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Vardar vs MZT Skopje Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 61-96
12-34 23-24 16-23 10-15
Position#10
Record3-6
FormLWLLL
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game92.9
Vardar
Macedonia
vs
MZT Skopje 🏆
Macedonia
Position#1
Record8-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game64.7
MacedoniaPrva LigaRound 10· SRC Kale
Other2023-24
Meetings · Vardar v MZT Skopje
02 Dec 2023
VARD61
MSK96
12 Jan 2021
VARD67
MSK100
14 Mar 2020
VARD v MSK
upcoming
20 Oct 2018
VARD72
MSK102
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vardar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
MZT Skopje winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VardarMacedoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVardar
Date
Competition
MZT Skopje 2
#10
L
0-20
0
20
-20
no box
H13/05
Superleague
Ohrid
#12
W
90-83
90
83
+7
86avg 64
H30/09
Prva Liga
Feniks 2010
#7
W
80-71
80
71
+9
68avg 64
A09/10
Prva Liga
TFT Skopje
#6
L
64-88
64
88
-24
51avg 64
H14/10
Prva Liga
Cair 2030
#4
L
76-100
76
100
-24
54avg 64
A21/10
Prva Liga
Rabotnicki
#2
L
68-119
68
119
-51
52avg 64
H28/10
Prva Liga
FMP Akademija
#11
W
102-91
102
91
+11
102avg 64
H05/11
Prva Liga
Kozuv
#8
L
57-78
57
78
-21
46avg 64
A11/11
Prva Liga
Gostivar
#9
L
75-90
75
90
-15
56avg 64
H18/11
Prva Liga
Pelister
#3
L
74-116
74
116
-42
62avg 64
A26/11
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
–
–
–
–
13-21
21-21
22-20
34-21
12-18
20-14
23-18
25-21
8-27
19-23
22-22
15-16
19-20
18-31
20-31
19-18
24-30
10-30
21-30
13-29
23-27
24-23
24-23
31-18
9-20
19-25
18-20
11-13
15-25
12-20
27-20
21-25
18-31
20-28
13-30
23-27
154.2Avg total
68.6Scored
85.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)76.292.9169.1-16.733%
Season at home (5)79.894.2174.0-14.440%
Season away (4)71.891.2163.0-19.525%
Last 10 (10)68.685.6154.2-17.030%
Last 5 (5)75.298.8174.0-23.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)72.190.2162.3-18.012%
vs Similar (4)87.278.5165.8+8.8100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (MZT Skopje) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MZT SkopjeMacedoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSkopje
Date
Competition
Pelister
#3
L
71-81
71
81
-10
56avg 71
A18/10
Prva Liga
Rabotnicki
#2
W
73-59
73
59
+14
62avg 71
A21/10
Prva Liga
Tikvesh
#5
W
71-61
71
61
+10
68avg 71
H28/10
Prva Liga
Ohrid
#12
W
98-73
98
73
+25
94avg 71
A03/11
Prva Liga
Feniks 2010
#7
W
73-64
73
64
+9
64avg 71
H08/11
Prva Liga
Helios Domzale
#9
L
83-87
83
87
-4
70avg 71
H14/11
ABA League 2
Sutjeska
#10
W
93-64
93
64
+29
90avg 71
A16/11
ABA League 2
Borac Banja Luka
#8
W
67-61
67
61
+6
62avg 71
H18/11
ABA League 2
TFT Skopje
#6
W
68-63
68
63
+5
60avg 71
A22/11
Prva Liga
Cair 2030
#4
W
91-58
91
58
+33
94avg 71
H25/11
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-20
17-19
21-21
20-21
14-14
18-11
23-19
18-15
20-17
13-8
18-14
20-22
27-28
21-19
20-9
30-17
19-17
11-18
24-15
19-14
22-15
19-18
23-26
19-28
28-14
21-17
18-19
26-14
19-8
10-18
30-17
8-18
15-17
20-18
18-17
15-11
17-16
16-12
32-5
26-25
145.9Avg total
78.8Scored
67.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)79.664.7144.2+14.989%
Season at home (4)80.060.5140.5+19.5100%
Season away (5)79.268.0147.2+11.280%
Last 10 (10)78.867.1145.9+11.780%
Last 5 (5)80.466.6147.0+13.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)80.577.0157.5+3.5100%
vs Similar (4)77.874.8152.5+3.075%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)84.671.0155.7+13.688%
This opponent (Vardar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -8.7-8.7Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -5.8-5.8Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: +6.5+6.5Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +1.6+1.6
-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -8.7-8.7Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -5.8-5.8Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: +6.5+6.5Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +1.6+1.6
VardarMZT Skopje
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VardarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ohrid
#12
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H30/09
Prva Liga
Feniks 2010
#7
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A09/10
Prva Liga
TFT Skopje
#6
L
27-50
27
50
-23
H14/10
Prva Liga
Cair 2030
#4
L
37-51
37
51
-14
A21/10
Prva Liga
Rabotnicki
#2
L
34-60
34
60
-26
H28/10
Prva Liga
FMP Akademija
#11
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H05/11
Prva Liga
Kozuv
#8
L
28-45
28
45
-17
A11/11
Prva Liga
Gostivar
#9
L
27-45
27
45
-18
H18/11
Prva Liga
Pelister
#3
L
38-59
38
59
-21
A26/11
Prva Liga
82.0Avg total
33.8Scored
48.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)37.944.582.4-6.624%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.946.084.9-7.129%-
Last 30 away (15)36.943.180.1-6.220%-
Last 10 (9)33.848.282.0-14.40%-
Last 5 (5)34.851.886.6-17.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)37.445.082.4-7.624%-
vs Similar (4)41.241.582.8-0.225%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (MZT Skopje) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MZT SkopjeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pelister
#3
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A18/10
Prva Liga
Rabotnicki
#2
W
32-25
32
25
+7
A21/10
Prva Liga
Tikvesh
#5
W
33-25
33
25
+8
H28/10
Prva Liga
Ohrid
#12
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A03/11
Prva Liga
Feniks 2010
#7
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H08/11
Prva Liga
Helios Domzale
#9
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H14/11
ABA League 2
Sutjeska
#10
W
49-31
49
31
+18
A16/11
ABA League 2
Borac Banja Luka
#8
W
29-26
29
26
+3
H18/11
ABA League 2
TFT Skopje
#6
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A22/11
Prva Liga
Cair 2030
#4
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H25/11
Prva Liga
68.4Avg total
36.0Scored
32.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.336.276.5+4.177%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.935.774.6+3.173%-
Last 30 away (15)41.736.778.5+5.080%-
Last 10 (10)36.032.468.4+3.670%-
Last 5 (5)37.430.668.0+6.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)45.535.080.5+10.5100%-
vs Similar (4)34.240.274.5-6.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)40.935.776.5+5.279%-
This opponent (Vardar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vardartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vardar: 75.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.9 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.218.4
48.3%
53.9%36.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.47.9
31.0%
32.2%23.7
🏀 Free throws22.115.0
67.8%
70.3%15.0
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
MZT Skopjetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

MZT Skopje: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.521.3
56.8%
53.9%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.47.9
31.1%
32.2%23.7
🏀 Free throws17.212.0
69.8%
70.3%12.0
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 9/10 games with a box score before 02 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vardar
LLLWLLLWWL
MZT Skopje
WWWWLWWWWL
#10
League position
#1
-19.9
Net rating
+16.1
91.8
Offensive rating
105.8
111.7
Defensive rating
89.7
47.6%
Effective FG%
52.7%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
44.2%
21.0%
Turnover %
18.3%
20.9%
Off. rebound %
28.3%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.27
31.0%
3-point %
31.1%
58.6%
Assist %
54.1%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence91.8 · 105.8Defence111.7 · 89.7Shooting47.6% · 52.7%3-point %31.0% · 31.1%Ball care21.0% · 18.3%Off. rebounds20.9% · 28.3%Free throws0.35 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)30% · 80%
■ Vardar   ■ MZT Skopje
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Vardar wins
5
MZT Skopje wins
DateGameScore
17/04/21MZT Skopje v Vardar82-66
12/01/21Vardar v MZT Skopje67-100
07/12/19MZT Skopje v Vardar97-80
02/02/19MZT Skopje v Vardar102-67
20/10/18Vardar v MZT Skopje72-102
Vardarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/11/23APelister74-116
18/11/23HGostivar75-90
11/11/23AKozuv57-78
05/11/23HFMP Akademija102-91
28/10/23HRabotnicki68-119
21/10/23ACair 203076-100
14/10/23HTFT Skopje64-88
09/10/23AFeniks 201080-71
30/09/23HOhrid90-83
13/05/21HMZT Skopje 20-20
MZT Skopjelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/11/23HCair 203091-58
22/11/23ATFT Skopje68-63
18/11/23HBorac Banja Luka67-61
16/11/23ASutjeska93-64
14/11/23HHelios Domzale83-87
08/11/23HFeniks 201073-64
03/11/23AOhrid98-73
28/10/23HTikvesh71-61
21/10/23ARabotnicki73-59
18/10/23APelister71-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vardar
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL33%
HomeWLLWL40%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %33%40%25%
Points / game76.279.871.8
Allowed / game92.994.291.2
Point differential-16.7-14.4-19.5
Avg total169.1174.0163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
MZT Skopje
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW89%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWLWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %89%100%80%
Points / game79.680.079.2
Allowed / game64.760.568.0
Point differential+14.9+19.5+11.2
Avg total144.2140.5147.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%75%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 MZT Skopje98189%79.664.7+14.9
2 Pelister107370%87.674.4+13.2
3 Tikvesh96367%82.668.4+14.1
4 Rabotnicki96367%85.472.3+13.1
5 Cair 203096367%85.180.6+4.6
6 TFT Skopje106460%72.868.8+4.0
7 Feniks 201095456%81.078.6+2.4
8 Gostivar104640%75.782.1-6.4
9 Vardar93633%76.292.9-16.7
10 Kozuv103730%79.979.0+0.9
11 FMP Akademija102820%77.796.9-19.2
12 Ohrid101910%68.890.5-21.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vardar1223161061
MZT Skopje3424231596
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