Baskonia vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Dec 2013

Tip-off: 11:00

Final 78-79

16-21 24-17 24-21 14-20

Position#6

Record5-3

FormWWWWW

Points / game80.6

Allowed / game79.9

Baskonia

Valencia 🏆

Position#2

Record7-1

FormWWLWL

Points / game88.2

Allowed / game69.2

ACBRound 9

Domestic2013-14

Meetings · Baskonia v Valencia

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Baskonia winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Valencia winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Baskonia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Real Betis

62-82

-20

A02/11

ACB

Crvena zvezda

#16

63-73

-10

H07/11

Euroleague

Baloncesto Valladolid

#18

87-58

+29

A10/11

ACB

Lokomotiv Kuban

84-85

-1

A14/11

Euroleague

Unicaja

82-75

H17/11

ACB

Maccabi Tel Aviv

70-65

A21/11

Euroleague

Manresa

#17

69-64

A24/11

ACB

Panathinaikos

#12

79-77

H29/11

Euroleague

Murcia

#16

98-90

H01/12

ACB

Rytas

#18

79-63

+16

H06/12

Euroleague

15-19

10-21

23-19

14-23

15-25

17-6

19-23

12-19

20-13

20-11

25-18

22-16

13-21

29-19

16-21

26-24

19-15

16-20

25-24

22-16

20-16

14-19

17-14

19-16

23-20

12-17

17-11

17-16

34-19

21-25

10-18

14-15

34-29

19-16

21-28

24-17

18-17

12-21

23-11

26-14

150.5Avg total

77.3Scored

73.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (8)	80.6	79.9	160.5	+0.8	62%
Season at home (4)	88.8	82.5	171.2	+6.2	75%
Season away (4)	72.5	77.2	149.8	-4.8	50%
Last 10 (10)	77.3	73.2	150.5	+4.1	70%
Last 5 (5)	79.0	71.8	150.8	+7.2	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	77.2	82.6	159.8	-5.3	44%
vs Similar (10)	76.9	81.4	158.3	-4.5	30%
vs Weaker (10)	85.6	75.2	160.8	+10.4	90%

This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Valencia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Baloncesto Valladolid

#18

108-57

108

+51

H02/11

ACB

Varese

#50

98-64

+34

H06/11

Eurocup

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

96-76

+20

H10/11

ACB

Lyon-Villeurbanne

#39

76-79

-3

A13/11

Eurocup

Obradoiro CAB

#12

102-70

102

+32

A16/11

ACB

Levallois

#38

98-52

+46

H19/11

Eurocup

Fuenlabrada

#15

90-76

+14

A23/11

ACB

Ulm

#11

84-92

-8

A26/11

Eurocup

Gran Canaria

74-70

H01/12

ACB

Petrol Olimpija

#23

91-93

-2

H04/12

Eurocup

26-8

22-13

27-11

33-25

21-14

25-17

23-16

29-17

24-20

19-21

27-15

26-20

14-20

19-21

17-12

26-26

35-24

23-13

16-13

28-20

26-11

19-13

29-16

24-12

22-16

19-16

23-12

26-32

26-23

15-21

23-27

20-21

17-13

12-23

19-13

26-21

25-23

19-21

22-26

25-23

164.6Avg total

91.7Scored

72.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (8)	88.2	69.2	157.5	+19.0	88%
Season at home (4)	91.2	65.2	156.5	+26.0	100%
Season away (4)	85.2	73.2	158.5	+12.0	75%
Last 10 (10)	91.7	72.9	164.6	+18.8	70%
Last 5 (5)	87.4	76.6	164.0	+10.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	88.0	79.0	167.0	+9.0	100%
vs Similar (8)	80.4	81.0	161.4	-0.6	38%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	86.8	70.3	157.0	+16.5	76%

This opponent (Baskonia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BaskoniaValencia

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	20.3	41.3	+0.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.2	20.1	41.3	+1.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.8	20.4	41.2	+0.4	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	19.4	40.5	+1.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.8	20.2	46.0	+5.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	20.3	20.2	40.6	+0.1	56%	-
vs Similar (10)	18.9	20.6	39.5	-1.7	20%	-
vs Weaker (10)	23.3	19.3	42.6	+4.0	80%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	18.0	39.0	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.2	17.6	39.8	+4.6	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.6	18.5	38.1	+1.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.6	17.2	40.8	+6.4	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	17.2	40.4	+6.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	22.0	19.0	41.0	+3.0	100%	-
vs Similar (8)	18.8	20.2	39.0	-1.5	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	21.8	17.1	38.9	+4.7	71%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.6	19.7	37.3	-2.1	27%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.0	17.6	34.6	-0.6	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.3	21.8	40.1	-3.5	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.0	17.5	34.5	-0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.6	19.6	35.2	-4.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	17.4	18.8	36.2	-1.3	33%	-
vs Similar (10)	18.7	19.7	38.4	-1.0	30%	-
vs Weaker (10)	17.2	19.8	37.0	-2.6	20%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	16.9	37.9	+4.1	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.3	16.6	37.9	+4.8	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.6	17.4	38.0	+3.3	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	17.9	37.1	+1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	18.8	35.6	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	30.0	19.0	49.0	+11.0	100%	-
vs Similar (8)	20.9	15.5	36.4	+5.4	88%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	20.6	17.4	38.0	+3.2	57%	-

BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Real Betis

25-40

-15

A02/11

ACB

Crvena zvezda

#16

32-31

H07/11

Euroleague

Baloncesto Valladolid

#18

40-24

+16

A10/11

ACB

Lokomotiv Kuban

42-40

A14/11

Euroleague

Unicaja

35-35

H17/11

ACB

Maccabi Tel Aviv

34-35

-1

A21/11

Euroleague

Manresa

#17

35-37

-2

A24/11

ACB

Panathinaikos

#12

55-44

+11

H29/11

Euroleague

Murcia

#16

53-45

H01/12

ACB

Rytas

#18

30-38

-8

H06/12

Euroleague

75.0Avg total

38.1Scored

36.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.6	40.0	78.6	-1.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.2	37.7	75.9	+0.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.1	42.2	81.3	-3.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.1	36.9	75.0	+1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.4	39.8	81.2	+1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	37.8	39.0	76.8	-1.2	33%	-
vs Similar (10)	37.6	40.3	77.9	-2.7	40%	-
vs Weaker (10)	40.5	39.1	79.6	+1.4	60%	-

This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Baloncesto Valladolid

#18

48-21

+27

H02/11

ACB

Varese

#50

46-31

+15

H06/11

Eurocup

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

43-41

H10/11

ACB

Lyon-Villeurbanne

#39

33-41

-8

A13/11

Eurocup

Obradoiro CAB

#12

58-37

+21

A16/11

ACB

Levallois

#38

45-24

+21

H19/11

Eurocup

Fuenlabrada

#15

41-32

A23/11

ACB

Ulm

#11

41-44

-3

A26/11

Eurocup

Gran Canaria

29-36

-7

H01/12

ACB

Petrol Olimpija

#23

44-44

H04/12

Eurocup

77.9Avg total

42.8Scored

35.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.0	34.9	76.9	+7.1	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.5	34.1	77.6	+9.4	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.3	35.9	76.1	+4.4	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.8	35.1	77.9	+7.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	36.0	76.0	+4.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	52.0	38.0	90.0	+14.0	100%	-
vs Similar (8)	39.6	35.8	75.4	+3.9	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	42.4	34.5	76.9	+8.0	71%	-

This opponent (Baskonia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	19.6	38.9	-0.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.7	19.7	39.3	+0.0	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.8	19.6	38.4	-0.8	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	18.7	38.3	+0.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	16.4	34.0	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	19.6	22.4	42.0	-2.9	33%	-
vs Similar (10)	17.6	18.3	35.9	-0.7	30%	-
vs Weaker (10)	21.2	18.2	39.4	+3.0	70%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	17.3	37.7	+3.1	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.4	16.3	38.8	+6.1	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.1	18.4	36.4	-0.3	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.6	16.1	38.7	+6.5	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	18.8	42.0	+4.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	22.0	21.0	43.0	+1.0	100%	-
vs Similar (8)	17.5	19.8	37.2	-2.2	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	21.4	16.1	37.6	+5.3	71%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	19.5	40.5	+1.5	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.8	19.7	40.5	+1.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.3	19.3	40.5	+2.0	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	17.6	37.2	+2.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	15.6	35.6	+4.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	19.9	21.1	41.0	-1.2	56%	-
vs Similar (10)	19.1	19.4	38.5	-0.3	40%	-
vs Weaker (10)	23.9	17.9	41.8	+6.0	90%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	20.2	41.9	+1.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.6	19.0	41.6	+3.6	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.7	21.5	42.2	-0.8	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	26.3	21.7	48.0	+4.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	21.8	46.0	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	14.0	20.0	34.0	-6.0	0%	-
vs Similar (8)	19.5	21.5	41.0	-2.0	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	22.9	19.7	42.6	+3.2	62%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.3	39.1	79.4	+1.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.5	39.4	79.9	+1.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.1	38.9	78.9	+1.2	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.2	36.3	75.5	+2.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.6	32.0	69.6	+5.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	39.4	43.6	83.0	-4.1	44%	-
vs Similar (10)	36.7	37.7	74.4	-1.0	40%	-
vs Weaker (10)	45.1	36.1	81.2	+9.0	80%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.1	37.4	79.5	+4.7	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	45.0	35.3	80.3	+9.7	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.8	39.9	78.6	-1.1	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	48.9	37.8	86.7	+11.1	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.4	40.6	88.0	+6.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	36.0	41.0	77.0	-5.0	0%	-
vs Similar (8)	37.0	41.2	78.2	-4.2	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	44.3	35.8	80.1	+8.5	76%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Baskonia wins

Valencia wins

Date	Game	Score
03/02/13	Baskonia v Valencia	79-75
11/11/12	Valencia v Baskonia	75-79
03/03/12	Valencia v Baskonia	63-68
23/10/11	Baskonia v Valencia	72-82
09/03/11	Baskonia v Valencia	72-65
07/11/10	Valencia v Baskonia	67-81
24/09/10	Baskonia v Valencia	66-67
14/02/10	Baskonia v Valencia	69-67
01/11/09	Valencia v Baskonia	81-74
16/04/09	Baskonia v Valencia	90-86

Baskonialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
06/12/13	H	Rytas	79-63
01/12/13	H	Murcia	98-90
29/11/13	H	Panathinaikos	79-77
24/11/13	A	Manresa	69-64
21/11/13	A	Maccabi Tel Aviv	70-65
17/11/13	H	Unicaja	82-75
14/11/13	A	Lokomotiv Kuban	84-85
10/11/13	A	Baloncesto Valladolid	87-58
07/11/13	H	Crvena zvezda	63-73
02/11/13	A	Real Betis	62-82

Valencialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
04/12/13	H	Petrol Olimpija	91-93
01/12/13	H	Gran Canaria	74-70
26/11/13	A	Ulm	84-92
23/11/13	A	Fuenlabrada	90-76
19/11/13	H	Levallois	98-52
16/11/13	A	Obradoiro CAB	102-70
13/11/13	A	Lyon-Villeurbanne	76-79
10/11/13	H	Tecnyconta Zaragoza	96-76
06/11/13	H	Varese	98-64
02/11/13	H	Baloncesto Valladolid	108-57

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Baskonia

ACB 2013-14

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	62%
Home	LWWW	75%
Away	LLWW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	8	4	4
Win %	62%	75%	50%
Points / game	80.6	88.8	72.5
Allowed / game	79.9	82.5	77.2
Point differential	+0.8	+6.2	-4.8
Avg total	160.5	171.2	149.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	25%	25%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	0% (1)	100% (1)
Overtime %	12%	25%	0%

Valencia

ACB 2013-14

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	88%
Home	WWWW	100%
Away	LWWW	75%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	8	4	4
Win %	88%	100%	75%
Points / game	88.2	91.2	85.2
Allowed / game	69.2	65.2	73.2
Point differential	+19.0	+26.0	+12.0
Avg total	157.5	156.5	158.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	62%	75%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	100% (1)	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Real Madrid	9	9	0	100%	90.2	67.4	+22.8
2	Valencia	8	7	1	88%	88.2	69.2	+19.0
3	Unicaja	8	6	2	75%	79.6	71.9	+7.8
4	Barcelona	8	6	2	75%	76.6	72.2	+4.4
5	Gran Canaria	8	5	3	62%	77.5	72.2	+5.2
6	Baskonia	8	5	3	62%	80.6	79.9	+0.8
7	Tecnyconta Zaragoza	9	5	4	56%	75.2	74.6	+0.7
8	Real Betis	8	4	4	50%	70.5	73.1	-2.6
9	Joventut Badalona	9	4	5	44%	77.3	77.3	+0.0
10	Tenerife	9	4	5	44%	75.8	81.4	-5.7
11	Gipuzkoa	8	3	5	38%	72.0	73.0	-1.0
12	Murcia	8	3	5	38%	81.2	83.8	-2.5
13	Obradoiro CAB	8	3	5	38%	72.8	77.2	-4.5
14	Manresa	8	3	5	38%	75.8	84.4	-8.6
15	Bilbao	9	3	6	33%	74.2	75.3	-1.1
16	Fuenlabrada	9	3	6	33%	74.2	80.2	-6.0
17	Estudiantes	9	2	7	22%	71.6	80.3	-8.8
18	Baloncesto Valladolid	9	1	8	11%	67.3	85.1	-17.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Baskonia	16	24	24	14	78
Valencia	21	17	21	20	79

← all games of the day

Baskonia vs Valencia Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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