PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Valga vs Rapla Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Dec 2017
Tip-off: 15:05
Final 77-67
21-16 19-21 16-12 21-18
Position#4
Record7-3
FormLLWLL
Points / game85.9
Allowed / game77.5
Valga 🏆
Estonia
vs
Position#3
Record6-4
FormWLWLW
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game73.8
Meetings · Valga v Rapla
09 Jan 2019
VALG70
RAPL85
06 Jan 2018
VALG76
RAPL100
16 Dec 2017
VALG77
RAPL67
13 Apr 2017
VALG70
RAPL99
07 Mar 2017
VALG70
RAPL72
05 Nov 2016
VALG76
RAPL82
26 Feb 2016
VALG90
RAPL77
15 Dec 2015
VALG68
RAPL84
18 Apr 2015
VALG69
RAPL88
13 Apr 2015
VALG67
RAPL84
17 Feb 2015
VALG70
RAPL73
01 Nov 2014
VALG68
RAPL83
17 Jan 2014
VALG63
RAPL68
12 Nov 2013
VALG58
RAPL56
11 Jan 2013
VALG72
RAPL59
06 Nov 2012
VALG66
RAPL69
24 Jan 2012
VALG77
RAPL104
22 Nov 2011
VALG58
RAPL63
25 Mar 2011
VALG76
RAPL59
29 Oct 2010
VALG81
RAPL86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rapla winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValgaEstoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
73-97
73
97
-24
A31/10
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#5
W
93-87
93
87
+6
H04/11
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Latvijas Universitate
#8
W
73-62
73
62
+11
H08/11
LBL
BK Liepaja
#7
L
77-80
77
80
-3
H11/11
LBL
Tartu Ulikool
#2
W
91-87
91
87
+4
H17/11
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Jurmala
#3
L
68-74
68
74
-6
A21/11
LBL
BK Ogre
#4
L
61-65
61
65
-4
A25/11
LBL
Tallinna Kalev
#6
W
73-60
73
60
+13
H01/12
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#5
L
66-83
66
83
-17
A08/12
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
67-91
67
91
-24
H13/12
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-29
15-20
15-22
27-26
25-16
21-21
18-27
29-23
16-14
12-11
24-11
21-26
21-16
15-24
16-12
25-28
21-17
30-21
20-24
20-25
23-22
16-20
12-16
17-16
21-18
10-11
10-19
20-17
17-22
9-15
22-9
25-14
15-23
14-10
16-21
21-29
12-27
21-17
19-21
15-26
152.8Avg total
74.2Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)85.977.5163.4+8.470%
Season at home (7)90.073.7163.7+16.386%
Season away (3)76.386.3162.7-10.033%
Last 10 (10)74.278.6152.8-4.440%
Last 5 (5)67.074.6141.6-7.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)74.887.0161.8-12.219%
vs Similar (10)80.974.4155.3+6.570%
vs Weaker (4)94.565.2159.8+29.275%
This opponent (Rapla) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RaplaEstoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
76-78 OT
76
78
-2
A05/10
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tallinna Kalev
#6
W
78-56
78
56
+22
A09/10
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tartu Ulikool
#2
W
84-78
84
78
+6
H14/10
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#5
W
78-73
78
73
+5
A18/10
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Valga
#4
L
79-90
79
90
-11
H28/10
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Audentese
#9
W
92-60
92
60
+32
H04/11
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tallinna Kalev
#6
L
70-76
70
76
-6
A11/11
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tal Tech
#7
W
73-72
73
72
+1
A19/11
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
64-75
64
75
-11
A01/12
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tal Tech
#7
W
88-80
88
80
+8
H09/12
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-25
13-12
18-16
21-15
18-20
27-10
23-13
10-13
20-20
19-15
22-23
23-20
20-20
9-27
24-14
25-12
18-29
21-21
20-17
20-23
21-13
30-11
17-20
24-16
13-19
16-16
32-7
9-34
15-21
19-16
21-18
18-17
21-20
19-18
12-21
12-16
29-17
21-17
19-21
19-25
152.0Avg total
78.2Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)78.273.8152.0+4.460%
Season at home (4)85.877.0162.8+8.875%
Season away (6)73.271.7144.8+1.550%
Last 10 (10)78.273.8152.0+4.460%
Last 5 (5)77.472.6150.0+4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)69.074.5143.5-5.527%
vs Similar (5)73.676.2149.8-2.660%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)83.673.1156.7+10.479%
This opponent (Valga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -1.0-1.0
ValgaRapla
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValgaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A31/10
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#5
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H04/11
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Latvijas Universitate
#8
W
28-25
28
25
+3
H08/11
LBL
BK Liepaja
#7
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H11/11
LBL
Tartu Ulikool
#2
W
51-38
51
38
+13
H17/11
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Jurmala
#3
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A21/11
LBL
BK Ogre
#4
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A25/11
LBL
Tallinna Kalev
#6
L
26-37
26
37
-11
H01/12
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#5
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A08/12
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H13/12
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
72.4Avg total
35.0Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.540.680.1-1.150%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.938.177.0+0.757%-
Last 30 away (16)40.142.782.8-2.644%-
Last 10 (10)35.037.472.4-2.440%-
Last 5 (5)31.637.068.6-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)37.945.082.9-7.131%-
vs Similar (10)38.336.875.1+1.560%-
vs Weaker (4)48.832.281.0+16.5100%-
This opponent (Rapla) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RaplaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A05/10
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tallinna Kalev
#6
W
45-30
45
30
+15
A09/10
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tartu Ulikool
#2
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H14/10
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#5
L
29-47
29
47
-18
A18/10
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Valga
#4
L
39-50
39
50
-11
H28/10
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Audentese
#9
W
51-24
51
24
+27
H04/11
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tallinna Kalev
#6
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A11/11
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tal Tech
#7
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A19/11
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tartu Ulikool
#2
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A01/12
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tal Tech
#7
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H09/12
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
75.2Avg total
38.5Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.935.774.6+3.257%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.435.977.3+5.469%-
Last 30 away (14)36.135.571.6+0.643%-
Last 10 (10)38.536.775.2+1.850%-
Last 5 (5)40.833.674.4+7.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)35.533.568.9+2.055%-
vs Similar (5)34.838.673.4-3.840%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)43.136.579.6+6.664%-
This opponent (Valga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Valga wins
8
Rapla wins
DateGameScore
28/10/17Rapla v Valga79-90
17/04/17Rapla v Valga94-85
13/04/17Valga v Rapla70-99
11/04/17Rapla v Valga92-71
25/03/17Rapla v Valga80-78
07/03/17Valga v Rapla70-72
10/12/16Rapla v Valga87-59
05/11/16Valga v Rapla76-82
18/03/16Rapla v Valga83-65
26/02/16Valga v Rapla90-77
Valgalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/17HBC Kalev/Cramo67-91
08/12/17AParnu66-83
01/12/17HTallinna Kalev73-60
25/11/17ABK Ogre61-65
21/11/17AJurmala68-74
17/11/17HTartu Ulikool91-87
11/11/17HBK Liepaja77-80
08/11/17HLatvijas Universitate73-62
04/11/17HParnu93-87
31/10/17ABC Kalev/Cramo73-97
Raplalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/17HTal Tech88-80
01/12/17ATartu Ulikool64-75
19/11/17ATal Tech73-72
11/11/17ATallinna Kalev70-76
04/11/17HAudentese92-60
28/10/17HValga79-90
18/10/17AParnu78-73
14/10/17HTartu Ulikool84-78
09/10/17ATallinna Kalev78-56
05/10/17ABC Kalev/Cramo76-78 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valga
Korvpalli Meistriliiga 2017-18
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL70%
HomeWWWWL86%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1073
Win %70%86%33%
Points / game85.990.076.3
Allowed / game77.573.786.3
Point differential+8.4+16.3-10.0
Avg total163.4163.7162.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%57%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Rapla
Korvpalli Meistriliiga 2017-18
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW60%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayWWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %60%75%50%
Points / game78.285.873.2
Allowed / game73.877.071.7
Point differential+4.4+8.8+1.5
Avg total152.0162.8144.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%25%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %10%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Kalev/Cramo990100%90.068.3+21.7
2 Valga107370%85.977.5+8.4
3 Rapla106460%78.273.8+4.4
4 Tartu Ulikool95456%80.074.3+5.7
5 Tallinna Kalev105550%74.778.1-3.4
6 Parnu104640%80.276.8+3.4
7 Tal Tech91811%75.279.6-4.3
8 Audentese7070%55.1103.0-47.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valga2119162177
Rapla1621121867
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.