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Valencia vs Tenerife Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 20 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 11:30
Scheduled
Position#2
Record6-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game100.6
Allowed / game89.1
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.8/10
Around normal
5.2/10
Around normal
Position#3
Record6-2
FormLWWWW
Points / game87.1
Allowed / game79.6
SpainACBRound 13· Roig Arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Valencia v Tenerife
20 Dec 2026
VAL v TEN
upcoming
16 Nov 2025
VAL96
TEN79
12 Jun 2025
VAL105
TEN74
10 Jun 2025
VAL83
TEN65
13 Dec 2024
VAL96
TEN81
21 Apr 2024
VAL98
TEN73
05 Mar 2023
VAL77
TEN72
01 Apr 2022
VAL92
TEN88
22 Nov 2020
VAL89
TEN95
20 Apr 2019
VAL88
TEN73
18 Mar 2018
VAL74
TEN61
15 Feb 2018
VAL72
TEN79
18 Dec 2016
VAL74
TEN58
24 Apr 2016
VAL93
TEN75
03 Jan 2015
VAL98
TEN80
11 Jan 2014
VAL92
TEN67
16 Feb 2013
VAL105
TEN85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Tenerife win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Murcia
#10
W
116-93
116
93
+23
113avg 93
H18/10
ACB
Paris
#14
W
104-93
104
93
+11
98avg 93
A23/10
Euroleague
Baskonia
#5
W
84-75
84
75
+9
69avg 93
H25/10
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
W
86-78
86
78
+8
73avg 93
H27/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#4
L
94-98
94
98
-4
86avg 93
A30/10
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#17
W
111-79
111
79
+32
107avg 93
A01/11
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
84-73
84
73
+11
no box
A05/11
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#15
W
100-93
100
93
+7
no box
A08/11
ACB
Bayern
#18
W
102-87
102
87
+15
no box
H12/11
Euroleague
Leyma Coruna
#14
W
111-97
111
97
+14
no box
H15/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-14
33-22
28-24
30-33
32-26
25-28
26-16
21-23
27-19
14-16
18-18
25-22
19-9
17-16
24-21
26-32
25-30
17-14
26-25
26-29
20-21
26-18
31-29
34-11
24-15
16-22
11-22
33-14
22-27
19-25
30-20
29-21
29-19
23-22
21-24
29-22
27-24
36-24
27-24
21-25
185.8Avg total
99.2Scored
86.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)100.689.1189.8+11.575%
Season at home (4)102.892.5195.2+10.275%
Season away (4)98.585.8184.2+12.875%
Last 10 (10)99.286.6185.8+12.690%
Last 5 (5)101.685.8187.4+15.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (3)89.085.0174.0+4.067%
vs Weaker (27)99.387.6186.9+11.781%
This opponent (Tenerife) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TenerifeSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTenerife
Date
Competition
Maxima Roma
#11
W
96-71
96
71
+25
100avg 79
H14/10
Eurocup
Baskonia
#5
W
82-77
82
77
+5
76avg 79
H18/10
ACB
Frankfurt
#22
W
104-94
104
94
+10
97avg 79
A21/10
Eurocup
Obradoiro CAB
#13
W
106-76
106
76
+30
109avg 79
H25/10
ACB
Venezia
#14
W
82-80
82
80
+2
74avg 79
H28/10
Eurocup
Leyma Coruna
#14
L
89-93
89
93
-4
78avg 79
A31/10
ACB
Cluj-Napoca
#29
W
113-73
113
73
+40
no box
H05/11
Eurocup
Joventut Badalona
#12
W
80-74
80
74
+6
no box
H08/11
ACB
Siauliai
#19
W
86-71
86
71
+15
no box
A11/11
Eurocup
MoraBanc Andorra
#17
W
90-84
90
84
+6
no box
A14/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-14
19-19
20-15
31-23
25-18
14-18
15-24
28-17
14-22
17-21
43-23
30-28
20-19
29-14
30-17
27-26
24-25
24-16
17-25
17-14
18-18
29-21
26-25
16-29
36-19
23-22
28-11
26-21
25-24
14-21
21-15
20-14
17-15
21-12
25-23
23-21
22-15
22-25
24-20
22-24
172.1Avg total
92.8Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)87.179.6166.8+7.575%
Season at home (4)87.077.0164.0+10.075%
Season away (4)87.282.2169.5+5.075%
Last 10 (10)92.879.3172.1+13.590%
Last 5 (5)91.679.0170.6+12.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)86.396.1182.4-9.822%
vs Similar ◀ (6)81.884.5166.3-2.733%
vs Weaker (15)91.783.0174.7+8.773%
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +5.1+5.1Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: +2.3+2.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +5.1+5.1Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: +2.3+2.3
ValenciaTenerife
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murcia
#10
W
58-36
58
36
+22
H18/10
ACB
Paris
#14
W
57-54
57
54
+3
A23/10
Euroleague
Baskonia
#5
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H25/10
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
W
36-25
36
25
+11
H27/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#4
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A30/10
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#17
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A01/11
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A05/11
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#15
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A08/11
ACB
Bayern
#18
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H12/11
Euroleague
Leyma Coruna
#14
W
63-48
63
48
+15
H15/11
ACB
88.7Avg total
47.6Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.641.188.6+6.577%-
Last 30 at home (16)50.040.190.1+9.981%-
Last 30 away (14)44.842.186.9+2.671%-
Last 10 (10)47.641.188.7+6.580%-
Last 5 (5)48.443.491.8+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (3)45.331.376.7+14.0100%-
vs Weaker (27)47.842.190.0+5.774%-
This opponent (Tenerife) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TenerifeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maxima Roma
#11
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H14/10
Eurocup
Baskonia
#5
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H18/10
ACB
Frankfurt
#22
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A21/10
Eurocup
Obradoiro CAB
#13
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H25/10
ACB
Venezia
#14
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H28/10
Eurocup
Leyma Coruna
#14
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A31/10
ACB
Cluj-Napoca
#29
W
59-41
59
41
+18
H05/11
Eurocup
Joventut Badalona
#12
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H08/11
ACB
Siauliai
#19
W
38-27
38
27
+11
A11/11
Eurocup
MoraBanc Andorra
#17
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A14/11
ACB
81.7Avg total
43.9Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.141.684.7+1.560%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.740.284.9+4.571%-
Last 30 away (16)41.742.984.6-1.250%-
Last 10 (10)43.937.881.7+6.180%-
Last 5 (5)45.438.483.8+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)42.446.088.4-3.644%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)39.839.078.8+0.850%-
vs Weaker (15)44.840.184.9+4.773%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 95.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.6 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.025.0
56.8%
55.8%50.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.210.1
34.6%
36.4%30.3
🏀 Free throws20.715.6
75.4%
76.0%15.6
They take 73.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tenerifetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tenerife: 88.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.6 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.419.0
55.2%
55.8%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.911.4
42.4%
36.4%34.2
🏀 Free throws21.016.6
79.0%
76.0%16.6
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
WWWWWLWWWW
Tenerife
WWWWLWWWWW
#2
League position
#3
+8.9
Net rating
+9.9
108.3
Offensive rating
105.9
99.4
Defensive rating
96.0
54.8%
Effective FG%
58.9%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
52.5%
8.8%
Turnover %
13.8%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.34
34.6%
3-point %
42.4%
51.0%
Assist %
66.4%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence108.3 · 105.9Defence99.4 · 96.0Shooting54.8% · 58.9%3-point %34.6% · 42.4%Ball care8.8% · 13.8%Free throws0.28 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)90% · 90%
■ Valencia   ■ Tenerife
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Valencia wins
1
Tenerife wins
DateGameScore
14/03/26Tenerife v Valencia89-71
16/11/25Valencia v Tenerife96-79
14/06/25Tenerife v Valencia87-94
12/06/25Valencia v Tenerife105-74
10/06/25Valencia v Tenerife83-65
25/05/25Tenerife v Valencia99-102
13/12/24Valencia v Tenerife96-81
21/04/24Valencia v Tenerife98-73
27/09/23Tenerife v Valencia86-94
05/03/23Valencia v Tenerife77-72
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HLeyma Coruna111-97
12/11/26HBayern102-87
08/11/26ASan Pablo Burgos100-93
05/11/26AOlimpia Milano84-73
01/11/26AMoraBanc Andorra111-79
30/10/26ABarcelona94-98
27/10/26HFenerbahce86-78
25/10/26HBaskonia84-75
23/10/26AParis104-93
18/10/26HMurcia116-93
Tenerifelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AMoraBanc Andorra90-84
11/11/26ASiauliai86-71
08/11/26HJoventut Badalona80-74
05/11/26HCluj-Napoca113-73
31/10/26ALeyma Coruna89-93
28/10/26HVenezia82-80
25/10/26HObradoiro CAB106-76
21/10/26AFrankfurt104-94
18/10/26HBaskonia82-77
14/10/26HMaxima Roma96-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW75%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %75%75%75%
Points / game100.6102.898.5
Allowed / game89.192.585.8
Point differential+11.5+10.2+12.8
Avg total189.8195.2184.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Tenerife
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW75%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %75%75%75%
Points / game87.187.087.2
Allowed / game79.677.082.2
Point differential+7.5+10.0+5.0
Avg total166.8164.0169.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%25%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid770100%106.385.3+21.0
2 Valencia86275%100.689.1+11.5
3 Tenerife86275%87.179.6+7.5
4 Barcelona86275%98.693.0+5.6
5 Baskonia75271%95.084.3+10.7
6 Breogan85362%104.8100.1+4.6
7 Basket Zaragoza85362%92.889.1+3.6
8 Unicaja84450%87.984.1+3.8
9 Bilbao84450%90.091.5-1.5
10 Murcia84450%89.491.1-1.8
11 Basquet Girona84450%88.195.4-7.2
12 Joventut Badalona83538%90.590.4+0.1
13 Obradoiro CAB83538%89.498.0-8.6
14 Leyma Coruna83538%92.5101.2-8.8
15 San Pablo Burgos82625%91.493.0-1.6
16 Manresa82625%88.0101.0-13.0
17 MoraBanc Andorra81712%86.496.5-10.1
18 Forca Lleida81712%92.8104.6-11.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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