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Valmiera Glass Via vs Rapla Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 06 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 77-75 (OT)
20-21 14-19 19-14 15-14 9-7
Position#13
Record0-2
FormLLLLL
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game82.5
Valmiera Glass Via 🏆
vs
Rapla
Position#10
Record1-1
FormLWLLW
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game76.5
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Vidzemes Olimpiskais centrs (Valmiera)
Other2023
Meetings · Valmiera Glass Via v Rapla
11 Oct 2024
VALM80
RAPL65
06 Oct 2023
VALM77
RAPL75
10 Dec 2022
VALM76
RAPL107
09 Feb 2022
VALM91
RAPL87
10 Feb 2019
VALM69
RAPL82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valmiera Glass Via winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rapla winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Valmiera Glass ViaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVia
Date
Competition
BK Liepaja
#11
L
69-83
69
83
-14
no box
A08/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#6
L
64-96
64
96
-32
no box
A11/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#5
W
98-86
98
86
+12
no box
H14/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
L
88-94
88
94
-6
no box
H17/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Rakvere Tarvas
#16
L
83-102
83
102
-19
no box
A22/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#3
L
66-104
66
104
-38
no box
A05/04
LBL
BK Ogre
#3
L
79-92
79
92
-13
no box
H09/04
LBL
BK Ogre
#3
L
81-102
81
102
-21
no box
A12/04
LBL
Tallinna Kalev
#16
L
79-87
79
87
-8
72avg 66
A30/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#6
L
71-78
71
78
-7
60avg 66
H03/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-22
16-23
15-20
24-18
19-27
15-17
19-33
11-19
19-18
20-27
29-16
30-25
17-34
23-20
30-24
18-16
19-29
18-32
20-29
26-12
10-25
21-32
20-28
15-19
24-17
27-28
12-23
16-24
26-23
21-28
22-19
12-32
21-25
19-14
23-25
16-23
21-21
14-21
15-24
21-12
170.2Avg total
77.8Scored
92.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)75.082.5157.5-7.50%
Season at home (1)71.078.0149.0-7.00%
Season away (1)79.087.0166.0-8.00%
Last 10 (10)77.892.4170.2-14.610%
Last 5 (5)75.292.6167.8-17.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)72.992.9165.8-20.011%
vs Similar (1)83.0102.0185.0-19.00%
vs Weaker (1)79.087.0166.0-8.00%
This opponent (Rapla) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RaplaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRapla
Date
Competition
Latvijas Universitate
#13
W
66-61
66
61
+5
no box
A15/03
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#2
L
54-77
54
77
-23
no box
A24/03
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#2
L
89-94
89
94
-5
no box
H28/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#3
W
95-93 OT
95
93
+2
no box
H13/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#3
L
71-83
71
83
-12
62avg 61
A17/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#3
L
72-80
72
80
-8
65avg 61
H21/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#3
W
75-58
75
58
+17
65avg 61
A25/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#3
L
65-78
65
78
-13
55avg 61
H28/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tallinna Kalev
#16
L
72-78
72
78
-6
57avg 61
H22/09
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
W
77-75 OT
77
75
+2
61avg 61
A29/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-16
15-14
17-15
17-16
9-26
13-13
18-23
14-15
14-30
23-17
26-19
26-28
19-27
13-23
24-11
23-18
16-20
24-21
13-19
18-23
19-33
16-15
14-14
23-18
16-13
21-18
16-14
22-13
14-21
14-21
20-16
17-20
9-27
21-14
22-22
20-15
23-13
11-25
18-12
14-16
151.3Avg total
73.6Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)74.576.5151.0-2.050%
Season at home (1)72.078.0150.0-6.00%
Season away (1)77.075.0152.0+2.0100%
Last 10 (10)73.677.7151.3-4.140%
Last 5 (5)72.273.8146.0-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)75.483.0158.4-7.629%
vs Similar (12)73.777.5151.2-3.833%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)84.268.5152.7+15.691%
This opponent (Valmiera Glass Via) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -5.1-5.1Q1: -7.0-7.0Q2Q2: -4.8-4.8Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +1.2+1.2
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -5.1-5.1Q1: -7.0-7.0Q2Q2: -4.8-4.8Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +1.2+1.2
Valmiera Glass ViaRapla
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Valmiera Glass ViaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BK Liepaja
#11
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A08/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#6
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A11/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#5
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H14/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
L
40-54
40
54
-14
H17/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Rakvere Tarvas
#16
L
37-61
37
61
-24
A22/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#3
L
31-57
31
57
-26
A05/04
LBL
BK Ogre
#3
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H09/04
LBL
BK Ogre
#3
L
47-51
47
51
-4
A12/04
LBL
Tallinna Kalev
#16
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A30/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#6
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H03/10
Latvia-Estonian League
86.7Avg total
38.4Scored
48.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.847.584.3-10.713%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.848.786.5-10.913%-
Last 30 away (15)35.846.282.0-10.413%-
Last 10 (10)38.448.386.7-9.920%-
Last 5 (5)40.846.887.6-6.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)36.747.384.0-10.611%-
vs Similar (1)37.061.098.0-24.00%-
vs Weaker (1)40.039.079.0+1.0100%-
This opponent (Rapla) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RaplaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Latvijas Universitate
#13
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A15/03
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#2
L
22-39
22
39
-17
A24/03
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#2
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H28/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#3
L
32-50
32
50
-18
H13/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#3
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A17/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#3
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H21/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#3
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A25/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#3
L
28-42
28
42
-14
H28/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tallinna Kalev
#16
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H22/09
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A29/09
Latvia-Estonian League
73.4Avg total
32.7Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.838.876.6-1.043%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.740.175.8-4.533%-
Last 30 away (15)39.937.577.5+2.453%-
Last 10 (10)32.740.773.4-8.020%-
Last 5 (5)32.840.072.8-7.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)34.941.776.6-6.914%-
vs Similar (12)36.240.176.2-3.933%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)41.535.677.1+5.873%-
This opponent (Valmiera Glass Via) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valmiera Glass Viatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valmiera Glass Via: 52.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers25.3 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers25.012.7
50.7%
50.5%25.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.05.3
31.4%
32.1%16.0
🏀 Free throws18.311.3
61.8%
70.5%11.3
They take 42.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 17.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Raplatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rapla: 71.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.3 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.718.7
49.6%
50.5%37.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.88.0
27.7%
32.1%24.0
🏀 Free throws15.210.0
65.9%
70.5%10.0
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 3/6 games with a box score before 06 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valmiera Glass Via
LLLLLLLWLL
Rapla
WLLWLLWLLW
#13
League position
#10
-12.0
Net rating
-4.2
99.6
Offensive rating
99.6
111.6
Defensive rating
103.8
49.2%
Effective FG%
46.1%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
51.0%
18.4%
Turnover %
16.7%
26.2%
Off. rebound %
31.7%
0.44
Free-throw rate
0.23
31.4%
3-point %
27.7%
61.1%
Assist %
62.5%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence99.6 · 99.6Defence111.6 · 103.8Shooting49.2% · 46.1%3-point %31.4% · 27.7%Ball care18.4% · 16.7%Off. rebounds26.2% · 31.7%Free throws0.44 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)10% · 40%
■ Valmiera Glass Via   ■ Rapla
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Valmiera Glass Via wins
5
Rapla wins
DateGameScore
11/03/23Rapla v Valmiera Glass Via96-64
10/12/22Valmiera Glass Via v Rapla76-107
09/02/22Valmiera Glass Via v Rapla91-87
23/10/21Rapla v Valmiera Glass Via93-77
10/02/19Valmiera Glass Via v Rapla69-82
13/10/18Rapla v Valmiera Glass Via100-88
Valmiera Glass Vialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/10/23HRigas Zelli71-78
30/09/23ATallinna Kalev79-87
12/04/23ABK Ogre81-102
09/04/23HBK Ogre79-92
05/04/23ABK Ogre66-104
22/03/23ARakvere Tarvas83-102
17/03/23HKeila KK88-94
14/03/23HVentspils98-86
11/03/23ARapla64-96
08/03/23ABK Liepaja69-83
Raplalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/09/23ABK Ogre77-75 OT
22/09/23HTallinna Kalev72-78
28/04/23HParnu65-78
25/04/23AParnu75-58
21/04/23HParnu72-80
17/04/23AParnu71-83
13/04/23HParnu95-93 OT
28/03/23HVEF Riga89-94
24/03/23AVEF Riga54-77
15/03/23ALatvijas Universitate66-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valmiera Glass Via
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game75.071.079.0
Allowed / game82.578.087.0
Point differential-7.5-7.0-8.0
Avg total157.5149.0166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Rapla
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game74.572.077.0
Allowed / game76.578.075.0
Point differential-2.0-6.0+2.0
Avg total151.0150.0152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %50%0%100%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Prometey110100%106.061.0+45.0
2 BC Kalev/Cramo220100%89.063.5+25.5
3 BK Liepaja110100%92.070.0+22.0
4 Rigas Zelli220100%77.563.5+14.0
5 Parnu220100%80.070.5+9.5
6 Tallinna Kalev220100%82.575.5+7.0
7 Ventspils110100%88.083.0+5.0
8 Tal Tech32167%83.771.3+12.3
9 VEF Riga21150%86.077.0+9.0
10 Rapla21150%74.576.5-2.0
11 Keila KK31233%70.777.3-6.7
12 Tartu Ulikool2020%77.081.0-4.0
13 Valmiera Glass Via2020%75.082.5-7.5
14 BK Ogre2020%74.585.5-11.0
15 Viimsi3030%64.097.3-33.3
16 Latvijas Universitate2020%63.098.0-35.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Valmiera Glass Via20141915977
Rapla21191414775
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