16
W
37-30
37
30
+7
A20/04
ACB
Baskonia
#7
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H27/04
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A04/05
ACB
85.7Avg total
43.5Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.141.886.9+3.263%-
Last 30 at home (16)47.542.489.9+5.169%-
Last 30 away (14)42.341.183.4+1.157%-
Last 10 (10)43.542.285.7+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)40.441.281.6-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)42.038.080.0+4.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)45.842.288.0+3.667%-
This opponent (Gran Canaria) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Gran CanariaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bahcesehir Kol.
#2
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A25/03
Eurocup
Bahcesehir Kol.
#2
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H28/03
Eurocup
Unicaja
#4
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H30/03
ACB
Bahcesehir Kol.
#2
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A02/04
Eurocup
Bilbao
#15
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A05/04
ACB
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A08/04
Eurocup
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
L
44-53
44
53
-9
H11/04
Eurocup
Barcelona
#5
L
46-52
46
52
-6
A20/04
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A26/04
ACB
Granada
#17
W
52-45
52
45
+7
H03/05
ACB
87.6Avg total
42.8Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.441.181.6-0.753%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.540.379.8-0.960%-
Last 30 away (15)41.441.983.3-0.547%-
Last 10 (10)42.844.887.6-2.040%-
Last 5 (5)44.245.890.0-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)36.142.378.4-6.227%-
vs Similar (11)42.541.183.5+1.464%-
vs Weaker (7)44.140.985.0+3.371%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 93.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.922.1
59.9%
54.0%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.310.6
32.8%
35.6%31.8
🏀 Free throws21.417.5
81.8%
76.4%17.5
They take 69.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Gran Canariatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gran Canaria: 81.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.520.1
56.6%
54.0%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.29.4
35.9%
35.6%28.2
🏀 Free throws16.713.3
79.6%
76.4%13.3
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
LLWWLLWLWW
Gran Canaria
WWLLLLWWWL
#2
League position
#8
+8.7
Net rating
-3.8
118.4
Offensive rating
115.4
109.6
Defensive rating
119.2
54.9%
Effective FG%
55.4%
52.0%
Opp. effective FG%
57.5%
15.2%
Turnover %
16.2%
32.2%
Off. rebound %
30.1%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.27
32.8%
3-point %
35.9%
66.4%
Assist %
60.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence118.4 · 115.4Defence109.6 · 119.2Shooting54.9% · 55.4%3-point %32.8% · 35.9%Ball care15.2% · 16.2%Off. rebounds32.2% · 30.1%Free throws0.31 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Valencia   ■ Gran Canaria
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Valencia wins
7
Gran Canaria wins
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/05/25AReal Madrid89-96
27/04/25HBaskonia125-128 OT
20/04/25AForca Lleida76-67
13/04/25HUnicaja84-75
05/04/25HMurcia71-86
02/04/25HHapoel Tel-Aviv92-94
30/03/25AGranada97-69
28/03/25AHapoel Tel-Aviv91-96
25/03/25HHapoel Tel-Aviv91-82
22/03/25HLeyma Coruna127-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/05/25HGranada98-83
26/04/25ABasket Zaragoza97-87
20/04/25ABarcelona90-104
11/04/25HHapoel Tel-Aviv94-103
08/04/25AHapoel Tel-Aviv65-74
05/04/25ABilbao78-96
02/04/25ABahcesehir Kol.76-72
30/03/25HUnicaja91-89
28/03/25HBahcesehir Kol.69-68
25/03/25ABahcesehir Kol.66-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
ACB 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL70%
HomeWWLWL80%
AwayWWWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %70%80%60%
Points / game96.798.994.5
Allowed / game86.286.386.1
Point differential+10.5+12.6+8.5
Avg total182.9185.3180.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%60%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)67% (3)20% (5)
Overtime %3%7%0%
Gran Canaria
ACB 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW55%
HomeLLWWW64%
AwayLWLLW47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %55%64%47%
Points / game84.484.284.5
Allowed / game84.083.084.9
Point differential+0.4+1.2-0.4
Avg total168.4167.2169.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%14%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)71% (7)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid3026487%87.978.4+9.6
2 Tenerife3124777%87.282.8+4.4
3 Valencia3021970%96.786.2+10.5
4 Unicaja31211068%89.684.3+5.3
5 Barcelona30181260%91.887.1+4.8
6 Joventut Badalona31181358%85.583.6+1.9
7 Gran Canaria29161355%84.484.0+0.4
8 Manresa30161453%88.585.7+2.8
9 Baskonia31161552%87.587.7-0.3
10 Murcia30141647%81.481.4-0.0
11 Breogan30131743%80.286.3-6.1
12 Basket Zaragoza30121840%88.989.8-0.9
13 Forca Lleida29111838%83.587.0-3.6
14 MoraBanc Andorra31112035%87.291.7-4.5
15 Basquet Girona31112035%81.988.0-6.1
16 Bilbao30102033%81.283.7-2.5
17 Granada3072323%81.087.7-6.7
18 Leyma Coruna3072323%86.295.3-9.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valencia1720282186
Gran Canaria2721121979
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