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Valur vs IR Reykjavik Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 01 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 90-87
22-27 29-24 20-19 19-17
Position#5
Record10-8
FormWWWWW
Points / game88.7
Allowed / game86.7
Valur 🏆
Iceland
vs
Position#7
Record8-10
FormWWLWL
Points / game88.2
Allowed / game93.3
IcelandPremier leagueRound 19· Origo-hollin Hlidarenda
Other2024-25
Meetings · Valur v IR Reykjavik
04 Dec 2026
VALU v IR R
upcoming
26 Mar 2026
VALU82
IR R93
15 Dec 2025
VALU85
IR R69
01 Mar 2025
VALU90
IR R87
16 Mar 2023
VALU102
IR R97
11 Nov 2021
VALU92
IR R79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valur winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
IR Reykjavik winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValurIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValur
Date
Competition
Grindavik
#4
L
90-97
90
97
-7
85avg 80
A13/12
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
W
89-80
89
80
+9
86avg 80
H20/12
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
W
83-79
83
79
+4
70avg 80
H05/01
Premier league
Thorl
#9
L
69-94
69
94
-25
60avg 80
A10/01
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
W
87-81
87
81
+6
93avg 80
H16/01
Premier league
Sindri
#7
W
99-77
99
77
+22
100avg 80
A20/01
Icelandic Cup
Keflavik
#10
W
81-70
81
70
+11
82avg 80
A24/01
Premier league
Njardvik
#3
W
88-76
88
76
+12
75avg 80
H30/01
Premier league
Hottur
#11
W
92-58
92
58
+34
91avg 80
H07/02
Premier league
KR Basket
#8
W
96-89 OT
96
89
+7
91avg 80
A14/02
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-30
25-18
15-31
24-18
18-20
31-16
24-20
16-24
19-18
23-31
23-13
18-17
10-23
17-24
17-26
25-21
25-23
21-23
17-18
24-17
25-19
28-22
25-13
21-23
16-22
21-22
19-9
25-17
25-28
16-20
21-17
26-11
17-19
33-15
26-15
16-9
20-24
17-15
32-24
15-21
167.5Avg total
87.4Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)88.786.7175.3+2.056%
Season at home (9)92.183.0175.1+9.178%
Season away (9)85.290.3175.6-5.133%
Last 10 (10)87.480.1167.5+7.380%
Last 5 (5)91.274.0165.2+17.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)84.384.7169.0-0.367%
vs Similar (19)87.583.6171.2+3.968%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)85.485.0170.4+0.429%
This opponent (IR Reykjavik) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IR ReykjavikIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormReykjavik
Date
Competition
KR Basket
#8
W
97-95
97
95
+2
103avg 80
A05/12
Premier league
Hottur
#11
W
82-79
82
79
+3
75avg 80
A12/12
Premier league
Haukar
#12
L
93-96
93
96
-3
90avg 80
H18/12
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
W
98-90 OT
98
90
+8
98avg 80
H02/01
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
88-98
88
98
-10
76avg 80
A09/01
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
W
103-101 OT
103
101
+2
92avg 80
H16/01
Premier league
Thorl
#9
W
95-94
95
94
+1
91avg 80
A24/01
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
L
75-94
75
94
-19
68avg 80
H30/01
Premier league
Keflavik
#10
W
90-81
90
81
+9
84avg 80
A06/02
Premier league
Njardvik
#3
L
91-95
91
95
-4
78avg 80
H14/02
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-26
25-26
26-23
26-20
13-15
24-19
28-25
17-20
20-26
28-25
20-23
25-22
18-24
21-24
21-10
22-24
22-20
16-27
21-30
29-21
22-24
16-26
32-14
18-24
32-24
16-27
28-24
19-19
14-23
19-26
28-20
14-25
29-21
20-21
20-22
21-17
20-29
31-22
20-22
20-22
183.5Avg total
91.2Scored
92.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)88.293.3181.5-5.244%
Season at home (9)86.491.9178.3-5.433%
Season away (9)89.994.8184.7-4.956%
Last 10 (10)91.292.3183.5-1.160%
Last 5 (5)90.893.0183.8-2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)86.494.1180.5-7.633%
vs Similar (10)87.389.2176.5-1.960%
vs Weaker (2)87.590.5178.0-3.00%
This opponent (Valur) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: -0.3-0.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: -0.3-0.3
ValurIR Reykjavik
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValurLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Grindavik
#4
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A13/12
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H20/12
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H05/01
Premier league
Thorl
#9
L
27-47
27
47
-20
A10/01
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H16/01
Premier league
Sindri
#7
W
53-41
53
41
+12
A20/01
Icelandic Cup
Keflavik
#10
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A24/01
Premier league
Njardvik
#3
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H30/01
Premier league
Hottur
#11
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H07/02
Premier league
KR Basket
#8
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A14/02
Premier league
86.5Avg total
43.3Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.443.585.9-1.237%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.543.086.5+0.538%-
Last 30 away (14)41.144.185.2-3.136%-
Last 10 (10)43.343.286.5+0.140%-
Last 5 (5)43.641.284.8+2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)41.741.783.3+0.033%-
vs Similar (19)42.343.986.2-1.737%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)43.143.186.3+0.043%-
This opponent (IR Reykjavik) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IR ReykjavikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KR Basket
#8
L
45-52
45
52
-7
A05/12
Premier league
Hottur
#11
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A12/12
Premier league
Haukar
#12
L
48-51
48
51
-3
H18/12
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H02/01
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A09/01
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
L
38-50
38
50
-12
H16/01
Premier league
Thorl
#9
L
48-51
48
51
-3
A24/01
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
L
33-49
33
49
-16
H30/01
Premier league
Keflavik
#10
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A06/02
Premier league
Njardvik
#3
D
51-51
51
51
+0
H14/02
Premier league
90.1Avg total
42.6Scored
47.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.146.490.4-2.343%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.045.989.9-1.947%-
Last 30 away (15)44.146.890.9-2.740%-
Last 10 (10)42.647.590.1-4.920%-
Last 5 (5)43.848.692.4-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)43.445.989.4-2.544%-
vs Similar (10)44.646.991.5-2.340%-
vs Weaker (2)47.047.594.5-0.550%-
This opponent (Valur) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valurtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valur: 86.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 91.2 points a game
47%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.218.8
56.6%
53.7%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.912.4
33.6%
34.4%37.2
🏀 Free throws16.811.6
69.0%
75.6%11.6
They take 70.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
IR Reykjaviktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

IR Reykjavik: 90.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 91.2 points a game
47%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.821.7
51.9%
53.7%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.110.6
39.1%
34.4%31.8
🏀 Free throws19.415.2
78.4%
75.6%15.2
They take 68.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valur
WWWWWWLWWL
IR Reykjavik
LWLWWLWLWW
#5
League position
#7
+9.2
Net rating
-1.3
108.4
Offensive rating
109.8
99.2
Defensive rating
111.1
53.4%
Effective FG%
54.6%
48.1%
Opp. effective FG%
50.6%
15.8%
Turnover %
17.8%
25.6%
Off. rebound %
25.7%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.28
33.6%
3-point %
39.1%
67.0%
Assist %
59.8%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence108.4 · 109.8Defence99.2 · 111.1Shooting53.4% · 54.6%3-point %33.6% · 39.1%Ball care15.8% · 17.8%Off. rebounds25.6% · 25.7%Free throws0.24 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Valur   ■ IR Reykjavik
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Valur wins
1
IR Reykjavik wins
DateGameScore
29/11/24IR Reykjavik v Valur84-83
16/03/23Valur v IR Reykjavik102-97 OT
08/12/22IR Reykjavik v Valur77-83
17/02/22IR Reykjavik v Valur80-83
11/11/21Valur v IR Reykjavik92-79
Valurlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/25AKR Basket96-89 OT
07/02/25HHottur92-58
30/01/25HNjardvik88-76
24/01/25AKeflavik81-70
20/01/25ASindri99-77
16/01/25HAlftanes87-81
10/01/25AThorl69-94
05/01/25HStjarnan83-79
20/12/24HTindastoll89-80
13/12/24AGrindavik90-97
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/25HNjardvik91-95
06/02/25AKeflavik90-81
30/01/25HAlftanes75-94
24/01/25AThorl95-94
16/01/25HStjarnan103-101 OT
09/01/25ATindastoll88-98
02/01/25HGrindavik98-90 OT
18/12/24HHaukar93-96
12/12/24AHottur82-79
05/12/24AKR Basket97-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valur
Premier league 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW56%
HomeWWWWW78%
AwayLLLWW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %56%78%33%
Points / game88.792.185.2
Allowed / game86.783.090.3
Point differential+2.0+9.1-5.1
Avg total175.3175.1175.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%33%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %17%11%22%
IR Reykjavik
Premier league 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL44%
HomeLWWLL33%
AwayWWLWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %44%33%56%
Points / game88.286.489.9
Allowed / game93.391.994.8
Point differential-5.2-5.4-4.9
Avg total181.5178.3184.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)50% (4)100% (4)
Overtime %11%22%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Stjarnan1914574%97.387.1+10.2
2 Tindastoll1914574%96.888.4+8.5
3 Njardvik1913668%93.288.9+4.2
4 Valur1810856%88.786.7+2.0
5 Grindavik1910953%93.590.5+3.0
6 Alftanes1910953%91.390.6+0.7
7 KR Basket1991047%92.794.3-1.6
8 Thorl1991047%91.294.5-3.3
9 IR Reykjavik1881044%88.293.3-5.2
10 Keflavik1981142%97.094.9+2.1
11 Hottur1941521%84.293.0-8.8
12 Haukar1941521%86.398.3-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valur2229201990
IR Reykjavik2724191787
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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