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Valga vs Tallinna Kalev Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Mar 2019
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 78-90
14-33 18-20 22-17 24-20
Position#13
Record6-18
FormWLLLL
Points / game70.9
Allowed / game81.2
vs
Position#10
Record10-14
FormLLLLL
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game79.3
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League
Other2018
Meetings · Valga v Tallinna Kalev
09 Mar 2019
VALG78
TALL90
01 Dec 2017
VALG73
TALL60
20 Oct 2017
VALG99
TALL77
10 Jan 2017
VALG87
TALL103
04 Oct 2016
VALG77
TALL74
05 Apr 2016
VALG85
TALL106
12 Jan 2016
VALG100
TALL108
10 Mar 2015
VALG88
TALL61
25 Oct 2014
VALG73
TALL66
14 Oct 2014
VALG86
TALL75
21 Feb 2014
VALG54
TALL71
22 Oct 2013
VALG81
TALL86
15 Mar 2013
VALG66
TALL58
13 Nov 2012
VALG68
TALL58
23 Mar 2012
VALG76
TALL82
01 Nov 2011
VALG76
TALL88
23 Feb 2011
VALG79
TALL89
07 Nov 2010
VALG61
TALL97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tallinna Kalev winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValgaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ventspils
#1
L
56-77
56
77
-21
A12/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Jurmala
#7
W
85-66
85
66
+19
A19/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#4
L
73-86
73
86
-13
A26/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#12
W
74-69
74
69
+5
H30/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#3
L
54-88
54
88
-34
H07/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#11
W
84-76
84
76
+8
A10/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
L
79-91 OT
79
91
-12
A13/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Jekabpils
#15
L
59-70
59
70
-11
H20/02
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#2
L
54-82
54
82
-28
H27/02
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#14
L
80-102
80
102
-22
H06/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-20
21-22
12-16
10-19
22-23
16-21
18-15
29-7
10-24
23-18
21-17
19-27
15-16
14-14
22-27
23-12
10-22
14-25
12-21
18-20
14-17
16-19
25-22
29-18
18-18
16-19
12-13
20-16
15-14
22-25
10-17
12-14
12-26
12-20
18-24
12-12
28-19
12-29
20-25
20-29
150.5Avg total
69.8Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)70.981.2152.1-10.425%
Season at home (13)66.481.2147.6-14.815%
Season away (11)76.281.3157.5-5.136%
Last 10 (10)69.880.7150.5-10.930%
Last 5 (5)71.284.2155.4-13.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)69.284.9154.1-15.711%
vs Similar (9)75.079.7154.7-4.744%
vs Weaker (2)69.065.5134.5+3.550%
This opponent (Tallinna Kalev) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tallinna KalevLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rapla
#9
W
87-69
87
69
+18
A22/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#4
L
77-94
77
94
-17
A09/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#11
L
84-88
84
88
-4
H19/01
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#2
L
83-93
83
93
-10
H23/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#12
W
86-63
86
63
+23
A27/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Jurmala
#7
L
96-99 OT
96
99
-3
H02/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#6
L
82-84
82
84
-2
H06/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#1
L
65-84
65
84
-19
H09/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#9
L
83-86 OT
83
86
-3
H14/02
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#3
L
92-93
92
93
-1
A27/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-21
24-13
17-18
20-17
18-20
18-19
21-32
20-23
20-17
19-22
24-22
21-27
24-29
11-20
28-25
20-19
26-19
20-19
21-11
19-14
12-23
22-24
22-20
29-18
29-20
21-26
17-19
15-19
19-20
8-29
18-11
20-24
21-12
16-18
17-21
23-26
21-21
25-30
19-28
27-14
168.8Avg total
83.5Scored
85.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)79.879.3159.1+0.442%
Season at home (13)83.883.6167.4+0.238%
Season away (11)75.074.3149.3+0.745%
Last 10 (10)83.585.3168.8-1.820%
Last 5 (5)83.689.2172.8-5.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)71.984.9156.7-13.021%
vs Similar (4)77.880.2158.0-2.525%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)83.973.7157.6+10.267%
This opponent (Valga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.2-4.2Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: -4.6-4.6Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +1.3+1.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.2-4.2Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: -4.6-4.6Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +1.3+1.3
ValgaTallinna Kalev
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValgaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ventspils
#1
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A12/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Jurmala
#7
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A19/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#4
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A26/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#12
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H30/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#3
L
24-47
24
47
-23
H07/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#11
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A10/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A13/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Jekabpils
#15
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H20/02
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#2
L
24-46
24
46
-22
H27/02
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#14
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H06/03
Latvia-Estonian League
73.4Avg total
32.3Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.241.474.6-8.213%-
Last 30 at home (15)31.841.973.7-10.17%-
Last 30 away (15)34.740.975.6-6.320%-
Last 10 (10)32.341.173.4-8.80%-
Last 5 (5)33.041.274.2-8.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)32.543.676.1-11.15%-
vs Similar (9)33.438.271.7-4.822%-
vs Weaker (2)39.535.074.5+4.550%-
This opponent (Tallinna Kalev) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tallinna KalevLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rapla
#9
W
50-34
50
34
+16
A22/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#4
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A09/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#11
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H19/01
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#2
L
35-49
35
49
-14
H23/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#12
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A27/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Jurmala
#7
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H02/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#6
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H06/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#1
L
27-49
27
49
-22
H09/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#9
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H14/02
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#3
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A27/02
Latvia-Estonian League
82.2Avg total
40.0Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.640.578.1-2.933%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.441.279.6-2.840%-
Last 30 away (15)36.839.976.7-3.127%-
Last 10 (10)40.042.282.2-2.240%-
Last 5 (5)38.844.683.4-5.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)35.144.679.8-9.57%-
vs Similar (4)34.240.074.2-5.80%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)41.635.977.5+5.775%-
This opponent (Valga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Valga wins
5
Tallinna Kalev wins
Valgalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/19HBK Liepaja80-102
27/02/19HVEF Riga54-82
20/02/19HJekabpils59-70
13/02/19AParnu79-91 OT
10/02/19ALatvijas Universitate84-76
07/02/19HBC Kalev/Cramo54-88
30/01/19HValmiera Glass Via74-69
26/01/19ABK Ogre73-86
19/01/19AJurmala85-66
12/01/19AVentspils56-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/19ABC Kalev/Cramo92-93
14/02/19HRapla83-86 OT
09/02/19HVentspils65-84
06/02/19HTartu Ulikool82-84
02/02/19HJurmala96-99 OT
27/01/19AValmiera Glass Via86-63
23/01/19HVEF Riga83-93
19/01/19HLatvijas Universitate84-88
09/01/19ABK Ogre77-94
22/12/18ARapla87-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valga
Latvia-Estonian League 2018
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL25%
HomeWLLLL15%
AwayLWLWL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241311
Win %25%15%36%
Points / game70.966.476.2
Allowed / game81.281.281.3
Point differential-10.4-14.8-5.1
Avg total152.1147.6157.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%0%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %4%0%9%
Tallinna Kalev
Latvia-Estonian League 2018
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL42%
HomeLLLLL38%
AwayLWLWL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241311
Win %42%38%45%
Points / game79.883.875.0
Allowed / game79.383.674.3
Point differential+0.4+0.2+0.7
Avg total159.1167.4149.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%23%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won30% (10)29% (7)33% (3)
Overtime %12%23%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ventspils2625196%89.571.0+18.5
2 VEF Riga2624292%91.470.3+21.0
3 BC Kalev/Cramo2321291%92.072.5+19.5
4 Tal Tech2314961%81.982.5-0.6
5 BK Ogre25151060%90.183.1+7.0
6 Tartu Ulikool23121152%80.980.7+0.2
7 Jurmala26131350%77.578.8-1.4
8 Rapla25121348%79.481.2-1.8
9 Tallinna Kalev24101442%79.879.3+0.4
10 Parnu25101540%76.480.5-4.1
11 Latvijas Universitate2371630%69.377.6-8.3
12 Valmiera Glass Via2571828%79.886.2-6.4
13 Valga2461825%70.981.2-10.4
14 BK Liepaja2461825%76.588.1-11.7
15 Jekabpils262248%67.590.2-22.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valga1418222478
Tallinna Kalev3320172090
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