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Valparaiso vs Evansville Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 06 Mar 2020
Tip-off: 02:30
Final 58-55
31-25 27-30
Position#173
Record13-14
FormWLWWL
Points / game71.5
Allowed / game70.7
vs
Position#338
Record6-21
FormLLLLL
Points / game66.7
Allowed / game75.6
USANCAA
Other2019-20
Meetings · Valparaiso v Evansville
22 Dec 2026
VALP v EVAN
upcoming
06 Feb 2026
VALP70
EVAN63
25 Jan 2025
VALP68
EVAN78
03 Feb 2024
VALP62
EVAN63
28 Jan 2023
VALP81
EVAN69
03 Mar 2022
VALP81
EVAN59
21 Feb 2022
VALP74
EVAN69
13 Jan 2021
VALP v EVAN
upcoming
05 Mar 2020
VALP58
EVAN55
26 Jan 2020
VALP67
EVAN65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valparaiso winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Evansville winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValparaisoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bradley
#76
L
69-80
69
80
-11
A30/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#312
W
80-70
80
70
+10
H02/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#29
L
51-63
51
63
-12
H06/02
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#66
L
68-70
68
70
-2
A09/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#162
W
55-38
55
38
+17
H13/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#312
W
65-62
65
62
+3
A16/02
NCAA
Drake
#138
L
75-77 OT
75
77
-2
A20/02
NCAA
Bradley
#76
W
90-78
90
78
+12
H23/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#196
W
89-74
89
74
+15
H26/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#57
L
58-71
58
71
-13
A29/02
NCAA
1H
2H
26-37
43-43
34-28
46-42
19-34
32-29
35-39
33-31
28-16
27-22
26-43
39-19
22-40
47-29
36-42
54-36
41-39
48-35
27-37
31-34
138.3Avg total
70.0Scored
68.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)71.570.7142.3+0.848%
Season at home (12)74.265.8140.0+8.375%
Season away (15)69.474.7144.1-5.327%
Last 10 (10)70.068.3138.3+1.750%
Last 5 (5)75.472.4147.8+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)63.274.5137.7-11.30%
vs Similar (15)70.070.0140.0+0.047%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)79.269.9149.1+9.488%
This opponent (Evansville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EvansvilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois State
#312
L
66-77
66
77
-11
A30/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#29
L
68-80
68
80
-12
H01/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#162
L
60-64 OT
60
64
-4
H06/02
NCAA
Bradley
#76
L
58-69
58
69
-11
A09/02
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#66
L
66-73
66
73
-7
H13/02
NCAA
Drake
#138
L
80-85
80
85
-5
A16/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#162
L
53-70
53
70
-17
A21/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#57
L
62-64
62
64
-2
H23/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#29
L
64-84
64
84
-20
A27/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#312
L
60-71
60
71
-11
H29/02
NCAA
1H
2H
37-36
29-41
16-30
52-50
22-24
32-30
26-34
32-35
34-45
32-28
40-34
40-51
37-40
16-30
26-20
36-44
33-46
31-38
27-34
33-37
137.4Avg total
63.7Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)66.775.6142.3-8.922%
Season at home (14)72.177.5149.6-5.429%
Season away (13)61.073.5134.5-12.515%
Last 10 (10)63.773.7137.4-10.00%
Last 5 (5)63.874.8138.6-11.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)65.775.7141.4-10.018%
vs Similar (6)72.573.7146.2-1.250%
vs Weaker (2)80.073.5153.5+6.5100%
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -6.1-6.11st half: -4.5-4.52nd half2nd half: +8.0+8.02nd half: -5.1-5.1
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -6.1-6.11st half: -4.5-4.52nd half2nd half: +8.0+8.02nd half: -5.1-5.1
ValparaisoEvansville
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ValparaisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bradley
#76
L
26-37
26
37
-11
A30/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#312
W
34-28
34
28
+6
H02/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#29
L
19-34
19
34
-15
H06/02
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#66
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A09/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#162
W
28-16
28
16
+12
H13/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#312
L
26-43
26
43
-17
A16/02
NCAA
Drake
#138
L
22-40
22
40
-18
A20/02
NCAA
Bradley
#76
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H23/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#196
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H26/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#57
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A29/02
NCAA
64.9Avg total
29.4Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.234.967.1-2.637%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.231.165.4+3.157%-
Last 30 away (16)30.538.168.6-7.619%-
Last 10 (10)29.435.564.9-6.130%-
Last 5 (5)30.440.270.6-9.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)31.037.568.5-6.517%-
vs Similar (15)31.534.365.8-2.933%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)35.633.168.8+2.562%-
This opponent (Evansville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EvansvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois State
#312
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A30/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#29
L
16-30
16
30
-14
H01/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#162
L
22-24
22
24
-2
H06/02
NCAA
Bradley
#76
L
26-34
26
34
-8
A09/02
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#66
L
34-45
34
45
-11
H13/02
NCAA
Drake
#138
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A16/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#162
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A21/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#57
W
26-20
26
20
+6
H23/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#29
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A27/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#312
L
27-34
27
34
-7
H29/02
NCAA
64.1Avg total
29.8Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.335.466.6-4.133%-
Last 30 at home (16)31.534.766.2-3.231%-
Last 30 away (14)31.036.167.1-5.136%-
Last 10 (10)29.834.364.1-4.530%-
Last 5 (5)32.634.867.4-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)30.035.265.1-5.227%-
vs Similar (6)34.338.272.5-3.833%-
vs Weaker (2)36.529.065.5+7.5100%-
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Valparaiso wins
0
Evansville wins
DateGameScore
26/01/20Valparaiso v Evansville67-65
05/01/20Evansville v Valparaiso79-81 OT
Valparaisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/02/20AIndiana State58-71
26/02/20HMissouri State89-74
23/02/20HBradley90-78
20/02/20ADrake75-77 OT
16/02/20AIllinois State65-62
13/02/20HSouthern Illinois55-38
09/02/20ALoyola Chicago68-70
06/02/20HNorthern Iowa51-63
02/02/20HIllinois State80-70
30/01/20ABradley69-80
Evansvillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/02/20HIllinois State60-71
27/02/20ANorthern Iowa64-84
23/02/20HIndiana State62-64
21/02/20ASouthern Illinois53-70
16/02/20ADrake80-85
13/02/20HLoyola Chicago66-73
09/02/20ABradley58-69
06/02/20HSouthern Illinois60-64 OT
01/02/20HNorthern Iowa68-80
30/01/20AIllinois State66-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valparaiso
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL48%
HomeWLWWW75%
AwayLLWLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271215
Win %48%75%27%
Points / game71.574.269.4
Allowed / game70.765.874.7
Point differential+0.8+8.3-5.3
Avg total142.3140.0144.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%50%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)50% (4)50% (6)
Overtime %11%0%20%
Evansville
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL22%
HomeLLLLL29%
AwayLLLLL15%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %22%29%15%
Points / game66.772.161.0
Allowed / game75.677.573.5
Point differential-8.9-5.4-12.5
Avg total142.3149.6134.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%7%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)50% (6)0% (2)
Overtime %15%29%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Northern Iowa2419579%76.465.1+11.3
2 Belmont2720774%78.869.0+9.8
3 Murray State2619773%74.664.9+9.7
4 Indiana State2518772%69.364.2+5.0
5 Bradley27171063%70.966.4+4.4
6 Drake28161257%67.868.7-0.9
7 Southern Illinois25141156%62.561.9+0.6
8 Illinois (Chi.)29161355%70.868.4+2.3
9 Valparaiso27131448%71.570.7+0.8
10 Illinois State2882029%65.470.1-4.7
11 Evansville2762122%66.775.6-8.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Valparaiso312758
Evansville253055
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