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Valur vs IR Reykjavik Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 15 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 85-69
25-26 22-18 20-16 18-9
Position#5
Record-
FormWWWWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Valur 🏆
Iceland
vs
Position#12
Record-
FormLLLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
IcelandIcelandic Cup· Origo-hollin Hlidarenda
Other2025-26
Meetings · Valur v IR Reykjavik
04 Dec 2026
VALU v IR R
upcoming
26 Mar 2026
VALU82
IR R93
15 Dec 2025
VALU85
IR R69
01 Mar 2025
VALU90
IR R87
16 Mar 2023
VALU102
IR R97
11 Nov 2021
VALU92
IR R79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valur winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
IR Reykjavik winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValurIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValur
Date
Competition
Tindastoll
#2
L
85-87
85
87
-2
77avg 83
H06/10
Premier league
Stjarnan
#3
L
91-94
91
94
-3
85avg 83
A11/10
Premier league
Armann
#10
W
94-83
94
83
+11
95avg 83
H16/10
Premier league
Thorl
#11
W
119-117 OT
119
117
+2
117avg 83
A23/10
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
L
55-90
55
90
-35
46avg 83
H30/10
Premier league
Akranes IA
#12
W
83-81
83
81
+2
78avg 83
A06/11
Premier league
Alftanes
#8
W
92-80
92
80
+12
79avg 83
H14/11
Premier league
KR Basket
#6
W
99-91
99
91
+8
94avg 83
A20/11
Premier league
Njardvik
#9
W
94-86
94
86
+8
89avg 83
H05/12
Premier league
Keflavik
#5
W
111-91
111
91
+20
106avg 83
H11/12
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-25
20-26
20-13
24-23
34-26
12-27
20-22
25-19
26-18
18-23
20-23
30-19
17-25
27-26
27-25
28-23
13-21
14-22
15-25
13-22
24-22
25-16
15-22
19-21
25-27
16-14
27-13
24-26
28-28
24-19
24-24
23-20
24-29
26-22
24-22
20-13
30-24
25-20
32-24
24-23
182.3Avg total
92.3Scored
90.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)92.390.0182.3+2.370%
Last 5 (5)95.885.8181.6+10.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)79.586.3165.8-6.833%
vs Similar (14)89.784.1173.9+5.671%
vs Weaker (10)91.882.3174.1+9.590%
IR ReykjavikIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormReykjavik
Date
Competition
Keflavik
#5
L
83-92
83
92
-9
75avg 83
A02/10
Premier league
Njardvik
#9
W
102-100 OT
102
100
+2
93avg 83
A11/10
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
67-113
67
113
-46
50avg 83
H17/10
Premier league
Stjarnan
#3
W
93-91
93
91
+2
90avg 83
A24/10
Premier league
Armann
#10
W
96-83
96
83
+13
89avg 83
H31/10
Premier league
Thorl
#11
L
98-100
98
100
-2
96avg 83
A06/11
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
L
78-87
78
87
-9
66avg 83
H13/11
Premier league
Akranes IA
#12
L
89-96
89
96
-7
no box
A21/11
Premier league
Alftanes
#8
W
97-86
97
86
+11
99avg 83
H05/12
Premier league
KR Basket
#6
L
96-102
96
102
-6
83avg 83
A11/12
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-26
25-20
23-22
19-24
20-20
26-24
28-23
18-25
25-28
13-28
13-25
16-32
17-25
27-21
26-18
23-27
19-25
28-25
27-14
22-19
18-23
31-29
23-22
26-26
28-26
15-19
11-21
24-21
15-22
15-27
16-22
43-25
26-23
18-19
20-24
33-20
25-27
14-25
24-15
33-35
184.9Avg total
89.9Scored
95.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)89.995.0184.9-5.140%
Last 5 (5)91.694.2185.8-2.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)87.393.5180.8-6.238%
vs Similar (9)91.089.8180.8+1.289%
vs Weaker (5)93.491.0184.4+2.440%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -3.6-3.6Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +0.3+0.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -3.6-3.6Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +0.3+0.3
ValurIR Reykjavik
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValurLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tindastoll
#2
L
41-51
41
51
-10
H06/10
Premier league
Stjarnan
#3
L
46-53
46
53
-7
A11/10
Premier league
Armann
#10
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H16/10
Premier league
Thorl
#11
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A23/10
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
L
27-43
27
43
-16
H30/10
Premier league
Akranes IA
#12
W
49-38
49
38
+11
A06/11
Premier league
Alftanes
#8
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H14/11
Premier league
KR Basket
#6
W
52-47
52
47
+5
A20/11
Premier league
Njardvik
#9
L
50-51
50
51
-1
H05/12
Premier league
Keflavik
#5
W
55-44
55
44
+11
H11/12
Premier league
90.9Avg total
44.9Scored
46.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.743.287.8+1.547%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.743.288.9+2.547%-
Last 30 away (15)43.643.186.7+0.547%-
Last 10 (10)44.946.090.9-1.140%-
Last 5 (5)49.444.293.6+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)40.347.587.8-7.217%-
vs Similar (14)45.942.988.8+2.950%-
vs Weaker (10)45.640.986.5+4.760%-
IR ReykjavikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keflavik
#5
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A02/10
Premier league
Njardvik
#9
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A11/10
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
38-56
38
56
-18
H17/10
Premier league
Stjarnan
#3
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A24/10
Premier league
Armann
#10
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H31/10
Premier league
Thorl
#11
L
49-52
49
52
-3
A06/11
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H13/11
Premier league
Akranes IA
#12
L
30-49
30
49
-19
A21/11
Premier league
Alftanes
#8
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H05/12
Premier league
KR Basket
#6
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A11/12
Premier league
90.3Avg total
42.1Scored
48.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.346.990.2-3.630%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.346.188.4-3.929%-
Last 30 away (16)44.247.691.8-3.431%-
Last 10 (10)42.148.290.3-6.120%-
Last 5 (5)41.048.089.0-7.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)42.948.391.2-5.412%-
vs Similar (9)43.243.686.8-0.367%-
vs Weaker (5)44.648.493.0-3.820%-
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valurtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valur: 92.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.8 points a game
48%
36%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.720.6
49.4%
53.3%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.511.8
38.7%
33.4%35.4
🏀 Free throws21.715.5
71.4%
76.4%15.5
They take 72.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
IR Reykjaviktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

IR Reykjavik: 88.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.8 points a game
48%
36%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.720.6
54.6%
53.3%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.011.6
34.1%
33.4%34.8
🏀 Free throws17.512.0
68.6%
76.4%12.0
They take 71.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valur
WWWWWLWWLL
IR Reykjavik
LWLLLWWLWL
#5
League position
#12
+3.5
Net rating
-5.9
114.2
Offensive rating
108.3
110.7
Defensive rating
114.2
53.0%
Effective FG%
53.0%
50.3%
Opp. effective FG%
52.7%
15.5%
Turnover %
16.3%
32.9%
Off. rebound %
27.4%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.24
38.7%
3-point %
34.1%
59.0%
Assist %
64.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence114.2 · 108.3Defence110.7 · 114.2Shooting53.0% · 53.0%3-point %38.7% · 34.1%Ball care15.5% · 16.3%Off. rebounds32.9% · 27.4%Free throws0.30 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Valur   ■ IR Reykjavik
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Valur wins
1
IR Reykjavik wins
DateGameScore
01/03/25Valur v IR Reykjavik90-87
29/11/24IR Reykjavik v Valur84-83
16/03/23Valur v IR Reykjavik102-97 OT
08/12/22IR Reykjavik v Valur77-83
17/02/22IR Reykjavik v Valur80-83
11/11/21Valur v IR Reykjavik92-79
Valurlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/12/25HKeflavik111-91
05/12/25HNjardvik94-86
20/11/25AKR Basket99-91
14/11/25HAlftanes92-80
06/11/25AAkranes IA83-81
30/10/25HGrindavik55-90
23/10/25AThorl119-117 OT
16/10/25HArmann94-83
11/10/25AStjarnan91-94
06/10/25HTindastoll85-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/12/25AKR Basket96-102
05/12/25HAlftanes97-86
21/11/25AAkranes IA89-96
13/11/25HGrindavik78-87
06/11/25AThorl98-100
31/10/25HArmann96-83
24/10/25AStjarnan93-91
17/10/25HTindastoll67-113
11/10/25ANjardvik102-100 OT
02/10/25AKeflavik83-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valur
Icelandic Cup 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
IR Reykjavik
Icelandic Cup 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tindastoll110100%125.066.0+59.0
2 Keflavik110100%102.071.0+31.0
3 KR Basket110100%113.087.0+26.0
4 Grindavik110100%86.077.0+9.0
5 Armann1010%77.086.0-9.0
6 Fjolnir1010%87.0113.0-26.0
7 Akranes IA1010%71.0102.0-31.0
8 Hamar1010%66.0125.0-59.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valur2522201885
IR Reykjavik261816969
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