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Valencia vs Hamburg Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 20 Apr 2022
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 98-80
19-22 29-19 25-17 25-22
Position#4
Record12-6
FormWWLLW
Points / game86.8
Allowed / game80.6
vs
Position#16
Record7-10
FormLLLWW
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game87.8
EuropeEurocup
European cup2021
Meetings · Valencia v Hamburg
02 Oct 2024
VAL105
HAM78
20 Apr 2022
VAL98
HAM80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hamburg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Basket Zaragoza
#16
W
81-79
81
79
+2
73avg 79
H20/03
ACB
Bursaspor
#11
L
89-92
89
92
-3
no box
A23/03
Eurocup
Murcia
#9
W
72-71
72
71
+1
64avg 79
A27/03
ACB
Cedevita Olimpija
#8
L
76-82
76
82
-6
60avg 79
A30/03
Eurocup
Tenerife
#5
W
92-88
92
88
+4
87avg 79
H01/04
ACB
Unicaja
#12
W
90-75
90
75
+15
85avg 79
H03/04
ACB
Ulm
#15
W
103-71
103
71
+32
112avg 79
H05/04
Eurocup
Bilbao
#11
L
78-84
78
84
-6
72avg 79
A09/04
ACB
Real Betis
#13
L
68-75
68
75
-7
61avg 79
A12/04
ACB
Baskonia
#7
W
78-71
78
71
+7
73avg 79
A17/04
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-11
19-23
25-23
18-22
18-21
22-22
26-21
23-28
17-13
21-14
22-22
12-22
22-20
15-30
19-16
20-16
20-18
27-11
20-33
25-26
19-25
22-15
24-18
25-17
29-16
23-14
30-15
21-26
13-19
18-27
27-13
20-25
16-17
13-19
23-14
16-25
20-11
25-23
11-24
22-13
161.5Avg total
82.7Scored
78.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)86.880.6167.4+6.367%
Season at home (9)91.781.8173.4+9.978%
Season away (9)82.079.3161.3+2.756%
Last 10 (10)82.778.8161.5+3.960%
Last 5 (5)83.475.2158.6+8.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)94.093.0187.0+1.0100%
vs Similar (15)83.783.1166.8+0.760%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)85.574.8160.3+10.677%
This opponent (Hamburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HamburgLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHamburg
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#4
L
75-79
75
79
-4
68avg 76
H19/03
BBL
Chemnitz
#6
W
89-85
89
85
+4
84avg 76
A24/03
BBL
Heidelberg
#14
W
100-76
100
76
+24
104avg 76
A26/03
BBL
Trento
#20
W
90-69
90
69
+21
94avg 76
H30/03
Eurocup
Crailsheim Merlins
#8
W
113-63
113
63
+50
122avg 76
H01/04
BBL
Lietkabelis
#13
L
72-87
72
87
-15
61avg 76
H04/04
Eurocup
Turk Telekom
#12
L
70-95
70
95
-25
56avg 76
A06/04
Eurocup
Gottingen
#10
L
80-83
80
83
-3
73avg 76
A10/04
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
W
68-58
68
58
+10
67avg 76
H13/04
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
92-79
92
79
+13
94avg 76
A16/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-17
15-17
19-22
17-23
19-20
28-24
18-24
24-17
33-13
20-18
20-22
27-23
15-10
33-26
23-16
19-17
25-14
33-19
32-17
23-13
8-23
27-29
15-13
22-22
23-25
19-24
13-28
15-18
16-22
27-21
17-21
20-19
13-10
17-11
21-24
17-13
21-28
26-13
23-22
22-16
162.3Avg total
84.9Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)83.287.8171.1-4.641%
Season at home (9)88.387.4175.8+0.944%
Season away (8)77.588.2165.8-10.838%
Last 10 (10)84.977.4162.3+7.560%
Last 5 (5)76.480.4156.8-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)75.288.7163.8-13.517%
vs Similar (9)84.384.4168.8-0.144%
vs Weaker (15)90.382.0172.3+8.373%
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +4.3+4.3Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +2.5+2.5
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +4.3+4.3Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +2.5+2.5
ValenciaHamburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Zaragoza
#16
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H20/03
ACB
Bursaspor
#11
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A23/03
Eurocup
Murcia
#9
W
38-27
38
27
+11
A27/03
ACB
Cedevita Olimpija
#8
L
37-50
37
50
-13
A30/03
Eurocup
Tenerife
#5
W
47-29
47
29
+18
H01/04
ACB
Unicaja
#12
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H03/04
ACB
Ulm
#15
W
52-30
52
30
+22
H05/04
Eurocup
Bilbao
#11
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A09/04
ACB
Real Betis
#13
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A12/04
ACB
Baskonia
#7
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A17/04
ACB
76.7Avg total
39.8Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.438.679.0+1.860%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.338.380.6+4.167%-
Last 30 away (15)38.539.077.5-0.553%-
Last 10 (10)39.836.976.7+2.960%-
Last 5 (5)39.637.276.8+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)51.048.099.0+3.0100%-
vs Similar (15)41.339.080.3+2.367%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)39.236.575.6+2.754%-
This opponent (Hamburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HamburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#4
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H19/03
BBL
Chemnitz
#6
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A24/03
BBL
Heidelberg
#14
W
53-31
53
31
+22
A26/03
BBL
Trento
#20
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H30/03
Eurocup
Crailsheim Merlins
#8
W
58-33
58
33
+25
H01/04
BBL
Lietkabelis
#13
L
35-52
35
52
-17
H04/04
Eurocup
Turk Telekom
#12
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A06/04
Eurocup
Gottingen
#10
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A10/04
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
W
30-21
30
21
+9
H13/04
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A16/04
BBL
82.6Avg total
44.2Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.441.085.4+3.470%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.338.784.0+6.681%-
Last 30 away (14)43.443.687.1-0.257%-
Last 10 (10)44.238.482.6+5.870%-
Last 5 (5)39.441.280.6-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)38.247.285.3-9.050%-
vs Similar (9)45.939.885.7+6.178%-
vs Weaker (15)46.139.385.3+6.873%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 81.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
50%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.917.8
51.0%
52.6%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.410.3
37.6%
35.7%30.9
🏀 Free throws20.415.0
73.5%
74.8%15.0
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hamburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hamburg: 84.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
50%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.619.8
62.7%
52.6%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.610.1
33.0%
35.7%30.3
🏀 Free throws19.714.2
72.1%
74.8%14.2
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Apr 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
WLLWWWLWLW
Hamburg
WWLLLWWWWL
#4
League position
#16
+4.9
Net rating
+10.2
113.6
Offensive rating
114.5
108.7
Defensive rating
104.3
53.4%
Effective FG%
56.2%
53.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.8%
17.0%
Turnover %
20.6%
33.8%
Off. rebound %
37.1%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.32
37.6%
3-point %
33.0%
65.8%
Assist %
72.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence113.6 · 114.5Defence108.7 · 104.3Shooting53.4% · 56.2%3-point %37.6% · 33.0%Ball care17.0% · 20.6%Off. rebounds33.8% · 37.1%Free throws0.33 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Valencia   ■ Hamburg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Valencia wins
0
Hamburg wins
No previous meetings.
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/04/22ABaskonia78-71
12/04/22AReal Betis68-75
09/04/22ABilbao78-84
05/04/22HUlm103-71
03/04/22HUnicaja90-75
01/04/22HTenerife92-88
30/03/22ACedevita Olimpija76-82
27/03/22AMurcia72-71
23/03/22ABursaspor89-92
20/03/22HBasket Zaragoza81-79
Hamburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/04/22ABasketball Braunschweig92-79
13/04/22HFrankfurt68-58
10/04/22AGottingen80-83
06/04/22ATurk Telekom70-95
04/04/22HLietkabelis72-87
01/04/22HCrailsheim Merlins113-63
30/03/22HTrento90-69
26/03/22AHeidelberg100-76
24/03/22AChemnitz89-85
19/03/22HLudwigsburg75-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
Eurocup 2021
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW67%
HomeWWWWW78%
AwayWLWLL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %67%78%56%
Points / game86.891.782.0
Allowed / game80.681.879.3
Point differential+6.3+9.9+2.7
Avg total167.4173.4161.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%44%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (2)40% (5)
Overtime %6%0%11%
Hamburg
Eurocup 2021
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL41%
HomeWLWWL44%
AwayWLWLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %41%44%38%
Points / game83.288.377.5
Allowed / game87.887.488.2
Point differential-4.6+0.9-10.8
Avg total171.1175.8165.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Joventut Badalona1813572%81.771.4+10.2
2 Partizan1712571%85.176.8+8.4
3 Boulogne-Levallois1913668%83.279.6+3.6
4 Valencia1812667%86.880.6+6.3
5 Gran Canaria1812667%81.376.4+4.9
6 Lokomotiv Kuban128467%90.485.8+4.7
7 Cedevita Olimpija1912763%87.383.6+3.6
8 Virtus Bologna1811761%84.481.4+3.0
9 MoraBanc Andorra1911858%80.879.7+1.2
10 Buducnost1910953%77.778.6-0.9
11 Lietkabelis189950%78.375.3+2.9
12 Turk Telekom189950%76.679.4-2.8
13 Venezia1991047%76.576.6-0.2
14 Bursaspor1881044%81.784.1-2.4
15 Ulm1981142%81.882.6-0.8
16 Hamburg1771041%83.287.8-4.6
17 JL Bourg1861233%78.681.7-3.1
18 Promitheas1841422%71.983.1-11.2
19 Slask Wroclaw1731418%74.584.1-9.6
20 Trento171166%71.784.6-12.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valencia1929252598
Hamburg2219172280
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