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Valparaiso vs Evansville Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 62-63
32-30 30-33
Position#355
Record6-16
FormLWLLL
Points / game68.1
Allowed / game72.7
vs
Position#225
Record13-9
FormWLLWW
Points / game73.5
Allowed / game73.0
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Valparaiso v Evansville
22 Dec 2026
VALP v EVAN
upcoming
06 Feb 2026
VALP70
EVAN63
25 Jan 2025
VALP68
EVAN78
03 Feb 2024
VALP62
EVAN63
28 Jan 2023
VALP81
EVAN69
03 Mar 2022
VALP81
EVAN59
21 Feb 2022
VALP74
EVAN69
13 Jan 2021
VALP v EVAN
upcoming
05 Mar 2020
VALP58
EVAN55
26 Jan 2020
VALP67
EVAN65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valparaiso winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Evansville winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValparaisoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Elon
#282
L
78-82
78
82
-4
A29/12
NCAA
Bradley
#71
L
61-86
61
86
-25
H04/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
L
64-70
64
70
-6
A07/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#131
L
68-77
68
77
-9
H11/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
W
59-50
59
50
+9
A14/01
NCAA
Evansville
#225
L
75-78
75
78
-3
A18/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
W
84-77
84
77
+7
H20/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#131
L
69-75
69
75
-6
A25/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#198
L
70-81
70
81
-11
H27/01
NCAA
Drake
#15
L
70-81
70
81
-11
A01/02
NCAA
1H
2H
29-42
49-40
29-44
32-42
36-42
28-28
24-44
44-33
28-20
31-30
38-40
37-38
34-39
50-38
34-29
35-46
37-40
33-41
30-41
40-40
145.5Avg total
69.8Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)68.172.7140.8-4.527%
Season at home (12)69.671.4141.0-1.842%
Season away (10)66.474.2140.6-7.810%
Last 10 (10)69.875.7145.5-5.920%
Last 5 (5)73.678.4152.0-4.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)67.374.3141.6-7.021%
vs Similar (4)70.076.2146.2-6.225%
vs Weaker (2)78.063.5141.5+14.550%
This opponent (Evansville) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EvansvilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cincinnati
#134
L
58-76
58
76
-18
A30/12
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
L
73-87
73
87
-14
A04/01
NCAA
Murray State
#296
L
59-81
59
81
-22
H06/01
NCAA
Bradley
#71
L
50-86
50
86
-36
A11/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#198
L
64-74
64
74
-10
H14/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#355
W
78-75
78
75
+3
H18/01
NCAA
Drake
#15
L
48-97
48
97
-49
A20/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
L
63-70
63
70
-7
A24/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
W
58-54
58
54
+4
H27/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
W
77-60
77
60
+17
H01/02
NCAA
1H
2H
40-32
18-44
37-48
36-39
20-31
39-50
26-41
24-45
35-36
29-38
40-38
38-37
20-54
28-43
31-28
32-42
27-21
31-33
37-30
40-30
138.8Avg total
62.8Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)73.573.0146.5+0.559%
Season at home (11)79.066.8145.8+12.282%
Season away (11)68.179.2147.3-11.136%
Last 10 (10)62.876.0138.8-13.230%
Last 5 (5)64.871.2136.0-6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)66.479.7146.1-13.328%
vs Similar (7)68.369.1137.4-0.957%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)89.060.6149.6+28.4100%
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: -6.2-6.21st half: -4.6-4.62nd half2nd half: +0.3+0.32nd half: -8.6-8.6
-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: -6.2-6.21st half: -4.6-4.62nd half2nd half: +0.3+0.32nd half: -8.6-8.6
ValparaisoEvansville
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ValparaisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Elon
#282
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A29/12
NCAA
Bradley
#71
L
29-44
29
44
-15
H04/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A07/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#131
L
24-44
24
44
-20
H11/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
W
28-20
28
20
+8
A14/01
NCAA
Evansville
#225
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A18/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H20/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#131
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A25/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#198
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H27/01
NCAA
Drake
#15
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A01/02
NCAA
70.0Avg total
31.9Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.535.467.9-3.030%-
Last 30 at home (16)32.733.566.2-0.838%-
Last 30 away (14)32.237.669.9-5.421%-
Last 10 (10)31.938.170.0-6.220%-
Last 5 (5)34.637.872.4-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)31.336.267.5-4.925%-
vs Similar (4)33.837.571.2-3.825%-
vs Weaker (2)43.522.065.5+21.5100%-
This opponent (Evansville) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EvansvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cincinnati
#134
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A30/12
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A04/01
NCAA
Murray State
#296
L
20-31
20
31
-11
H06/01
NCAA
Bradley
#71
L
26-41
26
41
-15
A11/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#198
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H14/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#355
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H18/01
NCAA
Drake
#15
L
20-54
20
54
-34
A20/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A24/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
W
27-21
27
21
+6
H27/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H01/02
NCAA
67.2Avg total
31.3Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.534.968.4-1.443%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.932.167.9+3.850%-
Last 30 away (16)31.437.468.8-6.038%-
Last 10 (10)31.335.967.2-4.650%-
Last 5 (5)31.034.265.2-3.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)31.137.468.4-6.328%-
vs Similar (7)30.032.062.0-2.043%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)47.030.077.0+17.0100%-
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Valparaiso wins
3
Evansville wins
Valparaisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/24ADrake70-81
27/01/24HMissouri State70-81
25/01/24ASouthern Illinois69-75
20/01/24HIllinois (Chi.)84-77
18/01/24AEvansville75-78
14/01/24AIllinois State59-50
11/01/24HSouthern Illinois68-77
07/01/24AIllinois (Chi.)64-70
04/01/24HBradley61-86
29/12/23AElon78-82
Evansvillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/24HIllinois (Chi.)77-60
27/01/24HIllinois State58-54
24/01/24ANorthern Iowa63-70
20/01/24ADrake48-97
18/01/24HValparaiso78-75
14/01/24HMissouri State64-74
11/01/24ABradley50-86
06/01/24HMurray State59-81
04/01/24AIndiana State73-87
30/12/23ACincinnati58-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valparaiso
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL27%
HomeLLLWL42%
AwayLWLLL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221210
Win %27%42%10%
Points / game68.169.666.4
Allowed / game72.771.474.2
Point differential-4.5-1.8-7.8
Avg total140.8141.0140.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)50% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Evansville
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW59%
HomeLLWWW82%
AwayLLLLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %59%82%36%
Points / game73.579.068.1
Allowed / game73.066.879.2
Point differential+0.5+12.2-11.1
Avg total146.5145.8147.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%36%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (3)-
Overtime %9%9%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Indiana State2219386%86.072.7+13.3
2 Drake2218482%79.767.5+12.2
3 Bradley2317674%76.067.4+8.6
4 Southern Illinois2315865%72.665.3+7.3
5 Evansville2213959%73.573.0+0.5
6 Northern Iowa23121152%72.571.4+1.1
7 Belmont23121152%77.078.5-1.5
8 Illinois State23111248%65.867.8-2.0
9 Murray State2391439%70.467.8+2.7
10 Illinois (Chi.)2381535%69.568.7+0.7
11 Valparaiso2261627%68.172.7-4.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Valparaiso323062
Evansville303363
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