PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Valur vs IR Reykjavik Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 26 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 82-93
17-24 25-23 20-24 20-22
Position#4
Record14-7
FormWWWLW
Points / game91.0
Allowed / game89.8
vs
Position#7
Record10-11
FormLLWWW
Points / game91.1
Allowed / game91.5
IcelandPremier leagueRound 22· Origo-hollin Hlidarenda
Other2025-26
Meetings · Valur v IR Reykjavik
04 Dec 2026
VALU v IR R
upcoming
26 Mar 2026
VALU82
IR R93
15 Dec 2025
VALU85
IR R69
01 Mar 2025
VALU90
IR R87
16 Mar 2023
VALU102
IR R97
11 Nov 2021
VALU92
IR R79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valur winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
IR Reykjavik winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValurIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValur
Date
Competition
Stjarnan
#3
L
102-105
102
105
-3
106avg 82
H08/01
Premier league
Keflavik
#4
L
93-94
93
94
-1
82avg 82
H12/01
Icelandic Cup
Armann
#10
L
77-94
77
94
-17
no box
A15/01
Premier league
Thorl
#11
W
80-71 OT
80
71
+9
70avg 82
H22/01
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
L
67-78
67
78
-11
53avg 82
A29/01
Premier league
Akranes IA
#12
W
102-85
102
85
+17
98avg 82
H12/02
Premier league
Alftanes
#8
W
108-87
108
87
+21
108avg 82
A20/02
Premier league
KR Basket
#6
W
92-90 OT
92
90
+2
85avg 82
H07/03
Premier league
Njardvik
#9
L
78-110
78
110
-32
65avg 82
A12/03
Premier league
Keflavik
#5
W
88-85
88
85
+3
82avg 82
A19/03
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-35
19-26
26-18
36-26
27-23
21-25
25-23
20-23
16-31
18-19
16-18
27-26
18-19
12-16
23-13
12-17
16-23
15-19
18-19
18-17
21-17
24-28
26-17
31-23
26-23
23-18
34-24
25-22
19-18
26-23
25-25
14-18
19-25
15-35
18-29
26-21
16-20
31-16
20-26
21-23
178.6Avg total
88.7Scored
89.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)91.089.8180.8+1.167%
Season at home (10)90.786.8177.5+3.970%
Season away (11)91.292.5183.7-1.464%
Last 10 (10)88.789.9178.6-1.250%
Last 5 (5)93.691.4185.0+2.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)83.191.6174.7-8.414%
vs Similar ◀ (14)89.988.1178.0+1.964%
vs Weaker (8)92.884.5177.2+8.288%
This opponent (IR Reykjavik) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IR ReykjavikIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormReykjavik
Date
Competition
Keflavik
#5
W
89-86
89
86
+3
87avg 83
H04/01
Premier league
Njardvik
#9
W
84-59
84
59
+25
83avg 83
H08/01
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
90-101
90
101
-11
no box
A15/01
Premier league
Stjarnan
#3
L
109-118
109
118
-9
103avg 83
H22/01
Premier league
Armann
#10
W
109-74
109
74
+35
110avg 83
A29/01
Premier league
Thorl
#11
L
75-78
75
78
-3
71avg 83
H12/02
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
L
95-100
95
100
-5
92avg 83
A19/02
Premier league
Akranes IA
#12
W
86-83
86
83
+3
76avg 83
H06/03
Premier league
Alftanes
#8
W
93-89
93
89
+4
82avg 83
A12/03
Premier league
KR Basket
#6
W
102-99
102
99
+3
98avg 83
H19/03
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-24
25-21
25-25
10-16
20-18
28-17
19-14
17-10
20-26
21-24
26-27
23-24
25-28
29-39
25-31
30-20
35-15
15-19
32-23
27-17
20-19
14-24
23-19
18-16
20-30
30-31
25-21
20-18
25-23
20-27
16-21
25-12
31-23
23-29
25-24
14-13
33-24
22-28
23-32
24-15
181.9Avg total
93.2Scored
88.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)91.191.5182.6-0.448%
Season at home (11)87.788.8176.5-1.155%
Season away (10)94.894.5189.3+0.340%
Last 10 (10)93.288.7181.9+4.560%
Last 5 (5)90.289.8180.0+0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)87.895.8183.6-8.027%
vs Similar ◀ (7)91.385.4176.7+5.986%
vs Weaker (7)92.084.9176.9+7.157%
This opponent (Valur) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +4.7+4.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +4.7+4.7
ValurIR Reykjavik
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValurLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stjarnan
#3
L
40-61
40
61
-21
H08/01
Premier league
Keflavik
#4
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H12/01
Icelandic Cup
Armann
#10
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A15/01
Premier league
Thorl
#11
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H22/01
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A29/01
Premier league
Akranes IA
#12
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H12/02
Premier league
Alftanes
#8
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A20/02
Premier league
KR Basket
#6
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H07/03
Premier league
Njardvik
#9
L
34-60
34
60
-26
A12/03
Premier league
Keflavik
#5
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A19/03
Premier league
86.2Avg total
40.3Scored
45.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.544.588.0-1.047%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.545.088.5-1.543%-
Last 30 away (16)43.444.187.5-0.650%-
Last 10 (10)40.345.986.2-5.630%-
Last 5 (5)44.044.688.6-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)38.649.688.1-11.014%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)45.844.390.1+1.557%-
vs Weaker (8)43.240.583.8+2.850%-
This opponent (IR Reykjavik) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IR ReykjavikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keflavik
#5
W
54-45
54
45
+9
H04/01
Premier league
Njardvik
#9
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H08/01
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A15/01
Premier league
Stjarnan
#3
L
54-67
54
67
-13
H22/01
Premier league
Armann
#10
W
50-34
50
34
+16
A29/01
Premier league
Thorl
#11
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H12/02
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
L
50-61
50
61
-11
A19/02
Premier league
Akranes IA
#12
L
45-50
45
50
-5
H06/03
Premier league
Alftanes
#8
W
54-52
54
52
+2
A12/03
Premier league
KR Basket
#6
W
55-52
55
52
+3
H19/03
Premier league
97.4Avg total
48.5Scored
48.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.447.392.7-1.940%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.946.391.1-1.447%-
Last 30 away (15)45.948.394.3-2.433%-
Last 10 (10)48.548.997.4-0.450%-
Last 5 (5)47.651.699.2-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)45.950.896.7-4.920%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)46.441.788.1+4.7100%-
vs Weaker (7)43.445.488.9-2.029%-
This opponent (Valur) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valurtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valur: 91.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.1 points a game
47%
36%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.724.7
55.3%
54.6%49.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.210.2
31.7%
34.0%30.6
🏀 Free throws15.811.6
73.4%
74.2%11.6
They take 76.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
IR Reykjaviktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

IR Reykjavik: 92.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.2 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.1 points a game
47%
36%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.721.4
53.9%
54.6%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.912.4
38.9%
34.0%37.2
🏀 Free throws16.012.0
75.0%
74.2%12.0
They take 71.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valur
WLWWWLWLLL
IR Reykjavik
WWWLLWLLWW
#4
League position
#7
+1.4
Net rating
+6.2
97.0
Offensive rating
102.6
95.6
Defensive rating
96.4
52.0%
Effective FG%
55.9%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
49.0%
12.3%
Turnover %
14.2%
17.6%
Off. rebound %
27.5%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.22
31.7%
3-point %
38.9%
64.8%
Assist %
69.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence97.0 · 102.6Defence95.6 · 96.4Shooting52.0% · 55.9%3-point %31.7% · 38.9%Ball care12.3% · 14.2%Off. rebounds17.6% · 27.5%Free throws0.21 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Valur   ■ IR Reykjavik
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Valur wins
1
IR Reykjavik wins
DateGameScore
18/12/25IR Reykjavik v Valur82-85
15/12/25Valur v IR Reykjavik85-69
01/03/25Valur v IR Reykjavik90-87
29/11/24IR Reykjavik v Valur84-83
16/03/23Valur v IR Reykjavik102-97 OT
08/12/22IR Reykjavik v Valur77-83
17/02/22IR Reykjavik v Valur80-83
11/11/21Valur v IR Reykjavik92-79
Valurlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/03/26AKeflavik88-85
12/03/26ANjardvik78-110
07/03/26HKR Basket92-90 OT
20/02/26AAlftanes108-87
12/02/26HAkranes IA102-85
29/01/26AGrindavik67-78
22/01/26HThorl80-71 OT
15/01/26AArmann77-94
12/01/26HKeflavik93-94
08/01/26HStjarnan102-105
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/03/26HKR Basket102-99
12/03/26AAlftanes93-89
06/03/26HAkranes IA86-83
19/02/26AGrindavik95-100
12/02/26HThorl75-78
29/01/26AArmann109-74
22/01/26HStjarnan109-118
15/01/26ATindastoll90-101
08/01/26HNjardvik84-59
04/01/26HKeflavik89-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valur
Premier league 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW67%
HomeWLWWW70%
AwayLLWLW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %67%70%64%
Points / game91.090.791.2
Allowed / game89.886.892.5
Point differential+1.1+3.9-1.4
Avg total180.8177.5183.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%40%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)33% (3)80% (5)
Overtime %19%20%18%
IR Reykjavik
Premier league 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW48%
HomeWLLWW55%
AwayLLWLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %48%55%40%
Points / game91.187.794.8
Allowed / game91.588.894.5
Point differential-0.4-1.1+0.3
Avg total182.6176.5189.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%27%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)60% (5)60% (5)
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Grindavik2117481%93.189.0+4.1
2 Tindastoll2116576%102.491.4+11.0
3 Stjarnan2115671%104.793.6+11.1
4 Valur2114767%91.089.8+1.1
5 KR Basket2112957%99.895.4+4.4
6 Keflavik21111052%95.292.1+3.0
7 IR Reykjavik21101148%91.191.5-0.4
8 Njardvik2181338%95.997.2-1.3
9 Alftanes2171433%91.492.2-0.8
10 Thorl2161529%88.896.0-7.2
11 Armann2161529%87.099.4-12.5
12 Akranes IA2141719%87.9100.6-12.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valur1725202082
IR Reykjavik2423242293
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.