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Valencia vs Breogan Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 May 2019
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 83-82
23-10 24-27 26-22 10-23
Position#4
Record19-10
FormLWWWW
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game78.4
Valencia 🏆
Spain
vs
Breogan
Spain
Position#18
Record9-20
FormWLLWL
Points / game76.6
Allowed / game83.5
SpainACBRound 30
Domestic2018-19
Meetings · Valencia v Breogan
22 Nov 2026
VAL v BRE
upcoming
05 Apr 2026
VAL105
BRE88
30 May 2025
VAL108
BRE61
14 Jan 2024
VAL88
BRE80
24 May 2023
VAL77
BRE80
19 Dec 2021
VAL97
BRE98
04 May 2019
VAL83
BRE82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Breogan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Unics Kazan
#2
W
79-73
79
73
+6
74avg 104
A22/03
Eurocup
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
93-80
93
80
+13
90avg 104
H24/03
ACB
Gran Canaria
#11
L
92-111
92
111
-19
86avg 104
A30/03
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
W
73-72
73
72
+1
63avg 104
A05/04
ACB
Alba Berlin
#4
W
89-75
89
75
+14
91avg 104
H09/04
Eurocup
Alba Berlin
#4
L
92-95 OT
92
95
-3
no box
A12/04
Eurocup
Alba Berlin
#4
W
89-63
89
63
+26
90avg 104
H15/04
Eurocup
Tenerife
#7
W
88-73
88
73
+15
91avg 104
H20/04
ACB
Unicaja
#5
W
96-57
96
57
+39
no box
H24/04
ACB
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#9
W
91-89
91
89
+2
83avg 104
A27/04
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-16
16-20
17-16
23-21
15-19
26-28
32-12
20-21
23-26
16-30
25-32
28-23
15-16
22-21
11-21
25-14
20-13
21-25
30-15
18-22
21-23
18-19
20-20
24-21
17-18
29-15
17-11
26-19
25-13
12-21
31-24
20-15
25-16
23-11
19-16
29-14
21-23
27-29
23-18
20-19
167.0Avg total
88.2Scored
78.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)81.878.4160.2+3.466%
Season at home (14)86.975.2162.1+11.779%
Season away (15)77.181.3158.4-4.353%
Last 10 (10)88.278.8167.0+9.480%
Last 5 (5)91.275.4166.6+15.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)81.771.7153.4+10.086%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)83.777.4161.1+6.377%
This opponent (Breogan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BreoganSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreogan
Date
Competition
Murcia
#14
W
77-73
77
73
+4
104avg 93
H10/02
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
L
73-75
73
75
-2
100avg 93
A02/03
ACB
Baskonia
#3
L
72-90
72
90
-18
98avg 93
H10/03
ACB
Gipuzkoa
#17
L
65-100
65
100
-35
84avg 93
A16/03
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#13
L
92-96
92
96
-4
78avg 93
H24/03
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
88-81
88
81
+7
80avg 93
A30/03
ACB
Barcelona
#2
L
75-92
75
92
-17
64avg 93
H07/04
ACB
Estudiantes
#16
L
62-95
62
95
-33
40avg 93
A14/04
ACB
Unicaja
#5
W
83-75
83
75
+8
72avg 93
H21/04
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
89-94
89
94
-5
77avg 93
A27/04
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-21
20-13
18-21
23-18
9-21
20-12
21-26
23-16
14-19
25-20
19-18
14-33
12-27
18-25
12-26
23-22
21-30
30-28
25-17
16-21
20-19
15-21
21-17
32-24
21-15
17-31
12-25
25-21
11-23
18-24
17-25
16-23
16-17
15-13
20-19
32-26
24-24
22-15
16-33
27-22
164.7Avg total
77.6Scored
87.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)76.683.5160.1-7.031%
Season at home (14)78.178.6156.7-0.650%
Season away (15)75.188.1163.2-12.913%
Last 10 (10)77.687.1164.7-9.530%
Last 5 (5)79.487.4166.8-8.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)76.484.5160.9-8.221%
vs Similar (10)76.981.6158.5-4.750%
vs Weaker (1)91.065.0156.0+26.0100%
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -5.2-5.2Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q3: -4.6-4.6Q4Q4: +4.4+4.4Q4: +0.5+0.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -5.2-5.2Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q3: -4.6-4.6Q4Q4: +4.4+4.4Q4: +0.5+0.5
ValenciaBreogan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unics Kazan
#2
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A22/03
Eurocup
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
41-47
41
47
-6
H24/03
ACB
Gran Canaria
#11
L
39-56
39
56
-17
A30/03
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A05/04
ACB
Alba Berlin
#4
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H09/04
Eurocup
Alba Berlin
#4
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A12/04
Eurocup
Alba Berlin
#4
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H15/04
Eurocup
Tenerife
#7
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H20/04
ACB
Unicaja
#5
W
48-27
48
27
+21
H24/04
ACB
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#9
L
48-52
48
52
-4
A27/04
ACB
81.7Avg total
41.5Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.938.578.4+1.453%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.336.377.6+4.967%-
Last 30 away (15)38.540.779.2-2.140%-
Last 10 (10)41.540.281.7+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)43.637.681.2+6.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)37.336.774.0+0.643%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)40.839.179.9+1.655%-
This opponent (Breogan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BreoganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murcia
#14
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H10/02
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A02/03
ACB
Baskonia
#3
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H10/03
ACB
Gipuzkoa
#17
L
30-52
30
52
-22
A16/03
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#13
L
51-58
51
58
-7
H24/03
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A30/03
ACB
Barcelona
#2
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H07/04
ACB
Estudiantes
#16
L
29-47
29
47
-18
A14/04
ACB
Unicaja
#5
W
31-30
31
30
+1
H21/04
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A27/04
ACB
78.2Avg total
36.4Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.938.975.7-2.040%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.437.176.5+2.353%-
Last 30 away (15)34.340.775.0-6.327%-
Last 10 (10)36.441.878.2-5.430%-
Last 5 (5)35.840.476.2-4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)36.339.175.4-2.726%-
vs Similar (10)36.838.875.6-2.060%-
vs Weaker (1)48.036.084.0+12.0100%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 85.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.919.1
56.3%
52.5%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.611.3
42.5%
36.6%33.9
🏀 Free throws17.713.2
74.6%
74.6%13.2
They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Breogantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breogan: 76.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.620.2
47.4%
52.5%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.27.0
28.9%
36.6%21.0
🏀 Free throws21.215.2
71.7%
74.6%15.2
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 May 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
WWWWLWWLWW
Breogan
LWLLWLLLLW
#4
League position
#18
+15.6
Net rating
-13.0
123.5
Offensive rating
103.0
107.9
Defensive rating
116.1
59.6%
Effective FG%
46.0%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
56.9%
16.5%
Turnover %
14.4%
35.1%
Off. rebound %
30.9%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.32
42.5%
3-point %
28.9%
64.5%
Assist %
51.1%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence123.5 · 103.0Defence107.9 · 116.1Shooting59.6% · 46.0%3-point %42.5% · 28.9%Ball care16.5% · 14.4%Off. rebounds35.1% · 30.9%Free throws0.29 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)80% · 30%
■ Valencia   ■ Breogan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Valencia wins
0
Breogan wins
DateGameScore
20/01/19Breogan v Valencia65-77
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/04/19ATecnyconta Zaragoza91-89
24/04/19HUnicaja96-57
20/04/19HTenerife88-73
15/04/19HAlba Berlin89-63
12/04/19AAlba Berlin92-95 OT
09/04/19HAlba Berlin89-75
05/04/19AMoraBanc Andorra73-72
30/03/19AGran Canaria92-111
24/03/19HJoventut Badalona93-80
22/03/19AUnics Kazan79-73
Breoganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/04/19AReal Madrid89-94
21/04/19HUnicaja83-75
14/04/19AEstudiantes62-95
07/04/19HBarcelona75-92
30/03/19AJoventut Badalona88-81
24/03/19HFuenlabrada92-96
16/03/19AGipuzkoa65-100
10/03/19HBaskonia72-90
02/03/19AObradoiro CAB73-75
10/02/19HMurcia77-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
ACB 2018-19
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW66%
HomeLWWWW79%
AwayWLLWW53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %66%79%53%
Points / game81.886.977.1
Allowed / game78.475.281.3
Point differential+3.4+11.7-4.3
Avg total160.2162.1158.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%71%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)50% (2)83% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Breogan
ACB 2018-19
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL31%
HomeWLLLW50%
AwayLLWLL13%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %31%50%13%
Points / game76.678.175.1
Allowed / game83.578.688.1
Point differential-7.0-0.6-12.9
Avg total160.1156.7163.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%21%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)33% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %3%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona2923679%87.176.6+10.5
2 Real Madrid2923679%88.078.6+9.4
3 Baskonia2922776%86.374.1+12.2
4 Valencia29191066%81.878.4+3.4
5 Unicaja30181260%83.882.0+1.8
6 Manresa29161355%81.682.4-0.8
7 Joventut Badalona30161453%80.580.1+0.4
8 Tecnyconta Zaragoza29151452%83.285.7-2.5
9 Tenerife30151550%80.978.9+2.0
10 MoraBanc Andorra29131645%83.183.1+0.0
11 San Pablo Burgos29131645%82.583.2-0.7
12 Gran Canaria29111838%82.884.7-1.9
13 Obradoiro CAB29111838%78.282.1-3.8
14 Fuenlabrada29111838%82.189.8-7.7
15 Estudiantes30102033%82.687.2-4.6
16 Murcia2992031%78.482.3-4.0
17 Gipuzkoa2992031%75.682.4-6.9
18 Breogan2992031%76.683.5-7.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valencia2324261083
Breogan1027222382
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