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Valencia vs Manresa Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 16 May 2027
Tip-off: 16:00
Scheduled
Position#2
Record6-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game100.6
Allowed / game89.1
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.8/10
Around normal
5.2/10
Around normal
Position#16
Record2-6
FormLWWWW
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game101.0
SpainACBRound 33· Roig Arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Valencia v Manresa
16 May 2027
VAL v MAN
upcoming
04 Jan 2026
VAL103
MAN76
25 Jan 2025
VAL112
MAN96
22 Oct 2023
VAL84
MAN79
15 Jan 2023
VAL103
MAN92
14 Mar 2022
VAL90
MAN85
07 Mar 2021
VAL112
MAN82
10 Nov 2018
VAL89
MAN76
29 Dec 2016
VAL100
MAN55
13 Mar 2016
VAL83
MAN56
25 Apr 2015
VAL84
MAN81
18 May 2014
VAL92
MAN59
19 May 2013
VAL90
MAN59
26 Nov 2011
VAL75
MAN67
15 May 2011
VAL81
MAN68
12 Dec 2009
VAL92
MAN74
02 Nov 2008
VAL75
MAN82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Manresa win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Murcia
#10
W
116-93
116
93
+23
113avg 104
H18/10
ACB
Paris
#14
W
104-93
104
93
+11
98avg 104
A23/10
Euroleague
Baskonia
#5
W
84-75
84
75
+9
69avg 104
H25/10
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
W
86-78
86
78
+8
73avg 104
H27/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#4
L
94-98
94
98
-4
86avg 104
A30/10
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#17
W
111-79
111
79
+32
107avg 104
A01/11
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
84-73
84
73
+11
no box
A05/11
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#15
W
100-93
100
93
+7
no box
A08/11
ACB
Bayern
#18
W
102-87
102
87
+15
no box
H12/11
Euroleague
Leyma Coruna
#14
W
111-97
111
97
+14
no box
H15/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-14
33-22
28-24
30-33
32-26
25-28
26-16
21-23
27-19
14-16
18-18
25-22
19-9
17-16
24-21
26-32
25-30
17-14
26-25
26-29
20-21
26-18
31-29
34-11
24-15
16-22
11-22
33-14
22-27
19-25
30-20
29-21
29-19
23-22
21-24
29-22
27-24
36-24
27-24
21-25
185.8Avg total
99.2Scored
86.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)100.689.1189.8+11.575%
Season at home (4)102.892.5195.2+10.275%
Season away (4)98.585.8184.2+12.875%
Last 10 (10)99.286.6185.8+12.690%
Last 5 (5)101.685.8187.4+15.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)89.085.0174.0+4.067%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)99.387.6186.9+11.781%
This opponent (Manresa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ManresaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormManresa
Date
Competition
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
L
88-100
88
100
-12
82avg 81
A13/10
Eurocup
Unicaja
#8
L
72-84
72
84
-12
59avg 81
H17/10
ACB
BC Roma
#18
W
108-88
108
88
+20
103avg 81
H20/10
Eurocup
San Pablo Burgos
#15
L
81-99
81
99
-18
74avg 81
H24/10
ACB
Balkan
#32
W
76-65
76
65
+11
75avg 81
A27/10
Eurocup
Baskonia
#5
L
83-106
83
106
-23
79avg 81
A01/11
ACB
Lietkabelis
#21
W
80-66
80
66
+14
no box
A04/11
Eurocup
Obradoiro CAB
#13
W
100-99 OT
100
99
+1
no box
H07/11
ACB
KK Bosna
#23
W
86-82
86
82
+4
no box
H10/11
Eurocup
Forca Lleida
#18
W
98-92
98
92
+6
no box
A15/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-32
24-21
22-23
22-24
16-22
19-26
22-16
15-20
32-21
25-25
25-24
26-18
20-34
17-18
26-29
18-18
25-17
14-19
15-14
22-15
22-30
18-20
24-33
19-23
24-14
21-14
22-17
13-21
19-19
16-17
20-12
18-25
24-20
16-22
24-25
22-15
32-25
22-21
23-25
21-21
175.3Avg total
87.2Scored
88.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)88.0101.0189.0-13.025%
Season at home (4)87.095.8182.8-8.825%
Season away (4)89.0106.2195.2-17.225%
Last 10 (10)87.288.1175.3-0.960%
Last 5 (5)89.489.0178.4+0.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)87.795.9183.5-8.233%
vs Similar (9)88.188.7176.8-0.656%
vs Weaker (6)88.380.3168.7+8.083%
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: -0.4-0.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: -0.4-0.4
ValenciaManresa
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murcia
#10
W
58-36
58
36
+22
H18/10
ACB
Paris
#14
W
57-54
57
54
+3
A23/10
Euroleague
Baskonia
#5
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H25/10
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
W
36-25
36
25
+11
H27/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#4
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A30/10
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#17
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A01/11
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A05/11
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#15
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A08/11
ACB
Bayern
#18
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H12/11
Euroleague
Leyma Coruna
#14
W
63-48
63
48
+15
H15/11
ACB
88.7Avg total
47.6Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.641.188.6+6.577%-
Last 30 at home (16)50.040.190.1+9.981%-
Last 30 away (14)44.842.186.9+2.671%-
Last 10 (10)47.641.188.7+6.580%-
Last 5 (5)48.443.491.8+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)45.331.376.7+14.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)47.842.190.0+5.774%-
This opponent (Manresa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ManresaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
L
44-53
44
53
-9
A13/10
Eurocup
Unicaja
#8
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H17/10
ACB
BC Roma
#18
W
57-46
57
46
+11
H20/10
Eurocup
San Pablo Burgos
#15
L
37-52
37
52
-15
H24/10
ACB
Balkan
#32
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A27/10
Eurocup
Baskonia
#5
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A01/11
ACB
Lietkabelis
#21
W
45-28
45
28
+17
A04/11
Eurocup
Obradoiro CAB
#13
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H07/11
ACB
KK Bosna
#23
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H10/11
Eurocup
Forca Lleida
#18
W
54-46
54
46
+8
A15/11
ACB
86.3Avg total
42.6Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.244.487.6-1.250%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.544.488.9+0.153%-
Last 30 away (15)41.944.386.2-2.547%-
Last 10 (10)42.643.786.3-1.140%-
Last 5 (5)42.840.483.2+2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)41.547.589.0-6.127%-
vs Similar (9)44.042.986.9+1.178%-
vs Weaker (6)46.338.785.0+7.767%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 95.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.6 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.025.0
56.8%
55.8%50.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.210.1
34.6%
36.4%30.3
🏀 Free throws20.715.6
75.4%
76.0%15.6
They take 73.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Manresatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Manresa: 86.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.6 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.121.8
60.4%
55.8%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.88.8
31.7%
36.4%26.4
🏀 Free throws21.616.5
76.4%
76.0%16.5
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 May 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
WWWWWLWWWW
Manresa
WWWWLWLWLL
#2
League position
#16
+8.9
Net rating
-8.7
108.3
Offensive rating
94.2
99.4
Defensive rating
103.0
54.8%
Effective FG%
54.8%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
56.9%
8.8%
Turnover %
18.4%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.34
34.6%
3-point %
31.7%
51.0%
Assist %
65.7%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence108.3 · 94.2Defence99.4 · 103.0Shooting54.8% · 54.8%3-point %34.6% · 31.7%Ball care8.8% · 18.4%Free throws0.28 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)90% · 60%
■ Valencia   ■ Manresa
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Valencia wins
4
Manresa wins
DateGameScore
03/05/26Manresa v Valencia104-102
04/01/26Valencia v Manresa103-76
25/01/25Valencia v Manresa112-96
28/09/24Manresa v Valencia77-73
28/04/24Manresa v Valencia98-96
22/10/23Valencia v Manresa84-79
07/05/23Manresa v Valencia87-82
15/01/23Valencia v Manresa103-92
14/03/22Valencia v Manresa90-85
24/09/21Manresa v Valencia69-89
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HLeyma Coruna111-97
12/11/26HBayern102-87
08/11/26ASan Pablo Burgos100-93
05/11/26AOlimpia Milano84-73
01/11/26AMoraBanc Andorra111-79
30/10/26ABarcelona94-98
27/10/26HFenerbahce86-78
25/10/26HBaskonia84-75
23/10/26AParis104-93
18/10/26HMurcia116-93
Manresalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26AForca Lleida98-92
10/11/26HKK Bosna86-82
07/11/26HObradoiro CAB100-99 OT
04/11/26ALietkabelis80-66
01/11/26ABaskonia83-106
27/10/26ABalkan76-65
24/10/26HSan Pablo Burgos81-99
20/10/26HBC Roma108-88
17/10/26HUnicaja72-84
13/10/26ABahcesehir Kol.88-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW75%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %75%75%75%
Points / game100.6102.898.5
Allowed / game89.192.585.8
Point differential+11.5+10.2+12.8
Avg total189.8195.2184.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Manresa
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW25%
HomeLLLW25%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %25%25%25%
Points / game88.087.089.0
Allowed / game101.095.8106.2
Point differential-13.0-8.8-17.2
Avg total189.0182.8195.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %12%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid880100%105.285.1+20.1
2 Valencia86275%100.689.1+11.5
3 Tenerife86275%87.179.6+7.5
4 Barcelona86275%98.693.0+5.6
5 Baskonia85362%93.686.0+7.6
6 Breogan85362%104.8100.1+4.6
7 Basket Zaragoza85362%92.889.1+3.6
8 Unicaja84450%87.984.1+3.8
9 Bilbao84450%90.091.5-1.5
10 Murcia84450%89.491.1-1.8
11 Basquet Girona84450%88.195.4-7.2
12 Joventut Badalona83538%90.590.4+0.1
13 Obradoiro CAB83538%89.498.0-8.6
14 Leyma Coruna83538%92.5101.2-8.8
15 San Pablo Burgos82625%91.493.0-1.6
16 Manresa82625%88.0101.0-13.0
17 MoraBanc Andorra81712%86.496.5-10.1
18 Forca Lleida81712%92.8104.6-11.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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