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Real Madrid vs Breogan Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Apr 2019
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 94-89
24-24 15-22 33-16 22-27
Position#1
Record21-6
FormWWWWW
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game78.1
vs
Position#18
Record9-19
FormLWLLW
Points / game76.1
Allowed / game83.1
SpainACBRound 29
Domestic2018-19
Meetings · Real Madrid v Breogan
18 Apr 2027
MAD v BRE
upcoming
10 May 2026
MAD97
BRE101
15 Dec 2024
MAD106
BRE69
03 Dec 2023
MAD91
BRE58
22 Jan 2023
MAD91
BRE73
17 Apr 2022
MAD90
BRE65
17 Feb 2022
MAD73
BRE67
27 Apr 2019
MAD94
BRE89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Breogan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#8
L
76-86
76
86
-10
66avg 111
A22/03
Euroleague
Barcelona
#2
L
76-82
76
82
-6
64avg 111
H24/03
ACB
Panathinaikos
#7
W
74-73
74
73
+1
65avg 111
A28/03
Euroleague
Tenerife
#7
W
91-82
91
82
+9
88avg 111
A31/03
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
86-93
86
93
-7
81avg 111
H04/04
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#11
W
77-71
77
71
+6
71avg 111
A07/04
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
94-70
94
70
+24
95avg 111
H14/04
ACB
Panathinaikos
#7
W
75-72
75
72
+3
70avg 111
H17/04
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#7
W
78-63
78
63
+15
79avg 111
H19/04
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#7
W
89-82
89
82
+7
89avg 111
A23/04
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
18-17
17-25
23-22
17-17
23-28
17-17
19-20
14-32
19-13
20-14
21-14
22-22
27-18
26-19
16-23
27-25
10-21
23-20
26-27
14-18
13-17
24-14
26-22
20-22
25-21
26-13
23-14
21-17
22-18
15-17
17-20
21-8
14-18
26-15
17-22
23-18
13-23
22-17
31-24
159.0Avg total
81.6Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)88.078.1166.1+9.978%
Season at home (14)90.476.9167.2+13.586%
Season away (13)85.579.5165.0+5.969%
Last 10 (10)81.677.4159.0+4.270%
Last 5 (5)82.671.6154.2+11.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)85.882.0167.8+3.860%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)85.878.9164.7+6.875%
This opponent (Breogan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BreoganSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreogan
Date
Competition
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#9
L
69-83
69
83
-14
no box
A02/02
ACB
Murcia
#14
W
77-73
77
73
+4
104avg 94
H10/02
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
L
73-75
73
75
-2
100avg 94
A02/03
ACB
Baskonia
#3
L
72-90
72
90
-18
98avg 94
H10/03
ACB
Gipuzkoa
#17
L
65-100
65
100
-35
84avg 94
A16/03
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#13
L
92-96
92
96
-4
78avg 94
H24/03
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
88-81
88
81
+7
80avg 94
A30/03
ACB
Barcelona
#2
L
75-92
75
92
-17
64avg 94
H07/04
ACB
Estudiantes
#16
L
62-95
62
95
-33
40avg 94
A14/04
ACB
Unicaja
#5
W
83-75
83
75
+8
72avg 94
H21/04
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-15
15-22
18-24
15-22
16-21
20-13
18-21
23-18
9-21
20-12
21-26
23-16
14-19
25-20
19-18
14-33
12-27
18-25
12-26
23-22
21-30
30-28
25-17
16-21
20-19
15-21
21-17
32-24
21-15
17-31
12-25
25-21
11-23
18-24
17-25
16-23
16-17
15-13
20-19
32-26
161.6Avg total
75.6Scored
86.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)76.183.1159.2-7.032%
Season at home (14)78.178.6156.7-0.650%
Season away (14)74.187.6161.8-13.514%
Last 10 (10)75.686.0161.6-10.430%
Last 5 (5)80.087.8167.8-7.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)75.784.0159.7-8.322%
vs Similar (10)76.981.6158.5-4.750%
vs Weaker (2)92.075.5167.5+16.5100%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -4.6-4.6Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +4.5+4.5Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -0.7-0.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -4.6-4.6Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +4.5+4.5Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -0.7-0.7
Real MadridBreogan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#8
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A22/03
Euroleague
Barcelona
#2
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H24/03
ACB
Panathinaikos
#7
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A28/03
Euroleague
Tenerife
#7
W
49-40
49
40
+9
A31/03
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H04/04
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#11
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A07/04
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H14/04
ACB
Panathinaikos
#7
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H17/04
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#7
W
35-26
35
26
+9
H19/04
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#7
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A23/04
Euroleague
77.6Avg total
38.1Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.639.782.3+2.957%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.640.784.3+2.962%-
Last 30 away (14)41.438.680.0+2.950%-
Last 10 (10)38.139.577.6-1.440%-
Last 5 (5)37.236.073.2+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)42.240.682.8+1.640%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)42.439.882.1+2.658%-
This opponent (Breogan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BreoganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#9
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A02/02
ACB
Murcia
#14
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H10/02
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A02/03
ACB
Baskonia
#3
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H10/03
ACB
Gipuzkoa
#17
L
30-52
30
52
-22
A16/03
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#13
L
51-58
51
58
-7
H24/03
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A30/03
ACB
Barcelona
#2
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H07/04
ACB
Estudiantes
#16
L
29-47
29
47
-18
A14/04
ACB
Unicaja
#5
W
31-30
31
30
+1
H21/04
ACB
77.0Avg total
35.4Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.539.075.5-2.537%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.437.176.5+2.353%-
Last 30 away (15)33.740.974.6-7.320%-
Last 10 (10)35.441.677.0-6.220%-
Last 5 (5)36.844.281.0-7.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)35.839.174.8-3.322%-
vs Similar (10)36.838.875.6-2.060%-
vs Weaker (2)42.039.581.5+2.550%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.417.6
52.7%
52.5%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.510.2
34.6%
36.6%30.6
🏀 Free throws20.115.0
74.6%
74.6%15.0
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Breogantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breogan: 74.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.219.1
46.4%
52.5%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.36.8
28.0%
36.6%20.4
🏀 Free throws22.616.0
70.8%
74.6%16.0
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Apr 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
WWWWWLWWLL
Breogan
WLLWLLLLWL
#1
League position
#18
+5.7
Net rating
-14.2
110.2
Offensive rating
100.1
104.5
Defensive rating
114.3
52.3%
Effective FG%
44.7%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
57.6%
15.4%
Turnover %
16.0%
29.7%
Off. rebound %
31.1%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.35
34.6%
3-point %
28.0%
65.5%
Assist %
54.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence110.2 · 100.1Defence104.5 · 114.3Shooting52.3% · 44.7%3-point %34.6% · 28.0%Ball care15.4% · 16.0%Off. rebounds29.7% · 31.1%Free throws0.32 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Breogan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Real Madrid wins
1
Breogan wins
DateGameScore
16/12/18Breogan v Real Madrid84-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/04/19APanathinaikos89-82
19/04/19HPanathinaikos78-63
17/04/19HPanathinaikos75-72
14/04/19HObradoiro CAB94-70
07/04/19AGran Canaria77-71
04/04/19HZalgiris Kaunas86-93
31/03/19ATenerife91-82
28/03/19APanathinaikos74-73
24/03/19HBarcelona76-82
22/03/19ABaskonia76-86
Breoganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/04/19HUnicaja83-75
14/04/19AEstudiantes62-95
07/04/19HBarcelona75-92
30/03/19AJoventut Badalona88-81
24/03/19HFuenlabrada92-96
16/03/19AGipuzkoa65-100
10/03/19HBaskonia72-90
02/03/19AObradoiro CAB73-75
10/02/19HMurcia77-73
02/02/19ATecnyconta Zaragoza69-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
ACB 2018-19
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW78%
HomeWWWLW86%
AwayLWWWW69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %78%86%69%
Points / game88.090.485.5
Allowed / game78.176.979.5
Point differential+9.9+13.5+5.9
Avg total166.1167.2165.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%57%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Breogan
ACB 2018-19
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW32%
HomeWLLLW50%
AwayLLLWL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %32%50%14%
Points / game76.178.174.1
Allowed / game83.178.687.6
Point differential-7.0-0.6-13.5
Avg total159.2156.7161.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%21%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %4%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona2723485%88.075.9+12.1
2 Real Madrid2721678%88.078.1+9.9
3 Baskonia2720774%85.973.5+12.3
4 Valencia28181064%81.578.0+3.5
5 Unicaja28161257%83.782.8+0.9
6 Manresa28161257%81.481.9-0.5
7 Tecnyconta Zaragoza28151354%83.085.5-2.5
8 Joventut Badalona29151452%80.280.2-0.0
9 Tenerife29141548%80.778.8+2.0
10 MoraBanc Andorra28131546%83.183.0+0.1
11 San Pablo Burgos28131546%83.082.9+0.1
12 Obradoiro CAB28111739%78.582.0-3.5
13 Fuenlabrada28111739%81.889.4-7.6
14 Gran Canaria29111838%82.884.7-1.9
15 Estudiantes29101934%83.087.4-4.5
16 Breogan2891932%76.183.1-7.0
17 Murcia2781930%77.782.2-4.6
18 Gipuzkoa2882029%75.282.8-7.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid2415332294
Breogan2422162789
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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