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Valga vs Rapla Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 13 Apr 2017
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 70-99
24-20 6-34 10-21 30-24
Position#6
Record10-18
FormLLWWL
Points / game80.4
Allowed / game82.8
vs
Rapla 🏆
Estonia
Position#3
Record18-10
FormWWLWW
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game73.1
EstoniaKorvpalli MeistriliigaKorvpalli Meistriliiga - Quarter-finals
Other2016-17
Meetings · Valga v Rapla
09 Jan 2019
VALG70
RAPL85
06 Jan 2018
VALG76
RAPL100
16 Dec 2017
VALG77
RAPL67
13 Apr 2017
VALG70
RAPL99
07 Mar 2017
VALG70
RAPL72
05 Nov 2016
VALG76
RAPL82
26 Feb 2016
VALG90
RAPL77
15 Dec 2015
VALG68
RAPL84
18 Apr 2015
VALG69
RAPL88
13 Apr 2015
VALG67
RAPL84
17 Feb 2015
VALG70
RAPL73
01 Nov 2014
VALG68
RAPL83
17 Jan 2014
VALG63
RAPL68
12 Nov 2013
VALG58
RAPL56
11 Jan 2013
VALG72
RAPL59
06 Nov 2012
VALG66
RAPL69
24 Jan 2012
VALG77
RAPL104
22 Nov 2011
VALG58
RAPL63
25 Mar 2011
VALG76
RAPL59
29 Oct 2010
VALG81
RAPL86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rapla winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValgaEstoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tal Tech
#5
L
77-102
77
102
-25
A01/03
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#3
L
70-72
70
72
-2
H07/03
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rakvere Tarvas
#8
W
97-76
97
76
+21
A11/03
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BK Ogre
#8
L
89-98
89
98
-9
A15/03
LBL
Tallinna Kalev
#7
W
84-59
84
59
+25
A21/03
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#3
L
78-80
78
80
-2
A25/03
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BK Liepaja
#6
L
85-108
85
108
-23
A29/03
LBL
Parnu
#4
W
90-74
90
74
+16
A01/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rakvere Tarvas
#8
W
100-70
100
70
+30
H04/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#3
L
71-92
71
92
-21
A11/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-34
21-17
15-28
19-23
18-19
17-20
20-15
15-18
36-19
20-30
17-13
24-14
17-30
26-23
24-24
22-21
28-17
17-13
17-15
22-14
14-19
30-27
20-18
14-16
25-30
19-27
19-31
22-20
17-19
22-18
17-9
34-28
28-20
28-8
21-23
23-19
11-34
21-15
18-22
21-21
167.2Avg total
84.1Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)80.482.8163.2-2.436%
Season at home (15)79.582.9162.3-3.420%
Season away (13)81.582.7164.2-1.254%
Last 10 (10)84.183.1167.2+1.040%
Last 5 (5)84.884.8169.6+0.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)74.490.5164.9-16.110%
vs Similar (6)78.587.2165.7-8.717%
vs Weaker (3)101.766.3168.0+35.3100%
This opponent (Rapla) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RaplaEstoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Parnu
#4
L
49-64
49
64
-15
A28/02
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
77-80
77
80
-3
H03/03
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Valga
#6
W
72-70
72
70
+2
A07/03
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
65-68
65
68
-3
H10/03
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rakvere Tarvas
#8
W
92-57
92
57
+35
H14/03
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#4
W
93-91 OT
93
91
+2
H18/03
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Valga
#6
W
80-78
80
78
+2
H25/03
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tallinna Kalev
#7
L
72-76
72
76
-4
A28/03
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tal Tech
#5
W
89-83
89
83
+6
H02/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Valga
#6
W
92-71
92
71
+21
H11/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-19
13-12
9-18
9-15
20-15
10-19
13-19
34-27
19-18
20-17
15-20
18-15
17-13
19-15
10-27
19-13
22-14
26-16
16-10
28-17
15-25
20-17
26-14
22-27
19-14
27-30
18-20
16-14
18-18
15-22
21-17
18-19
19-15
23-26
15-23
32-19
34-11
15-21
22-18
21-21
151.9Avg total
78.1Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)79.773.1152.8+6.664%
Season at home (16)82.672.2154.8+10.475%
Season away (12)75.974.3150.2+1.650%
Last 10 (10)78.173.8151.9+4.360%
Last 5 (5)85.279.8165.0+5.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)71.380.1151.4-8.90%
vs Similar (6)70.568.5139.0+2.067%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)83.670.9154.5+12.776%
This opponent (Valga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +3.0+3.0
ValgaRapla
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValgaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tal Tech
#5
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A01/03
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#3
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H07/03
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rakvere Tarvas
#8
W
56-49
56
49
+7
A11/03
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BK Ogre
#8
L
43-53
43
53
-10
A15/03
LBL
Tallinna Kalev
#7
W
45-30
45
30
+15
A21/03
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#3
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A25/03
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BK Liepaja
#6
L
44-57
44
57
-13
A29/03
LBL
Parnu
#4
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A01/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rakvere Tarvas
#8
W
56-28
56
28
+28
H04/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#3
L
32-49
32
49
-17
A11/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
87.6Avg total
43.7Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.844.283.0-5.430%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.041.180.1-2.143%-
Last 30 away (16)38.647.085.6-8.419%-
Last 10 (10)43.743.987.6-0.240%-
Last 5 (5)43.043.486.4-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)36.145.881.9-9.719%-
vs Similar (6)39.245.284.3-6.033%-
vs Weaker (3)57.031.388.3+25.7100%-
This opponent (Rapla) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RaplaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Parnu
#4
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A28/02
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H03/03
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Valga
#6
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A07/03
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tartu Ulikool
#2
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H10/03
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rakvere Tarvas
#8
W
48-30
48
30
+18
H14/03
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#4
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H18/03
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Valga
#6
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H25/03
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tallinna Kalev
#7
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A28/03
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tal Tech
#5
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H02/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Valga
#6
W
49-32
49
32
+17
H11/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
74.6Avg total
38.9Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.435.776.2+4.763%-
Last 30 at home (18)42.235.577.7+6.772%-
Last 30 away (12)37.836.173.9+1.850%-
Last 10 (10)38.935.774.6+3.260%-
Last 5 (5)41.039.880.8+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)34.339.774.0-5.414%-
vs Similar (6)36.035.871.8+0.233%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)44.534.178.6+10.594%-
This opponent (Valga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Valga wins
9
Rapla wins
DateGameScore
11/04/17Rapla v Valga92-71
25/03/17Rapla v Valga80-78
07/03/17Valga v Rapla70-72
10/12/16Rapla v Valga87-59
05/11/16Valga v Rapla76-82
18/03/16Rapla v Valga83-65
26/02/16Valga v Rapla90-77
30/01/16Rapla v Valga99-93
15/12/15Valga v Rapla68-84
18/04/15Valga v Rapla69-88
Valgalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/04/17ARapla71-92
04/04/17HRakvere Tarvas100-70
01/04/17AParnu90-74
29/03/17ABK Liepaja85-108
25/03/17ARapla78-80
21/03/17ATallinna Kalev84-59
15/03/17ABK Ogre89-98
11/03/17ARakvere Tarvas97-76
07/03/17HRapla70-72
01/03/17ATal Tech77-102
Raplalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/04/17HValga92-71
02/04/17HTal Tech89-83
28/03/17ATallinna Kalev72-76
25/03/17HValga80-78
18/03/17HParnu93-91 OT
14/03/17HRakvere Tarvas92-57
10/03/17HTartu Ulikool65-68
07/03/17AValga72-70
03/03/17HBC Kalev/Cramo77-80
28/02/17AParnu49-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valga
Korvpalli Meistriliiga 2016-17
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL36%
HomeLLWLW20%
AwayWWLWL54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281513
Win %36%20%54%
Points / game80.479.581.5
Allowed / game82.882.982.7
Point differential-2.4-3.4-1.2
Avg total163.2162.3164.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%13%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)33% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Rapla
Korvpalli Meistriliiga 2016-17
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW64%
HomeWWWWW75%
AwayWWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281612
Win %64%75%50%
Points / game79.782.675.9
Allowed / game73.172.274.3
Point differential+6.6+10.4+1.6
Avg total152.8154.8150.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)60% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %4%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Kalev/Cramo1917289%88.472.3+16.1
2 Tartu Ulikool2522388%85.567.8+17.8
3 Rapla28181064%79.773.1+6.6
4 Parnu28161257%78.275.6+2.6
5 Tal Tech28141450%80.480.8-0.4
6 Valga28101836%80.482.8-2.4
7 Tallinna Kalev28101836%74.878.8-3.9
8 Rakvere Tarvas2872125%75.188.7-13.6
9 Audentese160160%64.191.6-27.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valga246103070
Rapla2034212499
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