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Varese vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 Dec 2013
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 62-94
17-16 10-23 22-26 13-29
Position#50
Record1-7
FormLLWLL
Points / game72.8
Allowed / game80.2
vs
Position#9
Record4-4
FormWLWLW
Points / game85.5
Allowed / game73.6
EuropeEurocupRound 9
European cup2013
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valencia
#9
L
64-98
64
98
-34
A06/11
Eurocup
Sassari
#4
L
74-105
74
105
-31
A10/11
Lega A
Ulm
#11
L
77-78
77
78
-1
H13/11
Eurocup
Brindisi
#6
L
71-85
71
85
-14
H17/11
Lega A
Petrol Olimpija
#23
L
82-83 OT
82
83
-1
H20/11
Eurocup
Sutor Montegranaro
#16
L
83-88
83
88
-5
A23/11
Lega A
Levallois
#38
L
65-77
65
77
-12
A26/11
Eurocup
Pesaro
#15
W
91-77
91
77
+14
H01/12
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#39
L
80-83
80
83
-3
A04/12
Eurocup
Pistoia
#9
L
76-89
76
89
-13
A08/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-21
17-25
16-23
17-29
16-28
19-26
13-20
26-31
18-17
22-20
26-22
11-19
18-27
11-22
22-18
20-18
25-10
11-24
14-20
21-17
21-14
23-23
14-29
25-22
11-14
11-21
27-23
16-19
23-15
25-28
30-18
13-16
20-22
19-20
15-21
26-20
21-24
23-21
16-16
16-28
162.6Avg total
76.3Scored
86.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)72.880.2153.0-7.512%
Season at home (4)78.579.2157.8-0.825%
Season away (4)67.081.2148.2-14.20%
Last 10 (10)76.386.3162.6-10.010%
Last 5 (5)79.082.8161.8-3.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)73.082.7155.7-9.714%
vs Similar (15)74.076.7150.7-2.740%
vs Weaker (6)84.079.2163.2+4.867%
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Varese
#50
W
98-64
98
64
+34
H06/11
Eurocup
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#8
W
96-76
96
76
+20
H10/11
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#39
L
76-79
76
79
-3
A13/11
Eurocup
Obradoiro CAB
#12
W
102-70
102
70
+32
A16/11
ACB
Levallois
#38
W
98-52
98
52
+46
H19/11
Eurocup
Fuenlabrada
#15
W
90-76
90
76
+14
A23/11
ACB
Ulm
#11
L
84-92
84
92
-8
A26/11
Eurocup
Gran Canaria
#5
W
74-70
74
70
+4
H01/12
ACB
Petrol Olimpija
#23
L
91-93
91
93
-2
H04/12
Eurocup
Baskonia
#6
W
79-78
79
78
+1
A08/12
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-14
25-17
23-16
29-17
24-20
19-21
27-15
26-20
14-20
19-21
17-12
26-26
35-24
23-13
16-13
28-20
26-11
19-13
29-16
24-12
22-16
19-16
23-12
26-32
26-23
15-21
23-27
20-21
17-13
12-23
19-13
26-21
25-23
19-21
22-26
25-23
21-16
17-24
21-24
20-14
163.8Avg total
88.8Scored
75.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)85.573.6159.1+11.950%
Season at home (4)93.870.8164.5+23.075%
Season away (4)77.276.5153.8+0.825%
Last 10 (10)88.875.0163.8+13.870%
Last 5 (5)83.681.8165.4+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)88.079.0167.0+9.0100%
vs Similar (7)79.478.7158.1+0.743%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)86.470.6157.0+15.877%
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +5.1+5.1Q2Q2: -4.9-4.9Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +4.6+4.6Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: +4.4+4.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +5.1+5.1Q2Q2: -4.9-4.9Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +4.6+4.6Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: +4.4+4.4
VareseValencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valencia
#9
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A06/11
Eurocup
Sassari
#4
L
35-54
35
54
-19
A10/11
Lega A
Ulm
#11
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H13/11
Eurocup
Brindisi
#6
L
29-49
29
49
-20
H17/11
Lega A
Petrol Olimpija
#23
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H20/11
Eurocup
Sutor Montegranaro
#16
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A23/11
Lega A
Levallois
#38
L
22-35
22
35
-13
A26/11
Eurocup
Pesaro
#15
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H01/12
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#39
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A04/12
Eurocup
Pistoia
#9
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A08/12
Lega A
79.0Avg total
36.8Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.039.277.1-1.257%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.737.777.4+2.069%-
Last 30 away (14)36.040.976.9-4.943%-
Last 10 (10)36.842.279.0-5.440%-
Last 5 (5)39.440.479.8-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)35.340.375.6-5.043%-
vs Similar (15)37.939.176.9-1.253%-
vs Weaker (6)43.041.084.0+2.067%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Varese
#50
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H06/11
Eurocup
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#8
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H10/11
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#39
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A13/11
Eurocup
Obradoiro CAB
#12
W
58-37
58
37
+21
A16/11
ACB
Levallois
#38
W
45-24
45
24
+21
H19/11
Eurocup
Fuenlabrada
#15
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A23/11
ACB
Ulm
#11
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A26/11
Eurocup
Gran Canaria
#5
L
29-36
29
36
-7
H01/12
ACB
Petrol Olimpija
#23
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H04/12
Eurocup
Baskonia
#6
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A08/12
ACB
78.8Avg total
41.8Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.834.876.6+7.170%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.533.476.9+10.187%-
Last 30 away (15)40.136.176.3+4.053%-
Last 10 (10)41.837.078.8+4.850%-
Last 5 (5)38.639.277.8-0.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)52.038.090.0+14.0100%-
vs Similar (7)39.134.473.6+4.771%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)42.234.777.0+7.568%-
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Varese wins
1
Valencia wins
DateGameScore
06/11/13Valencia v Varese98-64
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/12/13APistoia76-89
04/12/13ALyon-Villeurbanne80-83
01/12/13HPesaro91-77
26/11/13ALevallois65-77
23/11/13ASutor Montegranaro83-88
20/11/13HPetrol Olimpija82-83 OT
17/11/13HBrindisi71-85
13/11/13HUlm77-78
10/11/13ASassari74-105
06/11/13AValencia64-98
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/12/13ABaskonia79-78
04/12/13HPetrol Olimpija91-93
01/12/13HGran Canaria74-70
26/11/13AUlm84-92
23/11/13AFuenlabrada90-76
19/11/13HLevallois98-52
16/11/13AObradoiro CAB102-70
13/11/13ALyon-Villeurbanne76-79
10/11/13HTecnyconta Zaragoza96-76
06/11/13HVarese98-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
Eurocup 2013
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL12%
HomeWLLL25%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %12%25%0%
Points / game72.878.567.0
Allowed / game80.279.281.2
Point differential-7.5-0.8-14.2
Avg total153.0157.8148.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %12%25%0%
Valencia
Eurocup 2013
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL50%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%75%25%
Points / game85.593.877.2
Allowed / game73.670.876.5
Point differential+11.9+23.0+0.8
Avg total159.1164.5153.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%75%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unics Kazan990100%83.262.6+20.7
2 Khimki M.98189%87.876.0+11.8
3 Ulm87188%78.173.1+5.0
4 Nizhny Novgorod97278%83.272.6+10.7
5 Cantu97278%82.275.3+6.9
6 Alba Berlin97278%74.269.2+5.0
7 Oostende97278%76.675.8+0.8
8 Petrol Olimpija86275%75.869.6+6.1
9 Sassari86275%90.885.1+5.6
10 Gravelines-Dunkerque96367%75.167.1+8.0
11 Khimik96367%77.771.2+6.4
12 Panionios96367%75.473.6+1.9
13 Besiktas96367%69.768.2+1.4
14 Maccabi Haifa96367%74.974.4+0.4
15 Cedevita85362%81.876.5+5.2
16 Banvit95456%79.869.7+10.1
17 Tecnyconta Zaragoza95456%79.771.8+7.9
18 Nymburk95456%79.175.3+3.8
19 Radnicki95456%83.181.6+1.6
20 Hapoel M. Jerusalem95456%77.676.9+0.7
21 Karsiyaka95456%81.180.8+0.3
22 Oldenburg95456%78.378.6-0.2
23 Ankara Kolejliler95456%78.278.9-0.7
24 PAOK95456%71.776.9-5.2
25 Valencia84450%85.573.6+11.9
26 Le Mans84450%73.074.4-1.4
27 Bilbao94544%85.082.4+2.6
28 Chalon/Saone94544%78.779.0-0.3
29 Bisons Loimaa94544%73.075.6-2.6
30 Bonn94544%76.679.7-3.1
31 Lyon-Villeurbanne94544%70.777.4-6.8
32 VEF Riga94544%70.078.3-8.3
33 Virtus Roma93633%74.875.7-0.9
34 Spartak St. Petersburg93633%73.274.3-1.1
35 Neptunas93633%80.281.4-1.2
36 CSU Ploiesti93633%79.783.3-3.7
37 Igokea93633%76.680.9-4.3
38 Academic93633%70.775.4-4.8
39 Levallois93633%67.474.4-7.0
40 Artland82625%77.484.8-7.4
41 Buducnost92722%75.779.4-3.8
42 Alba Fehervar92722%72.980.3-7.4
43 BC Kalev/Cramo92722%66.477.1-10.7
44 Spirou Charleroi92722%70.982.6-11.7
45 Belfius Mons92722%63.880.7-16.9
46 Varese81712%72.880.2-7.5
47 Cibona91811%78.081.7-3.7
48 MZT Skopje91811%69.181.3-12.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 48 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Varese1710221362
Valencia1623262994
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