Valur vs IR Reykjavik Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 16 Mar 2023

Tip-off: 19:15

Final 102-97 (OT)

10-22 30-25 20-14 22-21 20-15

Position#2

Record15-4

FormWLWWW

Points / game87.2

Allowed / game81.4

Valur 🏆

IR Reykjavik

Position#11

Record5-14

FormWWLLL

Points / game82.1

Allowed / game89.9

Premier leagueRound 20

Other2022-23

Meetings · Valur v IR Reykjavik

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valur winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

IR Reykjavik winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Valur

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Stjarnan

80-76 OT

A05/01

Premier league

Hottur

74-47

+27

A11/01

Icelandic Cup

Stjarnan

72-66

A14/01

Icelandic Cup

Grindavik

92-67

+25

H20/01

Premier league

Breidablik

#10

78-89

-11

A27/01

Premier league

Haukar

84-76

H02/02

Premier league

Thorl

74-106

106

-32

A10/02

Premier league

KR Basket

#12

90-71

+19

H16/02

Premier league

Hottur

90-81

A05/03

Premier league

Keflavik

111-80

111

+31

A10/03

Premier league

21-12

19-19

16-18

15-22

20-15

15-9

13-10

26-13

17-22

22-16

14-16

19-12

20-19

27-15

16-17

29-16

22-21

27-20

18-31

11-17

15-23

20-16

26-22

23-15

17-16

14-29

21-25

22-36

14-21

22-17

26-11

28-22

24-21

19-16

32-20

15-24

25-16

24-29

32-26

30-9

160.4Avg total

84.5Scored

75.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (19)	87.2	81.4	168.6	+5.7	79%
Season at home (9)	87.9	82.1	170.0	+5.8	78%
Season away (10)	86.5	80.8	167.3	+5.7	80%
Last 10 (10)	84.5	75.9	160.4	+8.6	80%
Last 5 (5)	89.8	82.8	172.6	+7.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (15)	85.6	82.3	167.9	+3.3	73%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	84.6	75.1	159.6	+9.5	86%

This opponent (IR Reykjavik) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

IR Reykjavik Iceland

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Keflavik

88-108

108

-20

A15/12

Premier league

Hottur

65-75

-10

H29/12

Premier league

Njardvik

74-103

103

-29

A05/01

Premier league

Tindastoll

81-96

-15

H19/01

Premier league

Stjarnan

76-94

-18

A26/01

Premier league

Grindavik

91-90

H03/02

Premier league

Breidablik

#10

104-91

104

+13

A09/02

Premier league

Haukar

88-95

-7

H16/02

Premier league

Thorl

87-91

-4

A05/03

Premier league

KR Basket

#12

82-85

-3

H09/03

Premier league

24-25

20-23

25-26

19-34

23-14

17-28

19-11

6-22

20-23

25-31

19-26

10-23

17-22

25-19

23-24

16-31

25-22

23-27

16-24

12-21

20-27

19-24

24-18

28-21

30-25

31-21

25-22

18-23

21-28

33-19

19-16

15-32

25-30

22-13

20-29

20-19

26-23

20-21

15-19

21-22

176.4Avg total

83.6Scored

92.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (19)	82.1	89.9	171.9	-7.8	26%
Season at home (10)	81.3	87.1	168.4	-5.8	30%
Season away (9)	82.9	93.0	175.9	-10.1	22%
Last 10 (10)	83.6	92.8	176.4	-9.2	20%
Last 5 (5)	90.4	90.4	180.8	+0.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	80.9	90.4	171.3	-9.6	12%
vs Similar (9)	89.8	89.0	178.8	+0.8	44%
vs Weaker (4)	94.2	81.2	175.5	+13.0	75%

This opponent (Valur) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

ValurIR Reykjavik

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	20.2	40.9	+0.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.6	22.4	42.0	-2.8	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.7	18.1	39.8	+3.7	80%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	18.6	38.1	+0.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	19.4	38.4	-0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (15)	21.3	21.1	42.4	+0.1	47%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	19.6	19.5	39.1	+0.1	64%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	23.0	44.4	-1.7	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.0	21.6	43.6	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.7	24.5	45.2	-3.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.1	23.9	47.0	-0.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	26.6	51.0	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	20.6	22.6	43.1	-2.0	31%	-
vs Similar (9)	22.0	24.6	46.6	-2.6	33%	-
vs Weaker (4)	24.2	21.2	45.5	+3.0	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	19.3	41.2	+2.7	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.9	19.3	42.2	+3.5	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.0	19.2	40.2	+1.8	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	18.6	39.5	+2.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	21.4	41.2	-1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (15)	20.8	20.8	41.6	+0.0	53%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	23.3	17.5	40.8	+5.8	79%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.1	21.0	43.1	+1.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.4	21.5	41.9	-1.1	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.7	20.5	44.3	+3.2	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.5	22.6	46.1	+0.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.0	19.6	44.6	+5.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	21.4	21.4	42.9	+0.0	44%	-
vs Similar (9)	22.6	21.1	43.7	+1.4	44%	-
vs Weaker (4)	23.5	19.5	43.0	+4.0	75%	-

ValurLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Stjarnan

40-31

A05/01

Premier league

Hottur

35-24

+11

A11/01

Icelandic Cup

Stjarnan

39-38

A14/01

Icelandic Cup

Grindavik

47-34

+13

H20/01

Premier league

Breidablik

#10

49-41

A27/01

Premier league

Haukar

35-39

-4

H02/02

Premier league

Thorl

31-45

-14

A10/02

Premier league

KR Basket

#12

36-38

-2

H16/02

Premier league

Hottur

43-37

A05/03

Premier league

Keflavik

49-45

A10/03

Premier league

77.6Avg total

40.4Scored

37.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.6	39.5	82.1	+3.1	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.5	41.7	84.2	+0.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.7	37.3	80.0	+5.5	80%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.4	37.2	77.6	+3.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.8	40.8	79.6	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (15)	42.1	41.9	84.0	+0.1	47%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	42.9	37.0	79.9	+5.9	86%	-

This opponent (IR Reykjavik) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

IR ReykjavikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Keflavik

44-48

-4

A15/12

Premier league

Hottur

40-42

-2

H29/12

Premier league

Njardvik

45-54

-9

A05/01

Premier league

Tindastoll

42-41

H19/01

Premier league

Stjarnan

48-49

-1

A26/01

Premier league

Grindavik

39-51

-12

H03/02

Premier league

Breidablik

#10

61-46

+15

A09/02

Premier league

Haukar

54-47

H16/02

Premier league

Thorl

47-43

A05/03

Premier league

KR Basket

#12

46-44

H09/03

Premier league

93.1Avg total

46.6Scored

46.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.4	44.1	87.5	-0.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.4	43.1	85.5	-0.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	44.5	45.0	89.5	-0.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.6	46.5	93.1	+0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	49.4	46.2	95.6	+3.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	42.0	44.0	86.0	-2.0	44%	-
vs Similar (9)	44.6	45.7	90.2	-1.1	44%	-
vs Weaker (4)	47.8	40.8	88.5	+7.0	100%	-

This opponent (Valur) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	18.6	39.2	+2.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.7	17.5	39.1	+4.2	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.5	19.7	39.3	-0.2	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	19.6	41.0	+1.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	27.4	20.8	48.2	+6.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (15)	20.8	19.0	39.8	+1.8	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	20.3	18.4	38.6	+1.9	43%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	22.3	43.0	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	19.6	40.5	+1.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.5	24.9	45.4	-4.5	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	21.5	42.0	-1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	20.8	41.4	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	20.1	21.9	42.0	-1.9	38%	-
vs Similar (9)	21.7	21.0	42.7	+0.7	56%	-
vs Weaker (4)	21.8	23.0	44.8	-1.2	25%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	19.7	40.9	+1.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.5	19.8	42.3	+2.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.8	19.7	39.5	+0.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	18.6	40.4	+3.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	21.2	44.8	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (15)	21.2	20.1	41.3	+1.1	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	20.7	19.4	40.1	+1.4	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	22.1	42.5	-1.6	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.6	24.4	45.0	-3.8	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.3	19.7	40.1	+0.6	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.5	24.8	41.3	-8.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	23.4	43.8	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	17.9	23.4	41.3	-5.4	25%	-
vs Similar (9)	23.6	22.3	45.9	+1.2	44%	-
vs Weaker (4)	24.8	17.5	42.2	+7.2	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.7	38.3	80.1	+3.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	44.1	37.3	81.4	+6.9	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.3	39.4	78.7	-0.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.2	38.2	81.4	+5.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	51.0	42.0	93.0	+9.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (15)	42.0	39.1	81.1	+2.9	53%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	41.0	37.7	78.7	+3.3	57%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.2	44.3	85.5	-3.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.5	44.0	85.5	-2.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.8	44.7	85.5	-3.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.0	46.3	83.3	-9.3	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.0	44.2	85.2	-3.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	38.0	45.3	83.3	-7.3	25%	-
vs Similar (9)	45.2	43.3	88.6	+1.9	56%	-
vs Weaker (4)	46.5	40.5	87.0	+6.0	75%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Valur wins

IR Reykjavik wins

Date	Game	Score
08/12/22	IR Reykjavik v Valur	77-83
17/02/22	IR Reykjavik v Valur	80-83
11/11/21	Valur v IR Reykjavik	92-79

Valurlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
10/03/23	A	Keflavik	111-80
05/03/23	A	Hottur	90-81
16/02/23	H	KR Basket	90-71
10/02/23	A	Thorl	74-106
02/02/23	H	Haukar	84-76
27/01/23	A	Breidablik	78-89
20/01/23	H	Grindavik	92-67
14/01/23	A	Stjarnan	72-66
11/01/23	A	Hottur	74-47
05/01/23	A	Stjarnan	80-76 OT

IR Reykjaviklast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
09/03/23	H	KR Basket	82-85
05/03/23	A	Thorl	87-91
16/02/23	H	Haukar	88-95
09/02/23	A	Breidablik	104-91
03/02/23	H	Grindavik	91-90
26/01/23	A	Stjarnan	76-94
19/01/23	H	Tindastoll	81-96
05/01/23	A	Njardvik	74-103
29/12/22	H	Hottur	65-75
15/12/22	A	Keflavik	88-108

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valur

Premier league 2022-23

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	79%
Home	LWWWW	78%
Away	WLLWW	80%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	19	9	10
Win %	79%	78%	80%
Points / game	87.2	87.9	86.5
Allowed / game	81.4	82.1	80.8
Point differential	+5.7	+5.8	+5.7
Avg total	168.6	170.0	167.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	32%	33%	30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (3)	100% (1)	100% (2)
Overtime %	11%	0%	20%

IR Reykjavik

Premier league 2022-23

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLL	26%
Home	LLWLL	30%
Away	LLLWL	22%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	19	10	9
Win %	26%	30%	22%
Points / game	82.1	81.3	82.9
Allowed / game	89.9	87.1	93.0
Point differential	-7.8	-5.8	-10.1
Avg total	171.9	168.4	175.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	5%	0%	11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	25% (4)	50% (2)	0% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Njardvik	20	16	4	80%	98.3	85.7	+12.7
2	Valur	19	15	4	79%	87.2	81.4	+5.7
3	Keflavik	19	12	7	63%	92.7	89.5	+3.3
4	Haukar	19	12	7	63%	88.7	85.8	+2.9
5	Tindastoll	19	11	8	58%	87.5	82.8	+4.6
6	Grindavik	19	9	10	47%	84.2	89.7	-5.6
7	Thorl	19	8	11	42%	100.1	96.9	+3.2
8	Stjarnan	19	8	11	42%	87.9	89.4	-1.5
9	Breidablik	19	8	11	42%	98.9	103.6	-4.6
10	Hottur	19	7	12	37%	83.7	85.4	-1.7
11	IR Reykjavik	19	5	14	26%	82.1	89.9	-7.8
12	KR Basket	20	4	16	20%	89.2	100.4	-11.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final
Valur	10	30	20	22	20	102
IR Reykjavik	22	25	14	21	15	97

← all games of the day

Valur vs IR Reykjavik Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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