Avellino vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 02 May 2012

Tip-off: 18:45

Final 78-77

10-22 25-19 17-17 26-19

Position#10

Record13-17

FormLLLLL

Points / game76.9

Allowed / game81.3

Avellino 🏆

Varese

Position#8

Record16-14

FormWLLWW

Points / game75.6

Allowed / game74.3

Lega ARound 33

Domestic2011-12

Meetings · Avellino v Varese

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Avellino winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Varese winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Avellino

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Teramo

#17

75-63

+12

H29/02

Lega A

Cantu

63-72

-9

H04/03

Lega A

Casale Monferrato

#18

65-96

-31

A07/03

Lega A

Pesaro

81-89

-8

H17/03

Lega A

Biella

#12

71-70

H25/03

Lega A

Virtus Roma

#13

82-88

-6

H07/04

Lega A

Caserta

#15

67-76

-9

A15/04

Lega A

Siena

79-109

109

-30

A19/04

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

77-90

-13

H22/04

Lega A

Cremona

#11

55-83

-28

A25/04

Lega A

15-14

18-12

27-10

15-27

16-12

17-22

16-17

14-21

21-21

10-23

19-24

15-28

19-31

27-23

18-15

17-20

25-21

12-12

16-16

18-21

18-16

15-23

34-23

15-26

–

19-26

21-28

14-26

25-29

23-23

19-27

17-16

18-24

23-19

14-16

10-30

8-18

155.1Avg total

71.5Scored

83.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (30)	76.9	81.3	158.2	-4.4	43%
Season at home (15)	80.5	78.2	158.7	+2.3	60%
Season away (15)	73.3	84.4	157.7	-11.1	27%
Last 10 (10)	71.5	83.6	155.1	-12.1	20%
Last 5 (5)	72.0	89.2	161.2	-17.2	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	76.1	86.6	162.7	-10.5	20%
vs Similar ◀ (19)	77.4	78.3	155.7	-0.9	58%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Varese

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Caserta

#15

91-87

A26/02

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

86-63

+23

H04/03

Lega A

Siena

65-77

-12

H07/03

Lega A

Venezia

63-71

-8

A18/03

Lega A

Sassari

85-79

H01/04

Lega A

Biella

#12

89-82 OT

A09/04

Lega A

Pesaro

63-67

-4

H14/04

Lega A

Cantu

66-76

-10

A22/04

Lega A

Treviso

#14

71-55

+16

A25/04

Lega A

Cremona

#11

78-66

+12

H29/04

Lega A

16-23

23-24

21-16

31-24

23-12

20-15

24-17

19-19

13-22

29-21

11-24

12-10

11-20

15-17

16-15

21-19

13-17

32-12

22-31

18-19

14-19

20-22

19-22

22-12

20-14

14-23

18-14

11-16

20-17

14-19

12-24

20-16

16-9

13-19

16-8

26-19

16-23

24-11

22-17

16-15

148.0Avg total

75.7Scored

72.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (30)	75.6	74.3	149.9	+1.3	53%
Season at home (15)	79.6	73.9	153.5	+5.7	73%
Season away (15)	71.7	74.7	146.3	-3.0	33%
Last 10 (10)	75.7	72.3	148.0	+3.4	60%
Last 5 (5)	73.4	69.2	142.6	+4.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	70.2	78.0	148.2	-7.8	17%
vs Similar ◀ (24)	77.0	73.4	150.4	+3.6	62%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Avellino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AvellinoVarese

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	21.0	19.1	40.0	+1.9	62%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.3	19.1	41.4	+3.3	73%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.5	19.1	38.6	+0.4	50%	-
Last 10 (9)	19.9	20.3	40.2	-0.4	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	21.0	42.6	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	20.4	19.8	40.2	+0.6	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	21.1	18.7	39.8	+2.4	67%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.9	18.2	36.1	-0.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.4	17.4	37.8	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	15.3	19.0	34.3	-3.7	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.2	17.6	33.8	-1.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	16.4	33.6	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	18.0	19.5	37.5	-1.5	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (24)	17.8	17.9	35.7	-0.0	42%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	17.7	19.4	37.1	-1.7	34%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.6	18.7	37.3	-0.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.8	20.1	36.9	-3.3	21%	-
Last 10 (9)	17.0	20.7	37.7	-3.7	22%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	21.2	37.4	-5.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	19.0	21.3	40.3	-2.3	10%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	17.3	18.1	35.4	-0.7	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	18.9	38.5	+0.7	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.1	18.3	39.4	+2.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.1	19.5	37.6	-1.3	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	18.3	38.7	+2.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	18.8	35.8	-1.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	18.8	21.2	40.0	-2.3	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (24)	19.8	18.3	38.1	+1.5	38%	-
vs Weaker	no games

AvellinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Teramo

#17

33-26

H29/02

Lega A

Cantu

33-34

-1

H04/03

Lega A

Casale Monferrato

#18

31-44

-13

A07/03

Lega A

Pesaro

46-54

-8

H17/03

Lega A

Biella

#12

37-33

H25/03

Lega A

Virtus Roma

#13

33-39

-6

H07/04

Lega A

Siena

40-54

-14

A19/04

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

42-50

-8

H22/04

Lega A

Cremona

#11

37-35

A25/04

Lega A

77.9Avg total

36.9Scored

41.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	38.7	38.4	77.1	+0.2	55%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.9	37.8	78.7	+3.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.3	39.1	75.4	-2.9	43%	-
Last 10 (9)	36.9	41.0	77.9	-4.1	33%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.8	42.2	80.0	-4.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	39.4	41.1	80.5	-1.7	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	38.4	36.7	75.2	+1.7	67%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Caserta

#15

39-47

-8

A26/02

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

43-27

+16

H04/03

Lega A

Siena

42-43

-1

H07/03

Lega A

Venezia

26-37

-11

A18/03

Lega A

Sassari

45-29

+16

H01/04

Lega A

Biella

#12

34-41

-7

A09/04

Lega A

Pesaro

34-37

-3

H14/04

Lega A

Cantu

34-36

-2

A22/04

Lega A

Treviso

#14

29-28

A25/04

Lega A

Cremona

#11

40-34

H29/04

Lega A

72.5Avg total

36.6Scored

35.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.5	37.1	74.6	+0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.5	35.7	77.2	+5.7	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	33.5	38.5	71.9	-5.0	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.6	35.9	72.5	+0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.2	35.2	69.4	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	36.8	40.7	77.5	-3.8	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (24)	37.6	36.2	73.8	+1.4	58%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Avellino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.7	20.3	39.0	-1.6	34%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.7	18.9	39.7	+1.8	40%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.5	21.8	38.3	-5.3	29%	-
Last 10 (9)	19.0	19.7	38.7	-0.7	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	22.2	40.4	-4.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	15.6	21.9	37.5	-6.3	10%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	20.3	18.8	39.2	+1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	18.1	36.6	+0.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.8	19.9	39.7	-0.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.2	16.3	33.5	+0.9	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	18.8	36.9	-0.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	17.0	34.4	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	17.7	20.2	37.8	-2.5	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (24)	18.7	17.6	36.3	+1.1	62%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.6	22.0	40.6	-3.4	28%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.5	20.7	39.3	-2.2	33%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.7	23.4	42.1	-4.6	21%	-
Last 10 (9)	16.1	23.8	39.9	-7.7	0%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	23.6	40.4	-6.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	20.6	22.5	43.1	-1.9	30%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	17.8	21.6	39.3	-3.8	28%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	18.4	36.8	+0.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.3	18.3	36.6	+0.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.6	18.5	37.1	+0.1	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	16.9	36.5	+2.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	15.6	34.6	+3.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	15.7	17.2	32.8	-1.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (24)	19.2	18.7	37.8	+0.5	54%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	37.3	42.3	79.6	-5.0	21%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.3	39.7	78.9	-0.4	27%	-
Last 30 away (14)	35.2	45.1	80.4	-9.9	14%	-
Last 10 (9)	35.1	43.4	78.6	-8.3	11%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.0	45.8	80.8	-10.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	36.2	44.4	80.6	-8.2	10%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	38.1	40.4	78.5	-2.3	28%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.0	36.5	73.5	+0.5	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.1	38.2	76.3	-0.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.8	34.8	70.6	+1.0	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.7	35.7	73.4	+2.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.4	32.6	69.0	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	33.3	37.3	70.7	-4.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (24)	37.9	36.3	74.2	+1.6	67%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Avellino wins

Varese wins

Date	Game	Score
11/01/12	Varese v Avellino	94-78
30/01/11	Varese v Avellino	83-85
24/10/10	Avellino v Varese	85-69
07/03/10	Avellino v Varese	76-67
08/11/09	Varese v Avellino	74-91

Avellinolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
25/04/12	A	Cremona	55-83
22/04/12	H	Olimpia Milano	77-90
19/04/12	A	Siena	79-109
15/04/12	A	Caserta	67-76
07/04/12	H	Virtus Roma	82-88
25/03/12	H	Biella	71-70
17/03/12	H	Pesaro	81-89
07/03/12	A	Casale Monferrato	65-96
04/03/12	H	Cantu	63-72
29/02/12	H	Teramo	75-63

Vareselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
29/04/12	H	Cremona	78-66
25/04/12	A	Treviso	71-55
22/04/12	A	Cantu	66-76
14/04/12	H	Pesaro	63-67
09/04/12	A	Biella	89-82 OT
01/04/12	H	Sassari	85-79
18/03/12	A	Venezia	63-71
07/03/12	H	Siena	65-77
04/03/12	H	Virtus Bologna	86-63
26/02/12	A	Caserta	91-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Avellino

Lega A 2011-12

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	43%
Home	LLWLL	60%
Away	LLLLL	27%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	30	15	15
Win %	43%	60%	27%
Points / game	76.9	80.5	73.3
Allowed / game	81.3	78.2	84.4
Point differential	-4.4	+2.3	-11.1
Avg total	158.2	158.7	157.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	20%	27%	13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (6)	100% (2)	50% (4)
Overtime %	10%	7%	13%

Varese

Lega A 2011-12

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWW	53%
Home	WLWLW	73%
Away	WLWLW	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	30	15	15
Win %	53%	73%	33%
Points / game	75.6	79.6	71.7
Allowed / game	74.3	73.9	74.7
Point differential	+1.3	+5.7	-3.0
Avg total	149.9	153.5	146.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	23%	40%	7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	38% (8)	33% (3)	40% (5)
Overtime %	10%	0%	20%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Nazionale Italiana	1	1	0	100%	91.0	85.0	+6.0
2	Siena	30	23	7	77%	81.9	72.4	+9.5
3	Olimpia Milano	30	20	10	67%	78.4	73.5	+4.8
4	Cantu	30	20	10	67%	74.6	70.3	+4.3
5	Sassari	30	18	12	60%	80.2	78.4	+1.8
6	Virtus Bologna	30	18	12	60%	75.7	74.8	+0.9
7	Pesaro	30	18	12	60%	75.3	74.8	+0.5
8	Venezia	30	17	13	57%	75.9	74.3	+1.6
9	Varese	30	16	14	53%	75.6	74.3	+1.3
10	Treviso	30	13	17	43%	74.8	77.5	-2.7
11	Avellino	30	13	17	43%	76.9	81.3	-4.4
12	Virtus Roma	31	13	18	42%	78.8	81.3	-2.5
13	Cremona	31	13	18	42%	72.1	75.6	-3.6
14	Sutor Montegranaro	30	12	18	40%	78.7	79.8	-1.1
15	Biella	30	12	18	40%	76.3	77.4	-1.1
16	Caserta	30	12	18	40%	77.5	79.8	-2.2
17	Teramo	30	11	19	37%	73.7	77.6	-3.9
18	Casale Monferrato	30	7	23	23%	73.1	76.2	-3.1
19	International All Stars	1	0	1	0%	85.0	91.0	-6.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Avellino	10	25	17	26	78
Varese	22	19	17	19	77

← all games of the day

Avellino vs Varese Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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