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Valparaiso vs Western Michigan Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 29 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 84-55
37-17 47-38
Position#170
Record4-2
FormLWWWL
Points / game67.8
Allowed / game70.3
vs
Position#325
Record3-4
FormLWLLW
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game78.9
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Valparaiso v Western Michigan
29 Nov 2025
VALP84
WEST55
13 Nov 2022
VALP81
WEST65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valparaiso winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Western Michigan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValparaisoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
L
73-77
73
77
-4
A02/03
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
W
67-50
67
50
+17
A07/03
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
W
64-63
64
63
+1
A08/03
NCAA
Bradley
#30
L
65-70
65
70
-5
A08/03
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#285
W
66-63
66
63
+3
H05/11
NCAA
Kentucky
#107
L
59-107
59
107
-48
A08/11
NCAA
Nicholls State
#265
W
68-63
68
63
+5
H13/11
NCAA
Bryant University
#344
W
68-50
68
50
+18
H16/11
NCAA
Cleveland State
#303
W
90-75
90
75
+15
A20/11
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#357
L
56-64
56
64
-8
H26/11
NCAA
1H
2H
32-39
41-38
37-21
30-29
45-32
19-31
34-31
31-39
31-25
35-38
26-58
33-49
25-19
43-44
22-30
46-20
39-27
51-48
30-36
26-28
135.8Avg total
67.6Scored
68.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)67.870.3138.2-2.567%
Season at home (4)64.560.0124.5+4.575%
Season away (2)74.591.0165.5-16.550%
Last 10 (10)67.668.2135.8-0.660%
Last 5 (5)68.271.8140.0-3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)68.478.7147.1-10.329%
vs Similar (16)71.973.6145.6-1.750%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)76.368.0144.3+8.357%
This opponent (Western Michigan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Western MichiganUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kent State
#74
L
76-77
76
77
-1
H05/03
NCAA
Bowling Green
#257
W
64-63
64
63
+1
A08/03
NCAA
Kent State
#74
L
66-73
66
73
-7
A13/03
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
W
76-71
76
71
+5
H04/11
NCAA
Northwood
#3
L
81-85
81
85
-4
H07/11
NCAA
Campbell
#222
L
82-91
82
91
-9
A09/11
NCAA
IPFW
#181
W
83-71
83
71
+12
H13/11
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#214
L
78-83
78
83
-5
A16/11
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
L
58-91
58
91
-33
A21/11
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#242
W
83-60
83
60
+23
H23/11
NCAA
1H
2H
39-42
37-35
33-32
31-31
25-43
41-30
32-34
44-37
39-44
42-41
34-39
48-52
32-37
51-34
38-40
40-43
24-49
34-42
38-34
45-26
151.2Avg total
74.7Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)77.378.9156.1-1.643%
Season at home (4)80.871.8152.5+9.075%
Season away (3)72.788.3161.0-15.70%
Last 10 (10)74.776.5151.2-1.840%
Last 5 (5)76.879.2156.0-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)72.981.9154.8-9.132%
vs Similar (8)70.069.9139.9+0.162%
vs Weaker (2)86.574.5161.0+12.050%
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +0.3+0.31st half: -6.0-6.02nd half2nd half: -0.9-0.92nd half: +4.2+4.2
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +0.3+0.31st half: -6.0-6.02nd half2nd half: -0.9-0.92nd half: +4.2+4.2
ValparaisoWestern Michigan
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ValparaisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A02/03
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
W
37-21
37
21
+16
A07/03
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A08/03
NCAA
Bradley
#30
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A08/03
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#285
W
31-25
31
25
+6
H05/11
NCAA
Kentucky
#107
L
26-58
26
58
-32
A08/11
NCAA
Nicholls State
#265
W
25-19
25
19
+6
H13/11
NCAA
Bryant University
#344
L
22-30
22
30
-8
H16/11
NCAA
Cleveland State
#303
W
39-27
39
27
+12
A20/11
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#357
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H26/11
NCAA
63.9Avg total
32.1Scored
31.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.434.968.3-1.447%-
Last 30 at home (14)33.932.666.5+1.457%-
Last 30 away (16)33.036.969.9-3.938%-
Last 10 (10)32.131.863.9+0.360%-
Last 5 (5)28.434.062.4-5.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)33.737.771.4-4.057%-
vs Similar (16)33.333.466.7-0.144%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)33.435.468.9-2.043%-
This opponent (Western Michigan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Western MichiganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kent State
#74
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H05/03
NCAA
Bowling Green
#257
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A08/03
NCAA
Kent State
#74
L
25-43
25
43
-18
A13/03
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H04/11
NCAA
Northwood
#3
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H07/11
NCAA
Campbell
#222
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A09/11
NCAA
IPFW
#181
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H13/11
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#214
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A16/11
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
L
24-49
24
49
-25
A21/11
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#242
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H23/11
NCAA
72.8Avg total
33.4Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.938.372.2-4.437%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.536.070.5-1.540%-
Last 30 away (15)33.340.774.0-7.333%-
Last 10 (10)33.439.472.8-6.020%-
Last 5 (5)33.239.873.0-6.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)32.140.672.7-8.521%-
vs Similar (8)34.632.467.0+2.275%-
vs Weaker (2)45.538.083.5+7.550%-
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Valparaiso wins
0
Western Michigan wins
Valparaisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/11/25HSouthern Indiana56-64
20/11/25ACleveland State90-75
16/11/25HBryant University68-50
13/11/25HNicholls State68-63
08/11/25AKentucky59-107
05/11/25HEastern Illinois66-63
08/03/25ABradley65-70
08/03/25ANorthern Iowa64-63
07/03/25AIllinois (Chi.)67-50
02/03/25AIllinois (Chi.)73-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/11/25HMount St. Mary's83-60
21/11/25AOhio State58-91
16/11/25ASouth Dakota Coyotes78-83
13/11/25HIPFW83-71
09/11/25ACampbell82-91
07/11/25HNorthwood81-85
04/11/25HCoastal Carolina76-71
13/03/25AKent State66-73
08/03/25ABowling Green64-63
05/03/25HKent State76-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valparaiso
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL67%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %67%75%50%
Points / game67.864.574.5
Allowed / game70.360.091.0
Point differential-2.5+4.5-16.5
Avg total138.2124.5165.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%25%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Western Michigan
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW43%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %43%75%0%
Points / game77.380.872.7
Allowed / game78.971.888.3
Point differential-1.6+9.0-15.7
Avg total156.1152.5161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Belmont87188%81.568.4+13.1
2 Northern Iowa76186%70.458.4+12.0
3 Illinois State86275%78.966.0+12.9
4 Valparaiso64267%67.870.3-2.5
5 Murray State85362%89.480.5+8.9
6 Drake74357%76.464.1+12.3
7 Illinois (Chi.)74357%81.073.7+7.3
8 Bradley84450%75.671.0+4.6
9 Indiana State84450%72.972.4+0.5
10 Southern Illinois73443%80.073.1+6.9
11 Evansville83538%69.873.0-3.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Miami (Ohio)660100%93.568.0+25.5
2 Buffalo770100%79.971.9+8.0
3 Akron75271%94.974.1+20.7
4 Bowling Green75271%85.665.7+19.9
5 Kent State75271%92.686.4+6.1
6 Eastern Michigan85362%71.571.0+0.5
7 UMass74357%78.072.9+5.1
8 Toledo74357%79.677.9+1.7
9 Central Michigan73443%75.974.0+1.9
10 Northern Illinois73443%77.476.4+1.0
11 Western Michigan73443%77.378.9-1.6
12 Ball State62433%66.870.3-3.5
13 Ohio71614%71.184.4-13.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Valparaiso374784
Western Michigan173855
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