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Valparaiso vs Chicago State Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 12 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 20:00
Scheduled
Position#165
Record2-1
FormWLWWL
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game73.0
vs
Position#267
Record2-3
FormLWLWL
Points / game68.0
Allowed / game78.8
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Valparaiso v Chicago State
12 Dec 2026
VALP v CHIC
upcoming
16 Dec 2023
VALP62
CHIC63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valparaiso win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Chicago State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValparaisoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana State
#311
W
76-75
76
75
+1
H15/02
NCAA
Bradley
#91
W
79-72
79
72
+7
H19/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
W
71-67
71
67
+4
A21/02
NCAA
Drake
#271
W
74-71
74
71
+3
H26/02
NCAA
Evansville
#362
L
79-80
79
80
-1
A28/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
W
63-62
63
62
+1
H06/03
NCAA
Bradley
#91
L
84-90 OT
84
90
-6
A07/03
NCAA
Western Illinois
#303
W
80-58
80
58
+22
H03/11
NCAA
Purdue
#126
W
83-80 OT
83
80
+3
A06/11
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#64
L
69-81
69
81
-12
A12/11
NCAA
1H
2H
49-43
27-32
35-35
44-37
31-29
40-38
36-37
38-34
42-34
37-46
28-37
35-25
31-31
33-33
38-19
42-39
20-32
38-26
32-49
37-32
149.4Avg total
75.8Scored
73.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)77.373.0150.3+4.367%
Season at home (1)80.058.0138.0+22.0100%
Season away (2)76.080.5156.5-4.550%
Last 10 (10)75.873.6149.4+2.270%
Last 5 (5)75.874.2150.0+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)68.570.5138.9-2.045%
vs Similar (15)74.574.9149.4-0.553%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)82.864.0146.8+18.875%
This opponent (Chicago State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Chicago StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fairleigh Dickinson
#315
L
59-60
59
60
-1
H20/02
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#114
W
70-51
70
51
+19
H21/02
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
L
56-73
56
73
-17
A27/02
NCAA
Wagner
#249
L
61-80
61
80
-19
A28/02
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
L
75-79
75
79
-4
A05/03
NCAA
Texas
#2
L
59-109
59
109
-50
A03/11
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#378
W
66-54
66
54
+12
A06/11
NCAA
South Carolina St
#136
L
67-82
67
82
-15
H10/11
NCAA
California Baptist
#321
W
81-62
81
62
+19
A12/11
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#129
L
67-87
67
87
-20
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
26-28
33-32
28-25
42-26
31-32
25-41
24-42
37-38
33-40
42-39
30-56
29-53
34-22
32-32
33-53
34-29
39-26
42-36
29-46
38-41
139.8Avg total
66.1Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)68.078.8146.8-10.840%
Season at home (1)67.082.0149.0-15.00%
Season away (4)68.278.0146.2-9.850%
Last 10 (10)66.173.7139.8-7.630%
Last 5 (5)68.078.8146.8-10.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)63.675.2138.8-11.617%
vs Similar (4)76.273.2149.5+3.075%
vs Weaker (2)75.558.0133.5+17.5100%
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -0.4-0.41st half: -6.3-6.32nd half2nd half: +2.9+2.92nd half: -1.3-1.3
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -0.4-0.41st half: -6.3-6.32nd half2nd half: +2.9+2.92nd half: -1.3-1.3
ValparaisoChicago State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ValparaisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana State
#311
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H15/02
NCAA
Bradley
#91
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H19/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A21/02
NCAA
Drake
#271
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H26/02
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A28/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
L
28-37
28
37
-9
H06/03
NCAA
Bradley
#91
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A07/03
NCAA
Western Illinois
#303
W
38-19
38
19
+19
H03/11
NCAA
Purdue
#126
L
20-32
20
32
-12
A06/11
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#64
L
32-49
32
49
-17
A12/11
NCAA
68.8Avg total
34.2Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.832.666.4+1.243%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.529.766.3+6.867%-
Last 30 away (15)31.135.566.6-4.320%-
Last 10 (10)34.234.668.8-0.440%-
Last 5 (5)29.833.663.4-3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)31.332.163.4-0.836%-
vs Similar (15)34.134.568.6-0.533%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)40.026.866.8+13.2100%-
This opponent (Chicago State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Chicago StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fairleigh Dickinson
#315
L
26-28
26
28
-2
H20/02
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#114
W
28-25
28
25
+3
H21/02
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A27/02
NCAA
Wagner
#249
L
24-42
24
42
-18
A28/02
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A05/03
NCAA
Texas
#2
L
30-56
30
56
-26
A03/11
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#378
W
34-22
34
22
+12
A06/11
NCAA
South Carolina St
#136
L
33-53
33
53
-20
H10/11
NCAA
California Baptist
#321
W
39-26
39
26
+13
A12/11
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#129
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A14/11
NCAA
67.7Avg total
30.7Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.935.866.7-4.840%-
Last 30 at home (11)34.032.766.7+1.364%-
Last 30 away (19)29.237.566.7-8.426%-
Last 10 (10)30.737.067.7-6.330%-
Last 5 (5)33.040.673.6-7.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)29.436.866.2-7.429%-
vs Similar (4)35.533.569.0+2.075%-
vs Weaker (2)40.528.068.5+12.5100%-
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Valparaiso wins
2
Chicago State wins
DateGameScore
16/12/23Valparaiso v Chicago State62-63
17/11/22Chicago State v Valparaiso87-74
Valparaisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26ASouth Dakota St.69-81
06/11/26APurdue83-80 OT
03/11/26HWestern Illinois80-58
07/03/26ABradley84-90 OT
06/03/26HIndiana State63-62
28/02/26AEvansville79-80
26/02/26HDrake74-71
21/02/26AIllinois (Chi.)71-67
19/02/26HBradley79-72
15/02/26HIndiana State76-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ASan Diego Toreros67-87
12/11/26ACalifornia Baptist81-62
10/11/26HSouth Carolina St67-82
06/11/26AIncarnate Word66-54
03/11/26ATexas59-109
05/03/26ALIU Sharks75-79
28/02/26AWagner61-80
27/02/26ALIU Sharks56-73
21/02/26HCentral Connecticut State70-51
20/02/26HFairleigh Dickinson59-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valparaiso
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game77.380.076.0
Allowed / game73.058.080.5
Point differential+4.3+22.0-4.5
Avg total150.3138.0156.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %33%0%50%
Chicago State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL40%
HomeL0%
AwayLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games514
Win %40%0%50%
Points / game68.067.068.2
Allowed / game78.882.078.0
Point differential-10.8-15.0-9.8
Avg total146.8149.0146.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Murray State440100%95.067.5+27.5
2 Drake330100%85.762.7+23.0
3 Illinois (Chi.)43175%79.564.8+14.8
4 Belmont43175%73.562.2+11.2
5 Southern Illinois32167%85.070.0+15.0
6 Valparaiso32167%77.373.0+4.3
7 Indiana State42250%80.265.8+14.5
8 Evansville42250%76.076.2-0.2
9 Bradley52340%59.856.4+3.4
10 Northern Iowa52340%85.286.0-0.8
11 Illinois State41325%81.275.8+5.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Northeast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Le Moyne42250%76.072.5+3.5
2 Central Connecticut State42250%65.579.0-13.5
3 Chicago State52340%68.078.8-10.8
4 Fairleigh Dickinson52340%68.285.0-16.8
5 New Haven Chargers31233%58.370.0-11.7
6 Wagner41325%66.273.2-7.0
7 Mercyhurst Lakers41325%61.270.8-9.5
8 Stonehill41325%59.875.5-15.8
9 LIU Sharks5050%60.875.0-14.2
10 St. Francis (ILL)1010%47.096.0-49.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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