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Valparaiso vs Evansville Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 13 Jan 2021
Tip-off: 21:00
Postponed
Position#279
Record3-7
FormLWLLL
Points / game70.8
Allowed / game69.9
vs
Position#277
Record6-6
FormWWWWL
Points / game65.8
Allowed / game68.1
USANCAA
Other2020-21
Meetings · Valparaiso v Evansville
22 Dec 2026
VALP v EVAN
upcoming
06 Feb 2026
VALP70
EVAN63
25 Jan 2025
VALP68
EVAN78
03 Feb 2024
VALP62
EVAN63
28 Jan 2023
VALP81
EVAN69
03 Mar 2022
VALP81
EVAN59
21 Feb 2022
VALP74
EVAN69
13 Jan 2021
VALP v EVAN
upcoming
05 Mar 2020
VALP58
EVAN55
26 Jan 2020
VALP67
EVAN65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valparaiso win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Evansville win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValparaisoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vanderbilt
#274
L
71-77
71
77
-6
A28/11
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#217
L
50-66
50
66
-16
A02/12
NCAA
Purdue
#97
L
61-68
61
68
-7
A05/12
NCAA
Judson
#478
W
85-45
85
45
+40
H06/12
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#287
W
80-58
80
58
+22
H10/12
NCAA
Central Michigan
#296
L
79-84
79
84
-5
A12/12
NCAA
Purdue Northwest
#383
W
89-71
89
71
+18
H17/12
NCAA
Toledo
#40
L
57-71
57
71
-14
A19/12
NCAA
Missouri State
#50
L
68-81
68
81
-13
H09/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#50
L
68-78
68
78
-10
H10/01
NCAA
1H
2H
34-34
37-43
19-28
31-38
34-23
27-45
39-23
46-22
33-22
47-36
30-44
49-40
45-32
44-39
25-26
32-45
37-41
31-40
29-38
39-40
140.7Avg total
70.8Scored
69.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)70.869.9140.7+0.930%
Season at home (5)78.066.6144.6+11.460%
Season away (5)63.673.2136.8-9.60%
Last 10 (10)70.869.9140.7+0.930%
Last 5 (5)72.277.0149.2-4.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)65.674.0139.6-8.412%
vs Similar ◀ (14)70.571.1141.6-0.643%
vs Weaker (8)75.663.1138.8+12.5100%
This opponent (Evansville) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EvansvilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UT Martin
#291
L
87-93 OT
87
93
-6
A03/12
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#290
W
68-65
68
65
+3
H10/12
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#247
W
66-63 OT
66
63
+3
H16/12
NCAA
Belmont
#9
L
63-72
63
72
-9
H22/12
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#211
L
57-63
57
63
-6
A27/12
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#211
W
84-72
84
72
+12
A28/12
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#254
W
65-61
65
61
+4
H02/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#254
W
70-64
70
64
+6
H03/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#311
W
57-48
57
48
+9
H09/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#311
L
68-73
68
73
-5
H10/01
NCAA
1H
2H
31-36
38-33
34-19
34-46
24-26
32-30
27-36
36-36
19-28
38-35
35-39
49-33
32-28
33-33
35-25
35-39
26-27
31-21
30-32
38-41
135.9Avg total
68.5Scored
67.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)65.868.1133.9-2.250%
Season at home (7)65.363.7129.0+1.671%
Season away (5)66.674.2140.8-7.620%
Last 10 (10)68.567.4135.9+1.160%
Last 5 (5)68.863.6132.4+5.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)59.271.9131.1-12.70%
vs Similar ◀ (10)66.165.7131.8+0.460%
vs Weaker (1)87.093.0180.0-6.00%
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +1.4+1.41st half: -0.3-0.32nd half2nd half: -0.5-0.52nd half: +1.7+1.7
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +1.4+1.41st half: -0.3-0.32nd half2nd half: -0.5-0.52nd half: +1.7+1.7
ValparaisoEvansville
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ValparaisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vanderbilt
#274
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A28/11
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#217
L
19-28
19
28
-9
A02/12
NCAA
Purdue
#97
W
34-23
34
23
+11
A05/12
NCAA
Judson
#478
W
39-23
39
23
+16
H06/12
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#287
W
33-22
33
22
+11
H10/12
NCAA
Central Michigan
#296
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A12/12
NCAA
Purdue Northwest
#383
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H17/12
NCAA
Toledo
#40
L
25-26
25
26
-1
A19/12
NCAA
Missouri State
#50
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H09/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#50
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H10/01
NCAA
63.6Avg total
32.5Scored
31.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.233.164.3-1.940%-
Last 30 at home (14)33.930.964.7+3.057%-
Last 30 away (16)28.935.063.9-6.125%-
Last 10 (10)32.531.163.6+1.440%-
Last 5 (5)33.236.269.4-3.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)30.434.164.5-3.825%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)29.535.164.6-5.621%-
vs Weaker (8)35.028.463.4+6.688%-
This opponent (Evansville) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EvansvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UT Martin
#291
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A03/12
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#290
W
34-19
34
19
+15
H10/12
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#247
L
24-26
24
26
-2
H16/12
NCAA
Belmont
#9
L
27-36
27
36
-9
H22/12
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#211
L
19-28
19
28
-9
A27/12
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#211
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A28/12
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#254
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H02/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#254
W
35-25
35
25
+10
H03/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#311
L
26-27
26
27
-1
H09/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#311
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H10/01
NCAA
58.9Avg total
29.3Scored
29.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)28.133.261.3-5.127%-
Last 30 at home (16)27.830.858.5-3.031%-
Last 30 away (14)28.536.164.6-7.621%-
Last 10 (10)29.329.658.9-0.330%-
Last 5 (5)31.630.261.8+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)27.035.162.1-8.121%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)29.929.459.3+0.540%-
vs Weaker (1)31.036.067.0-5.00%-
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Valparaiso wins
0
Evansville wins
DateGameScore
06/03/20Valparaiso v Evansville58-55
26/01/20Valparaiso v Evansville67-65
05/01/20Evansville v Valparaiso79-81 OT
Valparaisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/21HMissouri State68-78
09/01/21HMissouri State68-81
19/12/20AToledo57-71
17/12/20HPurdue Northwest89-71
12/12/20ACentral Michigan79-84
10/12/20HSiu Edwardsville80-58
06/12/20HJudson85-45
05/12/20APurdue61-68
02/12/20AIllinois (Chi.)50-66
28/11/20AVanderbilt71-77
Evansvillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/21HIllinois State68-73
09/01/21HIllinois State57-48
03/01/21HNorthern Iowa70-64
02/01/21HNorthern Iowa65-61
28/12/20ASouthern Illinois84-72
27/12/20ASouthern Illinois57-63
22/12/20HBelmont63-72
16/12/20HSoutheast Missouri State66-63 OT
10/12/20HEastern Illinois68-65
03/12/20AUT Martin87-93 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valparaiso
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL30%
HomeWWWLL60%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %30%60%0%
Points / game70.878.063.6
Allowed / game69.966.673.2
Point differential+0.9+11.4-9.6
Avg total140.7144.6136.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Evansville
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL50%
HomeLWWWL71%
AwayLLLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %50%71%20%
Points / game65.865.366.6
Allowed / game68.163.774.2
Point differential-2.2+1.6-7.6
Avg total133.9129.0140.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)75% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %17%14%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Drake13130100%83.959.9+24.0
2 Belmont1413193%79.467.6+11.7
3 Southern Illinois107370%72.769.3+3.4
4 Bradley117464%74.662.3+12.4
5 Illinois (Chi.)95456%71.773.0-1.3
6 Evansville126650%65.868.1-2.2
7 Murray State104640%80.269.1+11.1
8 Illinois State104640%78.479.5-1.1
9 Indiana State114736%67.271.3-4.1
10 Valparaiso103730%70.869.9+0.9
11 Northern Iowa113827%73.573.5+0.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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