Varese vs Siena Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 15 Oct 2012

Tip-off: 18:30

Final 74-67

27-15 10-14 20-16 17-22

Position#2

Record2-0

FormLWLWW

Points / game104.5

Allowed / game96.5

Varese 🏆

Siena

Position#4

Record2-0

FormWLWWL

Points / game76.5

Allowed / game60.5

Lega ARound 3

Domestic2012-13

Meetings · Varese v Siena

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Siena winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Varese

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Treviso

#14

71-55

+16

A25/04

Lega A

Cremona

#11

78-66

+12

H29/04

Lega A

Avellino

#10

77-78

-1

A02/05

Lega A

Teramo

#17

83-78

H06/05

Lega A

Siena

57-92

-35

A17/05

Lega A

Siena

72-88

-16

A19/05

Lega A

Siena

73-70

H21/05

Lega A

Siena

75-91

-16

H23/05

Lega A

Brindisi

#13

118-110 OT

118

110

A30/09

Lega A

Avellino

#11

91-83

H06/10

Lega A

16-9

13-19

16-8

26-19

16-23

24-11

22-17

16-15

22-10

19-25

17-17

19-26

26-26

25-14

17-20

15-18

5-30

17-14

19-21

16-27

17-24

15-24

20-22

20-18

9-18

21-23

26-11

17-18

21-28

14-17

16-23

24-23

17-29

23-11

18-22

35-31

23-22

26-28

13-13

29-20

160.6Avg total

79.5Scored

81.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (2)	104.5	96.5	201.0	+8.0	100%
Season at home (1)	91.0	83.0	174.0	+8.0	100%
Season away (1)	118.0	110.0	228.0	+8.0	100%
Last 10 (10)	79.5	81.1	160.6	-1.6	60%
Last 5 (5)	85.8	88.4	174.2	-2.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	68.6	80.1	148.8	-11.5	25%
vs Similar ◀ (20)	76.9	73.4	150.3	+3.5	55%
vs Weaker (2)	104.5	96.5	201.0	+8.0	100%

This opponent (Siena) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Siena

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sassari

79-64

+15

A01/06

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

86-77

H09/06

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

86-58

+28

H11/06

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

82-79

A13/06

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

83-88

-5

A15/06

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

84-73

+11

H17/06

Lega A

Cantu

73-80

-7

H22/09

Lega A - Super Cup

Brindisi

#13

92-65

+27

H26/09

Lega A

Reggiana

61-56

A30/09

Lega A

Alba Berlin

#17

82-92

-10

H12/10

Euroleague

23-12

21-16

17-17

18-19

26-17

25-26

20-15

15-19

18-15

25-17

22-14

21-12

14-15

25-14

17-26

26-24

24-12

13-21

17-27

29-28

19-18

23-13

21-13

21-29

25-16

17-21

15-22

16-21

25-17

18-25

24-12

25-11

15-16

17-14

17-18

12-8

25-25

14-17

20-27

23-23

154.0Avg total

80.8Scored

73.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (2)	76.5	60.5	137.0	+16.0	100%
Season at home (1)	92.0	65.0	157.0	+27.0	100%
Season away (1)	61.0	56.0	117.0	+5.0	100%
Last 10 (10)	80.8	73.2	154.0	+7.6	70%
Last 5 (5)	78.4	73.2	151.6	+5.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (5)	68.2	73.8	142.0	-5.6	40%
vs Weaker (24)	87.0	73.0	160.0	+14.0	79%

This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

VareseSiena

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.8	19.5	37.3	-1.6	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.8	18.8	38.6	+1.0	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	15.9	20.1	36.0	-4.3	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.2	21.9	39.1	-4.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	24.2	41.6	-6.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	16.0	22.6	38.6	-6.6	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	18.4	17.6	36.0	+0.8	40%	-
vs Weaker (2)	20.0	25.5	45.5	-5.5	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.9	16.9	39.9	+6.0	77%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	24.1	17.9	41.9	+6.2	88%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.5	15.7	37.2	+5.8	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	16.3	37.7	+5.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	18.4	40.2	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (5)	19.2	18.0	37.2	+1.2	40%	-
vs Weaker (24)	23.6	16.8	40.4	+6.9	83%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	18.8	38.2	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.3	18.8	40.1	+2.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.5	18.8	36.3	-1.3	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	18.6	38.3	+1.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	20.6	40.4	-0.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	17.6	19.9	37.5	-2.2	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	19.6	18.3	38.0	+1.3	40%	-
vs Weaker (2)	24.5	19.5	44.0	+5.0	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	18.9	40.2	+2.4	63%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	22.6	19.0	41.6	+3.6	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.6	18.8	38.5	+0.8	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	18.4	38.2	+1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	18.0	35.8	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (5)	18.4	17.4	35.8	+1.0	80%	-
vs Weaker (24)	22.1	19.2	41.2	+2.9	62%	-

VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Treviso

#14

29-28

A25/04

Lega A

Cremona

#11

40-34

H29/04

Lega A

Avellino

#10

41-35

A02/05

Lega A

Teramo

#17

51-40

+11

H06/05

Lega A

Siena

22-44

-22

A17/05

Lega A

Siena

32-48

-16

A19/05

Lega A

Siena

30-41

-11

H21/05

Lega A

Siena

35-45

-10

H23/05

Lega A

Brindisi

#13

40-40

A30/09

Lega A

Avellino

#11

49-50

-1

H06/10

Lega A

77.4Avg total

36.9Scored

40.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.3	38.3	75.5	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.1	37.6	78.7	+3.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	33.4	38.9	72.3	-5.5	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.9	40.5	77.4	-3.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.2	44.8	82.0	-7.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	33.6	42.5	76.1	-8.9	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	38.0	35.9	73.9	+2.1	60%	-
vs Weaker (2)	44.5	45.0	89.5	-0.5	0%	-

This opponent (Siena) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

SienaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sassari

44-28

+16

A01/06

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

51-43

H09/06

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

43-32

+11

H11/06

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

39-29

+10

A13/06

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

37-33

A15/06

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

42-31

+11

H17/06

Lega A

Cantu

42-37

H22/09

Lega A - Super Cup

Brindisi

#13

43-42

H26/09

Lega A

Reggiana

32-30

A30/09

Lega A

Alba Berlin

#17

39-42

-3

H12/10

Euroleague

75.9Avg total

41.2Scored

34.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.2	35.9	80.1	+8.4	87%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	46.6	36.9	83.5	+9.8	94%	-
Last 30 away (13)	41.1	34.5	75.6	+6.5	77%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.2	34.7	75.9	+6.5	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.6	36.4	76.0	+3.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (5)	37.6	35.4	73.0	+2.2	80%	-
vs Weaker (24)	45.7	35.9	81.6	+9.8	88%	-

This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.1	18.0	36.1	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.5	19.1	38.5	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.7	17.0	33.7	-0.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	17.4	35.8	+1.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	18.2	36.8	+0.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	17.9	19.0	36.9	-1.1	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	18.4	17.7	36.1	+0.7	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	15.5	17.5	33.0	-2.0	0%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	18.1	37.5	+1.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.1	17.9	37.9	+2.2	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.6	18.4	37.0	+0.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	19.1	38.1	-0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	18.4	37.8	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (5)	15.8	16.8	32.6	-1.0	40%	-
vs Weaker (24)	20.4	18.2	38.6	+2.2	62%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	19.5	39.0	+0.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.4	18.7	37.1	-0.3	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.7	20.3	40.9	+0.4	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	21.5	43.2	+0.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.0	22.0	47.0	+3.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	17.1	18.6	35.8	-1.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	19.2	19.2	38.5	+0.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	32.0	25.5	57.5	+6.5	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	18.9	38.2	+0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.2	18.2	37.4	+1.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.4	19.8	39.2	-0.5	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	19.4	40.0	+1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	18.4	37.8	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (5)	14.8	21.6	36.4	-6.8	20%	-
vs Weaker (24)	20.4	18.2	38.6	+2.1	58%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.6	37.5	75.1	+0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.9	37.7	75.6	+0.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.3	37.3	74.6	+0.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.1	38.9	79.0	+1.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.6	40.2	83.8	+3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	35.0	37.6	72.6	-2.6	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	37.6	36.9	74.5	+0.8	60%	-
vs Weaker (2)	47.5	43.0	90.5	+4.5	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.7	37.0	75.7	+1.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	39.3	36.1	75.4	+3.2	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	38.0	38.2	76.2	-0.2	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.6	38.5	78.1	+1.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.8	36.8	75.6	+2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (5)	30.6	38.4	69.0	-7.8	20%	-
vs Weaker (24)	40.8	36.5	77.2	+4.3	58%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Varese wins

Siena wins

Date	Game	Score
23/05/12	Varese v Siena	75-91
21/05/12	Varese v Siena	73-70
19/05/12	Siena v Varese	88-72
17/05/12	Siena v Varese	92-57
07/03/12	Varese v Siena	65-77
20/11/11	Siena v Varese	79-74
06/02/11	Siena v Varese	82-59
30/10/10	Varese v Siena	87-86
03/04/10	Varese v Siena	72-96
06/12/09	Siena v Varese	87-74

Vareselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
06/10/12	H	Avellino	91-83
30/09/12	A	Brindisi	118-110 OT
23/05/12	H	Siena	75-91
21/05/12	H	Siena	73-70
19/05/12	A	Siena	72-88
17/05/12	A	Siena	57-92
06/05/12	H	Teramo	83-78
02/05/12	A	Avellino	77-78
29/04/12	H	Cremona	78-66
25/04/12	A	Treviso	71-55

Sienalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
12/10/12	H	Alba Berlin	82-92
30/09/12	A	Reggiana	61-56
26/09/12	H	Brindisi	92-65
22/09/12	H	Cantu	73-80
17/06/12	H	Olimpia Milano	84-73
15/06/12	A	Olimpia Milano	83-88
13/06/12	A	Olimpia Milano	82-79
11/06/12	H	Olimpia Milano	86-58
09/06/12	H	Olimpia Milano	86-77
01/06/12	A	Sassari	79-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese

Lega A 2012-13

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WW	100%
Home	W	100%
Away	W	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	2	1	1
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	104.5	91.0	118.0
Allowed / game	96.5	83.0	110.0
Point differential	+8.0	+8.0	+8.0
Avg total	201.0	174.0	228.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	50%	0%	100%

Siena

Lega A 2012-13

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WW	100%
Home	W	100%
Away	W	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	2	1	1
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	76.5	92.0	61.0
Allowed / game	60.5	65.0	56.0
Point differential	+16.0	+27.0	+5.0
Avg total	137.0	157.0	117.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	100%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	-	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Siena	2	2	0	100%	76.5	60.5	+16.0
2	Varese	2	2	0	100%	104.5	96.5	+8.0
3	Virtus Bologna	3	3	0	100%	73.7	66.7	+7.0
4	Sassari	3	3	0	100%	76.3	70.0	+6.3
5	Cantu	3	2	1	67%	76.3	65.3	+11.0
6	Pesaro	3	2	1	67%	80.3	76.0	+4.3
7	Virtus Roma	3	2	1	67%	74.0	73.7	+0.3
8	Olimpia Milano	2	1	1	50%	80.5	69.0	+11.5
9	Biella	3	1	2	33%	75.7	75.3	+0.3
10	Sutor Montegranaro	3	1	2	33%	78.0	79.7	-1.7
11	Brindisi	3	1	2	33%	84.3	93.0	-8.7
12	Venezia	3	1	2	33%	65.3	75.7	-10.3
13	Caserta	3	1	2	33%	66.3	79.7	-13.3
14	Reggiana	3	0	3	0%	60.0	66.0	-6.0
15	Cremona	3	0	3	0%	64.0	71.7	-7.7
16	Avellino	2	0	2	0%	78.5	86.5	-8.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Varese	27	10	20	17	74
Siena	15	14	16	22	67

← all games of the day

Varese vs Siena Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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