Valga vs BK Liepaja Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 Apr 2016

Tip-off: 14:00

Final 84-67

30-7 21-24 13-17 20-19

Position#7

Record10-9

FormWLLLW

Points / game78.8

Allowed / game85.8

Valga 🏆

BK Liepaja

Position#4

Record21-9

FormWLWLW

Points / game83.1

Allowed / game74.2

LBL

Other2015-16

Meetings · Valga v BK Liepaja

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valga winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

BK Liepaja winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Valga

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Rapla

90-77

+13

H26/02

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Barons Kvartals

89-98

-9

H02/03

LBL

Jurmala

86-98

-12

A05/03

LBL

Parnu

78-89

-11

A08/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Rakvere Tarvas

90-84

H11/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Latvijas Universitate

#11

82-79

A16/03

LBL

Rapla

65-83

-18

A18/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Rakvere Tarvas

87-95

-8

A23/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tallinna Kalev

97-108

108

-11

A26/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

BK Ogre

#10

81-74 OT

A30/03

LBL

19-19

20-19

23-21

28-18

18-21

16-26

31-23

24-28

23-21

14-23

23-20

26-34

10-25

23-22

26-19

19-23

26-20

25-14

21-23

18-27

12-21

22-8

27-28

21-22

13-17

11-26

20-18

21-22

23-25

25-26

26-23

13-21

22-33

20-24

28-28

27-23

15-15

13-19

25-13

15-21

173.0Avg total

84.5Scored

88.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (19)	78.8	85.8	164.6	-7.0	53%
Season at home (9)	81.4	83.8	165.2	-2.3	56%
Season away (10)	76.4	87.6	164.0	-11.2	50%
Last 10 (10)	84.5	88.5	173.0	-4.0	40%
Last 5 (5)	82.4	87.8	170.2	-5.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	80.6	90.8	171.5	-10.2	24%
vs Similar (8)	78.8	83.9	162.6	-5.1	38%
vs Weaker (5)	88.0	76.6	164.6	+11.4	100%

This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BK Liepaja Latvia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Valmiera/ORDO

71-82

-11

A17/02

LBL

BK Ogre

#10

99-81

+18

H20/02

LBL

Rakvere Tarvas

93-87

H23/02

Baltic League

Jurmala

83-64

+19

A27/02

LBL

Tartu Ulikool

66-93

-27

A01/03

Baltic League

Jelgava

93-70

+23

A05/03

LBL

Tartu Ulikool

76-80

-4

H08/03

Baltic League

BK Ogre

#10

86-77

A12/03

LBL

Ventspils

70-83

-13

H19/03

LBL

Jekabpils

94-77

+17

A26/03

LBL

12-13

14-23

17-23

28-23

27-16

26-28

26-24

20-13

25-21

17-19

21-24

30-23

14-16

23-17

26-10

20-21

18-24

14-25

16-25

18-19

27-12

15-19

30-21

21-18

22-23

22-19

12-19

20-19

36-18

22-20

16-23

12-16

19-19

17-27

15-15

19-22

28-19

16-13

24-18

26-27

162.5Avg total

83.1Scored

79.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (30)	83.1	74.2	157.3	+8.9	70%
Season at home (15)	86.3	76.5	162.9	+9.8	80%
Season away (15)	79.8	71.9	151.7	+7.9	60%
Last 10 (10)	83.1	79.4	162.5	+3.7	60%
Last 5 (5)	83.8	77.4	161.2	+6.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	81.2	90.3	171.5	-9.2	17%
vs Similar (9)	78.3	75.3	153.7	+3.0	56%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	83.7	73.9	157.5	+9.8	80%

This opponent (Valga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

ValgaBK Liepaja

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	22.0	41.3	-2.7	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.7	21.8	41.5	-2.1	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.9	22.2	41.1	-3.3	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	21.7	39.8	-3.6	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	22.2	39.2	-5.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	19.4	22.8	42.2	-3.4	35%	-
vs Similar (8)	19.1	22.4	41.5	-3.2	38%	-
vs Weaker (5)	19.4	18.6	38.0	+0.8	40%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	17.8	39.2	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.9	19.0	40.9	+2.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.9	16.7	37.6	+4.3	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.8	18.1	40.9	+4.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.4	18.2	44.6	+8.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	21.5	21.3	42.8	+0.2	50%	-
vs Similar (9)	18.8	17.3	36.1	+1.4	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	22.9	16.7	39.7	+6.2	73%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	19.7	38.7	-0.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.4	20.3	39.7	-0.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.5	19.0	37.5	-0.5	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	20.7	39.6	-1.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	20.6	38.8	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	18.7	21.4	40.1	-2.7	35%	-
vs Similar (8)	16.6	18.6	35.2	-2.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (5)	23.6	15.6	39.2	+8.0	80%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	19.3	38.2	-0.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.9	21.3	41.3	-1.4	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.9	17.3	35.2	+0.7	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	21.0	39.6	-2.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	19.6	38.0	-1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	16.0	22.3	38.3	-6.3	17%	-
vs Similar (9)	21.1	20.9	42.0	+0.2	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	18.8	17.1	35.9	+1.7	67%	-

ValgaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Rapla

39-38

H26/02

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Barons Kvartals

34-47

-13

H02/03

LBL

Jurmala

37-44

-7

A05/03

LBL

Parnu

33-47

-14

A08/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Rakvere Tarvas

51-34

+17

H11/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Latvijas Universitate

#11

34-29

A16/03

LBL

Rapla

24-43

-19

A18/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Rakvere Tarvas

48-51

-3

A23/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tallinna Kalev

42-57

-15

A26/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

BK Ogre

#10

28-34

-6

A30/03

LBL

79.4Avg total

37.0Scored

42.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.3	41.7	80.0	-3.4	30%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.1	42.1	81.2	-3.1	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.4	41.2	78.6	-3.8	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.0	42.4	79.4	-5.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.2	42.8	78.0	-7.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	38.1	44.2	82.4	-6.1	12%	-
vs Similar (8)	35.8	41.0	76.8	-5.2	38%	-
vs Weaker (5)	43.0	34.2	77.2	+8.8	80%	-

This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BK LiepajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Valmiera/ORDO

26-36

-10

A17/02

LBL

BK Ogre

#10

53-44

H20/02

LBL

Rakvere Tarvas

42-40

H23/02

Baltic League

Jurmala

37-33

A27/02

LBL

Tartu Ulikool

32-49

-17

A01/03

Baltic League

Jelgava

42-31

+11

A05/03

LBL

Tartu Ulikool

44-42

H08/03

Baltic League

BK Ogre

#10

58-38

+20

A12/03

LBL

Ventspils

36-46

-10

H19/03

LBL

Jekabpils

44-32

+12

A26/03

LBL

80.5Avg total

41.4Scored

39.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.3	37.1	77.5	+3.2	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.8	40.3	82.1	+1.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.9	33.9	72.8	+4.9	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.4	39.1	80.5	+2.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.8	37.8	82.6	+7.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	37.5	43.7	81.2	-6.2	33%	-
vs Similar (9)	39.9	38.2	78.1	+1.7	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	41.7	33.9	75.6	+7.9	80%	-

This opponent (Valga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	22.9	43.9	-2.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.5	23.6	44.1	-3.1	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.5	22.2	43.7	-0.7	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.0	21.6	46.6	+3.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.2	22.0	47.2	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	20.9	24.1	45.1	-3.2	35%	-
vs Similar (8)	19.9	21.4	41.2	-1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (5)	22.8	21.4	44.2	+1.4	60%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	18.8	38.6	+1.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.1	19.7	38.8	-0.5	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.5	17.9	38.5	+2.6	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	20.2	40.5	+0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	19.2	38.6	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	18.3	18.0	36.3	+0.3	33%	-
vs Similar (9)	19.1	18.8	37.9	+0.3	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	20.9	19.1	40.0	+1.7	53%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	21.3	42.8	+0.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.1	19.9	41.0	+1.2	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.9	23.0	44.9	-1.1	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	23.9	45.1	-2.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	21.8	41.2	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	21.6	22.5	44.1	-0.9	41%	-
vs Similar (8)	22.4	19.9	42.2	+2.5	62%	-
vs Weaker (5)	19.6	19.8	39.4	-0.2	40%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	19.5	38.8	-0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.5	20.1	41.5	+1.4	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.1	18.9	36.0	-1.9	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	20.1	41.5	+1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	20.4	40.0	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	16.8	20.3	37.2	-3.5	33%	-
vs Similar (9)	19.3	18.3	37.7	+1.0	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	20.2	19.9	40.1	+0.3	53%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.4	44.3	86.7	-1.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.6	43.4	85.1	-1.8	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	43.4	45.2	88.6	-1.9	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.2	45.5	91.7	+0.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.6	43.8	88.4	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	42.5	46.6	89.1	-4.1	29%	-
vs Similar (8)	42.2	41.2	83.5	+1.0	75%	-
vs Weaker (5)	42.4	41.2	83.6	+1.2	40%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.1	38.3	77.4	+0.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.6	39.7	80.3	+0.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.6	36.9	74.5	+0.7	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.7	40.3	82.0	+1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.0	39.6	78.6	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	35.2	38.3	73.5	-3.2	33%	-
vs Similar (9)	38.4	37.1	75.6	+1.3	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	41.1	39.0	80.1	+2.1	60%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Valga wins

BK Liepaja wins

Date	Game	Score
29/12/15	BK Liepaja v Valga	96-73
16/11/12	Valga v BK Liepaja	60-57
04/10/12	BK Liepaja v Valga	96-66

Valgalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
30/03/16	A	BK Ogre	81-74 OT
26/03/16	A	Tallinna Kalev	97-108
23/03/16	A	Rakvere Tarvas	87-95
18/03/16	A	Rapla	65-83
16/03/16	A	Latvijas Universitate	82-79
11/03/16	H	Rakvere Tarvas	90-84
08/03/16	A	Parnu	78-89
05/03/16	A	Jurmala	86-98
02/03/16	H	Barons Kvartals	89-98
26/02/16	H	Rapla	90-77

BK Liepajalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
26/03/16	A	Jekabpils	94-77
19/03/16	H	Ventspils	70-83
12/03/16	A	BK Ogre	86-77
08/03/16	H	Tartu Ulikool	76-80
05/03/16	A	Jelgava	93-70
01/03/16	A	Tartu Ulikool	66-93
27/02/16	A	Jurmala	83-64
23/02/16	H	Rakvere Tarvas	93-87
20/02/16	H	BK Ogre	99-81
17/02/16	A	Valmiera/ORDO	71-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valga

LBL 2015-16

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWW	53%
Home	WLWLL	56%
Away	WWLWW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	19	9	10
Win %	53%	56%	50%
Points / game	78.8	81.4	76.4
Allowed / game	85.8	83.8	87.6
Point differential	-7.0	-2.3	-11.2
Avg total	164.6	165.2	164.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	11%	22%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (5)	100% (1)	100% (4)
Overtime %	5%	0%	10%

BK Liepaja

LBL 2015-16

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	70%
Home	LWWWL	80%
Away	LWWWW	60%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	30	15	15
Win %	70%	80%	60%
Points / game	83.1	86.3	79.8
Allowed / game	74.2	76.5	71.9
Point differential	+8.9	+9.8	+7.9
Avg total	157.3	162.9	151.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	40%	40%	40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (6)	100% (3)	33% (3)
Overtime %	7%	7%	7%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Valmiera/ORDO	30	24	6	80%	83.9	73.1	+10.8
2	VEF Riga	17	13	4	76%	88.8	74.1	+14.8
3	Ventspils	29	22	7	76%	86.5	68.3	+18.2
4	BK Liepaja	30	21	9	70%	83.1	74.2	+8.9
5	Jekabpils	30	16	14	53%	78.2	79.9	-1.7
6	Jurmala	32	17	15	53%	80.8	78.5	+2.4
7	Valga	19	10	9	53%	78.8	85.8	-7.0
8	Barons Kvartals	30	11	19	37%	78.7	81.8	-3.1
9	Jelgava	31	9	22	29%	70.2	79.9	-9.7
10	BK Ogre	32	7	25	22%	73.6	88.2	-14.7
11	Latvijas Universitate	30	5	25	17%	71.4	84.7	-13.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Valga	30	21	13	20	84
BK Liepaja	7	24	17	19	67

← all games of the day

Valga vs BK Liepaja Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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