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Valparaiso vs Chicago State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 62-63
32-33 30-30
Position#355
Record4-6
FormWLLLL
Points / game67.8
Allowed / game70.0
vs
Position#286
Record4-9
FormLLWLW
Points / game65.8
Allowed / game71.8
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Valparaiso v Chicago State
12 Dec 2026
VALP v CHIC
upcoming
16 Dec 2023
VALP62
CHIC63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valparaiso winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Chicago State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValparaisoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trinity (IL)
#695
W
100-61
100
61
+39
H07/11
NCAA
IUPUI
#360
L
56-66
56
66
-10
H11/11
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#167
W
64-59
64
59
+5
H15/11
NCAA
Illinois
#27
L
64-87
64
87
-23
A18/11
NCAA
Western Illinois
#92
W
73-66
73
66
+7
H22/11
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#166
W
71-59
71
59
+12
H25/11
NCAA
Drake
#15
L
65-83
65
83
-18
H30/11
NCAA
Belmont
#128
L
68-77
68
77
-9
A02/12
NCAA
Central Michigan
#168
L
67-71
67
71
-4
A07/12
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
L
50-71
50
71
-21
A09/12
NCAA
1H
2H
62-23
38-38
25-21
31-45
26-31
38-28
45-38
19-49
34-27
39-39
31-24
40-35
36-37
29-46
34-43
34-34
22-37
45-34
23-37
27-34
137.8Avg total
67.8Scored
70.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)67.870.0137.8-2.240%
Season at home (6)71.565.7137.2+5.867%
Season away (4)62.276.5138.8-14.20%
Last 10 (10)67.870.0137.8-2.240%
Last 5 (5)64.272.2136.4-8.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)64.873.9138.7-9.116%
vs Similar (7)72.069.9141.9+2.157%
vs Weaker (4)78.266.2144.5+12.075%
This opponent (Chicago State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Chicago StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CS Northridge
#172
L
64-74
64
74
-10
H15/11
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#131
L
55-71
55
71
-16
A17/11
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#132
L
77-78 OT
77
78
-1
A21/11
NCAA
Morgan State
#308
W
84-83
84
83
+1
H22/11
NCAA
UT Martin
#82
L
71-94
71
94
-23
H25/11
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#41
L
53-62
53
62
-9
A29/11
NCAA
Delaware State
#248
L
69-76
69
76
-7
H01/12
NCAA
Stetson
#97
W
77-54
77
54
+23
H03/12
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#118
L
50-66
50
66
-16
H10/12
NCAA
Northwestern
#86
W
75-73
75
73
+2
A14/12
NCAA
1H
2H
35-31
29-43
22-31
33-40
25-36
45-34
45-39
39-44
35-40
36-54
28-22
25-40
31-40
38-36
31-25
46-29
25-30
25-36
37-38
38-35
140.6Avg total
67.5Scored
73.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)65.871.8137.6-6.131%
Season at home (7)68.073.3141.3-5.329%
Season away (6)63.270.2133.3-7.033%
Last 10 (10)67.573.1140.6-5.630%
Last 5 (5)64.866.2131.0-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)63.374.1137.4-10.818%
vs Similar (11)70.577.5147.9-7.036%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)74.258.7132.8+15.567%
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +2.0+2.01st half: -1.8-1.82nd half2nd half: -4.2-4.22nd half: -3.7-3.7
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +2.0+2.01st half: -1.8-1.82nd half2nd half: -4.2-4.22nd half: -3.7-3.7
ValparaisoChicago State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ValparaisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trinity (IL)
#695
W
62-23
62
23
+39
H07/11
NCAA
IUPUI
#360
W
25-21
25
21
+4
H11/11
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#167
L
26-31
26
31
-5
H15/11
NCAA
Illinois
#27
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A18/11
NCAA
Western Illinois
#92
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H22/11
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#166
W
31-24
31
24
+7
H25/11
NCAA
Drake
#15
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H30/11
NCAA
Belmont
#128
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A02/12
NCAA
Central Michigan
#168
L
22-37
22
37
-15
A07/12
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
L
23-37
23
37
-14
A09/12
NCAA
65.6Avg total
33.8Scored
31.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.833.666.4-0.847%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.231.165.2+3.156%-
Last 30 away (14)31.136.567.6-5.436%-
Last 10 (10)33.831.865.6+2.050%-
Last 5 (5)29.235.664.8-6.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)30.535.866.3-5.432%-
vs Similar (7)34.332.466.7+1.957%-
vs Weaker (4)41.025.066.0+16.0100%-
This opponent (Chicago State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Chicago StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CS Northridge
#172
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H15/11
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#131
L
22-31
22
31
-9
A17/11
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#132
L
25-36
25
36
-11
A21/11
NCAA
Morgan State
#308
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H22/11
NCAA
UT Martin
#82
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H25/11
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#41
W
28-22
28
22
+6
A29/11
NCAA
Delaware State
#248
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H01/12
NCAA
Stetson
#97
W
31-25
31
25
+6
H03/12
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#118
L
25-30
25
30
-5
H10/12
NCAA
Northwestern
#86
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A14/12
NCAA
64.6Avg total
31.4Scored
33.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.332.767.0+1.647%-
Last 30 at home (12)38.531.770.2+6.858%-
Last 30 away (18)31.433.464.8-1.939%-
Last 10 (10)31.433.264.6-1.840%-
Last 5 (5)30.431.061.4-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)29.333.662.9-4.427%-
vs Similar (11)34.835.169.9-0.345%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)36.328.564.8+7.867%-
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Valparaiso wins
1
Chicago State wins
DateGameScore
17/11/22Chicago State v Valparaiso87-74
Valparaisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/23AVirginia Tech50-71
07/12/23ACentral Michigan67-71
02/12/23ABelmont68-77
30/11/23HDrake65-83
25/11/23HSouthern Univ.71-59
22/11/23HWestern Illinois73-66
18/11/23AIllinois64-87
15/11/23HWisc. Green Bay64-59
11/11/23HIUPUI56-66
07/11/23HTrinity (IL)100-61
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/23ANorthwestern75-73
10/12/23HSt. Thomas (Minn.)50-66
03/12/23HStetson77-54
01/12/23HDelaware State69-76
29/11/23ALoyola Chicago53-62
25/11/23HUT Martin71-94
22/11/23HMorgan State84-83
21/11/23ANorthern Colorado77-78 OT
17/11/23ASouthern Illinois55-71
15/11/23HCS Northridge64-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valparaiso
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL40%
HomeLWWWL67%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %40%67%0%
Points / game67.871.562.2
Allowed / game70.065.776.5
Point differential-2.2+5.8-14.2
Avg total137.8137.2138.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Chicago State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW31%
HomeWLLWL29%
AwayWLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %31%29%33%
Points / game65.868.063.2
Allowed / game71.873.370.2
Point differential-6.1-5.3-7.0
Avg total137.6141.3133.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%14%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %8%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Indiana State1110191%88.071.0+17.0
2 Drake1110191%77.566.9+10.6
3 Evansville97278%82.271.4+10.8
4 Southern Illinois96367%77.165.9+11.2
5 Belmont128467%81.779.9+1.8
6 Illinois (Chi.)117464%73.462.5+10.8
7 Bradley106460%72.371.3+1.0
8 Illinois State106460%66.265.6+0.6
9 Valparaiso104640%67.870.0-2.2
10 Northern Iowa114736%75.974.0+1.9
11 Murray State93633%74.372.4+1.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Northeast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fairleigh Dickinson126650%82.680.1+2.5
2 Wagner94544%60.965.0-4.1
3 Le Moyne114736%74.173.5+0.5
4 Central Connecticut State93633%71.469.1+2.3
5 St. Francis (PA)124833%63.870.8-7.0
6 Chicago State134931%65.871.8-6.1
7 LIU Sharks101910%62.679.7-17.1
8 Stonehill121118%63.883.8-20.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Valparaiso323062
Chicago State333063
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