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Valparaiso vs Evansville Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 68-78
26-44 42-34
Position#248
Record10-10
FormWLLLL
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game73.6
vs
Position#319
Record6-14
FormWLLLL
Points / game64.4
Allowed / game70.0
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Valparaiso v Evansville
22 Dec 2026
VALP v EVAN
upcoming
06 Feb 2026
VALP70
EVAN63
25 Jan 2025
VALP68
EVAN78
03 Feb 2024
VALP62
EVAN63
28 Jan 2023
VALP81
EVAN69
03 Mar 2022
VALP81
EVAN59
21 Feb 2022
VALP74
EVAN69
13 Jan 2021
VALP v EVAN
upcoming
05 Mar 2020
VALP58
EVAN55
26 Jan 2020
VALP67
EVAN65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valparaiso winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Evansville winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValparaisoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Michigan
#305
W
76-73
76
73
+3
A20/12
NCAA
Calumet College
#539
W
107-57
107
57
+50
H22/12
NCAA
Bradley
#30
L
75-81 OT
75
81
-6
A29/12
NCAA
Missouri State
#334
W
73-72
73
72
+1
A02/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
W
80-73
80
73
+7
H04/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
W
98-95 OT
98
95
+3
H09/01
NCAA
Murray State
#214
L
47-58
47
58
-11
A11/01
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
64-71
64
71
-7
A15/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
L
74-81
74
81
-7
H18/01
NCAA
Drake
#8
L
71-81
71
81
-10
A23/01
NCAA
1H
2H
26-42
50-31
47-29
60-28
30-36
33-27
35-34
38-38
43-36
37-37
45-40
41-46
21-26
26-32
30-40
34-31
38-38
36-43
29-43
42-38
150.7Avg total
76.5Scored
74.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)77.373.6150.9+3.850%
Season at home (11)85.069.9154.9+15.173%
Season away (9)68.078.1146.1-10.122%
Last 10 (10)76.574.2150.7+2.350%
Last 5 (5)70.877.2148.0-6.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)67.880.6148.5-12.812%
vs Similar (9)75.273.3148.6+1.956%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)90.070.7160.7+19.3100%
This opponent (Evansville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EvansvilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UT Arlington
#277
L
54-80
54
80
-26
A19/12
NCAA
Ball State
#243
L
43-80
43
80
-37
A21/12
NCAA
Missouri State
#334
W
57-40
57
40
+17
H29/12
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#270
W
68-53
68
53
+15
A01/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
L
62-66
62
66
-4
H04/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#141
W
69-51
69
51
+18
H09/01
NCAA
Drake
#8
L
40-63
40
63
-23
A11/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
L
56-73
56
73
-17
A15/01
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
82-85
82
85
-3
H18/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
L
67-78
67
78
-11
H23/01
NCAA
1H
2H
24-44
30-36
17-37
26-43
23-20
34-20
42-31
26-22
36-31
26-35
34-30
35-21
20-25
20-38
18-32
38-41
37-39
45-46
32-47
35-31
126.7Avg total
59.8Scored
66.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)64.470.0134.4-5.630%
Season at home (11)73.668.1141.7+5.545%
Season away (9)53.172.4125.6-19.311%
Last 10 (10)59.866.9126.7-7.130%
Last 5 (5)62.870.0132.8-7.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)61.174.5135.6-13.49%
vs Similar (5)68.464.0132.4+4.460%
vs Weaker (2)97.065.0162.0+32.0100%
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: -2.0-2.01st half: -5.3-5.32nd half2nd half: +4.6+4.62nd half: -1.8-1.8
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: -2.0-2.01st half: -5.3-5.32nd half2nd half: +4.6+4.62nd half: -1.8-1.8
ValparaisoEvansville
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ValparaisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Michigan
#305
L
26-42
26
42
-16
A20/12
NCAA
Calumet College
#539
W
47-29
47
29
+18
H22/12
NCAA
Bradley
#30
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A29/12
NCAA
Missouri State
#334
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A02/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H04/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H09/01
NCAA
Murray State
#214
L
21-26
21
26
-5
A11/01
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A15/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H18/01
NCAA
Drake
#8
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A23/01
NCAA
70.8Avg total
34.4Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.537.071.5-2.447%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.134.672.7+3.669%-
Last 30 away (14)30.439.770.1-9.321%-
Last 10 (10)34.436.470.8-2.040%-
Last 5 (5)32.637.470.0-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)32.439.471.8-6.935%-
vs Similar (9)34.234.768.9-0.456%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)38.036.774.7+1.367%-
This opponent (Evansville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EvansvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UT Arlington
#277
L
24-44
24
44
-20
A19/12
NCAA
Ball State
#243
L
17-37
17
37
-20
A21/12
NCAA
Missouri State
#334
W
23-20
23
20
+3
H29/12
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#270
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A01/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H04/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#141
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H09/01
NCAA
Drake
#8
L
20-25
20
25
-5
A11/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
L
18-32
18
32
-14
A15/01
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H18/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
L
32-47
32
47
-15
H23/01
NCAA
61.9Avg total
28.3Scored
33.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.733.664.3-2.940%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.332.267.5+3.167%-
Last 30 away (15)26.035.061.0-9.013%-
Last 10 (10)28.333.661.9-5.340%-
Last 5 (5)28.234.662.8-6.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)28.835.163.9-6.332%-
vs Similar (5)32.430.462.8+2.060%-
vs Weaker (2)47.027.074.0+20.0100%-
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Valparaiso wins
4
Evansville wins
Valparaisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/01/25ADrake71-81
18/01/25HIllinois (Chi.)74-81
15/01/25ABelmont64-71
11/01/25AMurray State47-58
09/01/25HIndiana State98-95 OT
04/01/25HNorthern Iowa80-73
02/01/25AMissouri State73-72
29/12/24ABradley75-81 OT
22/12/24HCalumet College107-57
20/12/24AWestern Michigan76-73
Evansvillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/01/25HIllinois (Chi.)67-78
18/01/25HBelmont82-85
15/01/25ANorthern Iowa56-73
11/01/25ADrake40-63
09/01/25HIllinois State69-51
04/01/25HIndiana State62-66
01/01/25ASouthern Illinois68-53
29/12/24HMissouri State57-40
21/12/24ABall State43-80
19/12/24AUT Arlington54-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valparaiso
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL50%
HomeWWWWL73%
AwayLWLLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %50%73%22%
Points / game77.385.068.0
Allowed / game73.669.978.1
Point differential+3.8+15.1-10.1
Avg total150.9154.9146.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%45%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %10%9%11%
Evansville
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL30%
HomeWLWLL45%
AwayLLWLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %30%45%11%
Points / game64.473.653.1
Allowed / game70.068.172.4
Point differential-5.7+5.5-19.3
Avg total134.4141.7125.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%45%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Drake1917289%71.557.8+13.7
2 Bradley2118386%80.267.1+13.0
3 Belmont2014670%81.278.8+2.5
4 Illinois (Chi.)2114767%80.674.2+6.4
5 Northern Iowa2113862%75.867.7+8.1
6 Illinois State2112957%76.271.0+5.1
7 Murray State2011955%74.569.0+5.4
8 Valparaiso20101050%77.373.6+3.8
9 Indiana State2191243%80.080.0+0.0
10 Southern Illinois2191243%73.374.1-0.9
11 Evansville2061430%64.470.0-5.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Valparaiso264268
Evansville443478
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