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Murcia vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 27 Mar 2022
Tip-off: 10:30
Final 71-72
13-17 14-21 22-22 22-12
Position#9
Record13-10
FormWLWLW
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game82.5
vs
Position#3
Record15-8
FormLWWWL
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game80.0
SpainACBRound 26
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · Murcia v Valencia
21 May 2027
MUR v VAL
upcoming
21 Dec 2025
MUR92
VAL80
15 Dec 2024
MUR88
VAL96
22 May 2024
MUR72
VAL83
10 Dec 2023
MUR77
VAL85
19 Apr 2023
MUR90
VAL82
27 Mar 2022
MUR71
VAL72
30 Apr 2021
MUR66
VAL80
07 Oct 2018
MUR68
VAL81
22 Oct 2017
MUR91
VAL93
08 Jan 2017
MUR75
VAL78
01 May 2016
MUR80
VAL62
05 Oct 2014
MUR85
VAL76
08 Mar 2014
MUR76
VAL85
07 Oct 2012
MUR77
VAL78
20 Nov 2011
MUR83
VAL86
04 Apr 2010
MUR92
VAL96
07 Dec 2008
MUR68
VAL75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Murcia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MurciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMurcia
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#5
W
88-86
88
86
+2
77avg 78
H23/01
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#16
L
78-91
78
91
-13
79avg 78
A26/01
ACB
Tenerife
#5
L
71-87
71
87
-16
61avg 78
A06/02
ACB
Valencia
#6
W
86-83
86
83
+3
no box
A18/02
Spanish Cup
Barcelona
#1
L
90-103
90
103
-13
no box
H19/02
Spanish Cup
Unicaja
#12
W
88-87
88
87
+1
82avg 78
A05/03
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#18
L
83-89
83
89
-6
68avg 78
H09/03
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#17
W
96-67
96
67
+29
90avg 78
H13/03
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#14
L
95-105
95
105
-10
83avg 78
A19/03
ACB
Breogan
#10
W
91-72
91
72
+19
83avg 78
H23/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-15
19-22
24-19
22-30
22-13
26-25
12-28
18-25
16-14
13-24
12-22
30-27
28-14
24-19
9-31
25-19
16-32
33-23
23-18
18-30
18-30
24-19
21-18
25-20
22-24
19-19
18-20
24-26
33-13
13-16
25-18
25-20
17-20
21-20
25-24
32-41
18-20
24-15
27-22
22-15
173.6Avg total
86.6Scored
87.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)87.082.5169.5+4.457%
Season at home (11)85.377.5162.8+7.773%
Season away (12)88.587.1175.6+1.442%
Last 10 (10)86.687.0173.6-0.450%
Last 5 (5)90.684.0174.6+6.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)79.789.3169.0-9.70%
vs Similar ◀ (16)83.680.9164.4+2.762%
vs Weaker (10)92.682.5175.1+10.160%
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
83-77
83
77
+6
78avg 80
H09/02
Eurocup
Breogan
#10
L
82-99
82
99
-17
66avg 80
A13/02
ACB
Murcia
#3
L
83-86
83
86
-3
no box
H18/02
Spanish Cup
Barcelona
#2
W
86-76
86
76
+10
82avg 80
H05/03
ACB
JL Bourg
#17
W
88-77
88
77
+11
93avg 80
A08/03
Eurocup
Joventut Badalona
#4
L
68-76
68
76
-8
58avg 80
A12/03
ACB
Manresa
#6
W
90-85
90
85
+5
84avg 80
H14/03
ACB
Venezia
#14
W
86-80
86
80
+6
79avg 80
H16/03
Eurocup
Basket Zaragoza
#16
W
81-79
81
79
+2
73avg 80
H20/03
ACB
Bursaspor
#11
L
89-92
89
92
-3
no box
A23/03
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-17
16-21
12-25
31-14
16-20
27-21
22-35
17-23
14-28
19-24
31-9
19-25
21-21
19-21
24-19
22-15
26-22
16-16
16-25
30-14
17-16
17-21
9-21
25-18
22-18
28-28
16-15
24-24
11-22
26-20
27-22
22-16
19-11
19-23
25-23
18-22
18-21
22-22
26-21
23-28
166.3Avg total
83.6Scored
82.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)83.380.0163.2+3.365%
Season at home (12)85.080.4165.4+4.658%
Season away (11)81.479.5160.8+1.973%
Last 10 (10)83.682.7166.3+0.960%
Last 5 (5)82.882.4165.2+0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)94.093.0187.0+1.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (14)85.185.3170.4-0.157%
vs Weaker (14)87.776.9164.6+10.886%
This opponent (Murcia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +3.2+3.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +3.2+3.2
MurciaValencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#5
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H23/01
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#16
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A26/01
ACB
Tenerife
#5
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A06/02
ACB
Valencia
#6
W
52-33
52
33
+19
A18/02
Spanish Cup
Barcelona
#1
L
49-55
49
55
-6
H19/02
Spanish Cup
Unicaja
#12
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A05/03
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#18
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H09/03
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#17
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H13/03
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#14
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A19/03
ACB
Breogan
#10
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H23/03
ACB
82.6Avg total
42.9Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.737.879.5+3.860%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.035.377.3+6.780%-
Last 30 away (15)41.340.381.7+1.040%-
Last 10 (10)42.939.782.6+3.250%-
Last 5 (5)41.839.281.0+2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)37.347.384.7-10.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)39.337.276.6+2.156%-
vs Weaker (10)45.736.482.1+9.380%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H09/02
Eurocup
Breogan
#10
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A13/02
ACB
Murcia
#3
L
33-52
33
52
-19
H18/02
Spanish Cup
Barcelona
#2
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H05/03
ACB
JL Bourg
#17
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A08/03
Eurocup
Joventut Badalona
#4
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A12/03
ACB
Manresa
#6
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H14/03
ACB
Venezia
#14
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H16/03
Eurocup
Basket Zaragoza
#16
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H20/03
ACB
Bursaspor
#11
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A23/03
Eurocup
81.0Avg total
39.7Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.641.181.7-0.450%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.241.682.8-0.450%-
Last 30 away (14)40.040.580.5-0.550%-
Last 10 (10)39.741.381.0-1.650%-
Last 5 (5)39.840.480.2-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)51.048.099.0+3.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)40.342.182.4-1.943%-
vs Weaker (14)40.838.779.5+2.157%-
This opponent (Murcia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 85.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
49%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.321.2
51.3%
52.0%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.39.2
33.7%
35.3%27.6
🏀 Free throws20.915.1
72.2%
75.5%15.1
They take 68.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 83.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
49%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.419.5
52.1%
52.0%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.99.2
34.2%
35.3%27.6
🏀 Free throws22.917.1
74.7%
75.5%17.1
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Mar 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Murcia
WLWLWLWLLW
Valencia
LWWWLWWLLW
#9
League position
#3
+1.3
Net rating
+1.7
109.0
Offensive rating
111.8
107.8
Defensive rating
110.0
51.0%
Effective FG%
51.8%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
54.3%
18.5%
Turnover %
18.1%
36.4%
Off. rebound %
37.4%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.36
33.7%
3-point %
34.2%
51.6%
Assist %
63.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence109.0 · 111.8Defence107.8 · 110.0Shooting51.0% · 51.8%3-point %33.7% · 34.2%Ball care18.5% · 18.1%Off. rebounds36.4% · 37.4%Free throws0.30 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Murcia   ■ Valencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Murcia wins
6
Valencia wins
DateGameScore
18/02/22Valencia v Murcia83-86
26/09/21Valencia v Murcia86-91
30/04/21Murcia v Valencia66-80
20/12/20Valencia v Murcia89-78
10/03/19Valencia v Murcia89-65
07/10/18Murcia v Valencia68-81
01/04/18Valencia v Murcia73-84
22/10/17Murcia v Valencia91-93
14/05/17Valencia v Murcia67-70
08/01/17Murcia v Valencia75-78
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/22HBreogan91-72
19/03/22AFuenlabrada95-105
13/03/22HMoraBanc Andorra96-67
09/03/22HSan Pablo Burgos83-89
05/03/22AUnicaja88-87
19/02/22HBarcelona90-103
18/02/22AValencia86-83
06/02/22ATenerife71-87
26/01/22ABasket Zaragoza78-91
23/01/22HTenerife88-86
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/22ABursaspor89-92
20/03/22HBasket Zaragoza81-79
16/03/22HVenezia86-80
14/03/22HManresa90-85
12/03/22AJoventut Badalona68-76
08/03/22AJL Bourg88-77
05/03/22HBarcelona86-76
18/02/22HMurcia83-86
13/02/22ABreogan82-99
09/02/22HVirtus Bologna83-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Murcia
ACB 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW57%
HomeLWLWW73%
AwayWLLWL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %57%73%42%
Points / game87.085.388.5
Allowed / game82.577.587.1
Point differential+4.4+7.7+1.4
Avg total169.5162.8175.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%36%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)80% (5)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Valencia
ACB 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW65%
HomeWWWWW58%
AwayWWWLL73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %65%58%73%
Points / game83.385.081.4
Allowed / game80.080.479.5
Point differential+3.3+4.6+1.9
Avg total163.2165.4160.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%33%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (13)43% (7)83% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona2319483%84.374.0+10.3
2 Real Madrid2418675%83.174.2+8.9
3 Manresa2517868%86.781.3+5.4
4 Joventut Badalona2416867%80.977.7+3.2
5 Valencia2315865%83.380.0+3.3
6 Tenerife2314961%82.079.0+3.1
7 Murcia23131057%87.082.5+4.4
8 Baskonia24131154%80.580.0+0.5
9 Gran Canaria24121250%78.880.9-2.1
10 Breogan25121348%83.582.3+1.2
11 Bilbao23111248%82.385.5-3.2
12 Unicaja2391439%81.379.6+1.7
13 Fuenlabrada2481633%82.987.1-4.2
14 San Pablo Burgos2481633%77.682.4-4.8
15 MoraBanc Andorra2581732%78.683.2-4.6
16 Obradoiro CAB2581732%80.285.5-5.3
17 Basket Zaragoza2581732%76.082.9-6.9
18 Real Betis2361726%74.885.0-10.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Murcia1314222271
Valencia1721221272
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