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Valencia vs Gran Canaria Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 29 May 2026
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 105-81
24-18 28-15 28-20 25-28
Position#1
Record23-9
FormLWWLW
Points / game94.1
Allowed / game83.5
vs
Position#15
Record10-23
FormWLWLL
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game85.7
SpainACBRound 34· Roig Arena
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Valencia v Gran Canaria
29 May 2026
VAL105
GKA81
02 Jun 2025
VAL98
GKA74
10 May 2025
VAL86
GKA79
07 Jan 2024
VAL79
GKA86
12 Feb 2023
VAL82
GKA76
28 Jan 2022
VAL91
GKA62
03 Nov 2021
VAL89
GKA90
02 Jan 2021
VAL101
GKA85
13 Jan 2019
VAL83
GKA67
01 Jun 2018
VAL89
GKA92
28 May 2018
VAL71
GKA56
29 Oct 2017
VAL89
GKA83
17 Feb 2017
VAL88
GKA72
28 Jan 2017
VAL86
GKA81
18 Feb 2016
VAL78
GKA83
29 Nov 2015
VAL86
GKA61
21 Dec 2014
VAL101
GKA92
01 Dec 2013
VAL74
GKA70
23 Mar 2013
VAL68
GKA56
09 Feb 2013
VAL83
GKA72
29 Apr 2012
VAL77
GKA62
13 Jan 2011
VAL81
GKA77
03 Jan 2010
VAL89
GKA72
27 Dec 2008
VAL79
GKA77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Gran Canaria winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#7
L
67-68
67
68
-1
H28/04
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#7
L
105-107 OT
105
107
-2
H30/04
Euroleague
Manresa
#10
L
102-104
102
104
-2
A03/05
ACB
Panathinaikos
#7
W
91-87
91
87
+4
A06/05
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#7
W
89-86
89
86
+3
A08/05
Euroleague
Baskonia
#3
L
86-88
86
88
-2
H10/05
ACB
Panathinaikos
#7
W
81-64
81
64
+17
H13/05
Euroleague
Bilbao
#7
W
88-83
88
83
+5
H17/05
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
L
90-105
90
105
-15
H22/05
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#17
W
98-86
98
86
+12
A26/05
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-23
17-16
17-15
18-14
23-24
25-25
23-25
24-21
22-18
34-30
26-30
20-26
24-18
28-21
23-27
16-21
26-15
18-22
16-19
29-30
26-23
15-18
17-22
28-25
14-10
21-13
21-27
25-14
21-9
26-20
15-31
26-23
28-26
28-36
17-24
17-19
27-23
23-26
21-15
27-22
177.5Avg total
89.7Scored
87.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)94.183.5177.6+10.672%
Season at home (16)96.281.4177.7+14.881%
Season away (16)91.985.5177.4+6.462%
Last 10 (10)89.787.8177.5+1.950%
Last 5 (5)88.685.2173.8+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (12)86.484.9171.3+1.558%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)94.786.7181.4+8.072%
This opponent (Gran Canaria) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Gran CanariaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
84-92
84
92
-8
A29/03
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#13
L
95-109
95
109
-14
H04/04
ACB
Baskonia
#3
L
86-88
86
88
-2
A12/04
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#17
L
74-78
74
78
-4
H18/04
ACB
Basquet Girona
#12
W
100-90
100
90
+10
H25/04
ACB
Unicaja
#9
W
101-100 OT
101
100
+1
A29/04
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
69-91
69
91
-22
A03/05
ACB
Tenerife
#8
W
102-83
102
83
+19
H14/05
ACB
Forca Lleida
#14
L
72-75
72
75
-3
A17/05
ACB
Manresa
#10
L
80-87
80
87
-7
H23/05
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-14
17-26
15-32
30-20
18-34
30-19
22-31
25-25
20-10
20-23
24-30
22-25
20-18
10-21
19-18
25-21
16-24
31-20
17-23
36-23
19-25
24-19
22-25
22-18
20-29
14-19
12-17
23-26
26-21
31-20
22-20
23-22
9-16
15-24
22-16
26-19
22-21
13-21
22-27
23-18
175.6Avg total
86.3Scored
89.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)81.385.7167.0-4.430%
Season at home (17)81.685.4167.1-3.829%
Season away (16)80.985.9166.9-5.031%
Last 10 (10)86.389.3175.6-3.030%
Last 5 (5)84.887.2172.0-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)81.986.5168.5-4.636%
vs Similar (13)79.586.2165.7-6.615%
vs Weaker (6)82.378.5160.8+3.867%
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: -4.2-4.2Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +3.8+3.8
ValenciaGran Canaria
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#7
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H28/04
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#7
L
48-49
48
49
-1
H30/04
Euroleague
Manresa
#10
W
56-48
56
48
+8
A03/05
ACB
Panathinaikos
#7
W
52-39
52
39
+13
A06/05
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#7
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A08/05
Euroleague
Baskonia
#3
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H10/05
ACB
Panathinaikos
#7
W
35-23
35
23
+12
H13/05
Euroleague
Bilbao
#7
W
47-29
47
29
+18
H17/05
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
L
56-62
56
62
-6
H22/05
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#17
W
50-49
50
49
+1
A26/05
ACB
87.7Avg total
46.1Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.542.388.8+4.253%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.141.687.6+4.550%-
Last 30 away (14)47.143.190.2+3.957%-
Last 10 (10)46.141.687.7+4.560%-
Last 5 (5)45.840.886.6+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (12)44.743.287.8+1.542%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)47.841.789.5+6.161%-
This opponent (Gran Canaria) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Gran CanariaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A29/03
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#13
L
48-53
48
53
-5
H04/04
ACB
Baskonia
#3
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A12/04
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#17
L
30-39
30
39
-9
H18/04
ACB
Basquet Girona
#12
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H25/04
ACB
Unicaja
#9
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A29/04
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A03/05
ACB
Tenerife
#8
W
57-41
57
41
+16
H14/05
ACB
Forca Lleida
#14
L
24-40
24
40
-16
A17/05
ACB
Manresa
#10
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H23/05
ACB
82.1Avg total
39.7Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.740.378.0-2.630%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.840.879.6-2.038%-
Last 30 away (14)36.439.876.2-3.421%-
Last 10 (10)39.742.482.1-2.730%-
Last 5 (5)38.643.081.6-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)37.540.578.1-3.027%-
vs Similar (13)37.141.278.3-4.223%-
vs Weaker (6)39.338.077.3+1.350%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 69.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws4.5 pts a game · 6% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
42%
39%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers19.117.4
91.1%
50.0%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.610.2
32.3%
42.2%30.6
🏀 Free throws6.34.5
71.4%
74.7%4.5
They take 50.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 62% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Gran Canariatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gran Canaria: 86.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
42%
39%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.318.5
55.6%
50.0%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.310.6
37.5%
42.2%31.8
🏀 Free throws21.917.5
79.9%
74.7%17.5
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
WLWWLWWLLL
Gran Canaria
LLWLWWLLLL
#1
League position
#15
+2.0
Net rating
-3.5
56.1
Offensive rating
101.3
54.2
Defensive rating
104.8
64.5%
Effective FG%
55.8%
59.0%
Opp. effective FG%
56.0%
18.7%
Turnover %
14.6%
0.12
Free-throw rate
0.36
32.3%
3-point %
37.5%
75.4%
Assist %
48.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence56.1 · 101.3Defence54.2 · 104.8Shooting64.5% · 55.8%3-point %32.3% · 37.5%Ball care18.7% · 14.6%Free throws0.12 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Valencia   ■ Gran Canaria
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Valencia wins
4
Gran Canaria wins
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/05/26ABasket Zaragoza98-86
22/05/26HReal Madrid90-105
17/05/26HBilbao88-83
13/05/26HPanathinaikos81-64
10/05/26HBaskonia86-88
08/05/26APanathinaikos89-86
06/05/26APanathinaikos91-87
03/05/26AManresa102-104
30/04/26HPanathinaikos105-107 OT
28/04/26HPanathinaikos67-68
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/05/26HManresa80-87
17/05/26AForca Lleida72-75
14/05/26HTenerife102-83
03/05/26ABarcelona69-91
29/04/26AUnicaja101-100 OT
25/04/26HBasquet Girona100-90
18/04/26HBasket Zaragoza74-78
12/04/26ABaskonia86-88
04/04/26HSan Pablo Burgos95-109
29/03/26AJoventut Badalona84-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
ACB 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW72%
HomeWWLLW81%
AwayWWWLW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %72%81%62%
Points / game94.196.291.9
Allowed / game83.581.485.5
Point differential+10.6+14.8+6.4
Avg total177.6177.7177.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%69%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)67% (3)60% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Gran Canaria
ACB 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL30%
HomeLLWWL29%
AwayLLWLL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331716
Win %30%29%31%
Points / game81.381.680.9
Allowed / game85.785.485.9
Point differential-4.4-3.8-5.0
Avg total167.0167.1166.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%18%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)40% (5)40% (5)
Overtime %6%6%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid3426876%92.985.5+7.5
2 Baskonia3324973%93.586.7+6.8
3 Murcia3324973%90.884.3+6.5
4 Valencia3223972%94.183.5+10.6
5 Barcelona3223972%89.781.8+7.8
6 Joventut Badalona33221167%85.781.3+4.4
7 Tenerife33181555%89.686.5+3.2
8 Bilbao33181555%84.886.1-1.4
9 Unicaja33171652%87.586.8+0.8
10 Manresa34161847%86.290.6-4.4
11 Breogan33151845%90.993.2-2.3
12 Basquet Girona33132039%85.889.3-3.5
13 Forca Lleida33122136%83.790.3-6.7
14 San Pablo Burgos34122235%89.792.7-3.0
15 Gran Canaria33102330%81.385.7-4.4
16 MoraBanc Andorra33102330%87.393.0-5.7
17 Basket Zaragoza3392427%86.993.4-6.5
18 Granada3462818%83.892.7-9.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valencia24282825105
Gran Canaria1815202881
← all games of the day
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