Valga vs Rapla Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 05 Nov 2016

Tip-off: 15:00

Final 76-82

16-22 18-24 19-23 23-13

Position#6

Record3-1

FormLWLLL

Points / game77.5

Allowed / game80.8

Valga

Rapla 🏆

Position#3

Record2-1

FormWWWLW

Points / game84.7

Allowed / game77.7

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Other2016-17

Meetings · Valga v Rapla

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valga winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Rapla winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Valga

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

VEF Riga

79-84

-5

A04/05

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

#10

89-82

H29/09

LBL

Valmiera/ORDO

75-89

-14

A02/10

LBL

Tallinna Kalev

77-74

H04/10

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Rakvere Tarvas

86-85

A07/10

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Ventspils

65-96

-31

H11/10

LBL

Audentese

80-75

A18/10

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tartu Ulikool

67-89

-22

H21/10

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Jekabpils

88-100

100

-12

H26/10

LBL

Jurmala

64-81

-17

A29/10

LBL

16-28

29-19

12-17

22-20

27-20

20-15

28-22

14-25

20-24

21-25

18-26

16-14

16-24

19-12

20-22

22-16

22-21

17-22

27-16

20-26

25-23

13-24

19-25

8-24

25-23

23-15

17-17

15-20

22-20

17-22

9-29

19-18

28-21

20-33

26-23

14-23

13-17

12-20

26-21

13-23

162.5Avg total

77.0Scored

85.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (4)	77.5	80.8	158.2	-3.2	75%
Season at home (2)	72.0	81.5	153.5	-9.5	50%
Season away (2)	83.0	80.0	163.0	+3.0	100%
Last 10 (10)	77.0	85.5	162.5	-8.5	40%
Last 5 (5)	72.8	88.2	161.0	-15.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	78.5	90.5	169.1	-12.0	15%
vs Similar (5)	85.8	89.2	175.0	-3.4	40%
vs Weaker (5)	85.4	75.8	161.2	+9.6	100%

This opponent (Rapla) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Rapla

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tallinna Kalev

81-91

-10

H15/05

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tallinna Kalev

74-66

A17/05

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tallinna Kalev

79-76

H20/05

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

BC Kalev/Cramo

82-66

+16

H02/10

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tal Tech

82-100

100

-18

A09/10

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Nevezis

91-77

+14

H12/10

Baltic League

Rakvere Tarvas

90-67

+23

H15/10

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Parnu

#15

85-67

+18

H18/10

Baltic League

BK Liepaja

#12

54-78

-24

A25/10

Baltic League

Barons Kvartals

86-80 OT

A02/11

Baltic League

22-11

16-25

15-26

28-29

22-22

17-13

19-16

16-15

24-14

14-19

19-15

22-28

16-16

23-19

25-16

18-15

22-28

15-22

26-22

19-28

26-18

28-18

17-22

20-19

17-24

25-13

31-15

17-15

27-20

24-18

21-9

13-20

20-13

8-19

12-28

14-18

13-13

26-21

17-17

16-21

157.2Avg total

80.4Scored

76.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (3)	84.7	77.7	162.3	+7.0	67%
Season at home (2)	86.0	66.5	152.5	+19.5	100%
Season away (1)	82.0	100.0	182.0	-18.0	0%
Last 10 (10)	80.4	76.8	157.2	+3.6	70%
Last 5 (5)	81.2	73.8	155.0	+7.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	79.4	80.1	159.5	-0.8	50%
vs Similar (6)	76.5	80.5	157.0	-4.0	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	82.1	73.8	155.9	+8.3	70%

This opponent (Valga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

ValgaRapla

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	20.9	40.7	-1.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.6	19.7	41.4	+1.9	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.2	22.0	40.2	-3.8	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	22.1	43.5	-0.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	20.8	43.4	+1.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	20.0	20.9	41.0	-0.9	35%	-
vs Similar (5)	18.4	21.6	40.0	-3.2	40%	-
vs Weaker (5)	20.4	20.2	40.6	+0.2	60%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	19.4	39.1	+0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.5	17.8	37.3	+1.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.9	21.0	40.9	-1.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	17.9	38.8	+3.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	17.6	38.2	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	19.6	19.6	39.2	+0.1	50%	-
vs Similar (6)	21.8	18.5	40.3	+3.3	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	18.5	19.7	38.2	-1.2	40%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	21.4	40.5	-2.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.8	21.4	41.2	-1.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.6	21.4	39.9	-2.8	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	20.7	39.8	-1.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	22.8	39.8	-5.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	19.2	23.2	42.5	-4.1	30%	-
vs Similar (5)	18.2	19.0	37.2	-0.8	60%	-
vs Weaker (5)	19.8	16.4	36.2	+3.4	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	19.4	38.8	-0.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.9	19.9	41.9	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.8	18.9	35.7	-2.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	18.7	38.3	+0.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	17.8	40.0	+4.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	19.2	21.6	40.9	-2.4	57%	-
vs Similar (6)	16.3	19.0	35.3	-2.7	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	21.4	16.6	38.0	+4.8	60%	-

ValgaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

VEF Riga

45-47

-2

A04/05

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

#10

47-35

+12

H29/09

LBL

Valmiera/ORDO

41-49

-8

A02/10

LBL

Tallinna Kalev

35-36

-1

H04/10

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Rakvere Tarvas

39-43

-4

A07/10

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Ventspils

38-47

-9

H11/10

LBL

Audentese

48-38

+10

A18/10

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tartu Ulikool

39-42

-3

H21/10

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Jekabpils

48-54

-6

H26/10

LBL

Jurmala

25-37

-12

A29/10

LBL

83.3Avg total

40.5Scored

42.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.9	42.3	81.3	-3.4	23%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.4	41.1	82.6	+0.3	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.8	43.4	80.1	-6.6	12%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.5	42.8	83.3	-2.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.6	43.6	83.2	-4.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	39.2	44.2	83.4	-5.0	15%	-
vs Similar (5)	36.6	40.6	77.2	-4.0	20%	-
vs Weaker (5)	40.2	36.6	76.8	+3.6	60%	-

This opponent (Rapla) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

RaplaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tallinna Kalev

38-36

H15/05

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tallinna Kalev

39-35

A17/05

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tallinna Kalev

38-33

H20/05

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

BC Kalev/Cramo

39-35

H02/10

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tal Tech

37-50

-13

A09/10

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Nevezis

54-36

+18

H12/10

Baltic League

Rakvere Tarvas

42-37

H15/10

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Parnu

#15

51-38

+13

H18/10

Baltic League

BK Liepaja

#12

28-32

-4

A25/10

Baltic League

Barons Kvartals

39-34

A02/11

Baltic League

77.1Avg total

40.5Scored

36.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.1	38.8	77.9	+0.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.4	37.7	79.1	+3.7	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.7	39.9	76.7	-3.2	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.5	36.6	77.1	+3.9	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.8	35.4	78.2	+7.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	38.9	41.2	80.1	-2.4	50%	-
vs Similar (6)	38.2	37.5	75.7	+0.7	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	39.9	36.3	76.2	+3.6	60%	-

This opponent (Valga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	22.3	43.5	-1.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.2	23.4	43.6	-3.1	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.0	21.4	43.4	+0.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	21.8	42.0	-1.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	23.0	42.4	-3.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	19.7	23.6	43.3	-3.9	35%	-
vs Similar (5)	25.2	22.6	47.8	+2.6	60%	-
vs Weaker (5)	23.0	16.8	39.8	+6.2	60%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	17.3	36.8	+2.1	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.7	16.7	37.5	+4.0	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.1	17.9	36.1	+0.2	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	18.6	38.8	+1.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	18.2	37.8	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	18.1	16.9	35.1	+1.2	57%	-
vs Similar (6)	16.2	19.7	35.8	-3.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	23.2	16.5	39.7	+6.7	80%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	22.5	42.7	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.5	23.0	43.5	-2.5	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.9	22.1	42.0	-2.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.3	20.9	37.2	-4.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	13.8	21.6	35.4	-7.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	19.6	22.6	42.3	-3.0	45%	-
vs Similar (5)	22.8	23.4	46.2	-0.6	40%	-
vs Weaker (5)	19.6	21.2	40.8	-1.6	20%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	21.0	41.2	-0.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	20.7	41.6	+0.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.5	21.3	40.7	-1.8	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	20.8	39.1	-2.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	18.6	34.6	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	20.8	20.6	41.4	+0.1	57%	-
vs Similar (6)	20.8	21.7	42.5	-0.8	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	19.0	21.0	40.0	-2.0	30%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.3	44.9	86.2	-3.5	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.7	46.4	87.1	-5.6	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	41.9	43.6	85.4	-1.7	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.5	42.7	79.2	-6.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.2	44.6	77.8	-11.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	39.4	46.3	85.7	-6.9	20%	-
vs Similar (5)	48.0	46.0	94.0	+2.0	80%	-
vs Weaker (5)	42.6	38.0	80.6	+4.6	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.6	38.3	77.9	+1.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.7	37.4	79.1	+4.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.6	39.2	76.8	-1.6	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.5	39.4	77.9	-0.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.6	36.8	72.4	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	38.9	37.6	76.5	+1.4	50%	-
vs Similar (6)	37.0	41.3	78.3	-4.3	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	42.2	37.5	79.7	+4.7	60%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Valga wins

Rapla wins

Date	Game	Score
18/03/16	Rapla v Valga	83-65
26/02/16	Valga v Rapla	90-77
30/01/16	Rapla v Valga	99-93
15/12/15	Valga v Rapla	68-84
18/04/15	Valga v Rapla	69-88
16/04/15	Rapla v Valga	65-61
13/04/15	Valga v Rapla	67-84
10/04/15	Rapla v Valga	77-80
04/04/15	Rapla v Valga	72-64
17/02/15	Valga v Rapla	70-73

Valgalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
29/10/16	A	Jurmala	64-81
26/10/16	H	Jekabpils	88-100
21/10/16	H	Tartu Ulikool	67-89
18/10/16	A	Audentese	80-75
11/10/16	H	Ventspils	65-96
07/10/16	A	Rakvere Tarvas	86-85
04/10/16	H	Tallinna Kalev	77-74
02/10/16	A	Valmiera/ORDO	75-89
29/09/16	H	Latvijas Universitate	89-82
04/05/16	A	VEF Riga	79-84

Raplalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
02/11/16	A	Barons Kvartals	86-80 OT
25/10/16	A	BK Liepaja	54-78
18/10/16	H	Parnu	85-67
15/10/16	H	Rakvere Tarvas	90-67
12/10/16	H	Nevezis	91-77
09/10/16	A	Tal Tech	82-100
02/10/16	H	BC Kalev/Cramo	82-66
20/05/16	H	Tallinna Kalev	79-76
17/05/16	A	Tallinna Kalev	74-66
15/05/16	H	Tallinna Kalev	81-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valga

Korvpalli Meistriliiga 2016-17

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWL	75%
Home	WL	50%
Away	WW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	4	2	2
Win %	75%	50%	100%
Points / game	77.5	72.0	83.0
Allowed / game	80.8	81.5	80.0
Point differential	-3.2	-9.5	+3.0
Avg total	158.2	153.5	163.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (3)	100% (1)	100% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Rapla

Korvpalli Meistriliiga 2016-17

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLW	67%
Home	WW	100%
Away	L	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	3	2	1
Win %	67%	100%	0%
Points / game	84.7	86.0	82.0
Allowed / game	77.7	66.5	100.0
Point differential	+7.0	+19.5	-18.0
Avg total	162.3	152.5	182.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	67%	100%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Tartu Ulikool	4	4	0	100%	83.8	67.0	+16.8
2	Tal Tech	4	3	1	75%	82.5	76.5	+6.0
3	Valga	4	3	1	75%	77.5	80.8	-3.2
4	Rapla	3	2	1	67%	84.7	77.7	+7.0
5	Rakvere Tarvas	4	2	2	50%	74.5	76.5	-2.0
6	Parnu	4	2	2	50%	76.8	80.2	-3.5
7	Tallinna Kalev	4	0	4	0%	70.5	74.5	-4.0
8	BC Kalev/Cramo	2	0	2	0%	71.0	79.5	-8.5
9	Audentese	3	0	3	0%	69.0	83.7	-14.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Valga	16	18	19	23	76
Rapla	22	24	23	13	82

← all games of the day

Valga vs Rapla Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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